Jun 30 21:53 - total 2600

692, 378, 314, 133, 119, 86, 73, 71, 52, 43, 41, 29, 27, 26, 25, 24, 22, 18, 15, 14, 2*13, 3*12, 2*10, 2*9, 3*8, 2*6, 4*5, 4*4, 10*3, 11*2, 55*1, 3781*0

Wow! You don't see an honest Ponzi very often.

Well done.

Of course you understand.

Nobody lost any money yet, because you're still in the first phase of operation where you collect money from victims.

When you stop paying, obviously people will stop sending you money, but it's too late then.

So I'm warning them now, before they send you anything.

I looked into it - I don't see any way to prevent it returning the entire list of addresses and transactions each time you call it.

That's a huge ever-growing amount of data to parse over and over again.

I'd much rather have bitcoind do all that grunt work for me and just tell me which account has a new confirmed deposit.

Zebra raised an interesting point.

It sounds like you don't care whether this is a scam or not, you just want to profit, even if it is at the expense of other victims.

Is that right? Are you happy to make a profit knowing that it can only happen if other people get ripped off by this scam?

We don't need "time" to show if CMC is a scam or not. The promised returns show us already that it is. There's no way to make the returns they are promising so it has to be a scam.

As well as posting in these scam threads, it's useful to give the scammers negative trust feedback. Then all their posts carry a warning, not just the ones you reply to.

Let's get the word out that these people aren't to be trusted.

I've not counted that up. I don't have a list of accounts which are having trouble with 2FA, I just use the ticket system. I trust that the affected users will remind me when it's time. I checked the top 20 outstanding balances yesterday and was happy to see that 19 of them have emergency withdrawal addresses specified, so that's a good sign.

What do you do if there's a 2 block reorganisation, and the deposit changes its transaction ID?

Would you credit it twice?

That actually works in your favour. You won a bunch and then the casino reduces the max bet so you can't lose it all back too quickly...

Also, it only happened once - the maximum player profit per roll was reduced from 1% of the total bankroll to 0.5% (via 0.25% for a couple of days) when it became clear that 1% was too high.

Yes.

Between the two bets shown above, n=685 and n=748, there were around 60 small bets:


Note that the last roll before the big losing one rolled a very high number, 97.7 - I guess he was "pre-rolling". That's where you make small bets until the right number comes out, then make a real bet safe in the knowledge that you already threw away your bad numbers. Or something like that. It doesn't work, clearly.

I didn't see any response to my offer. It should be easy money for you, no?

Here's why:

Suppose their outgoing payments just overtook their incoming deposits. Maybe somebody rated a couple of their shills negatively on a well known forum or something and it has reduced the number of new victims or something, I don't know.

In that event, they can't continue paying out at full speed, because they'll be losing money.

They have two options:

1) stop paying completely, shut down the scheme, and take whatever profit they have made so far

2) slow down the payments, blame it on a technical glitch; hope new deposits speed up enough to keep the scam running a bit longer, and end up making a bit more profit

Wouldn't you chose #2? Especially if you instruct your shills to spin the slow-down as a positive - maybe you can trick a few noobs into depositing because of this "positive sign".

Do you get it now?

You voluntarily engaged in gambling your coins against someone else. Nobody forced you.

You lost, and now you want not only your free choice but the free choices made by everyone all around the world to be made illegal, and for the person you bet against to go to hell?

What if you had won your bet?

Do you have any evidence of that? Did you receive an offer to shill for them for $1 per post yourself?

It would be interesting to see it.

Is it true you get paid $1 per post to advertise this scam?

If not, now might be a good time to pull out before it's too late.

Ponzi schemes often slow down their payments for various fake reasons before shutting down for good. It could be a sign that outgoing payments have overtaken new deposits, and that the whole scam will end soon. Delaying tactics can be used to separate a few last suckers from their coins before that has to happen. (Or of course it could be a real issue - even real organizations sometimes have technical trouble).

Be careful out there, and when it does end up running with everyone's coins please don't complain that you weren't warned about it.

You've no idea how scary it is watching a large investment go up and down like crazy on Just-Dice. I often divested when a whale was playing, only to miss out on their eventual big loss. If I had just closed my eyes and let it ride I would have done so much better.

Maybe that's what some of these people are doing - they don't want the emotional rollercoaster of wins and losses, and trust the math to work its magic long term.

The biggest remaining (736) balance attempted to withdraw recently, but the hot wallet ran dry. I've refilled it now.

Remaining balances (rounded down to integers):

Jun 26 02:29 - total: 12111

2694, 2247, 736, 692, 528, 490, 394, 378, 314, 164, 143, 142, 133, 119, 118, 94, 92, 75, 73, 71, 66, 65, 60, 57, 55, 53, 52, 50, 2*47, 46, 44, 2*43, 42, 2*41, 37, 36, 35, 34, 30, 29, 2*28, 27, 26, 2*25, 24, 2*22, 4*21, 2*20, 19, 2*18, 2*17, 2*15, 3*14, 3*13, 6*12, 4*11, 7*10, 7*9, 5*8, 4*7, 3*6, 7*5, 8*4, 19*3, 26*2, 92*1, 3914*0

Jun 26 15:15 - total: 10083

2247, 1000, 736, 692, 528, 490, 394, 378, 314, 187, 143, 142, 133, 119, 118, 94, 75, 73, 71, 67, 66, 60, 57, 55, 53, 52, 50, 2*47, 46, 44, 43, 41, 37, 36, 35, 30, 29, 28, 27, 26, 2*25, 24, 2*22, 3*21, 2*20, 19, 2*18, 2*17, 2*15, 3*14, 3*13, 5*12, 4*11, 6*10, 7*9, 5*8, 2*7, 3*6, 7*5, 7*4, 19*3, 25*2, 89*1, 3892*0

Jun 27 21:36 - total: 7378

2247, 736, 692, 528, 394, 378, 314, 186, 143, 142, 133, 119, 94, 73, 71, 57, 52, 43, 41, 30, 29, 2*28, 27, 26, 2*25, 24, 2*22, 2*21, 2*18, 17, 15, 2*14, 2*13, 3*12, 2*11, 3*10, 3*9, 4*8, 2*6, 5*5, 6*4, 14*3, 16*2, 59*1, 3814*0

Jun 28 01:57 - total: 6626

2247, 736, 692, 378, 344, 314, 186, 143, 142, 133, 119, 73, 71, 57, 52, 43, 41, 30, 29, 27, 26, 2*25, 24, 22, 2*21, 2*18, 17, 15, 2*14, 2*13, 3*12, 2*11, 3*10, 3*9, 4*8, 2*6, 5*5, 6*4, 14*3, 16*2, 59*1, 3808*0

Jun 29 15:40 - total: 6104

2247, 736, 692, 378, 314, 186, 143, 142, 133, 119, 73, 71, 52, 43, 41, 30, 29, 27, 26, 25, 24, 22, 20, 18, 17, 15, 14, 2*13, 3*12, 11, 3*10, 3*9, 4*8, 2*6, 4*5, 5*4, 12*3, 14*2, 58*1, 3793*0

Jun 30 01:25 - total: 3807

736, 692, 378, 314, 186, 143, 142, 133, 119, 73, 71, 52, 43, 41, 30, 29, 27, 26, 25, 24, 22, 18, 17, 15, 14, 2*13, 3*12, 11, 2*10, 2*9, 3*8, 2*6, 4*5, 5*4, 12*3, 14*2, 57*1, 3791*0

Jun 30 14:42 - total: 3228

692, 378, 361, 314, 186, 143, 133, 119, 73, 71, 52, 43, 41, 29, 27, 26, 25, 24, 22, 18, 15, 14, 2*13, 3*12, 11, 2*10, 2*9, 3*8, 2*6, 4*5, 4*4, 11*3, 13*2, 56*1, 3786*0

I've been trying to learn about Counterparty.

I read https://github.com/CounterpartyXCP/Counterparty and found it seems to be quite a mess.

I don't know enough to fix most of the problems, so submitting a pull request doesn't seem ideal.

Where's a good place to point out the errors I found?

People keep wheeling out that old post by TrevorXavier as if it proves something about how provable fairness is flawed. It doesn't.

He didn't answer my questions about the maximum investment, how many deposits per person are allowed, etc.

JD paid out its biggest remaining investor today. Almost 2250 BTC to one guy, and there's just 3500 BTC left to go as of now.

If he pays it doesn't prove anything at all. You realise that, right?