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6541  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: June 24, 2015, 07:10:48 AM
I'm less interested in rushing the hard fork than I was, now that it seems less likely that Bitcoin breaks due to full blocks.

I believe the rush was fabricated to draw Blockstream into a political cat fight which of course Gavinmike could win because the majority are easily hoodwinked by "this is for the masses" and Blockstream "is against progress" and are "elitists". I think they wanted to prevent side chains some how if they could gain control over the fork, such as blacklisting all BTC that went off chain.

That is why I urged Adam to cool it in public (no direct communication, just my posts and one unacknowledged private message).

Appears Gavinmike may be losing now as awareness is rising.
6542  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: June 24, 2015, 06:36:13 AM
the reasons Blockstream will lose in the end.  no one trusts them.

We don't need to trust them, just the technology.

The federated servers can't deviate, for if they do, the BTC will be considered stolen and implicitly blacklisted on the Bitcoin coin.

Side chains don't need federated servers after we've eliminated Bitcoin Core (moved all the BTC out of it), which I don't think will take long.

Sorry your ASICs will be paperweights.

You are astute at politics, but a technological whipping boy.

no one cares for your socialist, elitist view

The socialists, elitists include the gavinmikrophones who say we have to have one size fits all and no technological progress.

6543  Economy / Economics / Re: Economic Devastation on: June 24, 2015, 06:16:38 AM
I would argue that the following rephrasing of your argument is more accurate.

Transparency and merit is on the substantive production. Personal identity is usually required to maximize production, however, identity can become a detriment when politics will attack or slow production. In this special case obfuscation of personal reputation may maximize production.

Now you have to prove that is a special case, and not the omnipresent one.

Haha touché

No arguing that the near term trend is towards omnipresence. Longer term I am more optimistic.  
I agree that mankind is being held by politics everywhere.

The challenge is how to scale up a system based on personal reputation from a local community to the global level without introducing politics? Or said more simply how does one solve the technological challenge of raising ones Dunbar limit to effectively and with with reasonable accuracy include all of humanity.

Perhaps this challenge can never be solved. However, if it can it would represent a solution that was superior to anonymity.

Simple. Don't expect people to interact in technological communities larger than their Dunbar limit, i.e. allow the maximum division-of-labor to proceed. And the knowledge age allows people to directly access experts, rather than proxied by the Theory of the Firm.

The full employment comes from needing liason experts between tribes of experts of different specializations.

The reason anonymity remains forever necessary every where is because the threat of autonomous reset of reputation will ameliorate trolling.

It won't be possible to advance the knowledge age if there sovereign debt-fiat backstop capture mechanism isn't thwarted. Because that totalitarianism requires snuffing out the decentralization the knowledge age is.

I am unconvinced that the sovereign debt-fiat backstop capture mechanism will not be self limited. It seems to be designed/effective at pushing the world towards global world governance. However, once that is accomplished is it really in anyone's best interests including TPTB to quash innovation and a future knowledge age.

The knowledge age and the NWO are fundamentally incongruent, because the former produces at such a high rate, the latter's fixed capital is diluted towards 0. TPTB have no power in a knowledge age.


That would be a lot like medieval barons trying to quash the renaissance out of fear.

They were forced to get into central banking instead. This time, there is no where for them to transition so they go for total control as last desperate option.

Checkmate.
6544  Economy / Economics / Re: Economic Totalitarianism on: June 24, 2015, 06:06:40 AM
My goals are much wider in scope and I don't want to get bogged down in politics over which coin will win.

I am just stating that competition will bring out the best.

And I am saying that the anonymous coin and chain that has a wide distribution paradigm is not only more likely to win, but also more likely to be resilient (but I don't mean giving coins away that users dump for fiat).
6545  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: June 24, 2015, 05:58:11 AM
Fun watching u two dance.. Get a room already! :p

Me and cypherdoc:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8qoys8eUn9k

And I only wanted to box  Shocked

(checking to make sure I still have all 21 fingers, toes, and ...)
6546  Economy / Economics / Re: Economic Totalitarianism on: June 24, 2015, 05:46:35 AM
Networks can grow. And you don't think when the GUI drops this thing isn't going to grow?

It's .50 cents a coin and can be mined on gpu, it has a much, much, much better chance of being more widely distributed than Bitcoin does.

It may have upside within the crypto community still. But beyond that, IMO I don't see it yet (unless something changes that I am not aware of), but everyone is entitled to their own appraisal.

There is also a real risk that Monero will be replaced by Blockstream's Confidential Transactions.

Competition is good, as it encourages better outcomes.

The Monero whales own more BTC than XMR. They've said that if their effort causes anonymity to be built into BTC, then their goal was accomplished.
6547  Economy / Economics / Re: Economic Totalitarianism on: June 24, 2015, 05:33:25 AM
I can't be bothered to do it for you.

No need.

Sorry your Monero vested myopia is very clear.

It is sad how much politics causes us humans to retard production.
6548  Economy / Economics / Re: Economic Totalitarianism on: June 24, 2015, 05:26:58 AM
Not going thread hopping.

Don't expect me to repeat everything again. You can go read and become smarter if you want. Your investment decisions will be affected by this knowledge.

Monero can be 50% attacked by the DEEP STATE for example, because it isn't as popular as Bitcoin. (But no need to do that if it isn't anonymous and or will die economically anyway, which in my rough observation looks like a possibility not a certainty)

Monero can't likely become popular because it isn't distributed to the masses. Rpietila is working on that game.
6549  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: June 24, 2015, 05:20:16 AM

I concur with tvbcof that there may be an opportunity during the hard fork for people to speculate and make a fortune.

It looks like we probably won't even get a chance to play.  The bloatchain fork looks like it will be stillborn at best.  They'll probably give it up soon.

Even if not, in the best of circumstances playing these games would have been iffy since all Bitcoin-based crypto-currencies and probably all crypto-currencies generally would suffer a black eye that would take all of them down significantly for a good period of time.  It still might be possible to play various differentials but it would be risky and a lot of work.

The good news is that as sidechains start to blossom it will click in even the most dense of minds (i.e., cypherdoc's) that hodling BTC is effectively a simultaneous bet on the success of any sidechain no matter what niche it fills.  Further, since sidechains themselves will sprout like weeds to fill any empty space they will be very robust against attack.  These two things in and of themselves could have a fairly dramatic increase in interest and in price for native BTC.



it's going to be fun watching you crawl.

you're reading this totally wrong as usual.

Specifically he must think the pegged side chains are going to be failure prone and or easy to attack forcing people to stay away from them.

He must think Gavinmike have cornered the world's developer talent pool.

Does he have any clue how many developers do not work on or with cryptocurrency related projects? The sky is wide open for providing an ecosystem for them and competing away from the paralysis of Bitcoin Core.
6550  Economy / Economics / Re: Economic Totalitarianism on: June 24, 2015, 05:10:56 AM
I'm saying it won't work without...

What won't work?

Any coin that doesn't perform the three functions (fungible, untraceable, unlinkable) won't work as a cash no matter how you distribute or cap it.

Yes, but I am saying that any coin that doesn't distribute itself as "free money" to the masses, won't remain viable (for several reasons, please review what I wrote at the other thread carefully) and thus those three qualities won't be sustained if the distribution is not correctly done.
6551  Economy / Economics / Re: Economic Devastation on: June 24, 2015, 05:02:51 AM
Transparency and merit is on the substantive production. Personal identity is not only not always required to maximize production, it is sometimes a detriment to doing so when politics can attack or slow production. That is not to say personal reputation isn't valuable in come contexts.

I would argue that the following rephrasing of your argument is more accurate.

Transparency and merit is on the substantive production. Personal identity is usually required to maximize production, however, identity can become a detriment when politics will attack or slow production. In this special case obfuscation of personal reputation may maximize production.

Now you have to prove that is a special case, and not the omnipresent one.

I think you will find the Theory of the Firm is at the generative essence entirely predicated on political gridlock.

Thus mankind is being held by politics every where. And this is precisely why local community based on personal reputation (i.e. our Dunbar limit) can't scale.

As we've advanced into the knowledge producing activities, men have been fighting back.

Perhaps, or perhaps those who advance into knowledge producing activities while sustaining healthy habits and lifestyles will simply be those who emerge on the other side of this bottleneck not so much a fight but a gradual replacement.

Your cited resource showed that men have fought back from 17-to-1 to 5-to-1 since the dawn of agriculture.

Of course I didn't mean fist fight; I mean in the economic competition dimension.

It won't be possible to advance the knowledge age if the sovereign debt-fiat backstop capture mechanism isn't thwarted. Because that totalitarianism requires snuffing out the decentralization the knowledge age is.

So I don't think you have a choice on anonymity. Eugenics or knowledge age. Each person can make their choice because it will be a bifurcation. And I think think even the Bible makes it quite clear we will choose the 666 or be raptured away from that world.
6552  Economy / Economics / Re: Economic Devastation on: June 24, 2015, 04:22:09 AM
Bitcoin (the Gavincoin fork) will die with the death of the NWO paradigm. That paradigm will enslave the people who can't make the shift the Knowledge Age, and those in that system will parasite on themselves until they have destroyed themselves. The NWO paradigm is a slow burn of eugenics. I am proposing an anonymous, decentralized crypto-currency to service the fledgling Knowledge Age and leave Bitcoin for the NWO which is was designed for. In the Economic Devastation and One-world reserve currency threads I have detailed my expectation for a bifurcation of the economy into NWO masses (stuck in the Old World Industrial Age, high fixed capital, socialism paradigm) and Knowledge Age future.

This would not be the first time humanity went through a slow burn of eugenics.
The last major one was 8,000 years ago with the onset of agriculture.

With the onset of agriculture and presumably the first emergence of social units larger then a small tribe
the environment changed dramatically.

Quote
Once upon a time, 4,000 to 8,000 years after humanity invented agriculture, something very strange happened to human reproduction. Across the globe, for every 17 women who were reproducing, passing on genes that are still around today—only one man did the same

http://www.psmag.com/nature-and-technology/17-to-1-reproductive-success

Indeed, the fixed capital age meant aggregating was the key to success. Agriculture required also armies to protect stationary crops.

As we've advanced into the knowledge producing activities, men have been fighting back.
6553  Economy / Economics / Re: Economic Devastation on: June 24, 2015, 04:06:59 AM
I believe the death of the Industrial Age and the birth of the Knowledge Age will kill usury without causing a Middle Ages (Dark Age). I have covered the reasoning extensively in the One-world reserve currency and the Economic Devastation threads (as AnonyMint and various other pseudonyms).

...We want a meritocracy where to earn one must “Show me the code, talk is cheap” (Linus Torvalds).

In other words, we want 100% transparency on the merits of value and exchange (this is orthogonal to anonymity, which is more about escaping politics, slavery, and the refusal to forgive and forget irrelevant factors[1]). We are tired of that Old World morass, power vacuum, slavery bullshit.

Responding to a bit of an older post here but this caught my eye for it raises an important question.

If the goal is truly 100% transparency on the merits of value and exchange anonymity strikes me not as orthogonal but to some degree in opposition to this goal. It is impossible to achieve complete transparency in an anonymous system.

In this context anonymity could be justified only in a relative sense. A potential incremental improvement over a corrupt fiat system with even less transparency.

Transparency and merit is on the substantive production. Personal identity is not only not always required to maximize production, it is sometimes a detriment to doing so when politics can attack or slow production. That is not to say personal reputation isn't valuable in come contexts, e.g. local, tribal community.

For example, if I wanted to become a prolific leader of open source projects, I could create an anonymous persistent identity that was not correlated with my personal identity. That anonymous persistent identity would have a reputation that is orthogonal to my personal identity.

The argument against this is that society couldn't hold me personally accountable should I violate the reputation. However this is a good thing because it forces society to not place too much trust in any one identity and encourages a decentralized, fine grain approach to production versus a top-down one. Let me explain by example.

Recently there were discussions about how to organize the management of the proceeds from the launch of an altcoin ICO. The problem is that if you put all the private keys in one person's hands, not only could they run away with all the money, but that person also risks the rubber hose. If you made that person non-anonymous, the pressure to corrupt him would increase (e.g. the IRS threatens audit and the CIA says, "we can make your problems go away").

If you put these funds in a board whether anonymous or not, the potential problems magnify and/or you end up with political morass that wastes the funds. Ethereum is a prime example of having too many mouths to feed (too many managers and paralysis).

So anonymity is telling you that concentrating funds is not a desirable activity. Whereas, sending all the capital to the utility, hardware, and usury entities and wasting the opportunity to focus some of that capital to key investments in the ecosystem is also flawed. And so any solution to that altcoin ICO problem would need to reduce the concentration, in order to be more robust.

But if you compared with what Monero did, where the PoW distribution was heavily front loaded to reward the early adopters, but shared like a Communism, then there is less focused investment in the ecosystem and it probably flounders.
6554  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: June 24, 2015, 02:47:46 AM

Hard money is a delusion.

What you really want is soft money that is decentralized and thus remains permission-less (censorship-free).


I'd argue what you are talking about here is a need for cash, or least the symbol of cash. And decentralization alone isn't enough to create an ecash. It has to be fungible, untraceable and unlinkable. Bitcoin's only fungible as long as you can guarantee your wallet won't become blacklisted, and as the tracking tech gets more and more sophisticated, this becomes more and more of a crap-shoot.

If I'm a "cash only" mom and pop restaurant who relied on a loan from an underworld organization to secure my business and need to pay restitution to secure my business and myself, am I going to risk using a currency that can be used to reveal all my tax revenue (credit) or (cash) one that lets me keep a profit over what I pay to my Bosses--the Mafia, the Yakuza, my kid's College Loan Syndicate?

You have to remember that most small business owners aren't technologically sophisticated and cash fills a very pertinent need in their lives. They aren't going to get a degree in sidechains or mixers or tumblers in order to perform their daily business--especially when those things still have a risk of tainting their accounts when the best of practices are followed.

The $ symbol exist and a lot of people want a digital equivalent, and BTC won't fill that demand until it is in the core. Right now  BTC symbolizes Behind Bars or worse....

I am saying that for as long as loaning money and charging it to the sovereign debt-fiat backstop (i.e. the Logic of Collective Action) is the easier way for the masses to get "free money", then all attempts at non-free money will be subsumed by that aforementioned paradigm which inherently concentrates power.

For example, the 50% attack on PoW.

So that is why if you are going to succeed, then your perpetual debasement must be high enough to compete, then you need a way to give this away (distribute it) to the masses that can't be gamed such that it really is taken by the wealthy.

I solved this design problem finally!
6555  Economy / Economics / Re: Economic Totalitarianism on: June 24, 2015, 02:46:11 AM

Hard money is a delusion.

What you really want is soft money that is decentralized and thus remains permission-less (censorship-free).


I'd argue what you are talking about here is a need for cash, or least the symbol of cash. And decentralization alone isn't enough to create an ecash. It has to be fungible, untraceable and unlinkable. Bitcoin's only fungible as long as you can guarantee your wallet won't become blacklisted, and as the tracking tech gets more and more sophisticated, this becomes more and more of a crap-shoot.

If I'm a "cash only" mom and pop restaurant who relied on a loan from an underworld organization to secure my business and need to pay restitution to secure my business and myself, am I going to risk using a currency that can be used to reveal all my tax revenue (credit) or (cash) one that lets me keep a profit over what I pay to my Bosses--the Mafia, the Yakuza, my kid's College Loan Syndicate?

You have to remember that most small business owners aren't technologically sophisticated and cash fills a very pertinent need in their lives. They aren't going to get a degree in sidechains or mixers or tumblers in order to perform their daily business--especially when those things still have a risk of tainting their accounts when the best of practices are followed.

The $ symbol exist and a lot of people want a digital equivalent, and BTC won't fill that demand until it is in the core. Right now  BTC symbolizes Behind Bars or worse....

I am saying that for as long as loaning money and charging it to the sovereign debt-fiat backstop (i.e. the Logic of Collective Action) is the easier way for the masses to get "free money", then all attempts at non-free money will be subsumed by that aforementioned paradigm which inherently concentrates power.

For example, the 50% attack on PoW.

So that is why if you are going to succeed, then your perpetual debasement must be high enough to compete, then you need a way to give this away (distribute it) to the masses that can't be gamed such that it really is taken by the wealthy.

I solved this design problem finally!
6556  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: June 24, 2015, 01:37:11 AM
judge for yourself.  don't bother to tell me your conclusion b/c i already know what it will be:

https://twitter.com/adam3us

Adam has said they are in private discussions, which is what I urged them to do.

He retweeted these Wladmir tweets which are clearly show Wladmir gets it:

https://twitter.com/orionwl/status/613212008020844544

https://twitter.com/orionwl/status/613218317436887040

https://twitter.com/orionwl/status/613214989386678272

https://twitter.com/orionwl/status/613209976857829376
6557  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: June 24, 2015, 01:08:22 AM
My god, cheezes christ, what a socialist pile of crap.

I can personally guarantee that bitcoin with the crucial coin limit will continue, even if I have to run my own miner and wait decennia before the difficulty adjusts. More likely though, I will be joined by at least a percentage of current miners, meaning the system will continue with the slight annoyance of having confirmation times of a day or so. Have your fork, the inflatacoin will go the way of the fiats.

And without SCs, your hard limit fork will be absolutely worthless in exchange value.

I think you need to review a thread I wrote as AnonyMint:

No Money Exists Without the Majority

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=226033.0

Well that only make sense right.

cause what value is it if no one holds it, so yeah majority of the people need to hold it for any point of value.

Or some use case that cause a minority to demand it.

So they need to argue some features their hard limit fork will have that drive a use case. If store-of-value is the use case, they have to explain how their coins are better than gold. If their system has no anonymity then it is surely toast. Also how does their minority system resist 50% attack? Whack-A-Mole isn't a viable retort. They will never get the necessary changes to the protocol without SCs.
6558  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: June 24, 2015, 12:59:36 AM
If the network is free to join, then others who are not in the cartel will want to join in order to "eat their lunch."

They can't. I already told you that you wouldn't have enough hashrate unless you were a member of the cartel monopoly that is able to charge the cost of mining to the entire population via the capture of the sovereign bond-fiat connection.

What do you think KYC and 9/11 is all about?

You are socially myopic.

Edit: don't forget a monopoly can also raise transaction fees but withhold transactions for the minority miners. I (AnonyMint) described this attack in 2013 (Transactions Withholding Attack).
6559  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: June 24, 2015, 12:52:37 AM
My god, cheezes christ, what a socialist pile of crap.

I can personally guarantee that bitcoin with the crucial coin limit will continue, even if I have to run my own miner and wait decennia before the difficulty adjusts. More likely though, I will be joined by at least a percentage of current miners, meaning the system will continue with the slight annoyance of having confirmation times of a day or so. Have your fork, the inflatacoin will go the way of the fiats.

And without SCs, your hard limit fork will be absolutely worthless in exchange value.

I think you need to review a thread I wrote as AnonyMint:

No Money Exists Without the Majority

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=226033.0
6560  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: June 24, 2015, 12:38:58 AM
- the system remains open such that if I feel really really strongly about it, that I can run a node and mine too

You wouldn't have enough hashrate to have any impact against a network with only 10 miners. Duh.

You're missing the game theory behind what keeps bitcoin secure, which is probably why you're so convinced that it will fail.  For example, you said a new entrant wouldn't have enough hashrate to compete.  However, if it requires a lot of hash rate for that new entrant to compete, then that means the system is very likely not centralized.

Duh. Exactly that was _my_ point if you argue there will be only 10 miners.

I am not going to waste my entire day as you drag me into more nonsense debate.

The reason is that if the miners formed a cartel (and bitcoin became centralized), then they would all lower their hashrates to earn a greater profit.

Not necessarily. You always assume Nash equilibrium and are myopic about out-of-band incentives, such as the incentive to apply censorship (KYC compliance) and other payoffs that can come from that.
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