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6761  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: Sportsbet.io 🏈 Week #4 Thursday Night Football Giveaway 🏈 (Thursday) on: September 26, 2022, 08:10:47 PM
1) CIN
2) CIN
3) Yes
4) Over
5) 4th
6) Odd
7) Odd
Cool CIN
9) CIN
10) MIA

Final Score prediction 27-21
6762  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Champions League Discussion Thread -- 2022/23 | Group Stage on: September 26, 2022, 06:17:49 PM
I agree to the Real - City final or the Real Madrid - Liverpool final only if I see City play PSG in the previous rounds. I'm tired of watching my beloved Real do all the work itself   Grin
Real Madrid deserved to get an easy way to the final this year, and City vs PSG in the playoffs is what should happen if there is any fairness in football. Let the oil clubs destroy each other themselves.

It seems to me that it will be very difficult for Liverpool to win the Champions League final again this year. They don't play at the level of last year, and in my opinion, they are not favorites either in the English league or in the Champions League.
If PSG doesn't solve the personal conflict between Mbappe and Neymar, then I don't give them much of a chance to reach the Champions League final this season either.
It is true that Manchester City is the main favorite to win the Champions League every season for the last few years, but they have always lacked something, some factor X. Whether they got that factor X in Haaland remains to be seen. Real is always one of the main favorites to win the Champions League, and unlike other clubs, they know very well how to win the Champions League.

Let's look at the opinion of bookmakers:

Manchester city 2.85 - 35% chance of winning, City is overrated in my opinion. A title every three years in the presence of a crowd of competitors? Don't even dream, sheikhs!

Paris Saint Germain 5.55 - 18% but the second place among all contenders? That's just funny.

Bayern Munich 6.05 - in my opinion Bavaria is underestimated, even considering their current problems.

Liverpool 7.55 - 13% looks like a fair estimate, but still Liverpool is overrated.

RealMadrid 10.10 - LOL, comments are redundant.
 
Barcelona 11.70 - the most incomprehensible estimate in my opinion - on the one hand, only 8.5%, which can be called a modest/fair chance. On the other hand, I have not yet seen a single confirmation this season that Barcelona is ready to compete with strong clubs. Why is it fundamentally better than Tottenham (which has a coefficient of 18.9)? I do not see.
6763  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: The UEFA Nations League 2020/2021 Discussion Thread on: September 26, 2022, 06:02:02 PM
In fact, I don’t see anything wrong with this - when an underdog plays with additional motivation (and does not “lose before the game”), it is interesting for everyone - both teams and spectators (the best example is the Premier League). Another thing is that unexpected results in the League of Nations are a consequence of the fact that the favorites do not take this tournament seriously.
By the way, if France loses points again today, then it has a chance to take the last place in the group and go down in the league B. But France is one of the main favorites of the upcoming World Cup along with England.

This competition needs to be put into perspective. As many as 4 rounds of this competition were played in June, after the end of the league season, and many players came tired from a hard season and unmotivated.
The poor results of some favourites, such as England and France, in this competition do not really mean much because they do not show the real strength of these teams.
The World Cup will be a completely different story and all national teams will come fully prepared, although a big handicap for many teams will be the fact that there will be no time for preparatory matches.
That is why these two rounds are actually the last preparations of all European teams for the World Cup and this is currently the main focus of all national teams participating in the World Cup.
Of course, nobody wants to be the last in the group and fall into the lower class of the competition, so I believe that France will play a maximum serious game against Denmark today.

So you was wrong  Grin Another shameful result from France and only thanks to Croatia they kept their place in League A. I don't even know how to comment on this - maybe France is really that bad and will fail in the World Cup? I'm not sure of anything anymore.
And I'm more and more thinking that FIFA and UEFA have produced a monstrous inflation in football - too many games, too many tournaments. A significant part of them can be removed and no one will grieve.
6764  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Twitch gambling problem and Sliker issue on: September 26, 2022, 05:54:59 PM
They allow Poker they got some sense, it doesnt really add up overall to suddenly change policy over one guy.   Theres always one guy for every example of why, we can find the news story for one guy who played games too much, over exhausted and literally died from it.   Clearly dont do that but its hardly the reasoning to ban all games and yes seriously people have tried that level of reasoning and we've had many court cases over the idea of people will copy everything they see in a game so we must ban all games.   Gambling is with risk but Twitch cant easily quantify that risk apparently, their response is probably formulated by lawyers more then any other kind of reasoning.
  It does underline once again free speech and freedom in general is a rare commodity long term.

By the way, many streamers run so-called 24-hour marathons when they stream 24 hours without a break to sleep or rest. Obviously, this is no less dangerous and unhealthy nonsense (if you do it regularly or even once). So what? Now when someone complains about such a stream, will we see a new ban on such marathons?  Grin In my opinion, this is a false direction of development - as if people are morons and cannot decide for themselves what to do or not to do.
6765  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: September 26, 2022, 05:46:49 PM
If this tour did not take place after the break for the national teams, I would say that in the first eight all the leaders will take 3 points, except for the Inter-Roma pair, where someone will definitely lose points and in general the result is unpredictable. But given that a break always has an impact on teams, I think we will still see some unexpected results, hopefully they will touch the big three so that the rest of the teams continue to strengthen their position relative to them.

Napoli is going to face Torino. But considering the recent performance of Napoli, I don't think they are going to lose. The result will probably be a draw in the worst-case scenario for Napoli. But I don't believe they are going to lose.

I think the next match Atalanta is going to be really interesting because they are going to face Fiorentina in the next match. And that is certainly not going to be an easy one even though the points table suggests otherwise. Fiorentina is going to be really determined to win this match.

In the Inter vs Roma match, I think there are going to be a lot of goals. Because both teams have scored quite a lot of goals and also conceded quite a lot as well. But I am going to say Roma has a more classy play style compared to Inter.

I'm not sure that Fiorentina will be able to compete with Atalanta - it will be an away game, plus in my opinion there is only name left from Fiorentina, in general, it is now a weak, unremarkable team.
And I won't expect a lot of goals in the Inter-Roma game, it's not Mourinho's style - he dries up important matches. The score will be minimal, something like 1-0, 1-1, 0-0, 0-1.
6766  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Can i get banned for Card Counting in online casinos? on: September 26, 2022, 05:01:37 PM
I believe online casino and online casino has almost the same rule.  To ban or kick out any possible threat that may put the casino at risk.   So I think the casino will kick that player out or limit his involvement to live blackjack and games alike.  There may be no actual clause on the TOS of the casino but this kind of thing falls under the indefinite terms such.  Here is an example TOS tackles why using card counting can get a player banned from the online casino platform.

Quote
You accept and acknowledge that we reserve the right to detect and prevent the use of prohibited techniques, including but not limited to fraudulent transaction detection, automated registration and signup, gameplay and screen capture techniques. These steps may include, but are not limited to, examination of Players device properties, detection of geo-location and IP masking, transactions and blockchain analysis;

We all know that card counting is one of the prohibited techniques by the Casino whether it is legal or not.  It is the casino's right to decide whether they will accept such kind of technique or not in their platform and sadly they deemed card counting is a prohibited technique.

It doesn't follow from the quote you quoted. You can find such a clause of the rules in any casino and at any bookmaker - this is a general provision that protects the casino from the fact that the player will find some kind of vulnerability and will exploit it, and if it is corrected, he will sue. But card games where card counting gives the player an advantage simply don't exist (or at least don't exist in casinos).
6767  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Gambling and Reputation on: September 26, 2022, 04:54:25 PM
We are in 21st-century bro, no one cares about you as long as you do your work right and don't allow four gambling activities to affect your job. I don't think there is any we're in your terms and conditions in your employment letter where it is stated that you can not partake in such activities and if that be the case you will have to face a panel if you are discovered to be a gambler.

100% true! By and large, no one cares at all - it only matters how you are able to do your job. If you do it well, then you are appreciated and you have a good reputation, if you do it badly, then you have a bad reputation. And it doesn't matter whether you like gambling or not, whether you believe in fictional creatures (religion) or not, etc.
Recently, various activists have been trying to mix personal life and professional aspects, but in adequate communities the situation remains the same.
6768  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Gacha Game on: September 26, 2022, 04:50:02 PM
Big spender = official server
Donator = private server

Being a donator is not actually a gamble because what they spend will always have sure special items in return. Different from gacha feature where even whales or big spender players spend thousands of $$$, still their desired items are hard to reach.

Honestly, it's even more expensive to play in gacha compare to the usual gambling we have known for. Smiley

It depends on the level you are aiming for. If you just want to play comfortably and speed up your progress a little, then buying boosters (or any of their equivalents that are basically the same in every game) is pretty cheap. But if you aim to be in the top, then in this case, spending can grow to infinite values - there will always be someone who will spend more money and we are talking about tens of thousands of dollars. If I'm not mistaken, the top donator at Diablo Immortal spent over $100k.
6769  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: September 26, 2022, 04:44:24 PM
It would be much more interesting to see not a "competitive" Bundesliga (due to the fact that Bayern fell into a losing streak) but the success of the German teams in the Champions League. At the moment, nothing has changed - Leipzig is in last place in the group with zero points, Bayer shares 2-3 place with Atlético (both teams are 3 points behind Brugge lol), Eintracht shares 2-3 place with Tottenham (3 points behind Sporting), Borussia in a clear second place (3 points behind City). It is very likely that again, apart from Bayern, no one will reach the playoffs or will be destroyed there in the first round.

The Bundesliga is obviously a lot more interesting this season. There is no longer a huge difference between Bayern Munich and its closest rivals in terms of points. The Bayern Munich team is currently ranked 5th in the table and despite the fact that only seven matches have been played so far, I am genuinely starting to believe that the Bundesliga will likely be decided by a different team this time around.

There is no guarantee that Union Berlin will win the Bundesliga, but I think as long as Bayern Munich is not going to be the league winner, the competition is going to be interesting in this league in the future.

Maybe you are right, in the end it's subjective impressions. But personally, I see everything the same as in previous seasons, but in the face of certain problems in Bayern. I can't say that Union Berlin, Borussia or Freiburg show a super interesting game. Yes, now they have good results, but I do not believe that they will keep this level until the end of the season. And the bookmakers don't believe it either - Bayern's quotes for the title are 1.14 - even the handicap that some clubs now have against Bayern is considered insignificant.
6770  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2022/23 on: September 26, 2022, 04:24:01 PM
For Busquest, I think Xavi will try to hold him for another year or two if he will continue managing Barcelona. He appreciate him and unless he drops a lot, I assume his contract will be extended.
For De Jong, I don't know how barcelona is thinking but I think that both parties will agree a salary cuts. The problem is the salary that De Jong owes from Barca. Will they cut his salary and reimburse him?

As far as I remember, Barcelona owes Busquets, Pique, Alba and Messi more than 130+ million. And the nuance is that if Busquets or Pique are fired, then it will no longer be possible to stretch these payments over time. Barcelona will find themselves in yet another difficult situation next summer and Tebas has already said that they will be forced to cut wages again. As for De Jong, I hope he will continue to stick to his position and refuse to take a pay cut.
6771  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: September 26, 2022, 04:14:31 PM
Selling Lewandowski is a thing of the past - there is no point in talking about how good it would be if he stayed or something like that. Now Nagelsmann has to work with what he has - either change the game plan, taking into account the fact that Bavaria does not have a center forward, or endure until the winter transfer window and buy Ronaldo (this will be the only option in winter). I don't see any other options given the state of the market and the frugality of Bavaria.
Every player has their own personal opinion; once they intend and make their decisions, they will live only to suit their desires, regardless of how good or important they are to the team.
It will be advantageous for Bayern to keep Lewandowski this season as they sign Mane and other players; however, they are still good, and I hope they sign a suitable replacement for him by January.

Even if Lewandowski stayed at Bayern, it would not change the problem that the club would be forced to deal with the problem of his departure. Well, if he left a year or two later (due to age) - I don’t see any fundamental differences. Top clubs solve the problem of leaving their stars in advance, for example, Real got rid of Ronaldo long before he passed his peak (or at least an acceptable level of play to be in Real) and nothing tragic happened to Real.
But of course it's funny that everything is shaping up so that in the end Ronaldo can be the savior of Bayern in the winter.
6772  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2022/2023 on: September 26, 2022, 04:06:21 PM
But City failed to beat Newcastle and Aston Villa, which are only 10th and 15th respectively. Anything can happen - let's say Arsenal loses Tottenham, and City loses United. Then the situation in the standings will get even more confused, but it will be obvious that City is far from being the strongest team in a particular segment of championship.

City will most likely beat United. Even though United have played successful matches lately, the chances of losing are very high because City are playing excellent matches. It draws more attention because it is the Manchester derby. If United wins, things will only heat up on the league table. Every result will be a normal match.

If you believe so strongly in the City then you can easily make 37% profit in just one evening:

1.37 - 6.00 - 7.00

Quite interesting odds for a game in which "everything is clear", isn't it?  Wink I haven't decided yet what specific set of events I'll bet on in this game, but I'm sure United won't lose.
6773  Local / Oбcyждeниe Bitcoin / Re: Стоит ли сейчас инвестировать в Биткоин? on: September 26, 2022, 03:50:58 PM
Он приводил примеры того что недвижимость и много золота трудно куда то вывезти, с этим я согласен, но не у всех есть такая необходимость. Говорил что если у вас есть недвижимость в Африке, то ее не захочет кто то снимать с Лондона, но это бредок какой то, не захочет с Лондона, значит снимет кто то из Африки. Рассказал о преимуществах с передачей наследства, и т.д. но это все и так давно известные факты и они как бы не для простолюдинов.

Единственное что было в тему это что биткоин можно покупать малыми частями, а в основном это как всегда много текста ни о чем.

Читал этот бред и могу сказать что это уже похоже на открытое глумление: криптошизам ссут на лицо а они и довольны.
Следующие его аргументы наверно будут о том, что лучше иметь биткоин чем руку: ведь и правда биткоин на холодном кошельке намного лучше чем рука пришитая ну скажем к ноге, или вообще в жопе  Grin Логично? Логично  Grin
6774  Local / Майнеры / Re: Майнинг здох? on: September 26, 2022, 03:46:03 PM
~
В доступе слишком большие мощности никакая новая монета не будет прибыльна.
если новая монета не отрежет старые карты от майна.
~

Ок, по отоплению понятно - действительно есть смысл не выключать если минус не критичный.

По мощностям и новым монетам думаю проблема глубже чем просто в "новой монете которая обрежет старые карты" = будет найдена ниша с дефицитом какой-либо мощности. Если ниша будет мала, то ее быстро раздуют (придумайте любую нишу - карты, процы, харды и т.д. которая сейчас бы была устойчиво дефицитной и не могла бы быть быстро раздута? Я вот не могу), если ниша будет велика, то пирамида быстро сдохнет из-за выплат на инфраструктуру.
6775  Local / Новички / Re: Пoтepял жeну из-зa oткaзa пpoдать BTC по $60 000 on: September 26, 2022, 03:36:36 PM
Холдинг - это идеологический принцип, который предусматривает безусловное приобретение и хранение крипты. Это не стратегия заработка, а образ жизни и образ мышления. Не стоит путать ходлинг с долгосрочным трейдингом или инвестированием, потому что на инвестициях в криптоввлютах может заработать даже имбецил при условии достаточного терпения. Что может быть проще: купить по абсолютно любой цене и ждать пока цена не превысит базовую цену покупки. Можно разбить покупку на части и приобретать одинаковую сумму в фиате каждый месяц. Усреднение без лишней головной боши и к тому же доказавшее свою эффективность. Для нетрейдеров и недотрейжеров есть куча возможностей заработать; и у них будет преимущество, так как меньше времени тратится на изучение рынка и перестановку ордеров.

Очень опасные и наивные заблуждения. Даже на традиционных рынках типа недвиги и акций есть активы которые уже никогда не выйдут в плюс что уж говорить о крипте лол. Вы оказались на бычьем рынке длинной в 10+ лет (это не про крипту) и думаете что так будет всегда? На графике любого традиционного актива есть периоды медвежки на долгие годы, по многим из них если учесть инфляцию то возврат к пикам уже не случится никогда. Почему вы думаете что крипта не может повторить все это? Биток уже в глубокой жопе относительно предыдущего АТХ даже в натуральных числах, а если взять инфляцию (или еще интереснее соотношение относительно денежной массы которую он якобы хеджирует) то все еще хуже. И это на пороге крипто зимы.
6776  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Champions League Discussion Thread -- 2022/23 | Group Stage on: September 25, 2022, 12:00:58 PM
Now this is the truth, and it goes back to what I've been saying about City: the all-conquering team with the deepest squad depth, the best points per game ration, best goals per game ratio... and creeping up on European experience. The bookies rate them favourites in every competition, for 4 years running. That's not for nothing.

So yes, City in the final, deserved, if they play as well, but I'd want to watch Real vs them any day in preference of PSG.

But that's all moot. Liverpool will be in the final again =p

I agree to the Real - City final or the Real Madrid - Liverpool final only if I see City play PSG in the previous rounds. I'm tired of watching my beloved Real do all the work itself   Grin
Real Madrid deserved to get an easy way to the final this year, and City vs PSG in the playoffs is what should happen if there is any fairness in football. Let the oil clubs destroy each other themselves.
6777  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: The UEFA Nations League 2020/2021 Discussion Thread on: September 25, 2022, 11:53:40 AM
Grin You talk about Italy as if the fact that they don't participate in the World Cup finals makes them a weak team. After all, it is the reigning champion of Europe - the strongest football zone in the world. Well, do not forget about the status of the League of Nations where any result is normal  Cheesy
By the way, from the last games, I was most surprised by how Portugal destroyed the Czech Republic, I'm glad for those who bet on Portugal - the odds were very good - 1.67.
I am aware of the fact that Italy shouldn't be underestimated, but it still is a poor performance by the English team. Putting this game into the whole context of the Nations League and how it is kind of the preparation for the World Cup, England's results were as bad as it could get. You also send the wrong signal to other teams in terms of weaknesses and vulnerability. Some of the underdogs might have some extra motivation when they know that the big nations can obviously be beaten.

I know that pretty much starts from zero at the actual tournament, but you are also creating a certain atmosphere and mood among the fans. If England gives away the first game at the WC, shit will be hitting the fan and the team will notice. That's why I think that England's performance was not only devastating for the Nations League itself, but also for what it is to come towards the end of this year.

That similarly applies to Germany. I don't see them being spectacularly strong. It seems as if they have the same problem as Bayern Munich against strong defensive teams. Werner was said to be the main striker, but he just doesn't score and especially not against strong opponents.

In fact, I don’t see anything wrong with this - when an underdog plays with additional motivation (and does not “lose before the game”), it is interesting for everyone - both teams and spectators (the best example is the Premier League). Another thing is that unexpected results in the League of Nations are a consequence of the fact that the favorites do not take this tournament seriously.
By the way, if France loses points again today, then it has a chance to take the last place in the group and go down in the league B. But France is one of the main favorites of the upcoming World Cup along with England.
6778  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Twitch gambling problem and Sliker issue on: September 25, 2022, 11:42:46 AM
I didn’t realize that twitch gambling was such a problem that it needed them to take action. My understanding was that a lot of people got caught in a scam and that’s why this is happening, but I probably haven’t looked into this enough. It does mean that gambling sites will be looking for new ways to advertise as social media sites seem to be cracking down.

This is good news for BTT - the fewer external platforms for advertising crypto gambling, the more signature campaigns will be here  Grin
But in general, this approach remains incomprehensible to me. What will Twitch do when some other streamer runs into debt and spends all the money on CS skins? Ban CS?
6779  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: September 25, 2022, 11:33:09 AM
Napoli are most likely to keep their lead by this week also. Because in the opening match of the week they are going to host Torino. They have been mostly dominant against Torino in their recent head-to-head games. Maybe they didn't win by a very comfortable score in any of the games but they still won most of the time. Considering the current conditions, Napoli should be able to defeat them once again.

The Serie A can be very surprising from time to time of course as I remember that Napoli couldn't beat Lecce home (1-1). But hopefully we won't see any surprising result in this game.

If this tour did not take place after the break for the national teams, I would say that in the first eight all the leaders will take 3 points, except for the Inter-Roma pair, where someone will definitely lose points and in general the result is unpredictable. But given that a break always has an impact on teams, I think we will still see some unexpected results, hopefully they will touch the big three so that the rest of the teams continue to strengthen their position relative to them.
6780  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Can i get banned for Card Counting in online casinos? on: September 25, 2022, 11:24:27 AM
Well, if a gambler keeps winning for a long time it will light an alert signal on the casino side, driving their attention to that gamblers specifically. They will investigate why he is winning so much and take action against him, probably inviting him to leave the house. I'm not sure if this kind of thing has happened in legit online casinos platforms, but there are some stories it has happened at land based ones.

I guess if it's counting cards or any other trick it is just an excuse. The goal is to remove the 'lucky' player from the casino.

If the casino bans or kicks out lucky players, it will instantly go bankrupt, as everyone will know about it. In fact, the casino, on the contrary, is interested in the appearance of lucky ones - for this, jackpots and all sorts of promotions are invented where, for any outcome, some random player is guaranteed to receive a big prize. This attracts other players and builds the reputation of the casino. And at the same time, the casino does not remain at a loss because there are a hundred or a thousand losers for one lucky player, that is, the casino actually gives back only a small part of what it received from the players.
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