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7761  Economy / Economics / Re: Krugman makes some good points on: March 24, 2013, 11:55:31 AM
Look at it this way:  from the perspective of someone who just learned about Bitcoin and is deciding whether to adopt it right now, all of the coins mined up until now can be viewed as inflation.  If he views that as an acceptable level of inflation in relation to his assets, then he goes ahead and adopts Bitcoin.  If not, if he has substantial assets in relation to the Bitcoin economy, then he would be less likely to adopt Bitcoin as a currency.  So the Bitcoins already mined act as a counter-force to the adoption of Bitcoin.


Otherwise the post was insightful, thank you, but I believe you had this one backwards.

The number of bitcoins to be mined in the future is the inflation. The number mined so far is the monetary base.

Of course it pisses me that if I buy gold, there is already so much of it, and I can only buy a little and it is expensive and what not. Still, these are the very reasons why I buy gold instead of, say, aluminum, of which only a few days' supply exists and more is constantly mined.

So when I buy into bitcoin, I take confidence of the fact that more than half are already mined, and there will not be excessive inflation in the future. It is another decision whether to "support"/"boycott" bitcoin by buying it or not. I think at the current price levels, it matters little if someone with $1 million in assets decides to "support". It matters absolutely nil if someone "boycotts". We are past that phase now. Only those who have bitcoins have a vote.
7762  Economy / Economics / Re: Cyprus Agrees 20% Tax On Bank Deposits on: March 24, 2013, 11:25:23 AM
Today they are seriously discussing 40% tax for some deposits... I'm just... Can't watch this requiem for private property in Europe...

Hey, sorry - This is the beginning of the private property: from now on we don't pay the bankers any more, and sure some depositors will lose, but who said that the banks are to be trusted in the first place? This is a great and good revelation of what the banking business is all about.
7763  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Here's where I spew my accusations against MPOE. All are welcome. on: March 24, 2013, 09:27:04 AM
Okay, I am undecided now  Huh

Mircea posts some intelligent thoughts in the blog, and I kind of admire him/her? for doing things that others haven't been doing. But after all that porn, negative p/l statements what comes to actual, incorporated businesses, and paying people to post under fake accounts, what should I be trusting? (Also s/he has not commented on my idea, how to structure a bitcoin company, I put it there to probe his/her IQ, and so far I am dissatisfied with no answer, other than one-liners calling me "a nobody with nothing", despite powerful evidence to the contrary.)

If there is anyone who actually owns the shares in S.MPOE, how about showing up to give the thing some credit? I think it would be good for the prospects of your shares. I have considered shorting it in a serious way, which would destroy your value.

There is a realistic possibility to me, that S.MPOE is in fact not owned by many actual individuals, rather than by few with multiple forum and bitcoin accounts. So please, consider my offer and be forewarned. I am just a messenger.

I know big boys are entering the bitcoin arena now, and no matter whether these suspicions of mine prove out to be correct or not, I do not see much chance for S.MPOE to beat BTC in the years coming. (BTC should be doing great.)

Thank you all, I have reached my conclusions:

- MP is probably suffering from NPD. This is sad, but from my previous experiences with people, I have learnt that there is not much an outsider can do about it. It is a -EV game trying to interact with such people.
- There is no reason for me to believe that MPOE-PR is a woman, or even a person other than MP.
- MPEx, like most bitcoin businesses, has a high expected failure rate. The scenario analysis gives PV of far less than the current price, which does not warrant investing.
- There is no evidence of MP having legit business before Bitcoin, so tread carefully with him. Like I told before, the powers entering Bitcoin now, are more likely to interact with their peers, and with all probability, the bitcoin-otc trust network will diminish in importance once Bitcoin hits mainstream. It has not been able to detect fraud before it happens, and even after, it does not effectively punish it. (Not saying that MPEx has much trust even there to begin with.)

Disclaimer: the fact that MPEx share price is falling -5% per day in its own exchange is not my fault. I did not short it, nor probably will. I try to operate in liquid markets only, that is why I am late to the bitcoin party. None of what I say is explicit reference to MPEx scamming me or anyone.

Was about to write about the deduction process, but unless you ask for it, I will save my and your time. Most people have ignored him already. I am slow to reach conclusions, and always hope the best from the people, so I am a complete opposite of him in this regard, and I have been scammed many times because of my naivety. I believe I am better off by joining the crowd and ignore.

Done.

7764  Economy / Auctions / Re: Advertise on this forum - Round 75 on: March 24, 2013, 06:43:17 AM
3 @ 2.25

afaik, this can't win as Inaba has raised to 2.5 and I have the first bid at 2.25...
7765  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Introducing Ripple Currency: DYM on: March 23, 2013, 11:14:06 PM
Wow, Silvervault seems to be holding about 1,500,000 DYM, making it one of the largest holders in the world!!

In our accounting: 150,000 AGD, where AGD is defined at exactly 24,71 grams of the said coins.

How can we cooperate in conquering the world?  Grin

Silvervault? I guarantee those are not DYM.TTBit.

Ah, my bad. DYM was the IOU that is based on silver dime, right (not the dime itself)?

So as Silvervault holds 150,000 AGD, it could issue 1,500,000 DYM against it, or is the issue of DYM only possible by you?

My misunderstanding. DYM is 10 cents face of 90% junk silver. Anyone could issue DYM, but I'll only redeem the ones issued by myself for obvious reasons.

Yeah, but if you would trust in us to hold that 1M+ DYM, then we would have a network of mutual trust. We redeem yours, you redeem ours, and ripple keeps the ledger. This way the banking worked in early-mid 1800s Smiley
7766  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Introducing Ripple Currency: DYM on: March 23, 2013, 10:52:13 PM
Wow, Silvervault seems to be holding about 1,500,000 DYM, making it one of the largest holders in the world!!

In our accounting: 150,000 AGD, where AGD is defined at exactly 24,71 grams of the said coins.

How can we cooperate in conquering the world?  Grin

Silvervault? I guarantee those are not DYM.TTBit.

Ah, my bad. DYM was the IOU that is based on silver dime, right (not the dime itself)?

So as Silvervault holds 150,000 AGD, it could issue 1,500,000 DYM against it, or is the issue of DYM only possible by you?
7767  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Introducing Ripple Currency: DYM on: March 23, 2013, 10:37:36 PM
Wow, Silvervault seems to be holding about 1,500,000 DYM, making it one of the largest holders in the world!!

In our accounting: 150,000 AGD, where AGD is defined at exactly 24,71 grams of the said coins.

How can we cooperate in conquering the world?  Grin
7768  Economy / Economics / Re: Krugman makes some good points on: March 23, 2013, 09:30:18 PM
While I am not a Krugman fan myself, I think his point here does make sense. If we focus on WHY the Bitcoin economy can fail, the only reason it can fail now, I think, is the hard limit on quantity. I am not a Keynesian either, but the two extremes are equally bad: on one extreme, we have the unlimited quantity of fiat money that can be "printed", on another we have Bitcoin which has a hard limit on quantity.

I believe what is GOOD is to have a pre-determined formula for increasing the quantity, one that depends on the velocity of the currency. I am discussing this matter on another thread: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=156960.0


Your argument sounds compelling at first, but how about if you consider Land. There is a perfectly limited quantity of it for ever increasing number of people. Yet we have managed to value and price it.
7769  Economy / Economics / Re: Cyprus Agrees 20% Tax On Bank Deposits on: March 23, 2013, 08:57:29 PM
Savers lose their savings, mortgagers lose their homes...

0.01% maybe have all the money and all the property, but 99.99% still have guillotines.


Meh, they will be used against the messengers, such as you and me. Nothing new under the sun.
7770  Economy / Economics / Re: Cyprus Agrees 20% Tax On Bank Deposits on: March 23, 2013, 08:51:40 PM
And now governments are just punishing those savvy people who didn't jump into the abyss of mortgage (financial slavery), but carefully saved they money until they can afford something to buy and own it for real.


The mortgagetakers' end will be even worse  Sad
7771  Economy / Economics / Re: Cyprus Agrees 20% Tax On Bank Deposits on: March 23, 2013, 08:50:28 PM
What will happen in the next few days: Businesses dealing cash only ( is happening already) Employers not paying wages by cheque or bank transfer. Employees demanding being payed in cash or goods. A bank run to some degree so they have to shut down ATM's and tellers. in a few days shipping of goods and supplies to Cyprus stops as there is no functional banking system and shippers worrying about getting payed.

At the end of the week, empty shelves in the supermarkets. The Euro on par with the Dollar. European American and Asian leaders scramble by short notice to the "shit happens summit" where the Chinese and Russians agree to to lend in return for the Eurozone opening it's borders completely for Chinese goods and businesses.

The 300 year era in which westen Europe was the hub of trade ends.

Yeah, possible. I think I maybe should go to safe mode and cease all bank operations effective next week.

Not too long ago, in mid-Oct 2008, I remember lines of people withdrawing their accounts in a Finnish bank. I was actually depositing some EUR 15,000 for some of my metals sales, and it was getting heated because (as we all know) the bank did not have enough cash at hand. From the end of the line, I offered to deposit first, so that they could be paid. The people looked at me in disdain and did not give way. When it was my turn, the clerk was sweating and seemed grateful for my deposit. He forgot to fill the antimoneylaundering papers, poor guy had a helluva day.  Grin

7772  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: March 23, 2013, 08:27:16 PM
Pls post some wall pics or tell me an easy way to do that w/ mac so I can also do!  Cheesy

nah, your brokers will take care of that for you.

How do you feel buying at 74?

It is not my first time of making an ath while buying. You know, at the moment it feels good. After a while you get a little sour aftertaste. When 2 weeks have passed, you start to feel smug about yourself.  Grin
7773  Economy / Speculation / Re: This is a one man band on: March 23, 2013, 08:24:16 PM
I am a bitcoinophile, but do not see a rocket on Monday. Only a stellar piece of news will take us back up in the short term.

You could be underestimating lag with which "good news" affect BTC price. It takes time for newcomers to research Bitcoin and to put themselves into position where they can actually buy it.


This.

For me, it took about a year from when I first heard about Bitcoin, to the first opportunity to buy it (opening of Mt.Gox) and another year to my first smaaall purchase and a third year to my second purchase and half-a-year (until now) before I am finally confident to invest serious money. Too bad the price has seen a 1000-fold increase during my 3,5 years of waiting... Tongue

Quick to hear, slow to act.

Now 100s of millions have suddenly heard about Bitcoin, and it may take 1, 2, 3 or more YEARS for them to act in a serious way.

Unless Bitcoin outright vanishes, I believe for sure we will see a 10-fold increase in price in 2013-2015 based on what has already happened alone. All new developments just amplify the trend.


What a wise man with a wise thinking!
I will hold my btc for few years for you, just for you.


Nah, when I finally act, I do it and leave no prisoners. And I give you the opportunity to prove your worth in the process. How about this:

Hi folks, did you pick up anything in the fire sale? Grin

<g> no. my trading engine was out of ga$, tried to call brokers to secure "whatever you can buy <55 for immediate wire transfer" but as I was talking it snapped 50->60 in Bitstamp, so I said LOL, wtf and went skiing.

Just came back, yawn. Call me if it goes back <55.

Brokers? Doing ths? ???lol Cheesy

Yes, not one but 2. They're great, I can vouch for Bittiraha.fi (nick: Technomage), they buying some of the btc for me at lowlow commissions.

You see, I have so many entities in my control buying bitcoin, that I cannot possibly open exchange accounts for all of them (kyc stuff for corporations is crazy), let alone spend my 24/7 doing trading. Also Bittiraha offers instant lock-in, no money down. This is a dream when there is a dip. Or would be, if they themselves had any $$ in the exchanges at the moment of feast...

hahhaha . they did panic sell b4. I hope you hold those coins in your hand.


You seem like a tough guy. How about a battle of walls in Bitstamp next Tuesday? We both erect them, then dance a little, finally you sell to me at the going rate, sounds like a plan huh?  Wink

$50k, 100k, works for me, ok?
7774  Economy / Economics / Re: Cyprus Agrees 20% Tax On Bank Deposits on: March 23, 2013, 08:10:43 PM
Ouch, a lot of people's retirement fund / business money is about to take a large drop.

Feel really bad for the general public in Cyprus, they are being punish, for the fault of others for the most part.
This Legalised theft will make a dark shadow over the Euro and Banking industry for a long time.
It might never recover or regain the public's trust. Really stupid move.

This is the right thing to do. The banks only hold about 8% of what the people have put in. The rest they invest. When the investments go sour, the depositors take a hit. The banking megasystem is responsible for the global malinvestment of the last 100 years, and the chickens are coming home to roost. The artificial depressing of interest rates is the main tool, whose use has gone terribly wrong.

If all the banks in the world will fold as a result, we are going to see quite unimaginable suffering, before the distribution channels of real goods adapt to the new monetary conditions. Something that for most of us, has never happened in our life, since most of us weren't around during WWII.




7775  Economy / Economics / Re: Krugman makes some good points on: March 23, 2013, 08:03:47 PM

Total crap. People save on the currency which they believe will retain its value. People spend the currency which is easiest to spend and gives them the best terms. The currency exchange functions to bridge between these, in case they are different. With bitcoin, you are soon approaching the point that it is both the best store of value AND medium of exchange. What will happen to the alternatives, then? Look no further than Cyprus.
7776  Economy / Economics / Re: European Union is robbing its citizens' bank accounts. 9.9% to be confiscated. on: March 23, 2013, 07:59:22 PM
Cypriot Parliament agreed to come up with a portion of the bailout money by nationalizing the pensions of state-owned Cypriot companies.

All account in the second largest bank of the country with be frozen for years. Capital control to be enforced for all financial operations, which means nobody can transfer money abroad.


I am a precious metals dealer with sometimes large bank balances. Luckily I am stationed in Finland. But if I were in Cyprus, how could I continue with my business? From what you have told so far, those measures are wiping some 50% off your GDP overnight. Are all the smallbiz owners just expected to fold?
7777  Economy / Speculation / Re: This is a one man band on: March 23, 2013, 07:55:03 PM
If the price remains in the 65-70 range by end of day Monday, it will pick up significantly starting Tuesday.

In what range does it need to be, you believe, it will not pick up on Tuesday?  Roll Eyes
7778  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: March 23, 2013, 07:53:26 PM
Pls post some wall pics or tell me an easy way to do that w/ mac so I can also do!  Cheesy
7779  Economy / Speculation / Re: This is a one man band on: March 23, 2013, 07:52:14 PM
I am a bitcoinophile, but do not see a rocket on Monday. Only a stellar piece of news will take us back up in the short term.


You could be underestimating lag with which "good news" affect BTC price. It takes time for newcomers to research Bitcoin and to put themselves into position where they can actually buy it.


This.

For me, it took about a year from when I first heard about Bitcoin, to the first opportunity to buy it (opening of Mt.Gox) and another year to my first smaaall purchase and a third year to my second purchase and half-a-year (until now) before I am finally confident to invest serious money. Too bad the price has seen a 1000-fold increase during my 3,5 years of waiting... Tongue

Quick to hear, slow to act.

Now 100s of millions have suddenly heard about Bitcoin, and it may take 1, 2, 3 or more YEARS for them to act in a serious way.

Unless Bitcoin outright vanishes, I believe for sure we will see a 10-fold increase in price in 2013-2015 based on what has already happened alone. All new developments just amplify the trend.







7780  Economy / Auctions / Re: Advertise on this forum - Round 75 on: March 23, 2013, 07:43:19 PM
1 @ 2.25
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