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81  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 07, 2023, 08:57:12 PM

<snip>

Psycodad posted a quote from that story earlier, but used a hidden link rather than a plain text URL.


Thanks for pointing that out didn't think of that as I myself like the beauty of using the author-link of the quote tag.
I edited the post to add the link in cleartext too and will try to get into the habit of doing that.
82  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 07, 2023, 05:21:09 PM


I don't know when the ordinal craze is going to end. But, It reminded me of NFT (Non-Fuckible things) on ETH Network. Those Non Fuckible things often congested the network. Fuck You, who invented the system to build NFT and Shitcoins using Bitcoin Network.

Look at this list. Bunch of Garbage there https://brc-20.io/
BTW, You can see the ordinals data from here by DdmrDdmr https://dune.com/ddmrddmr/ordinals-data

It will take at least a few weeks to clear the mempool. Over 400K Unconfirmed transactions!

Rumours are that the very latest increase is not from ordinals but due to this bovine-originated-fertilizer-like BRC20 thingie..:

..
Behind the congestion is believed to be a surge in BRC-20 transactions in the last few days. The trading frenzy on memecoins like Pepe (PEPE) drove Bitcoin transaction fees to their highest point in two years. The PEPE token has jumped over 263% in the past 7 days, according to CoinMarketCap.
..

https://cointelegraph.com/news/binance-closes-btc-withdrawals-amid-congestion-on-the-bitcoin-network

[Edited to add cleartext link]
83  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 19, 2023, 06:23:25 AM
WO Public Service Announcement

Mempool is just about cleared, been just a little over 4 weeks of congestion.

Take this opportunity to:

Consolidate your UTXO
Bring your coins home
Force Close stale LN Channels
Open new LN Channels

Transactions will confirm in the next 10 blocks for 1sat/vbyte

Indeed, it took me since Mar 6th to close a channel with Chivo, yesterday the tx (1.12 sat/vbyte) was finally confirmed.

84  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 29, 2023, 08:45:02 AM
After Switzerland came to the rescue of Debit Suisse last week with the noteable amount of total 259 bil CHF it was today announced that the national social insurance (AHV) will have to save money (quite a lot). Both decisions come from the desk of the same minister (Karin Keller-Sutter).

It's ok if old people who have worked their whole life can't afford energy and food if that's the price for keeping that brilliant zombie bank alive.

Classic can't eat as much as I want to puke situation.


Edited to add: That said minister figure was rejecting a tighter banking law after 2008, because she said banks have done enough already and 2008 can't happen again under their new rules.
85  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 27, 2023, 03:11:17 PM
OK, what's the FUD this time?

No clue yet, this is the only thing I found which matches the timeframe:

Anti-money laundering plans seen by CoinDesk have slightly liberalized, but would ban anonymous crypto transfers of more than 1,000 euros.
Large crypto-asset transfers from anonymous self-hosted wallets would be banned under plans set to be voted on by lawmakers on March 28, according to documents seen by CoinDesk.

..

Though the article is less scary than the headline suggests.
86  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 23, 2023, 09:41:28 AM
Ramzan Mubarak 2023 to all WO's Family

Fantastic...

In honor of this occasion can you recommend a funny movie about Mohammed ?  ...maybe something like Monty Python's Life of Brian ...



May I suggest (We Are) Four Lions, I remember well watching it when it came out.
Though you need a rather dark humor to appreciate it (not unlike Monty Python).
87  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 22, 2023, 08:15:27 PM
Why?

Possibly this:

https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2023/03/22/tron-founder-justin-sun-sued-by-us-sec-on-securities-market-manipulation-charges/

88  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 22, 2023, 06:10:10 PM
25bps it is, let the games begin.
89  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 19, 2023, 10:33:41 AM
OMG, does actually somebody proofread articles before they appear?

    Bitcoin price has historically breached the macro downtrend between 365 to 397 days before a halving.
    The next Bitcoin halving is scheduled for April 2023, which stands to be within the expected range of the breakout.
    On the micro-scale, BTC is performing exceptionally, reinforcing Bitcoin season.

90  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 12, 2023, 01:00:18 PM
I for one am very relieved to hear that the top management at SVB could pay out their boni right on Friday. I mean does nobody think of the managers, working their ass off for us plebs and getting paid in peanuts for the hard work they do (screwing people over full-time is really hard work). If somebody is innocent, then it's them, it's the dumb peasants who expected to get the money out they deposited there who are responsible for this whole fiasco.

Some punter in a local newspaper posted a comment on the SVB story today which immediately resonated with me:

"Bank run, bank run, whatcha gonna do when they come to you?"

I think we are looking forward to a very interesting monday, maybe it will even go down in history as the Bank Run Monday 2023..
91  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 07, 2023, 01:49:17 PM

It definitely is scary when you read the heading... But dive a little deeper and you realize it is an issue that has been discussed before.

Hence, most, and i hope most, bitcoin wallets are programmed to use different/random nonces with each signing, therefore eliminating the novel attack.

I've been studying/readying and trying to understand ECDSA (still learning, especially the mathematics) and Public/Private Key and how it all works... then you would really appreciate, that with proper implementation, ECDSA is secure.

I recommend everyone to at least understand the difference between Symmetric Encryption vs Asymmetric Encryption, if you don't already know it...

For a total layman like me it seems to boil down to the old "Every cryptographic algo is only as good as the RNG feeding random numbers into it".
One of the of (very few) takeaways I learned from Bruce's Applied Cryptography is:
1. Good randomness is key <- pardon the pun! (I think that's one of the ways the NSA subverted Crypto AGs cipher machines by making the RNG less random than customers expected and later they just went with broadcasting the private key along the ciphertext)
2. If you have a true random key that is equally long or longer than the data to encrypt, XOR is perfectly safe encryption (I am still astonished by that fact)

In the past the TLAs (and FLAs for the britons) employed brigades of ladies that ran bingo drums the whole day to create one time pads. It is said they only employed women because men were generally unable to follow the procedure correctly all day long and started to make up numbers from their head or whatever, while the ladies produced high quality OTPs.

So, when our ladies for once behave totally random and unexpected, that's a feature in them, not a bug.
^Couldn't resist, sorry gals. It is depressing and embarassing enough that men are apparently unable to operate a bingo drum reliably for more than a few minutes.

Edited to add: Apologies for the repeated use of the banned c-word, I was assuming it might be safe in this context (*ducks to evade the mandatory incoming batslap*)
92  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 03, 2023, 08:53:00 AM

this one.. APC rack mount 1500VA sinewave

https://www.amazon.com/APC-Smart-UPS-Battery-Rack-Mount-SMC1500-2U/dp/B007ZT2KV6

and man it weighs like a ton.

had it 4 years now no issues. prolly due for new batteries but it passes all self tests.

Just beware. I have an APC of a similar size. Probably not quite as nice but last time I replaced the batteries, it still said it had plenty left but couldn't sustain my server when I pulled the plug.

+1, I was about to say the same. I am using 3000VA APC units and I replace batteries in their 5th year because I learned to do so the hard way, no matter how good they report themselves to be.
It's best to use them every 6-12 months for a few minutes and check how fast their charge goes down.
There is no feeling like standing in a very dark server room and whispering to yourselves "Hmmm, they should hold for about an hour and we're only out of power for 10s now".

At least the batteries are hot-swappable and I can keep the days counting on those systems with >2000 days of uptime (yeah, I am an old, sick f*ck, but I am proud of that).
93  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 03, 2023, 12:48:46 AM
My reason is because a lot of countries do not have internet every where. I lot of places in Africa need offline money and sending transactions offline with Bitcoin is difficult. It can be done by giving someone a seed of a set amount but that is not ideal. We need different currencies for different things. Bitcoin is the king when it comes to global transactions but when it comes to local and quick transactions physical might be better not always but in certain times.
Satellite will become more popular and given enough time the whole world will have internet access. The only places that might struggle will be the places where they do not have any power but I think this will improve too. The world is evolving and as soon as Bitcoin takes off the places with no power or internet will be encouraged to develop if the rest of the world is using Bitcoin.

I have to agree with you as satellites will achieve  world wide coverage in the next decade.

Given the sheer mass of material that has to be shot into space on a regular base to keep things working I have my doubts this will be sustainable for a long time.

Oh god I redid the math on re-entries:

Each Starlink v2 sat weighs 1250kg.  They plan to have 42,000 of them in orbit.

Each satellite has a planned lifetime of 5 years.  That means they'll be de-orbiting and replacing ALL of them every 5 years.

That comes to 23 sats per day, which is 29 TONS OF SATELLITE every day.

It doesn't go away, it gets added to the upper atmosphere.  Most of the mass is aluminum.  What the hell is that going to do? 

WHY THE FUCK IS THIS OK?!

^ And again, that's only for Starlink, there are many more.
94  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 28, 2023, 08:48:00 AM
Think i'm gunna sell some corn at $30k if we ever get there again (*dramatic couch fainting*)

Gunna buy a tractor. Maybe some chickens. Maybe a Browning .50 Cal (not for the chickens)

Gotta convert some of this corn into meatspace currency... so I can grow meat... and eggs... real actual live corn mebbe...

Spring soon.

Getting excited. Barn is coming along nicely on schedule to be ready ~end of April.

Congratulations to the progress!

Re: chicken: May I suggest to look into Brahma chicken? We have recently switched to them and while they take longer to lay eggs and stay longer molting, they are very robust, very social (no fighting or mobbing seen so far) and they seem rather longlived. Also they seem to bond to some degree with humans (at least they follow dad like little ducks follow their mom) and even follow some orders like "go into the barn".

On top of that their feather-boots are just real eye-candy and everytime I watch them walk around the ministry of silly walks pops to mind :-)
95  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 16, 2023, 02:45:59 PM
Funny, an amateur radio balloon went missing/dark between Alaska and Canada last week:

..
There is speculation that at least one of the objects shot down over Canada, Yukon by a US Air Force jet may have been amateur radio pico balloon K9YO-15 which was launched from Illinois on October 10 2022. It was on it's seventh circumnavigation of the globe after being aloft for 123 days.
..

The highly sophisticated spy gears were like this (oversimplified schematics ofc):



That's pretty literally shooting sparrows with cannons.

96  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 16, 2023, 09:52:59 AM
...

Well, I found out why the blockchain is clogged up with so many UTXOs that otherwise seem to have no function...  Ordinals/inscriptions.  Examples (these two aren't bad, but a lot of stupid stuff being posted):

https://ordinals.com/inscription/625d1f451777031065aaf1530ec7aecf5e4885f3b0c06b9fc5dbbc6aaf439d0di0  <== Bill Gates soon?

https://ordinals.com/inscription/fdad3bc7513e5522e3fbf69f5c03085df489fc7e27881c7ba64f7cadc5c6dccci0  <== a newspaper headline

https://ordinals.com/inscriptions  <== inscriptions explorer


I would (likely) be against ordinal inscriptions, as they do seem to slow things down, and Bitcoin's blockchain's best and highest value is for moving money.  IMO.


Edited for errors, geez that took a while...


I had to deposit some corn into Kraken yesterday. Was scared from what I saw on https://jochen-hoenicke.de/queue/.
At the end I paid a fee of ~$0.35 (@ 7sat/vb) to move ~0.2 BTC within 15minutes.
IMO this whole ordinal crap just lifted the base fee from 1sat/vb to 5-10sat/vb which is still incredibly cheap for what it is.
Me thinks it looks like the whole fee-market-mechanic built into Bitcoin is working as intended.

Even if mempool is having a huge queue right now, it is almost exclusively 1sat/vb transactions, pay a little more and things are as fine as they were before ordinals came along.

<thisisfine.jpg>
97  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 15, 2023, 10:35:58 AM


nothing to see here ... look at all these UFOs !!  Roll Eyes



https://aspiechattr.me/@WallStreetSilv/109864987799748903
98  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 08, 2023, 10:58:17 PM
Meanwhile Elmos expensive social media sideproject went read-only..

(A lot of people - if not all - seem to get a "Sorry you have exceeded your tweet limit." when trying to post/tweet)
99  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 08, 2023, 10:37:49 PM
<snip>
Quote
Nuland said on January 26: 'I am, and I think the (Biden) administration is very gratified to know that Nord Stream 2 is now... a hunk of metal at the bottom of the sea.'

Victoria Nuland, who alongside Anthony Blinken are the neo-cons who pretty much run the United States of America.
<snip>

The honorable undersecretary Nuland has made her attitude towards Europe very clear in the past:

The assistant US secretary of state, Victoria Nuland, has apologised after her phone conversation about the political crisis in Ukraine was leaked on the internet. The call between Nuland and a US ambassador focused on the future of the country if it gains a new government. Nuland declined to comment on 'private diplomatic conversations'


I can't imagine Bitcoin is going to be left alone to be honest.
The remaining exchanges can easily be controlled / be forced to close is my main concern.

I share that concern to some degree, but I comfort myself with the thought that we're meanwhile just too many and they are just too late with any of that.
100  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 08, 2023, 08:01:21 PM
So I hear sleepy Joe has an itchy trigger finger for nifty underwater bombsies:

The New York Times called it a “mystery,” but the United States executed a covert sea operation that was kept secret—until now

..

Last June, the Navy divers, operating under the cover of a widely publicized mid-summer NATO exercise known as BALTOPS 22, planted the remotely triggered explosives that, three months later, destroyed three of the four Nord Stream pipelines, according to a source with direct knowledge of the operational planning.

..


That piece from Seymour Hersh is definitely worth the time to read. In these times of misinformation and lying one wonders naturally if this is some imposter or the real Seymour Hersh, but it looks like it is him, otherwise we'll probably hear soon about it.
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