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8841  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: April 15, 2022, 07:17:18 PM

After today's Leipzig match, which they confidently won against Atalanta away, I changed my mind about BTTS  Grin Now this coefficient seems to me to be too small compensation for the risk. If this was a home match for Leipzig or they had at least one extra day to rest, then now the odds of 2.44 for Leipzig to win would completely suit me.

From the 1st game, Atlanta can win that if it's not because of 1 mistake of their player Davide Zappacosta's own goal but with the 2nd game Christopher Nkunku muscle and makes a goal and a penalty kick, that make a win for the Leipzig, and with this kind of wild win for the Leipzig many I think are shifting their though on how good Leipzig can get on the next season if they keep Nkunku to their team, next match for Leipzig will be against Leverkusen with 2 days prior this match Leipzig could rest and get ready for Leverkusen.

As I expected, the chances of Leipzig winning turned in favor of Leipzig after this confident victory over Atalanta:

3,00 - 3,60 - 2,32

It's a big temptation to bet on Leipzig, since recently Bayer had a series of three defeats (two of which were against Atalanta) and if you look at the form of the teams, Leipzig looks much stronger. But still, Bayer plays at home and this is a battle for the top 4. I'll probably make a decision on game day.
8842  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Europa League Discussion Thread on: April 15, 2022, 06:49:20 PM
After the games this week i would say that its possible that we maybe see a German final , Frankfurt vs Leipzig .
But West Ham and the Rangers are not to be underestimated and who knows maybe we will see an island duel with them.
My favorite would be Frankfurt that they get into the final as they really deserved it in my opinion.

I am 90% sure that the final will be West Ham - Leipzig, which is a pretty good option both in terms of entertainment and variety (the German final would be dull I think).
I think that all Barcelona fans will hope Frankfurt to get to the final and win, because otherwise it will turn out that Barcelona did fly out not from the title holder or finalist, but from an ordinary participant in the tournament.
8843  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: April 15, 2022, 06:43:57 PM
Spezia 0 - 2 Inter in the 80th minute and it looks like there will be no surprises. Inter will be back in first place for at least a couple of hours, but Milan will most likely beat Genoa without any problems and we will see a reshuffle. Today's games are rather boring in terms of intrigue, but interesting in terms of bets - for example, 1.33 for a Milan victory looks profitable.
8844  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Europa Conference League Discussion Thread -- 2021/22 Round of 16! on: April 15, 2022, 06:34:06 PM
Roma vs Marseille in the finals ?

I can already see this game taking place as both teams are having a great run in European Competitions with both of them deserving to win the trophy so far. Who will win it ? I will go with Marseille if they reach the final just because of the fans and also that if they play against Roma ( i'm a lazio fan ) , I would like to see them losing the finals.

Last night , we had some great games but I still wonder why did Paok not score ? they had crazy chances!

Yes, I also think that the final will be like this (although all teams have a chance here and there is not much difference in the strength of the teams). I think Roma under Mourinho will be the favorite in the final. Marseille will have a difficult game against PSG away in two days and we will see how ready it is for "serious" matches.
8845  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [CHESS] World Championship 2021: Carlsen Vs. Nepomniachtchi on: April 15, 2022, 06:19:22 PM
I would say that this particular case is not politics, but the normal behavior of people. What do you know about Karjakin as a racing driver or snooker player? I think nothing. Karjakin is a representative of the chess community. He has an opinion - no one takes away his opinion from him, but since he represents the entire chess community, this community does not want to be associated with him and therefore does not want to "play" with him while he makes statements that cast a shadow on the entire community.
I think if you have a good opponent in your neighborhood to play chess or whatever, but one day you find out that he is a pedophile, then most likely you will stop playing with him, right? Although it seems like his sexual deviations have nothing to do with chess and "these are different issues."

as much as I hate wars and think they're stupid and a waste/delay for human civilization, I don't think that we can compare individuals who support the war to pedophiles

former have an opinion about something
latter have a serious conduct deviation and are criminals/ill

but still, take my opinion about Karjakin with a grain of salt since I didn't follow the full situation and just checked the article quite fast...

Okay, let's take out the pedophiles and replace them with war criminals and those who support them. Will you play with a neighbor who is a good chess player if he is a war criminal? Or with the same neighbor who is not a war criminal but who openly supports war crimes (or denies their actual existence when it is clear to everyone that they are taking place)?
8846  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Europa League Discussion Thread on: April 14, 2022, 09:42:49 PM
90+11' Memphis penalty scored. Barcelona 2-3 Frankfurt
A painful loss at home ends Barca's European adventure, and the club's best chance at a trophy this season is over. Goodbye, Barcelona. I know you broke a lot of hearts tonight.

And a lot of bets for sure  Grin  Cry
I wonder if this result will affect the quotes of Barcelona in the upcoming La Liga matches. In my opinion, it has been greatly overestimated lately and bets on its opponents were more profitable in terms of distance. In today's match, I was sure that Frankfurt would survive at least until extra time, but I did not place any bets.
8847  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Europa Conference League Discussion Thread -- 2021/22 Round of 16! on: April 14, 2022, 09:32:27 PM
after today's second legs in the conference league, the semifinals look like this:



hard to say who will reach the final - but my favorites here would be as roma and olympique marseille

These pairs look no worse than the pairs in the Europa League.
I hope Roma will take the title (although its significance is very doubtful, but still if Roma has gone this far then Mourinho should win the tournament). By the way, I think that the champion will be determined in a pair of Leicester - Roma.
8848  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: April 14, 2022, 09:26:28 PM
Friday 15th April
Spezia 18:00 Inter Milan
AC Milan 20:00 Genoa
Saturday 16th April
Cagliari 11:30 Sassuolo
Sampdoria 13:30 Salernitana
Udinese 13:30 Empoli
Fiorentina 15:30 Venezia
Juventus 17:30 Bologna
Lazio 19:45 Torino
Monday 18th April
Napoli 18:00 Roma
Atalanta 20:00 Verona

Source: https://www.skysports.com/serie-a-fixtures

The biggest game of the day it will Napoli Roma, for the rest it should be easy wins and because of it someone will lose points for sure  Wink

I think that a multi bet on the teams that I highlighted in bold would be a good option  Roll Eyes Even despite the fact that the entire Serie A is unstable.
I don’t know who I root for in the Napoli-Roma match. Napoli seem to have lost their gold chances, but Roma has little chance of knocking Juventus out of the top 4 either. I would like both of these teams to win  Grin
8849  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: April 14, 2022, 08:44:14 PM
In the next round, Freiburg plays at home with Bochum and apparently will not experience any problems. Given that either Leipzig or Bayer will lose points (or both clubs if they draw), this group will become even tighter. I don't know if Leipzig can win, in my opinion it's a random match. Bookmakers are now quoting Leipzig as a favorite but with a very small advantage:

2,90 - 3,50 - 2,44
Even though the odds offered are attractive enough to bet on but this is still full of risk in my opinion considering that as you said this is a random match and there is still a chance for both teams to win or it could be a draw there.
I am quite doubtful about the bet that I will save in this bet because indeed both teams are still in pretty good performance although in the comparison of the last 5 matches, of course, Leipzig is superior.

I don't see anything attractive in these odds  Cheesy Maybe I'll bet on BTTS in this game as it looks very logical given the performance of the teams and the odds are not the worst - 1,52 Or for the total, but most likely I will miss this match because there are more understandable games for me in the next round.

After today's Leipzig match, which they confidently won against Atalanta away, I changed my mind about BTTS  Grin Now this coefficient seems to me to be too small compensation for the risk. If this was a home match for Leipzig or they had at least one extra day to rest, then now the odds of 2.44 for Leipzig to win would completely suit me.
8850  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: April 14, 2022, 08:38:16 PM
PSG - Marseille could be one of the most important games of the season now. Maybe it is not very important for PSG as they are already in a safe condition. But it is very important for Marseille to maintain their current position. In case Rennes beat Monaco and PSG do the same to Marseille, then Rennes are going to take the second position. And this is a likely scenario to come true actually. But Rennes have a really tough job to do this week. Because Monaco are not an easy-to-beat opponent for them. Monaco won their last h2h in the league. But maybe Rennes can take advantage of their recent home performance (won last 5 home games) and win this one somehow.

It will be a very interesting match as PSG's opponent is more or less strong and will be very motivated. After two very big wins against outsiders, PSG will be able to show how strong they are with a strong opponent. I don’t know what to expect in this match (PSG may lose as I think) in terms of betting, maybe BTTS will be an adequate bet.
8851  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Europa League Discussion Thread on: April 14, 2022, 08:33:39 PM
There is still time to correct the situation. It only takes two goals to go into extra time and start over. But the fact is that those who praised Barcelona (unreasonably) are now very shocked and it's good if this is simple surprise and not regret about the bets made  Roll Eyes
It's a pity that Leipzig won against the backdrop of a referee error, but I would say that they deserved to win.
Barcelona had most of the ball possession in the first half with Frankfurt having just 31% of the first half ball possession, but Frankfurt had 5 shots on target while Barcelona had only 1 which is indicating how Barcelona strikers are not playing that good, second half can change but yet Frankfurt is having upper hand right now, I was thinking the match would favour Barcelona but it is going in the direction I wasn't predicting to happen.

It's not the attackers' problem. This is a problem with the outdated Tiki Taka tactics that Xavi is resurrecting. If you look at Barcelona's golden years (when Xavi himself played), you will see many of these matches where Barcelona supposedly had a huge advantage but the opponents played disciplined defensively and won (while having better shot stats).
By the way 0-3 and Barcelona this season remains without titles  Smiley
8852  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: April 14, 2022, 08:28:49 PM
Jude Bellingham who is 18 years old is indeed rumored to be returning to England after 3 big Premier League clubs wanted him. Man City,
Man United and Liverpool reportedly want to buy Bellingham at the end of this season, it is very natural that the 3 big clubs want Bellingham.
Because Bellingham experienced very rapid development with Dortmund, that's because Dortmund did not hesitate to put their trust
in Bellingham playing regularly in the Bundesliga. But like you said moving to a big club could destroy his career, because Bellingham is
still young not necessarily get the opportunity to play as much as he got when at Dortmund. Do not let Bellingham spend a lot of time on
the bench or even on loan to a small club. I think it's a good decision if Jude Bellingham stays with Dortmund for another 3 seasons,
so that Bellingham finds his best performance first and his expertise is really honed to the maximum.

There is truth in your words, but in a big club (really big) there are always games in which a young player can take part - after all, such clubs successfully perform in several tournaments at once and players of the main squad cannot play in all games. And I think that playing next to the great acting masters is very beneficial for a young football player. With all due respect to Borussia, it does not belong to the top clubs.
8853  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Champions League Discussion Thread -- 2021/22 Round of 16! on: April 14, 2022, 08:22:54 PM
Atlético 0 - 0 Manchester City

Atlético played as everyone predicted, but still City's advantage in the first game played its role. By the way, City are big trolls - in the second half they played according to Atlético's strategy and, if I'm not mistaken, they didn't hit a single shot on goal for the entire half, but at the same time they completely defended their own.

Liverpool 3 – 3 Benfica

Great game, thanks to Benfica for not giving up after the first match and showing such an extravaganza in the second - scoring three goals in Liverpool is a great achievement.
Champions League is indeed the best league in the world of football, can you imagine how the Quarter final ended, Both the two England teams that qualify today were very lucky to have registered goals in the first leg of not it will be very difficult today. I feel sad for Atlético Madrid because they fought for the spot but unfortunately they were unlucky.
We hope seeing them next season.

The beauty of the results is that in the semi-finals we will see two Spanish teams against two English teams. Maybe in both pairs, the British look like the favorites, but given that the Spanish teams have already knocked out several clear favorites to win the tournament, the result of this confrontation will be difficult to predict.
8854  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2022 FIFA World Cup in Qatar - UEFA Qualifiers on: April 14, 2022, 08:19:34 PM
I think that in this World Cup, Germany should not be able to reach the final.
I think England, Spain, Brazil and Argentina should be the main candidates to win this world cup.

Why England? Historically, they are the losers of every World Cup (except the one they won 100 years ago)  Grin
As for Brazil and Argentina, these teams almost never won the world championships that were not held at their longitude, this championship should rather belong to Europe if we take this factor into account. And Germany has a chance no worse than the rest of the favorites in my opinion.
8855  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Europa League Discussion Thread on: April 14, 2022, 07:45:53 PM
It looks like it is the end of the road for Barcelona in the Europa League. Because we are nearly at the end of the first half now and they are 0-2 behind Eintracht Frankfurt. Frankfurt are playing just as the first game and this is helping them a great deal. This time, they are not that clumsy about finishing up their attacks with goals. I don't know whether Barcelona can turn the game around at this point. They don't seem like they care about it so Frankfurt are very likely to advance.

There is still time to correct the situation. It only takes two goals to go into extra time and start over. But the fact is that those who praised Barcelona (unreasonably) are now very shocked and it's good if this is simple surprise and not regret about the bets made  Roll Eyes
It's a pity that Leipzig won against the backdrop of a referee error, but I would say that they deserved to win.
8856  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: Sportsbet.io 🎾 Monte Carlo Masters 🎾 Prediction Contest (Round 3) on: April 14, 2022, 07:11:35 PM
a) 5 b) 1:25
8857  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: Sportsbet.io "UFC on ESPN 34 Multi Master Challenge" (Saturday) on: April 14, 2022, 07:09:16 PM
14. Vicente Luque
13. Gadzhi Omargadzhiev
12. Miguel Baeza
11. Mayra Bueno Silva
10. Pat Sabatini
9. Ange Loosa
8. William Knight
7. Pannie Kianzad
6. Drakkar Klose
5. Jesse Ronson
4. Martin Buday
3. Jordan Leavitt
2. Istela Nunes
1. Heili Alateng
8858  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: Sportsbet.io ⚽ FA Cup Quarter-Finals 🏆 Competition (Apr 16) on: April 14, 2022, 07:02:22 PM
1. Liverpool - 2:1
2. Chelsea - 3:1

Sportsbet username: KTChampions
8859  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Champions League Discussion Thread -- 2021/22 Round of 16! on: April 13, 2022, 09:15:12 PM
Atlético 0 - 0 Manchester City

Atlético played as everyone predicted, but still City's advantage in the first game played its role. By the way, City are big trolls - in the second half they played according to Atlético's strategy and, if I'm not mistaken, they didn't hit a single shot on goal for the entire half, but at the same time they completely defended their own.

Liverpool 3 – 3 Benfica

Great game, thanks to Benfica for not giving up after the first match and showing such an extravaganza in the second - scoring three goals in Liverpool is a great achievement.
8860  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2022 FIFA World Cup in Qatar - UEFA Qualifiers on: April 13, 2022, 08:16:50 PM
The fact that Asian teams (for example, South Korea) have shown phenomenal progress in the last 20 years is undeniable, but everything is known in comparison and Europe also did not stand still at this time. Therefore, even with the increase in the level of teams from this region, the actual gap in the class has not changed much, it seems to me. I think that having got into the group with Germany and Spain, Japan can only rely on the mistakes of these teams, but not at all on "its own strengths". I will certainly write this outcome in my betting calendar - it seems to me that it will be a easy +20%.
If South Korea could beat Germany four years ago I think Japan can have a go against Spain or Germany too. Just probably, most football fans are clearly underestimating Japan because obviously we can't compare the level of football in Europe to that of Asia but again football is a team sport and the team that seemingly want it more always come up on top after 90 minutes. I don't think Japan can top that group but I would give them a chance to qualify as runner-up.

The question is not whether Japan can succeed in such a group or not - of course it can (even Macedonia can knock Italy out of the World Cup sometimes). The question is the validity of the odds on which you can bet. Personally, I consider these odds profitable and will bet when the time comes. But that doesn't mean I don't believe in Japan at all - maybe five out of a hundred tries they can succeed, but the current odds suggest they can succeed in 16 out of a hundred attempts. I don't agree with this.
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