How can you know beyond 50-60% estimations, at best?  Unless you are a pretty BIG whale, and even whales might not really be able to know with a lot of certainty - except knowing that they have x number of bitcoins and y amount of cash strategically placed in various locations where x might be in the arena of 10k to 30k coins and y might be similar equivalents in cash such as $100million to $400million.**

**Would my hypothetical numbers be enough to constitute a whale?  Maybe a small sized one?  or a bare minimum entry-level whale?  I hypothesize that if a baby whale strategically places some value, then such whale could get the BTC price to move with relatively low amounts of liquidity - but being able to sustain any kind of BTC price movement probably takes quite a bit more than baby whale levels of value.. maybe 10x more value than my hypothetical entry-level whale?  

When are you going to start?  Soon?  Have you started already?  I did a quick glance at your recent forum posts, and there are NOT too many that are getting posted within bitcoin specific topics.  Sure, you have some, but not a lot.  You have many recent posts in the altcoin and gambling sections, and it does seem that you have more posts in the bitcoin sections in recent times as compared with the beginning of your more than 2.5 years of forum posting history.

One thing is saying and another thing is doing, and one basic step that any person can take is to merely start to engage in Dollar cost averaging investing in bitcoin, even modest amounts on investment into bitcoin on a regular basis - such as even $10 per week.. and that will get you to regularly be investing into bitcoin and thereafter likely paying more attention to bitcoin specifically, and perhaps even motivate you to get involved in a variety of bitcoin related discussions that are connected with your investment into bitcoin.

Probably there are more bitcoin talk members who have sendable merits and are willing to send their smerits when they see your posts and your contributions in bitcoin-related discussion threads.

Sure, like you mentioned, erikoy, if you are spending a lot of time posting about bounty campaign crap or spending time in the gambling or the altcoin section, members who have smerits that they can send might browse through your posting history and NOT want to send you any of their smerits.  Perhaps?

That is a bit of a strange average purchase price that kind of struck me when I punched it in my calculator (no, I did not do it in my head).


$425,000,000 total purchase price / 38,250 BTC acquired = $11,111,11 (average purchase price) - Science and maths?


Also, just for shits and giggles.  

38,250 total acquired BTC / 21,000,000 total supply BTC = .182143 % of total BTC supply

Science?

Maths?


Don't you know that guys like SwayStar make money no matter what?  Even if there was only some kind of small window, they some how figure out how to retroactively disclose how they had made money in order that our confidence is inspired in them.

Another 21,000?  That's a guess.      

I don't see it.

Largely, the BTC price has been moving up for the past week from the low of $9,825 on 9/8, and got us to $10,838, just 5 hours ago...

And sure we had a bit of a correction from $10,571 to $10,215 two days ago on 9/13... but hey.. where are we at now?  bouncing between $10,640 and $10,838 for the past 18 hours..

I would hardly label our current price location as any definitive sideways move, yet... way too early to know or to say... "shucks, it stopped".. whine whine whine...      

Sure 24 hours might give us a wee bit of a better picture upon where we are at... and sure we might still be here, and we might go down and we might go up... that looks like a 33/33/33 to me rather than leaning towards any particular outcome, as I type.

The $10,838 price was a high price from just 5 hours ago, so we just got here.. why cannot we enjoy a bit instead of whining that it stopped?

Furthermore,  we had not seen that level of high price since 9/3.. so seems to be a good thing, and at the current moment, the BTC price seems as if it is in a kind of UP inclination for more than anything.. but, hey, yeah, sure, the UP movement could stop at any moment.. maybe 33/33/33, and that is in the range of expectations that there could be stop of upwards movement when the price had not been here for 12 days.. go figure?

Nothing really to say that the price going up actually stopped or that it is going to stop, and still, we seem to continue to bounce around at a kind of top end of an uncertain price range, as I type.   Stop will it?  maybe 33/33/33 or some close variant of that I will proclaim as another one of those soothsayer wannabes.  

You are taking all the fun out of doing the work from scratch.

Whoaza!!! 

I am feeling muchos MOAR buddenings of warm and fuzzie tingilies #nohomo finding out no miner left uncalculated, whether s/he, [they](sic), it be block winner or no.   




I am glad that this back and forth brainstorming session seems to be working towards identifying the problem (which therefore should lead to potential solutions).

In other words, the problem does not appear to be internal to you, Searing.  It's either las chiquitas or perhaps there is some kind of application that you would be able to apply towards solving such real world issues.

In other words, you should be able to employ some of your BTC towards obtaining some kind of remedy, such as a powder, oil or pheromone that causes las chiquitas to magnetize towards you rather than against you... changing the gravitation field or otherwise moving celestial bodies, if you get what I am saying...  (Disclaimer: Surely, don't go full bill cosby on us, only a mild form of bill cosby (Pg-13 form), if necessary, will do).  

Check back in with the WO brainstormers (advisors) once you have acquired such products (not the snake-oil ones) and attempted applying such solutions towards one or more real life chiquitas.  There might be a movie in this.

No need to worry.  We are in good hands since homer is working on it.  

He is quite detail orientated.  

If anyone can get the job done, that would be xhomerx10.  


Well.  I tried talking you out of it, but you seem determined.  

Difficult to stop the distribution and disturbation of a potentially great and purportedly short essay, whose time has come.

We know that the claims are getting into meaningful territory when we get down to comparative avatar analysis. 

I have had similar assessments of my character based on my avatar, too. 

As a step in the right direction, I recommend something like this for Vod:

Ok.  get working on it, homberblomber... longhandedly, hopefully, you will complete your no-stone-left-unturned calculations on or before the next halvening...... right around the same time that friends1980 finishes reading this whole thread, while submitting his report back to us.    




FTFY  

No.... don't do it.




Why would any of us give any shits, unless we believe there were some better coin?  proof of stake, perhaps?   or some kind of amorphous, distracting and misleading SJW nonsense like that?

We (royal we, por supuesto) are quite gleefully delighted for your clarification to be writing from our dear lord's "current year," since none of us in this here thread should tolerate any other means / mode of interacting with interweb avatars (potential aliens).... wwwwweeeeeee.

Well, I am glad that you are attempting to assure than many of us do NOT lose sight of more enduring long-term life purposes, including that if some of us might not adequately appreciate the power of our seemingly likely (if not already achieved) upcoming nuevo richie status. 

Of course not.  None of us would want to settle down with any kind of girl like that.  Surely, it wouldn't be good.

I am a bit confused about the ambiguity of the nostradamus wannabe-ism(s) within your haiku.

Would you be suggesting (or would I say wannabe soothsaying?) that BTC prices are going to be around 10x higher in 15 months, or would you be suggesting that we are going to be able to purchase corn for 10x cheaper in 15 months? 

I am thinking the former rather than the later, but seems to me that your wordiology could reasonably be interpreted in either direction.

Even though you seem to be employing a bit of a strange (unique) kind of technical analysis (bart-focused), you could be in the ballpark of correct this time around.  Perhaps?

It seems to me that throughout this thread, several of us have been attempting to answer that question by suggesting a combination of personal BTC buying strategies to attempt to deal with the issue of how much of a BTC price dip is enough to buy, and personally I doubt that there are very many normies who can actually identify when a dip is over or how much of a dip to wait for in each correction period.

Many of us have suggested both identifying your own budget and buying regularly (such as DCAing) as a supplement to buying on dip.  Several of us have also suggested to NOT get too worked up regarding if you get the bottom of the dip, but just to buy regularly and to buy at various points within the dip, even if you may well not end up coming even close to maximizing how much BTC that you get, but if you are in a BTC accumulation stage of your investment (that you have personally established BTC accumulation goals for yourself, in terms of how much you want to accumulate), then with the passage of time, you will likely come out ahead with the value of your BTC even if you might run out of money from time to time because the BTC dip goes lower than you expected and lasts longer than you expected. 

Of course, there are no guarantees, but we have seen that BTC does still seem to be quite a great asymmetric bet to the upside, so in that regard, accumulating BTC is likely be a great practice as long as you have a long enough investment time horizon... such as having a time horizon that is 4 years or longer from any time that you purchase additional BTC.

In other words, I doubt that many of us here are expecting to be able to time anything close to any exact BTC price bottom, and many of us appreciate that the better longer term strategies continue to involve just buying BTC regularly, and doing your best in terms ballpark guessing in terms of buying the dip without necessarily getting obsessed with whether you had correctly gotten (or guessed) the exact bottom of any dip... it is not necessary to buy on any extremes of dips in order to become greatly profitable and successful with your BTC investment so long as you have a decently long and ongoing investment horizon.  At the same time, of course, there are going to be some personal variability in terms of circumstances, too, that can attempted to be accounted for and adapted to figure out if the accumulation of BTC would be a good plan and practice within your own personal situation.

Yes, it appears that my excitement from a few days ago has been reached (and breached) with a breaking above $10,600 in the past 45 minutes.

Good to see.  Good to see.  We have not been here in the supra $10,600 range for 11 days, and there were moments, even in the past 24 hours that closing in the red on the weekly candle or even closing below $10k on the daily were easily within reach (within a few percentage) - but alas, did not pass.

Accordingly, we are back to a hopium statement that 4 digit BTC prices might never be possible again. Perhaps?  Perhaps?  Poor lil no coiners and precoiners who failed/refused to buy.. in the four digits, and we spent a lot of time there in the past three years... more time than some of us would have preferred, that's for sure.  

Of course, the longer that we are above $10k, the more comfortable we can become that 4 digits might be over forever and ever.

A couple of months ago (in the end of July), when we got back into this particular supra $10k streak, my assertion was that we would likely need to get above $13,880 before I would start to feel confident that 4 digits would be over, forever.  

Of course, we can look at the charts, and we can see that we did make it to $12,473 on August 17, and that was not quite enough of a high price in order to ensure that sub $10k prices would not be within striking distance, and surely we also know that a 50% to 60% price dip can even come within a bull run, and our recent correction ONLY reached as low as $9,825, which could have been characterized as a 27% price dip, at best, at its extremes.

Currently, I am thinking that the threshold of confidence for asserting that 4 digits are most likely to be over forever and ever, may have come down a wee bit - even though I don't have any kind of exact number in mind that I can proclaim with confidence..... point being is that the longer that we have these supra $10k BTC prices, even in the $11ks and $12ks, the more solid the bottom likely becomes with such passage of time and the more difficult for the bearwhales to drop king daddy prices down below $10k (even if such bearwhales are going to continue to exist at these here seemingly and relatively bargain prices).

Dreaming of $1million per BTC or $1million total stash value?

$1 million per BTC may take 2 or 3 cycles more.. so maybe 6 years at best, but more realistically, maybe 10-14 years to really have a bottom, such as the 200 week moving average, that is at $1million.

Reaching a stash that is at $1million is a lot more reachable, but $1million would hardly give any kind of meaningful status of richness - although $1million would work for quite a few normies - especially since there is a lot of problems all over the world in terms of being able to accumulate even bare minimum levels of wealth. 

Many normies have difficulties holding onto a liquid $1k in value - let alone having $1million and being able to keep their grubby little paws off of such investment portfolio while it is growing to reach that $1million or whatever level of value...  Many normies will get tempted along the way to pull a bit of value out, here and there, along the way.  I really could use a better car than a used toyota (that is running well), the brand new mercedes would be nice.... blah blah blah... or it would be nice to go on that trip and stay in a nice hotel, I deserve a treat, blah blah blah.... or new furniture would be nicer than older looking furniture (especially having a BIG screen TV), blah blah blah.

I rarely type one word or even one sentence responses.

It does not seem to be very difficult to type an additional sentence or two in order to explain why you are responding or to say more than just "thank you." 

A poster can type "thank you" for that, and by the way, I noticed x, y and z, and also blah, blah, blah...

In that regard, the post would go from low value to potentially adding a little bit of value and substance to other potential readers.  Has not been very difficult to accomplish such fleshed out ideas or even fleshed out "thank you(s)", in my experience.