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1  Economy / Speculation / Re: Since NYSE invested so much in Coinbase, moon guaranteed, right? ...Right? on: March 05, 2015, 07:52:00 PM
I suspect VC investments have a high failure rate, but they just need to spread their net wide in the hopes of catching the big one.



Yep. My brother-in-law is a VC. Extremely low success rate (single digits), and winning investments take FOREVER to pay out. Incredibly stressful work.
2  Economy / Speculation / Re: Counter to "Why Bitcoin is dropping ...buying." AMA format / doomsday debunked on: January 07, 2015, 12:23:53 AM
Alright, why does any country that attempts to sell oil for anything but USD get bombed back into the stone age?

I'm not familiar with any countries that this happened to? Countries are free to transact in any fx they like. They choose the USD because of reasons posted in my previous post. Mainly, it's stable and widely accepted.

LOL. Childish nonsense. Look at the countries that the United States has wrecked in the immediate past (Iraq, Libya), and is currently rattling its sword against in one form or another (Iran, Syria, Russia, China, Venezuela). All have either attempted to start their own oil bourses, or have threatened to begin transacting for oil in other currencies. The only exception to this rule in recent history is Afghanistan, which is not a major oil consumer/producer, and was invaded for other geopolitical/strategic/economic reasons.

Military might and nuclear arsenal aside, the petrodollar is the engine of America's global economic domination. It essentially creates an endless loop of demand for U.S. dollars and U.S. debt, which allows the United States to print money endlessly, export its inflation abroad, and smash foreign economies on a whim by tinkering with oil prices, interest rates, and the overall U.S. money supply. Foreign countries, with no other choice but to obtain U.S. dollars in order to purchase the world's most precious commodity (oil), are forced to play this hopelessly rigged game.
3  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin going to zero - Karl Denninger Tickerforum.org on: September 14, 2014, 02:53:04 AM
I was banned yesterday by Denninger from his market-ticker site for a short statement that had a point of view different from him.

That over the top reaction tells me that he is either a very insecure person or just plain crazy.

Same here. I poked some rather large holes in one of his posts regarding 9/11... my post was deleted I was banned from the site. Can't handle a little legitimate criticism? What a fucking pussy.
4  Economy / Speculation / Re: Best way to understand Bitcoin price fluctation? Experts? Soothsayers? Anyone? on: September 10, 2014, 10:21:41 PM
One word: manipulation.
5  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Litecoin is officially dead on: August 13, 2014, 02:50:46 AM
This thread is really funny lol.

I'll also be laughing next year when I start seeing the "I sold Litecoin at $5 feel bad for me" posts. There is a lot of misinformation here and little substance.

It's beginning to look like all of the weak hands have been shaken out... Good riddance. Bubble time soon. Smiley
6  Economy / Speculation / Re: Winklevoss Bitcoin ETF effect in price on: July 10, 2014, 09:50:10 PM
I don't know jack about traditional Wall Street mumbo jumbo, but I read today that the Winky ETF is modeled after the GLD fund – which set records by attracting over a $billion in new investment in just 3 days. Obviously that's a pretty lazy comparison, but consider this: Bitcoin represents an entirely new asset class. Lots of institutions and investors will want to get in on this on the ground floor, whether they support or even understand virtual currencies at all. Once the general public sees how much easy money can be made, money will start pouring in. IMO the ETF is the next big step for bitcoin and it will likely be the spark for the next bubble...

If $1 billion came in the first 3 days of the COIN, how many bitcoins would have to be purchased on the market?

I could be wrong, but I remember reading that there was something like a 1:5 leverage ratio, so divided by $620 (price today) and divided by 5, it's about 307,000 coins.

Another way to look at it would just be to take $1 billion divided by the 12,000,000 mined coins and that comes to about $83 per coin.  

Or that the current market capitalization would be about $8 billion, so you're adding 12.5%.  It probably ain't the moon.  And that's not even considering whether or not a bitcoin ETF would be as attractive as gold, which it might well not be.

I'd welcome it, but I don't think it's going to pay for my daughter's college or anything.

Hmmm, very interesting. While your analysis certainly makes sense fundamentally... never underestimate speculative mania. Smiley
7  Economy / Speculation / Re: Winklevoss Bitcoin ETF effect in price on: July 10, 2014, 09:30:38 PM
I don't know jack about traditional Wall Street mumbo jumbo, but I read today that the Winky ETF is modeled after the GLD fund – which set records by attracting over a $billion in new investment in just 3 days. Obviously that's a pretty lazy comparison, but consider this: Bitcoin represents an entirely new asset class. Lots of institutions and investors will want to get in on this on the ground floor, whether they support or even understand virtual currencies at all. Once the general public sees how much easy money can be made, money will start pouring in. IMO the ETF is the next big step for bitcoin and it will likely be the spark for the next bubble...
8  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Whats up with LTC? on: July 10, 2014, 04:25:06 AM
Why did the Coblee decide to keep the vanilla scrypt algo and let Litecoin go to the ASICs anyway? I read his post with his supposed explanation, but the logic was so weak that it almost seems like he would have more to gain by letting this happen. The justification was just odd and went against the one of the primary, if not the primary goal of Litecoin.

Coblee could care less. He has already made his money off Litecoin.
Litecoin was interesting at some point, but now its just another coin with hardly any redeeming features. As an investor why would you even bother with it when you can easily get Bitcoin.

You would bother with it because the model of LTC and BTC has followed a path of one going on a downtrend and the other an uptrend. Theen it reverses. You make money, or BTC or LTC, when you play the two positions. This is how you turn a handful of BTC into 50 BTC, or a handful of LTC into 1000 LTC.

Look at the charts.

Disclaimer: Yes, we may be in a new paradigm, but so far there is no evidence to suggest that. LTC is not behaving typically.

Shhhhh.... don't tap the aquarium. Smiley
9  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Litecoin is officially dead on: July 07, 2014, 05:54:07 AM
And yet a coin like Bitmark(https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=660544.0) has managed to get an scrypt coin codebase going based off the latest version of Bitcoin in less than a month with one unfunded developer? Wow. 300 mil market cap sure bought a whole lot of nothing. Sad
Alt coins are products. Copying some code is merely the first step in the long process of creating a viable product; it's meaningless without marketing, distribution, market penetration, consumer adoption, etc. Litecoin is light years ahead of its competition in all of these areas. This is the real world, not some college tech lab.

Quote
Why aren't Litecoin holders more angry at this point? Why hasn't there been a mutiny or something to save the coin?

There's nothing to "save." Litecoin is perfectly fine. Being so price-obsessed misses the point. Litecoin will rebound, skyrocket, and then wither again... rinse, repeat. Not an interest/investment for the faint of heart, or for short-term thinkers. Price matters, but we're in the early days of a paradigm-shifting technology – shit's going to be uncertain, and extremely volatile, for a long ass time.
10  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Litecoin is officially dead on: July 07, 2014, 05:42:48 AM
And yet a coin like Bitmark(https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=660544.0) has managed to get an scrypt coin codebase going based off the latest version of Bitcoin in less than a month with one unfunded developer? Wow. 300 mil market cap sure bought a whole lot of nothing. Sad
Quote
Alt coins are products. Copying some code is merely the first step in the long process of creating a viable product; it's meaningless without marketing, distribution, market penetration, consumer adoption, etc. Litecoin is light years ahead of its competition in all of these areas. This is the real world, not some college tech lab.

Quote
Why aren't Litecoin holders more angry at this point? Why hasn't there been a mutiny or something to save the coin?

There's nothing to "save." Litecoin is perfectly fine. Being so price-obsessed misses the point. Litecoin will rebound, skyrocket, and then wither again... rinse, repeat. Not an interest/investment for the faint of heart, or for short-term thinkers. Price matters, but we're in the early days of a paradigm-shifting technology – shit's going to be uncertain, and extremely volatile, for a long ass time.
11  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Service Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: Cryptsy.com USD markets now open. Come trade with us today! US based. on: July 07, 2014, 05:05:02 AM
Cryptsy.com now has BTC/USD, DOGE/USD, DRK/USD, FTC/USD, and LTC/USD trading for verified accounts.

US customer current deposit options:
  • Check
  • Cashiers Check

International customer deposit options:
  • Egopay

Deposit options will be expanded over the coming months. Get VERIFIED today!


Current Crypto coin USD trading pairs:
BTC, DOGE, DRK, FTC, and LTC more coming soon!

Ummm... so what are the USD withdrawal options, my friend?
12  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Is Litecoin really really cheap right now? Or is it dying? on: July 07, 2014, 05:01:58 AM
it's all fine. I am buying and holding for 80$
Take btc-chart and LTC chart and LTC/BTC - chart longtime lay on top of each other and make some analysis.

Sounds to me like you'll do just fine, smalltimer. Just keep in mind that your target price might prove to be a bit conservative, and use your analysis to find the best cash out window. Because that bubble peak will come and go so fast it'll make your head spin.  Wink
13  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Is Litecoin really really cheap right now? Or is it dying? on: July 07, 2014, 04:55:07 AM
This has happened before but that's not how it always works. LTC might me one of the most reputable altcoins but it has been pointed out before that it's hard for it to compete with all those next gen ones. I don't see it dying at any time, but I believe other coins would have a greater benefit from a bitcoin uptrend.

I'll take litecoin's market cap, liquidity, name recognition, and availability on multiple exchanges over any alt coin, regardless of its bells and whistles, EVERY DAY OF THE WEEK (and twice on Sundays). From a business/market perspective, these traits are a thousand times more important than the latest "innovation" of the day.
14  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Is Litecoin really really cheap right now? Or is it dying? on: July 07, 2014, 04:49:54 AM
first, there is no such thing as gold and silver in crypto's, you should check why ppl are investing in physical gold/silver in the first place.

It's, uh, a metaphor.

Quote

second, you should check the recent charts for btc/ltc and you will see that ltc in fact does not follow btc.


I don't think you quite understood that chart, lol. It precisely defines the current relationship between the two coins. They follow each other, but the ratio of relative values changes over time – it's not a simple constant relationship.
15  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Litecoin is officially dead on: July 06, 2014, 12:02:51 AM
Charlie Lee has worked for Coinbase over a year and he can't even convince his superiors to adopt Litecoin, what does that tell you.

It tells me they can't find a counterparty they trust enough to regularly supply them with enough litecoin to get that segment of their business running. Lee has openly admitted that they're still two years behind bitcoin, development-wise – obviously this includes exchange infrastructure.
16  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Litecoin Is NOT Dead (It Is Just Dying A Slow Death) on: July 05, 2014, 08:51:25 PM
I've posted in other threads that as BTC continues to make the transition from "underground" to "mainstream" (more adoption every day, more wall st. types involved every day, etc.) there is going to be a void. With more acceptance will come more scrutiny & regulation. People who (have) used BTC to buy pot, buy guns, send money across the globe for whatever reason will (at some point) shy away from BTC due to the above.

There needs to be a legit alternative to BTC that is viable. Will it be LTC? My guess is likely not. I just don't see a whole lot from the LTC community in terms of evolution and innovation of the coin.

Which coin is it? No idea, but there are only a handful (if that) that could emerge that are bringing either actual innovation to the table or have a legit community behind it (not going to name names)... but I don't think it will be an IPO coin or a POS coin that proves to be viable long-term.



This is like the most used reason on why LTC will not "succeed".

Since when does innovation = success and only then?

Ford was an innovator...but along came Toyota, Honda, Kia...etc. They weren't very innovative as they basically copied the idea and layout.

Now had Toyota or the others came up with the idea of the airplane ...now that is innovative. But it didn't require innovation to be successful.



Exactly. All of these people talking about "innovation" are just clueless, they're enamored with shiny new toys rather than business fundamentals. In order for mainstream adoption to happen the masses first need to understand bitcoin. They don't yet. Any and all alt coin "innovation" outside of the simple elegance of bitcoin is completely lost on the vast majority of people who might eventually propel cryptos into the mainstream. At this point any innovation above and beyond the block chain and the bitcoin protocol is simply pretty packaging to lure pump and dumpers.

Litecoin has name recognition, market penetration, and superior liquidity due to its market cap and its availability across a wide variety of exchanges. This puts it in an infinitely more stable place, from a business perspective, to succeed than any shitcoin. It's years ahead of the competition. But more importantly, LTC IS THE NATURAL TRADING PARTNER TO BITCOIN, which is the market leader in a completely brand new tech space.

You wanna make real money trading cryptos? Ignore the shitcoins and focus on understanding the relationship between BTC and LTC. There's a shocking amount of money to be made there if you're smart and patient and don't get caught up trying to day trade your way to riches.

17  Economy / Speculation / Re: NEW upload! - posting of chart analysis for BTC, LTC on: June 09, 2014, 05:37:24 PM
Hey dirkk, thanks for the TA. Just out of curiosity, what do you make of that massive volume spike on Huboi that barely budged the price?

There appear to be some rather large players on BTC-e who are constraining the range of LTC price movements – there's that massive $100k floor that's been slowly eaten away at .0171 (LTC/BTC), and there's also been another whale holding a semi-permanent ceiling at 11.2 (LTC/USD). My initial impression is that price is being capped so some big players can accumulate without moving the price... What's your read on the situation?
18  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: HELP! I cann't withdraw money or any cryptocurrency from CoinMKT on: March 31, 2014, 08:41:05 PM
FWIW I was able to withdraw LTC just last week. I got a pop-up that said "withdrawals are disabled" (or something to that effect), but when I checked my wallet later the transaction had actually gone through.

If memory serves all USD withdrawals have been suspended for a while now, and wire or ACH deposits (can't remember which) have been promised but never delivered. It's too bad these guys can't get their act together because the U.S. market is ripe for a decent exchange.
19  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: When is CampBX going to support bank ACH deposits? on: December 10, 2013, 11:25:01 PM
CampBX has been very closely tracing Coinbase's price now for some days. I've never seen it follow another exchange so closely. My theory is that their ACH beta testers have been arbitraging any inefficiency out of the price...

I think you're getting warm... pure speculation here, but let's piece together the available information:

Dwolla – BX's primary method of deposit – has been gone for nearly 2 months, and with it, likely a huge percentage of their transaction fees (revenue). They've got to be hurting pretty bad financially.

However, despite deposit options drying up, we've seen the BTC price on BX rise to the point where it's nearly on par with other exchanges (a rarity), along with a noticeable increase in transaction volume and market depth. And yet, we're hearing story after story about delayed/missing deposits/withdrawals. How is all of this trading occurring on BX if everyone's money is in limbo?

On its face, this makes no sense... unless you consider this angle: Perhaps the folks running BX – and not these mysterious "beta-testers" (who may or may not actually exist) – are using this new ACH deposit system TO ARBITRAGE THE HELL OUT OF CUSTOMER FUNDS in order to stay afloat? This explains everything – the stall tactics, the missed deadlines, the delayed deposits/withdrawals, the price/volume oddities...

Tread carefully, folks.
20  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Dwolla stops support for virtual currencies on: October 10, 2013, 10:35:30 PM
I don't live in the States and so I am not intimately familiar with how Dwolla works, so what makes them special? How are they different from other payment systems like Paypal? Why can't a Bitcoin company replicate their success?

My understanding is that they operate outside of the traditional banking system – they're essentially in the process of setting up their very own financial payments network. Not sure of the actual nuts and bolts, but part of their mission is to provide super-cheap transactions, because in their most basic form, financial transactions are simply exchanges of data. Anything under $10 is free, and anything over – even millions – is only $.25.

This is really a bummer for those of us in the States. Dwolla rocks.
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