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1  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Transaction to Price correlation on: April 26, 2019, 09:24:16 AM
If you are a holder since 2015, I can assume then that the big jump of 2017 happened for you without enough skill to sell at least a fraction of your bitcoins, perhaps believing that the price would grow well beyond the 20K barrier.

Therefore, I think I should not be too enthusiastic about your predictions, unless you prove that you were able to predict this great fall observed throughout 2019.

Yes you are correct, like most people at the time i knew things were getting out of hand and growing too quick in late 2017; as they say once your taxi driver asks you about bitcoin and where they can get some you know its time to get out! But accurately predicting the top is completely impossible, i thought at 12K it was getting fairly near and then of course we went all the way to 20K. At this point when it dropped a bit i thought maybe it would correct back to 14K and then climb back up again. Hindsight is always great but anyone who says they could have called the top and the subsequent year long fall from grace is obviously deluded.

Would be nice to think i could have sold 50 coins at this point and then bought them back in December for a cool 850K profit but you should never dwell on what could have been its what is going to happen that's important.

My strategy has always been a long term holder as i ultimately believe in the concept, of course its probably just as likely to correct to 3K as it is to break 6K within a few weeks but that's the fun of crypto investing.

If i wanted as easy ride i would hold coca-cola shares or invest in government bonds.
2  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Transaction to Price correlation on: April 25, 2019, 12:35:24 PM
Interesting to see the golden cross yesterday and the correlation between daily transactions and current price, which has just gone over 1M transactions per day for the first time. The last time it was near this high was when prices where over 10,000 USD. Now it is showing the price lagging behind the usage.

Also seems to be far more optimism in general all around the industry.

Don't want to necessarily call it but to me it seems like we are in for a nice gentle bull run all the way back to record levels.

My prediction for what its worth is 6K within the next few days, 8K within the next month and then breaking the important 10K barrier within 3 months.

Long term i'm still thinking 48K by 2022.

I have been a hodlr since 2015 with a modest holding so i do have a vested interest, not trying to hype it but just putting my opinion forward for what its worth, based on my belief in crypto as the new era in digital money and store of value.
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