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1  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: August 29, 2025, 11:13:29 PM
Persistence pays off.  

Thanks for running your node.  All said, you may well had done more than $20k in labor (as your hobby), plus the capital you put up with equipment and with BTC.

Happy to be of service. I never expected making any profits out of this. As long as it covers my expenses, I'm happy. The rest is just a bonus.

Heading abroad next week for a couple of months of vacation.  Leaving my node for an extended time always makes me wary, but it should be fine (last time I was abroad I had to explain to my mom on a video call how to restart the server after a power outage)...

@hisslyness Sorry for closing our channel. I was just trying to take advantage of the LOOP activity, making me close channels where funds were all on my side. I'll re-open a 8M sats channel
2  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: August 22, 2025, 12:26:59 AM
A little update on my Lightning Network venture.

My node has been running close to 3 years now. During that time, I've routed over 500 btc.

Here's some stats for the past 90 days



For the past 30 days I'm 0.009 btc in profits and in 90 days it's at 0.067 btc.

So is it fair to say n 1000 days and 500 routed btc made you over 0.200?..

IF SO IS it close to 0.5 btc

That would be around 1/1000 of 500 coins

While 0.2 would be 1/2500 of 500 coins.

I know you have an active ln node

Well, not really. The past 6 months have been far more active than the first two years.

F*ck it, full disclosure. Here's the stats of the node's lifetime



Total profit is 0.162 btc, as you can see in the graph.  However, as you can see, most of the profit is made in the past 6 months. LN activity is growing.
3  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: August 21, 2025, 11:34:49 PM
A little update on my Lightning Network venture.

My node has been running close to 3 years now. During that time, I've routed over 500 btc.

Here's some stats for the past 90 days



For the past 30 days I'm 0.009 btc in profits and in 90 days it's at 0.067 btc.
4  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: August 21, 2025, 10:53:15 PM
What's up fam, it's been a while.

I've treated myself (that's the WO-sign we used a few years back, right?).



Nice!

I am really happy for you! You deserve this 100%

Can't go wrong with a Porsche! Which model did you get?

Thanks!

It's a Macan.

I use it as my main/family car. We're are a small family of three, so it fits us perfectly.

I really love this car, Porsche is something else.
5  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: August 16, 2025, 12:13:35 AM
What's up fam, it's been a while.

I've treated myself (that's the WO-sign we used a few years back, right?).

6  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 24, 2025, 11:24:27 PM
I bought a new domain for my LN node btw -- pleb.channel. At the moment, it's redirecting to my old meme url goblin-no.de, but whenever I have some time, I might do something useful with it. Ideas are welcome.
7  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 24, 2025, 11:13:50 PM
Another month is coming to an end in the Lightning realm.

This month has been something else. I've never experienced anything like it during my 3 years of running a routing node.

May 14th was particularly crazy. I routed ~7 btc on that day, with about 5 btc alone on my channel with LOOP. I have a 1 btc channel with them, and it kept getting drained at ~3500-4000 ppm, while I was able to rebalance the channel at about 2500-3000 ppm. Here is an example from my telegram bot (all these forwards happened instantaneously).
Quote
💰 Forwarded 0.12192240 Kraken 🐙⚡️ → LOOP. Earned 0.00043806 0.36% (3593)
💰 Forwarded 0.24334431 bfx-lnd0 → LOOP. Earned 0.00087432 0.36% (3593)
💰 Forwarded 0.24384481 LNBϟG [Edge-2] → LOOP. Earned 0.00087612 0.36% (3593)

Before the day was over, I was over 1M sats in profit. Looking at my node's previous performance, I made about 3 months profit in one day.

The traffic slowed down somewhat after that, but this month has still been out of the ordinary. The APY this month on the btc I've tied up on my node is 6%. That's pretty wild. Here are my statistics for the past month.



Let's break down the numbers. During the last 30 days, I've routed ~50 btc. My revenue is 0.12 btc and I've paied 0.089 btc in rebalancing my channels, making a profit of 0.031 btc.

However, during all my years of routing, the APY is on a more moderate level of 0.6%.
8  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 18, 2025, 05:03:48 AM
Also...

SAY MY NAME.

Jazz. Hello?

cAPS, I'm really happy you're posting again. Gives me a reason to visit, please don't stop.
9  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 16, 2025, 01:09:02 PM
Our new vacation home is taking shape.



It's amazing what 0.5 btc will give you, considering what I paid for it back in the days.

Now it may sound cheap, but a decade from now, the same amount will probably be enough for a big mansion.

So, another half Bitcoin and you will have actual doors, windows, heating, electricity and flooring?
Not bad at all  Tongue Wink Grin

That's the final cost actually, including windows, AC, flooring and what not.

This is Thailand, so material and labor is very cheap compared to any western country.

Yeah, i was only joking. I thought the Emojis did emphasize this.
Really cheap. Is Thailand still safe, i mean a little more off big cities and/or touristic villages?
I always considered putting something up there, too, but i heard so many contrasting things.

Sorry, I'm a bit of a retard when it comes to understanding emojis and all that.

Thailand has been my 2nd home for the past 8 years. We have an apartment in Bangkok as well. During all my years there, I have never felt unsafe walking alone late at night. I feel much safer there than I do in my home country (Sweden).

The traffic on the other hand, that's where I should be worried. The risk of getting in a traffic accident is like 10x higher than my home country. My brother-in-law nearly got killed a couple of years ago when he was rammed by a car while he was driving his motorbike.
10  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 16, 2025, 11:57:23 AM
Our new vacation home is taking shape.



It's amazing what 0.5 btc will give you, considering what I paid for it back in the days.

Now it may sound cheap, but a decade from now, the same amount will probably be enough for a big mansion.

So, another half Bitcoin and you will have actual doors, windows, heating, electricity and flooring?
Not bad at all  Tongue Wink Grin

That's the final cost actually, including windows, AC, flooring and what not.

This is Thailand, so material and labor is very cheap compared to any western country.
11  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 16, 2025, 10:29:26 AM
Our new vacation home is taking shape.



It's amazing what 0.5 btc will give you, considering what I paid for it back in the days.

Now it may sound cheap, but a decade from now, the same amount will probably be enough for a big mansion.
12  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 11, 2025, 12:18:37 AM
With lettuce.🥬

also tomatoes 🍅

wow we were dancing near 105k nice work that sandwich will be tasty 😋

We're above $100k, you gotta add beef to that sandwich.
13  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 09, 2025, 07:44:14 PM
lets make a guess

closest call crossing 100k again

Next friday, May 9th

Damn, my guess was one day off. Anyway, happy $100k y'all.

Last time under $100k?
14  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 02, 2025, 08:19:07 PM
Regarding the Arizona bill, Governor Hobbs is known to veto most of the bills, let's not get our hopes up there.

Nvidia is new to me, do you have any sources?

The US selling gold to buy bitcoin -- I believe it when I see it.

Hobbs is an incompetent idiot, but she won’t alienate Bitcoiners by vetoing this bill. It’ll pass automatically on Monday. That’s what I’m expecting.

The Nvidia rumor is all over X. If there is no truth to it, they got a lot of folks to repeat it.

The rumor I’m reading is that the United States will revalue their gold to current prices giving them a $900 billion dollar increase on their books, which they will use to sell off $100 billion and invest in Bitcoin. I think the old multiple of an investment’s effect on market cap is 15? If so, this sends us to $170K this year by itself. Add in $10 billion in short covering, $50 billion in buying from Strategy, potentially $100 billion from other large companies, billions from other governments, retail, banks… You can see the path to $444K beginning to materialize. You crazy bastards are going to get rich!

Thanks for your insight. I've read up on the Nvidia rumors, that's huge if true. The US, even bigger. Interesting times.
15  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 01, 2025, 08:18:56 PM
lets make a guess

closest call crossing 100k again

Next friday, May 9th
16  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 01, 2025, 08:14:50 PM
So Nvidia is buying Bitcoin for its balance sheet and the United States is selling gold to buy Bitcoin. Arizona will create a strategic Bitcoin reserve in the next few days to start stacking Bitcoin, we’re 5% away from liquidating 8 billion dollars worth of shorts and GameStop is still accumulating their Bitcoin purchase. Sounds bullish.

Wait, what. This is extremely bullish.

Regarding the Arizona bill, Governor Hobbs is known to veto most of the bills, let's not get our hopes up there.

GameStop I agree with you, Ryan Cohen has been hinting this a long time.

Nvidia is new to me, do you have any sources?

The US selling gold to buy bitcoin -- I believe it when I see it.
17  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 01, 2025, 05:38:09 PM
Hey guys I made a fun bot that I might use for trading contests.

If anyone wants to try it out (for free - aka paper trading)
I would appreciate the testers and their feedback. Smiley

Telegram bot: @goldkingcoiners_bot

There are only 7 secret usernames, so reserve yours fast! First come first served!


Secret Usernames: goldfish, goldnugget, goldrush, goldmember, goldentoast, golddragon, goldofold


I'm in. I aped and went all-in. There's more steam in this train.

Yes! More testers plz!

Stack sats by flexing fake trades.
$100K paper USD against Live BTC prices. 7 seats only. Orange word = key.

Lol, this you?

We are not good at this....




Don't mind me, just stealing this. I am making it the face of my app lol.  Hope you don't mind?


Haha, yeah that's me. Give it some time, we'll be in the green soon.
18  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 01, 2025, 05:09:01 PM
Hey guys I made a fun bot that I might use for trading contests.

If anyone wants to try it out (for free - aka paper trading)
I would appreciate the testers and their feedback. Smiley

Telegram bot: @goldkingcoiners_bot

There are only 7 secret usernames, so reserve yours fast! First come first served!


Secret Usernames: goldfish, goldnugget, goldrush, goldmember, goldentoast, golddragon, goldofold


I'm in. I aped and went all-in. There's more steam in this train.
19  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 01, 2025, 04:13:30 PM


I also can't believe that I'm seriously considering switching to Knots. Considering the goofy number of nodes that I run, it's going to be a pain in the ass.



the luke-jr version?

i can see this may cost me a rabbit hole or two to figure out.

Yes, that version.

I used to run a knots node a couple of years back, but I switched back to core later. A bit worrisome running a node which code is only maintained by one(?) guy..

I'm a bit out of the loop, but I've seen this discussion taking up some of my X feed lately. I need to read up what this is all about.
20  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 01, 2025, 01:22:39 AM
The past few weeks in the LN space have been out of the ordinary, the forwards have been on steroids. Here are a few examples from the past couple of days

Quote
💰 Forwarded 0.20000000 bfx-lnd1 → fixedfloat.com. Earned 0.00055900 0.28% (2795)

Quote
💰 Forwarded 0.33503586 Kraken 🐙⚡️ → LOOP. Earned 0.00117028 0.35% (3493)

I'm over 1M sats in profits over the past 30 days, f*cking crazy.

edit: here it is
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