Bitcoin Forum
June 21, 2024, 06:31:37 AM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 27.0 [Torrent]
 
  Home Help Search Login Register More  
  Show Posts
Pages: [1]
1  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Continue my losing streak on: December 03, 2017, 07:29:08 PM
Everything what is happening is a result from your previous or future rolls. I had a 95 red streak at 10x, and when I checked the history- I rolled 750 times 90+ in 4000 rolls which is basically twice as much as the chance is...So you better be ready for 1000 red streak or quit it.
2  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Dice Games Rule of the Average Sum on: December 03, 2017, 05:59:47 PM
It seems like you are implying that casino's RNG tries to correct itself when it differs from the mean for long enough, but I have a hard time believing that, because that would create a very easy opportunity to get an edge for players, meaning that their expected value (EV) will turn into positive and they will be profiting from the game in a long run, while casino will be losing until they go bankrupt. So, either you have discovered a bug, or your sample size was actually too small to make such conclusions, and you are suffering from Gambler's Fallacy - thinking that the outcome has to flip to the opposite after a long streak of the same outcomes. Also, you shouldn't forget about the house edge - the game is not just higher than 50 or lower than 50, there is a dead spot somewhere it between 49 and 51 that will always be red.

Well- it is not the Gambler Fallacy- the numbers may have no memory, but a random generator does what is suppose to do- generate random numbers. You pull hundred thousand numbers from random.org for example and the average sum gonna be there. I don't believe it is a bug either. But as you say- the house edge is there.
3  Economy / Gambling discussion / Dice Games Rule of the Average Sum on: December 03, 2017, 04:55:04 PM
I have a theory related to dice sites, and how actually you can take advantage of it in reality. I have tested Primedice and actually it turns out that the rule of the average applies to it.
Briefly- in 20 thousand rolls your average sum number is more or less the same as in 500 rolls- Fifty (+-2%). And That is a Fact.  So, theoretically if you have couple of dozen of rolls which differ from the that average number (the law of the large numbers, I believe it is called) you know that this is going to change in order to compensate the average... What you don't know- is it going to be in the imminent future or it is going to be largely spread over time. However- analyzing your bet history might be interesting thing to consider, if you want to give your luck a little boost. And a smart script analyzing bet history would be an interesting thing.
4  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Need some gambling strategies on: November 27, 2017, 10:43:21 PM
I'm not sure what you mean about dice games. To me dice is 100% game of luck because there is nothing we can do anymore other than waiting for the result. So for me there is no strategy for dice games, so you do not need to waste time looking for strategy.
 
Dice games may look like a pure luck, but trust me- they are not. And the numbers we see as random- they are not. In the big picture you can win the game if you have enough resource to calculate properly. I call it "the theory of balance of numbers". If you roll xthousand bets from 1 to 1000, the average number you get at the end is 500+-5%. The low rolls are balancing the high numbers over time and vice versa. The trick is to catch that pattern. Ever wonder why after 50 usually is another 50ish? why usually after 80 is 20? This is not the rule, but you get my point. Even casinos can not beat the math if you read it properly. And fuck the house edge- it is only for players doing payout 2x. That has nothing to do with your game if you play 9x...
You are deceiving yourself, there is no pattern the casinos do not benefit from their games if there was a pattern that someone could decipher, the games are random in order to avoid any kind of strategy to work against them so you are just seeing what you want to see.
Ok, not going to prove you wrong or right. Just note, I am not talking about a strategy or pattern... Not giving you free answers either...
Well, no one asked for your strategy, I wish you luck and that you make a lot of money, but probabilities dictate that you were just lucky if you got any earnings and that at some point things are going to return to the mean which means your luck is going to run out.
All respect, but I am not talking about luck either. Winning is a well calculated risk, based on histogram. If the Provably Fair Games are a good random generator- then you stand a chance. Not facing twice in a row events which are not supposed to happen in zillion of rolls... PrimeDice - what are the chances to loose 10 rolls in a row at 50% chance? 0,1%... same as winning 10 rolls in a row... Do you believe that it took me 1000 tries to make this video- all in- faucet to 52k https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OdUHMMV96Ms
5  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Need some gambling strategies on: November 24, 2017, 07:56:37 PM
I'm not sure what you mean about dice games. To me dice is 100% game of luck because there is nothing we can do anymore other than waiting for the result. So for me there is no strategy for dice games, so you do not need to waste time looking for strategy.
 
Dice games may look like a pure luck, but trust me- they are not. And the numbers we see as random- they are not. In the big picture you can win the game if you have enough resource to calculate properly. I call it "the theory of balance of numbers". If you roll xthousand bets from 1 to 1000, the average number you get at the end is 500+-5%. The low rolls are balancing the high numbers over time and vice versa. The trick is to catch that pattern. Ever wonder why after 50 usually is another 50ish? why usually after 80 is 20? This is not the rule, but you get my point. Even casinos can not beat the math if you read it properly. And fuck the house edge- it is only for players doing payout 2x. That has nothing to do with your game if you play 9x...
You are deceiving yourself, there is no pattern the casinos do not benefit from their games if there was a pattern that someone could decipher, the games are random in order to avoid any kind of strategy to work against them so you are just seeing what you want to see.
Ok, not going to prove you wrong or right. Just note, I am not talking about a strategy or pattern... Not giving you free answers either...
6  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Need some gambling strategies on: November 24, 2017, 04:00:59 PM
There is a system. In all dice games applies the same rule. As I said before- numbers are looking for balance. Not going to explain in detail, just watch the short video I made- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VQI0r9In_ao&feature=youtu.be
7  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Need some gambling strategies on: November 23, 2017, 09:50:43 PM
I'm not sure what you mean about dice games. To me dice is 100% game of luck because there is nothing we can do anymore other than waiting for the result. So for me there is no strategy for dice games, so you do not need to waste time looking for strategy.
 
Dice games may look like a pure luck, but trust me- they are not. And the numbers we see as random- they are not. In the big picture you can win the game if you have enough resource to calculate properly. I call it "the theory of balance of numbers". If you roll xthousand bets from 1 to 1000, the average number you get at the end is 500+-5%. The low rolls are balancing the high numbers over time and vice versa. The trick is to catch that pattern. Ever wonder why after 50 usually is another 50ish? why usually after 80 is 20? This is not the rule, but you get my point. Even casinos can not beat the math if you read it properly. And fuck the house edge- it is only for players doing payout 2x. That has nothing to do with your game if you play 9x...
8  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Need some gambling strategies on: November 22, 2017, 06:46:56 PM
There are professional gamblers out there who are making a living out of these sites. There is plenty of fish to feed the gambling network up and running to compensate that...
Check for example the stats of the most high rollers/ PrimeDice/- most of them are on green. You see their high rolls but you don't see their low rolls. I am not certain, but 90% sure that most of them play low- just spinning the rolls until they reach a certain negative streak- let's say 10 reds on 49.5% chance. Then- they start betting serious. having enough bankroll to cover the next happenings. These are only assumptions, but not far from the truth I believe.
For me- being on the safe side- play payout x2, increase 5% on win, if you are lucky enough to get 10% increase on your bankroll- stop. Cannot win much, but cannot loose much either. At the same time keep an eye for negative flukes- like 30 bets no 90+,  or-10 times red or greens on 49.5%, and use those. Another hint- The most precious wins I made are actually repeating a certain low chance rolls- for example you hit 0.0x(multiply x990), while rolling something else, and you turn and bet to repeat that roll. For me is working well in about 90% of the tryouts. had a 0.00 and 30 rolls later I had the next one... but no Martingale, Fibonacci, or any other multiplying strategy...
 And for all of you wanting to try your strategies in a safe environment, you can use a very unknown site - https://xdndice.net/, which is actually pretty ok. Cannot win much there, but you can play with the free faucet for ever- it is like 50000 parts of xdn (which is nothing), and try your luck out.
And the most important hint- I don't know for strategies, but one thing for sure applies for dice gambling- Murphy's law rules  "Anything that can go wrong will go wrong".
9  Economy / Gambling / Re: BTCHEAT.COM IS ONLY A HOAX? on: November 06, 2017, 06:27:12 PM
Well, more or less I am in the same situation, like everyone else who is trying to squeeze some money from this faucet. At least for personal piece that I didn't totally waste my time.
I am at 86% withdrawal, and there is no more winnings even with thousands of spins. Obviously they are a scam site.
At the other hand I am wondering how they do it. I did try several things to 'cheat the cheater'- none of them worked. It is not the cookies that give them my ID- I deleted them during play, I modified them, I blocked them... It should be the script that tells the website- if balance>=??? win % =???. I deleted it, deleted all the external http addresses (it works until you refresh the page), and still in a non winning streak. As soon as I log in with low balance wallet- satoshies are coming... I am sure there should be a way to bypass the id recognition- because at the end it is just a way of communication between my browser and their server. I don't have the knowledge to do it- but some of the people here might figure out a way...

I don't understand what you were trying to accomplish by modifying stuff on your pc. This is a server-side driven game, they know all about your account, identified by your BTC address, it has the associated balance and they can drive the outcome of the spin by simple mathematical function on the balance. IN the most simple way they measure the distance betwenn 0.03 and you balance with asimple subtraction:

distance = 0.03 - balance

the smaller the distance, they make very small or null odds of winning, simple as that.
Ah, it is silly trying to change your ID during play, once you are logged... I understand that, I don't know what I was thinking..
Anyways it is a scam. Few payouts were made with commercial purposes, I believe. In the last 1000 rolls I hit one minimum payout, which is like 1E-21 chance to happen, so I am done with this.
10  Economy / Gambling / Re: BTCHEAT.COM IS ONLY A HOAX? on: November 06, 2017, 12:07:00 PM
Well, getting thousands of spins is actually easier than you think. With no offers, no referrals, I just have two old desktops at home which are doing the mining. For a night they generate about 2000 tickets. I can imagine what amount of tickets a man working at the right place can make... Anyways- spinning those is also time consuming- so I recorded a macro which was doing the clicks... so basically not much of an effort really. You can see more here-  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cMIRX_XtogY
11  Economy / Gambling / Re: BTCHEAT.COM IS ONLY A HOAX? on: November 06, 2017, 08:48:18 AM
Well, more or less I am in the same situation, like everyone else who is trying to squeeze some money from this faucet. At least for personal piece that I didn't totally waste my time.
I am at 86% withdrawal, and there is no more winnings even with thousands of spins. Obviously they are a scam site.
At the other hand I am wondering how they do it. I did try several things to 'cheat the cheater'- none of them worked. It is not the cookies that give them my ID- I deleted them during play, I modified them, I blocked them... It should be the script that tells the website- if balance>=??? win % =???. I deleted it, deleted all the external http addresses (it works until you refresh the page), and still in a non winning streak. As soon as I log in with low balance wallet- satoshies are coming... I am sure there should be a way to bypass the id recognition- because at the end it is just a way of communication between my browser and their server. I don't have the knowledge to do it- but some of the people here might figure out a way...
Pages: [1]
Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!