Yeah I doubt that. Why? What would trigger a crash in 2016? People claim there's gonna be a crash every year.
Yeah I'm skeptical about this overly dramatic doomsday crash as well, but I did read about there being a similar crash (2008/09 housing) related to car financing coming up, probably not as intense. We'll see though. I think the ETF things the Winklevoss are trying to spearhead will have a large affect on bitcoin price this year though.
2008/2009 crash is caused by subprime mortgage.
Exactly, It was caused by allowing americans to take out mortgages (on homes) they really couldn't afford if interest rates went up. The lenders of those mortgages bundled them into securities and sold to large investment banks and insurance providers. Rates went up, and a ripple effect of defaults occured... What I'm saying is apparently there's a similar thing going on with car loans that americans can't really afford
I don't think that car loans and defaults due to inability to pay them will have any dramatic effect on the markets as it happened in 2008 when the Fed had to bail out major banks considered too big too fail and start a series of quantitative easings after that. Cars are much cheaper than houses overall. Really, how many cars do you know that cost half a million dollars or more? Further, cars are not as endurable and lasting as houses so banks giving such loans should have taken into account this...
And last but not least, it is easier to sequester a car than a house, especially if you and your family live there (small children and such things)
It looks like the car loans are about 12% what mortgages are plus the other minimizing factors you pointed out. I agree, won't have much of an effect. Will be interesting to see what comes of it!