Bitcoin Forum
May 14, 2024, 12:43:44 PM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 27.0 [Torrent]
 
  Home Help Search Login Register More  
  Show Posts
Pages: [1]
1  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Survey: Will BTC and BCH peacefully coexist in future and at what ratio on: August 22, 2017, 09:19:02 PM
Today the market capitalization of BTC and BTH combined is 78.2 billion USD
Where BTC is 67.1 billion USD and BCH is 11.1 billion USD

So if market capitalization of BTC+BCH = 100%
BTC is 86% and BCH is 14%

So today the ratio is 86:14

Now without speculating about the future price of these two coins, what is your prediction on the ratio of BCT : BCH on the following dates?

   31 Dec 2017
  
   31 Dec 2018

   31 Dec 2019

   31 Dec 2022


My own belief is that both coins will peacefully coexist still in 2022 at a market capitalization ratio of 50:50, but I don't think that it will gradually develop in to this direction. What is your view?

By which of the 4 dates will we see a 0:100 or 100:0, which would mean one coin ceased to exist.

We may all come back to this conversation once in a while and check prediction vs reality.


2  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Investor View: BTC vs BCH similar to GOOGL vs GOOG on: August 18, 2017, 10:34:01 PM
As an early investor into BTC with hodl strategy, I have now the same amount of BCH coins as I have BCT.

I actually could't care less about which coin will survive and how the rebalancing of the market capitalization between the two will evolve, as long as their combined market cap are growing over time.

Let me explain at the example of Google, where i am also an early investor. Some time back on April 3, 2014 Google has split their stock into class A (GOOGL) and class C shares GOOG).

Right after the split each holder received also received same amount of class C shares. At the beginning the stock price was for both were roughly the same. Over time the A shares consistently trade at a premium to the C shares. The difference is not large — perhaps 2% at most — but it is there.

While both shares are from the same company, they have different uses: Google plans to continue issuing C shares to finance acquisitions and reward employees.

So I view BTC and BCH essentially being the same, as they are based on similar concept and share a common history until August 1, 2017. The use cases are now however different.

I am amused by the bitter battle of thoughts and views there are from fans of either camp on who is right or wrong. That is childish or football fan culture at best. It does not matter and I absolutely do not care as an investor - I want both coins to succeed.

The market will tell over time which use case deserves a premium over the other.

So I expect that over the mid term (2-5 months) the market cap of both crypto assets will be almost the same as they have almost the same number of coins. If one use case is viewed to be more valuable than the other, then one side will start trading at a premium over the other.
Pages: [1]
Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!