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1  Economy / Trading Discussion / Professional traders vs retail traders on: October 14, 2018, 11:48:46 AM
You may be wondering ever ago what is the difference between the institutional traders and retail ones. There is a professional trader (Anton Kreil) who had worked as an institutional trader and he tried to explain the principal diffirences in the several videos. Having looked those videos you will get to know
1 what is the bread and butter business of the investment bank traders
2 how market makers work
3 how hedge funds work
and other useful information.

You can treat to institutional traders bad or well, actually it does not matter, but it would be nice to know how they do their job to figure out market activity much better.
Perhaps you will be able to acquire some advantage comparing with amateurs by having figured out some important principles of trading.

Professional Traders Vs Retail Traders 101 - Part 1
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SK0FJfkWzyY

Professional Traders Vs Retail Traders 101 - Part 2
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cytdsNK3zMQ

Professional Traders Vs Retail Traders 101 - Part 3
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xllA122l4_o

Professional Traders Vs Retail Traders 101 - Part 4
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DYCnxq_WEpI

Professional Traders Vs Retail Traders 102 - Part 1
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xtCtGmDgSss

Professional Traders Vs Retail Traders 102 - Part 2
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EFXLA66zO4s

Professional Traders Vs Retail Traders 102 - Part 3
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O9k3Q1S7XgY

Professional Traders Vs Retail Traders 102 - Part 4
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eAF4bWTOZ7k


I hope you will enjoy it as much as I do
2  Economy / Trading Discussion / Chat with traders on: October 12, 2018, 08:20:42 PM
I would like to share with all of you one of my favourite media resources about trading. There are series of podcasts which are deployed on Youtube and titled "Chat with traders" https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCdnzT5Tl6pAkATOiDsPhqcg where a young guy (Aaron Fifield) interviews with talented traders - in stocks, futures, forex and crypto. Those traders speak about their approaches of trading , strategies and share their experiences and knowledge. I guess it may be fruitful for newbies and regular traders who want to know something new and get to know how other experienced traders survive and earn money.
3  Economy / Economics / The US dollar is gaining strength on: October 08, 2018, 05:47:18 PM
Since the last couple of weeks the US dollar has strengthened against almost all currencies (https://www.investing.com/analysis/us-dollar-time-to-buy-or-sell-200347445). Many analysts and traders consider that the growth was triggered by FED. In fact, Fed has been increasing gradually the interest rate since 2016 (https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/interest-rate-decision-168) as well as there has been published the lowest unemployment rate since 1969 (https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-reward-for-the-lowest-unemployment-rate-since-1969-higher-rates-for-your-loans-2018-10-08).
Gold, silver and other assets are under the pressure of strong dollar and  moreover strong dollar may cause a strong correction or even a crash on the stock market.  
The key question is how the further strengthening of dollar will effect on the crypto market?
4  Economy / Trading Discussion / 20 Rules Followed by Professional Traders on: October 08, 2018, 03:44:57 PM
Booking reliable profits in the financial markets is harder than it looks at first glance. In fact, it’s estimated that more than 80 percent of all participants eventually wash out and take up safer hobbies. But the brokerage industry rarely publishes client failure rates, since they're concerned the truth might scare off new accounts, so the washout rate could be much higher.

Long-term profitability requires two interrelated skill sets. First, we need strategies that make more money than they lose. Second, those strategies must perform well while the market shapeshifts through bull and bear impulses, with plenty of choppy periods in between. While many traders know how to make money in specific market conditions, like a strong uptrend, they fail in the long run because their strategies don't adapt to inevitable changes.

So can you break away from the pack and join the professional minority with an approach that raises your odds for long-term prosperity? Start with a clear and concise plan.

Now, internalize these 20 rules that long-time pros use to stay in the winner’s circle.

Follow Your Discipline
Discipline can’t be taught in a seminar or found in expensive trading software. Traders spend thousands of dollars trying to compensate for their lack of self-control but few realize that a long look in the mirror accomplishes the same task at a much cheaper price!

Lose the Crowd
Long-term profitability requires positioning ahead of or behind the crowd, but never in the crowd because that’s where predatory strategies target. Stay away from stock boards and chat rooms. This is serious business and everyone in those places has an ulterior motive.

Engage Your Trading Plan
Update your trading plan weekly or monthly to include new ideas and eliminate bad ones. Go back and read the plan whenever you fall in a hole and are looking for a way to get out.

Don’t Cut Corners
Your competition spends hundreds of hours perfecting strategies and you’re in for a rude awakening if you expect to throw a few darts and walk away with a profit. It’s even worse if you cut corners in the rest of your life because that bad habit is much tougher to break.

Avoid the Obvious
Profit rarely follows the majority. When you see a perfect trade setup, it’s likely that everyone else sees it as well, planting you in the crowd and setting you up for failure.

Don’t Break Your Rules
You create trading rules to get you out of trouble when positions go badly. If you don’t allow them to do their job, you’ve lost your discipline and opened the door to even greater losses.

Avoid Market Gurus
It’s your money at stake, not theirs. Keep in mind that they're probably talking up their positions, hoping the excited chatter will increase their profits, not yours.

Listen to Your Intuition
Trading uses the mathematical and artistic sides of your brain so you need to cultivate both to succeed in the long run. Once you're comfortable with math, you can enhance results with meditation, a few yoga postures or a quiet walk in the park.

Don’t Believe in a Company or a Product
If you're too in love with your trading vehicle, you give way to flawed decision-making. It’s your job to capitalize on inefficiency, making money while everyone else is leaning the wrong way.

Get Your Personal Life in Order
Whatever is wrong in your life will eventually carry over into your trading performance. This is especially dangerous if you haven’t made peace with money, wealth and the magnetic polarity of abundance and scarcity.

Don’t Try to Get Even
Drawdowns are a natural part of the trader’s life cycle. Accept them gracefully and stick to the time-tested strategies you know will eventually get your performance back on track.

Pay Attention to Early Warning Signs
Big losses rarely occur without multiple technical warnings. Traders routinely ignore those signals and allow hope to replace thoughtful discipline, setting themselves up for pain.

Don’t Confuse Execution With Opportunity
Traders make up for insufficient skills with expensive software, prepackaged with all sorts of proprietary buy and sell signals. These tools interfere with valuable experience because you think the software is smarter than you are.

Play With Your Head, Not Over It
It’s natural for traders to emulate their financial heroes but it’s also a perfect way to lose money. Learn what you can from others, then back off and establish your own market identity, based on your unique skills and risk tolerance.

Forget About the Holy Grail
Losing traders fantasize about the secret formula that will magically improve their results. In reality, there are no secrets because the road to success always passes through careful choice, effective risk management, and skilled profit taking.

Ditch the Paycheck Mentality
We’re taught to grind through the work week and then pick up our paychecks. This pay-for-effort reward mentality conflicts with the natural flow of trading wins and losses during the course of a year. In fact, statistics indicate that most annual profits are booked on just a handful of days the market is open for business.

Don’t Count Your Chickens
Feel good about a trade that’s going your way but the money isn’t yours until you close out. Lock in what you can as early as you can, with trailing stops or partial profits, so hidden hands cant pickpocket your success at the last minute.

Embrace Simplicity
Focus on price action, understanding that everything else is secondary. Go ahead and build complex technical indicators but keep in mind their primary function is to confirm or refute what your trained eye already sees.

Make Peace With Losses
Trading is one of the few professions where losing money every day is a natural path to success. Every trading loss comes with an important market lesson if you’re open to the message.

Beware of Secondary Reinforcement
Active trading releases adrenaline and endorphins. These chemicals can produce feelings of euphoria even when you’re losing money. In turn, this encourages addictive personalities to take bad positions, just to get the rush.

The Bottom Line
The vast majority of traders fail to tap their full potential, eventually cashing in their chips and finding more traditional ways to make money. Become a proud member of the professional minority by following classic rules designed to keep a razor-sharp focus on profitability.


All of these rules seem to me pretty useful so I have shared them with you. By the way most of all I liked the rule about avoiding the obvious.
The original article is available at https://www.investopedia.com/articles/active-trading/022715/20-rules-followed-professional-traders.asp

5  Economy / Economics / It is time to read Ray Dalio (A Template For Understanding Big Debt Crises) on: October 08, 2018, 02:16:42 PM
Who is Ray Dalio and why it is so important for us to know about him? Raymond Dalio (born August 8, 1949) is an American billionaire investor, hedge fund manager, and philanthropist. Dalio is the founder of investment firm Bridgewater Associates, one of the world's largest hedge funds. As of January 2018, he is one of the world's 100 wealthiest people, according to Bloomberg. You can read more about him in Wikipedia (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ray_Dalio) but for us the most interesting part of his life is his book "A Template For Understanding Big Debt Crises" where for the first time ever, Ray Dalio shared his unique template for understanding debt crises. You can get the ebook for free here (https://www.principles.com/big-debt-crises/).


To summarize some of the key points found in the book:

1. All big debt cycles go through six stages, which I describe and explain how to navigate:.
The Early Part of the Cycle
The Bubble
The Top
The Depression
The Beautiful Deleveraging
Pushing on a String/Normalization

2. Getting the balance right between having too much debt (that causes debt crises) and too little debt (which causes suboptimal development) is never done perfectly. Cycles always swing from having too little debt relative to the opportunities to having too much and back to having too little and back to having too much. These swings are exacerbated because people tend to remember what happened to them more recently rather than what happened a long time ago. As a result, it is pretty much inevitable that the system will face a big debt crisis every 15 years or so.

3. There are two major types of debt crises—deflationary and inflationary—with the inflationary ones typically occurring in countries that have significant debt dominated in foreign currency. The template explains how both types transpire.

4. Most debt crises can be well-managed if 1) the debts denominated in one’s own currency and 2) the policy makers both know how to handle the crisis and have the authority to do so. As I write in the book: “Managing debt crises is all about spreading out the pain of the bad debts, and this can almost always be done well if one’s debts are in one’s own currency. The biggest risks are typically not from the debts themselves, but from the failure of policy makers to do the right things due to a lack of knowledge and/or lack of authority.”

5. There are four ways of managing debt crises to produce a deleveraging. They are:
Austerity
Printing money to stimulate the economy
Debt defaults/restructuring
Wealth redistribution

6. The way to manage a debt crisis well so there is a “beautiful deleveraging” (i.e. a deleveraging in which debt burdens go down at the same time as economic growth is positive and inflation is not a problem) is to balance these paths so that the deflationary forces balance with the inflationary ones.

7. In general, central bankers could do better jobs of smoothing the cycles and preventing big debt crises if, rather than having a single mandate to control inflation or a dual mandate to control inflation and growth, they have a three-part mandate that includes preventing investment bubbles by curtailing the excess debt growth that is funding them.

8. When in a big debt crisis, saving the system (by providing lots of liquidity, guarantees, etc.) is most important–and not trying to be precise about it. This includes putting aside moral hazard considerations at that time. As I write: “How quickly and aggressively policy makers respond is among the most important factors in determining the severity and length of the depression.”

9. It’s important that economic policy makers have sufficient knowledge and emergency powers to handle crises well and don’t get caught by legal or regulatory barriers: “ignorance and lack of authority are bigger problems than the debts themselves.” I am particularly worried about how these factors will affect the next debt crisis due to the way regulations now constrain the freedoms to do the right throngs and the fragmented political state of affairs.

10. After the restructurings and the passing of the debt crisis, policy makers typically need to provide significant stimulus for a number of years (5 to 10) until the hangover effects wear off. “The recovery in economic activity and capital formation tends to be slow, even during a beautiful deleveraging. It typically takes 5-10 years (hence the term “lost decade”) for real economic activity to reach its former peak level.”


------------------------------------------------------------------

Here are some useful links:

Hedge Fund Legend Ray Dalio On The Economy
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5C43i3yclec

Ray Dalio's Lessons From The Financial Crisis
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7WXidoI9ppw

Ray Dalio: Beating The Stock Market By Learning History (2017)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i5LqCAtNJJ4

Ray Dalio: We're in the seventh inning of the economic cycle
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HgiWK6P4hVs

The End of Easy Money - RAY DALIO
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RQlgWTOa7q0

Principles by Ray Dalio
https://www.youtube.com/user/Bridgewater


I hope you enjoy reading the book and watching the interviews.

6  Economy / Economics / Is the US stock market going to falling into a correction? on: October 06, 2018, 04:21:23 PM
The US stock market closed this week in the red zone. The S&P500 index could not preserve the level 3000 and we saw that somebody was selling off the equities during last couple of days.
Why it might be so important? As we know the stock market is pretty overbought especially such the giants like Amazon, Facebook and so on. As far as I know plenty of traders are waiting a quite strong correction (10-30%) and there is the crucial question for many traders, I mean, is  it the new correction or it is just the trap for bears?
By the way does anybody have a short position in S&P500 and what is the price?



(http://i66.tinypic.com/aeqrz5.png)
7  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / The Elliott wave theory (BTC) on: June 24, 2018, 05:23:45 PM
Does anybody use the Elliott wave theory on trading BTC? It would be interesting to get to know your vision of the current market situation (and charts, if any). What do you think about this type of market analysis? Is it suitable for analysis of BTC?
I like BTC and I am holding BTC but I consider that if BTC will not hold the resistance level 6000$ then the next prices of BTC are 4000$ and 2000$. What do you think about that?
Let us discuss and share opinions.

There is a picture below it is just my vision of the situation.
(http://i65.tinypic.com/ncy5cj.jpg)
 
8  Economy / Reputation / Merit abusers: Maxcrypto1990, sp564, koryu, crypt0heaven on: March 19, 2018, 07:54:51 PM
Maxcrypto1990 / sp564 / koryu / crypt0heaven





To start discussion. 2 accounts are registered at the same time. But to have 2,3,5,many accounts is not forbidden. It is forbidden to participate in 1 bounty campaign and give merit to yourself or trade it.








You can familiarize with the messages that they put +merit. Pay attention that all the merit were received in one day and less than 30 minutes!!!
Maxcrypto1990 and sp564 are exactly one person who gives himself Merit. koryu and crypt0heaven most likely sold their Merit to this guy

PS I do not know whether it was necessary to write here or in another section. I apologize for the quality of the pictures
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