When will you guys realize that all this doom and gloom speculative bullshit serves only to create downward pressure on the price? It's a self-fulfilling prophecy: you've got some douche w/ a YouTube channel making predictions based on technical analysis and saying the market will correct by however many percentage points and the saddest thing is that people take their speculative bullshit seriously.

Technical analysis doesn't work. Nobody has any fucking clue where the market is headed. No one! Even back in 2013, the BTC market was pretty darn efficient already. Moves on a 24 hour time scale were for all intents and purposes impossible to predict. You can't time the market unless you have enough money to play the pump and dump game.


So unless you have a shitload of BTC and are willing to break the law, you have no way of predicting the price of BTC and alts. Nobody has a clue, so stop whining about the price and start buying. If you believe in the long term potential of crypto just keep buying on a regular basis. The lower it drops the better, because you'll be able to accumulate more.

I remember a time when ICOs were open for whole weeks and you could actually make a deliberation on whether to invest based on how much money was thrown at a project and your valuation of the token's worth.

Those days are long gone. The BAT ICO sold out in 30 seconds, Bancor collected $150M in 3 hours and SONM's website was taken offline right after the start of the ICO.

So my question is this, what is the probability I'll be able to get a piece of the action in the case of the following ICOs:

1) Status - they've stated on their whitepaper that they want to
discourage whales from attempting to corner the supply. The question remains, though, will they succeed? Also, will MEW crash again?

2) TenX - This one is probabily a lost cause. Your thoughts on the probability of actually being able to buy
the tokens and transaction fee estimates.

3) Omise Go - Same as above.

I'm planning to invest around 1 ETH in each because they're speculative flips and because the bulk of my money is in BTC, ETH and alts as a long term investment.

I just transferred 2.22077316 ETH from a Bittrex account into a myetherwallet account but coins haven't been credited to my account. The transactions shows as completed on Bittrex, but on etherscan it says "Unable to locate Transaction entry".

Have I just lost $800?

Transactions ID: 0xa5abe12354effe847ef524ab1d913743e9e438b1fb18d1843c570336a74c8f90
Address: 0xc75BB10Ef3D4d675a7e74074a300a6230da05492

Are Livecoin/Cryptopia/YoBit reliable exchanges? I'm looking to capitalize on the blatant pump and dump activity taking place on those exchanges (e.g., Creativecoin, Funcoin, etc), but while the potential profits on new listings look exciting, there's no point unless there's a level of fiduciary responsibility on their end.

<

[Incent Loyalty]

Back when I first joined this forum back in August, I made a thread discussing the cost-benefit of investing in Stratis. I saw an opportunity, but was somewhat reticent to allocate a significant portion of my investment capital to the project.

I did eventually get on board, and now own a decently sized position in Stratis tokens. In the interest of disclosure, my average buying price is 5,700 satoshi. There were opportunities to buy at 4,800, but the Coin Check exchange in Japan bungled up the KYC process, forcing me to wait and buy at a less attractive price.

Since then my position has appreciated by more than 25% and 40% in Bitcoin and fiat terms, respectively. I believe there is still room for greater appreciation, as more project milestones are met and the project gets listed on Poloniex.

Moving forward, and while I wait for my prediction of a $20 million market cap for Stratis to materialize, I am now hoping to capitalize on other investment opportunities.

By creating this thread, I am hoping to foster debate and constructive criticism of my investment strategy.

Currently, I have my sights set on Incent Loyalty and Komodo.

Incent Loyalty

Pros:
a) CEO Rob Wilson of BitScan. I was thoroughly impressed by Mr. Wilson's debate performance on Coin Interview. He articulated the philosophy behind the project in a most articulate manner, and in a way that proves Incent is a well thought out project being run by competent people.

b) Real world merchant adoption.

c) Enough volume to validate the project as an investment proposition (currently at BTC1,011), but not overfunded to the point where it becomes un-investible.

Cons:
a) The fact that the core concept requires real world merchant adoption. Unlike other coins that derive a speculative value from the underlying technology, Incent's value will probably be linked to transactional, rather than speculative, use of the technology. This can be viewed as a drawback, as merchants and consumers have historically been reluctant to accept and spend bitcoin for real world, everyday transactions.

b) The project will be integrated into the Waves platform, so in a sense the fate of Incent Loyalty will be very much tied to the success (or lack thereof) of the Waves platform. While the platform's recent over-performance can be construed as a sign of market strength and further potential for growth, the fact remains that Incent being built on top of Waves adds an extra layer of complexity and second order risk.

Before moving onto Komodo, I would like to hear feedback from my fellow forum users.

I currently am long volatility and short equities in my traditional investment portfolio and looking to diversity into BTC/cryptocurrencies.

The largest amount (90%) will go to BTC, but I'm looking for coins with potential for very rapid appreciation.

I'm tempted to invest in STRATIS for the following reasons:

a) the idea behind the project appears to have some merit/practical implementation.
b) decent trading volume
c) potential for rapid price appreciation (trading at $0.026 as I write these lines)

I feel that the upside is massive, and that STRATIS might one day be trading above $1. On the other hand, I cannot help but think that maybe I'm making a terrible decision and sinking $1,000 into a bottomless pit.

It is for this reason that I would like to hear the community's opinion on this matter.

Any reasons why I should definitely reconsider my investment?

I'm back to the forum after a long period of inactivity and one of the first things I noticed is the absence of Ryan's pump and dump thread from this subforum.

A cursory keyword search reveals his account went silent sometime around July of last year.

Did he simply retire from flaunting the law, or has his illegal manipulation caught up to him?

While we are at it, what happened to Fontas? I heard he go arrested, but I couldn't find any concrete evidence in either case.