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1  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: May 05, 2024, 09:28:03 PM
~Snip
On paper, Real Madrid deserves to be the favorite in the second leg match. This does not mean underestimating Bayern Munich strength, because acting as host is certainly very profitable for Real Madrid. Apart from that, ahead of the second leg match, Real Madrid appeared more consistent in La Liga, while Bayern Munich suffered another defeat in the Bundesliga. Although domestic competition cannot be used as a complete reference, it will more or less have an impact on their match in the Champions League. Real Madrid in many ways looks better prepared to advance to the final, and Ancelotti will most likely experiment again with his main lineup, which in my opinion did not work optimally in the first leg. It is true that there is a possibility that the winner will have to be determined through a penalty shootout, but the greater possibility is that Real Madrid can beat Bayern Munich in normal time. There is news that two Bayern Munich defenders are currently injured, this is of course very detrimental for Tuchel, but for Real Madrid it is certainly beneficial.
Anything can still happen that it might be different than what many users expect. Bayern Muchen is not the favorite to win the second leg because Real Madrid has a home advantage that can be exploited, but Bayern Munich also has the will to win the match considering that both teams want to qualify for the final. It depends on which team you hope to qualify, I think both teams have the same chance of getting to the final if they can play well and score goals.

Probability shows Real Madrid as the favorite, that could be true because they are the home team. No one will underestimate Bayern Munich, but I admit that Real Madrid's chances of getting to the final are higher than Bayern Munich this season. Real Madrid's consistent performance is something that can make them appear enthusiastic in the second leg, but it is not a guarantee to say that Madrid can win.
2  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: May 05, 2024, 09:14:56 PM
~Snip
Tottenham has now lost to Liverpool and they will still lose at the hand of Manchester City when they meet next. It is a difficult period for Tottenham who are on losing streak and it's more likely to continue. With this loss Aston Villa has gained more advantage for the champions league spot. Tottenham couldn't Remove them from the top 4. Although I fancy Aston Villa to qualify for the Champions league over Tottenham. Aston Villa has performed very well and they truly deserve the spot. Tottenham should settle for the Europa league spot.
No matter how good a team is, if it gets tough opponents in 4 consecutive matches, it will definitely lose points in 1 to 2 matches. Tottenham is of course different, they had 4 painful defeats and it was actually very bad for them. Tottenham were not predicted to lose 4 consecutive matches, at least some of us thought they would win or draw 1 to 2 matches, but in fact that was wrong.

Losing 12 points in 4 consecutive matches made Tottenham close to Newcastle. A gap of 4 points does not make Tottenham safe from Newcastle, then Manchester United also has the opportunity to be behind Tottenham with a gap of 3 points if they win against Newcastle in the postponed match. Tottenham also have the potential to lose points if Manchester City wins against them, so losing a position in the top 5 is still very possible for Tottenham at the end of this season.
3  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: May 05, 2024, 08:55:42 PM
~Snip
Finishing in second place is still wide open for Girona after successfully securing three important points from Barcelona, the next four games will be the next challenge if they don't want the position they currently occupy to not be taken over by Barcelona. Girona are also certain to qualify for next season's Champions League for the first time in their history. This success is certainly an extraordinary achievement because they have the opportunity to play in the most prestigious league.

The defeat against Girona left a bad impression on Barcelona, conceding four times in one match meant that Xavi had to immediately overhaul Barcelona defense for next season. There are several positions that need to be considered to maintain their balance in withstanding attacks from the opposing team. The Defensive Midfielder must immediately be filled with quality players because since Sergio Busquets left there has been no player who can replace his role.
There is momentum why Girona can really make a comeback in the home match. Starting from Sergi Roberto's passing error when he wanted to throw the ball, that was the initial moment why Barcelona conceded their second goal to Girona. After that, Barcelona began to build attacks again which allowed them to create several opportunities, but they couldn't score any more goals.

Barcelona's defense lost concentration after two quick goals between Portu and Miguel Gutierrez, then Portu sealed the win with a volley against Marc-André ter Stegen. I'm sure Xavi is really angry about this embarrassing incident, but the most important thing to do is not to continue feeling guilty but to get up for the rest of the season, especially in the next 4 matches. Barcelona must win all the points and only then can they end the season in 2nd place with the consequence that Girona loses or loses 2 points in the remaining matches.
4  Economy / Speculation / Re: Will this stack make me a USD millionaire? on: May 05, 2024, 08:28:09 PM
I agree that ETH can be the main altcoin that performs well after bitcoin. ETH can provide decent return for investors and holders regardless of other users' sentiment towards it, but why would you really want to maintain a 1:10 ratio?

I know you have considered the plan very wisely despite the viewpoints of other users in this thread, but personally would not buy more ETH than bitcoin. If today I had a $100k budget to invest, then 10% of that budget I might consider buying ETH, the rest I would buy bitcoin. The price of ETH will rise higher only if the price of bitcoin rises high, meaning ETH is still very dependent on the bitcoin market rather than having its own power to rise high like bitcoin.
5  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: May 04, 2024, 06:40:34 PM
~Snip
Currently its over and Girona lead awhile with score 4-2, left ten minutes later and seems difficult for Barcelona scoring three goals to lead over Girona and make Real Madrid will celebrate their La Liga tittle this season.
Actually, Barcelona controlling the game with ball possession and shots on target dominance but Girona make it more easily after leading awhile over 4-2.
Its bad result for Barcelona because loss the 2nd standings place and Girona will move up reach top 2nd standings awhile behind one point remaining. Its very bad result for Barcelona after eliminating from Champion League and loss their 2nd place in this season and Girona make another surprise if can finish as runner up standings team.
As I was worried about before, if Girona scores additional goals then I'm sure Girona can win their home match against Barcelona. In the end it came true and this was really bad for Barcelona. I was a little disappointed with Barcelona's performance in the second half, especially because they really played poorly despite having lots of chances. It's useless to win statistics on the number of shots and the high percentage of ball possession, it's useless when the defense is so fragile.

Barcelona's defeat has made Real Madrid lock up the La Liga title today. Mathematically, Barcelona and Girona can no longer overcome the points gap with Real Madrid, but I think Real Madrid will celebrate in the next match or when they play a home game against Alaves. So to all Real Madrid fans, congratulations on that.
6  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: May 04, 2024, 06:09:32 PM
~Snip
As in the first half, Girona played a completely defensive strategy in the second half. 20 minutes of the second half are already over, but I still don't see any attack from Girona players. On the other hand, the Barcelona players increased their attack speed in the second half. Girona are playing a bad defensive strategy today. So it became more difficult for Barcelona players to score. Barcelona is playing in attacking strategy, but if they can't keep the defense strong then maybe barca won't be able to get 3 points from the match.
Barcelona's defense and the stability of their midfield play were problematic in the second half. Girona scored 2 additional goals in the second half and almost scored 3 goals, it has changed my point of view about the outcome of the match if Xavi does not make significant changes.

Girona now leads with a score of 3-2 over visitors Barcelona, ​​but there is still time to see Barcelona try to equalize at 3-3. The match will probably end with Girona winning if Barcelona concedes another goal in the remaining time, but I hope that Barcelona can still win the match by increasing the intensity of their attacks and also their finishing.
7  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: May 04, 2024, 05:56:00 PM
~Snip
If Barcelona draw this game against or loose to Girona, Real Madrid supporters can officially start their celebration because it will mean that they are certain already of the trophy, (not like there is any real challenge). Two early goals in the game, and the game went on with both teams having attempts but none scoring until the penalty opportunity to Barcelona which Lewandoski a capable leg firmly delivered. Barcelona will be happy to have the lead before the halftime. Xavi will want his team to do more in the second half and make sure they score another goal before Girona find a way to respond.
Barcelona won the first half with a score of 1-2, it was a good result as expected from them. In the second half, Barcelona had many opportunities to score goals, but so far Barcelona still failed so the score for this match still remains 1-2 in favor of Barcelona.

Girona seemed to make a lot of mistakes in defense in the second half which in fact Barcelona took advantage of to penetrate the defense. Luckily, Barcelona has not been able to take advantage of many good opportunities to score the third goal and so on, otherwise I'm sure this match would have ended with more than 4 goals for Barcelona's victory. There is still plenty of time to expect a few more goals in this match, but I am sure Barcelona will win this match if they don't make mistakes in defense.
8  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: May 04, 2024, 05:24:05 PM
~Snip
On paper, PSG is certainly the favorite in the second leg match against Dortmund. There are many reasons we can put forward why PSG is the favorite. Of course I don't mean to underestimate Dortmund and the one goal advantage they have, but in many aspects we can see that PSG really has a big chance to turn things around. Sure enough, Dortmund had greater luck in the first leg, where PSG actually played well there too.

PSG will definitely increase the intensity of attacks from the first minute, to catch up on the goal deficit first, if successful then the match will be easier to control. Dortmund in this case does not have many choices, meaning they will definitely play carefully to maintain their lead, and will tend to play defensively.

On the other hand, even though PSG winning percentage in the second leg is quite high, betting on their victory also requires consideration. In terms of preparation, PSG was lucky to have more free time, where Dortmund had to play another match in the Bundesliga. Luckily, Dortmund managed to win big with a score of 5-1 against Augsburg.
I agree that PSG deserves to be the favorite as the winner of the second leg at home, but first I really want to see how the players there perform. The match will certainly be very intense for both teams, where Dortmund, who came in as the team that was leading 0-1 in the first leg, will likely play a little defensively, while PSG will attack to get a quick goal.

PSG must take advantage of every opportunity they can create throughout the match, that means they need to increase their attacking intensity and also their finishing. They had good game statistics in the first leg, but poor finishing was another reason why they failed to score.

I agree there are many reasons why people and bookies consieder PSG as a favorited for to win and progress to the final. Of course, this is not the reason why we can underestimate Dortmund, whose chances are good in the second leg. Dortmund and PSG will fight to win tickets to the final, but PSG, who plays at home, is expected to win when many users consider them favorites.
9  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: May 03, 2024, 09:37:08 PM
~Snip
From what you explained, you hope that a surprise will occur this season where Dortmund will make history by becoming champions. Yes, who knows, because Dortmund game in the Champions League was so impressive, they were able to show their best strength by beating strong teams. Dortmund does have the opportunity to advance to the Champions League final this season because they already have the capital to win in the first leg so they will play better in the second leg to ensure their progress towards the final.

Between Bayern Munich and Real Madrid, both teams were equally strong in their game in the first leg. But I think Real Madrid has a big chance to advance to the final because they will play at home in the second leg. The surprise may be in the second leg between PSG vs Dortmund where this match will be full of tension for PSG because they have to win the second leg to advance to the final. Mbappe must show his best qualities to help PSG achieve victory in the second leg.
The semi-final second leg between PSG and Dortmund is their fourth meeting this season in the Champions League. In the group stage, PSG won 2-0 in their home match against Dortmund, while PSG drew 1-1 at Signal Iduna Park. PSG has high potential to win its home match against Dortmund in the second leg, but I don't believe PSG can qualify safely without extra time or penalties.

In the last two matches, PSG has always been able to win at home against Dortmund in the Champions League. PSG won both games 2-0, but we never know how their third home game of the season at home against a team that had beaten them 1-0 in the first leg would have turned out. PSG has a high chance of winning, sports bookmakers believe that.
10  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: May 03, 2024, 09:28:52 PM
Everton seemed to just play it safe against Luton Town today. They failed to win away from home when Luton was also struggling to get out of the relegation zone. Everton is safe from the threat of relegation this season after being deducted points, but Luton is likely to be relegated if Nottingham can win against Sheffiled in the next match.

Nottingham, Luton Town and Burnley are struggling to get out of the relegation zone so far. Luton only has 2 games remaining, while Nottingham and Burnley have 3 games. It is still difficult to determine two of the three teams as the teams that will accompany Sheffield to be relegated, this is because the matches of the three teams are still quite tough until the end of the season.

For week 36, I don't think there will be a change in position between Arsenal and Manchester City at the top of the standings. Arsenal have an easy match against Bournemouth, Manchester City is also expected to easily win their home match against Wolves. The two top teams are playing at home, it can give them an edge to play better.
11  Economy / Speculation / Re: When will the real bull run begin? on: May 03, 2024, 09:11:13 PM
~Snip
If you are not satisfied with the profit you have gotten so far in hodling you just need to keep hodling, this is not a time to faint because the long bull market that we have been waiting for a very longtime is just here. Hodling will be of good benefit and their is no need to be panic. We just need to be patience to hit the target of getting a good profit because selling now can lead to regret later on.  You can really predict when the real bull run will begin but it is not far. I don't see why one would want to sell when dip inside of them they are not satisfied with the profit they have been able to get from their hodling.
There is basically no compulsion to hold bitcoin longer than you believe, even if many people say holding it long term is much more profitable. There are times when you have to get out of the market as long as you get a decent profit, especially if at that time you really need money urgently.

But whatever it is, I agree that holding bitcoin in the long term, especially after you have prepared to build a portfolio before the halving, is something you should maintain. Prices will rise over time, in fact I believe we will find bitcoin prices around $100k by the end of the year. Anyone can sell them now, but the best advice is don't sell them all.
12  Economy / Speculation / Re: Post halving investing strategy. on: May 03, 2024, 09:05:55 PM
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This kind of strategy is not applicable to everybody since many want’s to accumulate at a cheaper price as much as possible though this looks like DCA and I think it’s also ok especially for long term players. I personally have my own way to accumulate, I collect all my extra funds and just waiting for the perfect timing to buy again, I mean there should be no rush in buying and we should always do our own research before we invest.
Sometimes, buying a lump sum is the best option to do on the dip compared to DCA. In such conditions, they have to be pretty sure that the price has already bottomed out during the correction, so they will definitely get more bitcoins accumulated instead of with DCA.

I don't blame anyone for sticking with DCA regardless of market conditions, but lump sums can also be an option that can be compounded based on market conditions. There is no compulsion regarding which strategy to use, but combining the two in different market conditions can make it a win-win variation.
13  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: BTC Investing To Now Taxable Events on: May 03, 2024, 09:00:05 PM
There is a fee that I have to pay when I make a fiat deposit to a licensed centralized exchange in my country, it is tax. Then from that, the exchange will automatically deduct taxes every time I buy and sell it again, it's like a double-edged sword because basically the government doesn't want to know whether the trader is making a profit or selling at a loss.

Many traders or investors complain about it, they also have the desire to do something to avoid tax deductions. I personally don't know for sure how to avoid that without the government knowing, I mean the bank will definitely know where the budget comes from when we withdraw fiat to the account. The government even orders banks to report bank accounts that have a certain amount of money to be taxed, but to anticipate this, the best choice is to approach a tax expert or learn to find loopholes to avoid being included in the taxable category.
14  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: May 02, 2024, 07:10:32 PM
~Snip
I don't think Chelsea can win against Tottenham today. Although Tottenham have lost their last two matches, they are better than Chelsea. Chelsea drew 2-2 with Aston Villa in their last match and conceded a 5-0 defeat against Arsenal in the previous match.

Tottenham team will definitely play with the aim of getting full points in this match. Tottenham will now look to hold on to fifth place in the table and qualify for the Europa League. On the other hand, the performance of Chelsea players is very erratic. It is very difficult for Chelsea to beat a team like Tottenham at the moment.
You should probably see how Chelsea have performed so far and of course the performance is very different from what you say. Chelsea dominated the game and so far they have a 1-0 lead over Tottenham. Of course they are eager to have a great performance at home without mistakes, but this may still change considering the first half is not over yet.

Chelsea built more attacks and they created many opportunities. Tottenham still had difficulty penetrating Chelsea's defense until the 40th minute, but I think it's still too early to say Chelsea can win at home. Trevoh Chalobah scored a goal, it was his first goal in the Premier League this season.
15  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: May 02, 2024, 07:00:59 PM
~Snip
In this season of Champions League, especially in the semi-final matches, there is no chance to say which team will be ahead and which team will be behind. Of course we put PSG ahead in the second leg of the semi-final between PSG vs Dortmund but the result was different on the field where PSG lost to Dortmund. 

Considering past statistics or current performance, PSG was ahead but on field performance PSG could not stay ahead which resulted in PSG trailing Dortmund by one goal in the first leg of the semi-final. 
However, the positive aspect for PSG is that they will have the opportunity to play the second leg match at their home ground, in which case they have a good chance of being ahead. PSG must be aggressive in the second leg match and at least make the goal difference 2-0 for PSG to directly qualify for the Champions League final.
Real Madrid and PSG can basically be expected to qualify for the final this season regardless of how you analyze it. I think the chances of both are equally high considering that both teams will play at home for the second leg. Home games are the most profitable to hope for better performances for more favorable results, but this all depends on how Bayern Munich and Dortmund respond to the game.

I don't want to see two teams from the same domestic league competing in the Champions League final this season. That is, I don't expect Dortmund and Bayern Munich to both qualify for the final, that's not the final I want. I think it's appropriate for PSG and Real Madrid to be in the final this season after they managed to dominate their respective domestic leagues, but this is not a reason why they should be in the final. There needs to be higher fighting power to win the final this season, of course because these 4 teams both have a chance to qualify for the final.
16  Economy / Economics / Re: Stagnant Salaries vs. Inflationary Savings Tax on: May 02, 2024, 06:33:49 PM
~Snip
Actually, these two things are very difficult choices to choose, but because you only have these two options ready. So I will choose point A with a stagnant salary condition because there is still a salary that I can get every month. In fact, I can have a little freedom to do other things in order to increase my income so as not to be disturbed by real purchasing power which could tend to increase. Because for the second option in option B, of course this will be felt more by everyone even though it will be based on the amount of savings each person has.
I understand why you chose A as the answer, it's obviously because you have more sources of income instead of one. Then what about the others?
I don't think I should choose the first option when I am a businessman. Low taxes that are at least relevant to the provisions are the most reasonable thing for me to consider regardless of the current state of the country's economy. Choosing option B is also not bad in certain circumstances, but be aware that any income you receive in the form of salary will be taxed at varying rates.

Personal Income Tax or what in our country is called PPh OP is a tax imposed by the government on every person who receives income from certain types of work within the jurisdiction of our country. The percentage varies, from 5% to 30% based on conditions. However, not everyone needs to pay it as long as it is not included in the taxable income category.
17  Economy / Economics / Re: Surviving in this economy needs a new minds set on: May 02, 2024, 06:14:57 PM
~Snip
Life needs to be prepared and now the bad economic conditions have forced people to move to find solutions. Inflation has made several sectors start to have an impact and finally people are starting to have difficulty balancing income and expenses. In the midst of current economic conditions, we as individuals are required to work smarter and optimally because relying on energy/physical does not necessarily mean we can get out of economic difficulties. On the other hand, people take advantage of all the possibilities that exist and they will try something new with the availability of several sources such as investment.

Investing in bitcoin is not bad, but can people do that amidst economic instability? Never mind talking about investment, it is even difficult to meet people's daily food needs. To get out of this problem, we have to work long before it happens because if we work hard when inflation occurs, it is not a long-term solution but rather an effort to minimize the short term.
Investment is not something that needs to be forced, meaning that someone can invest at any time in assets that have the potential to grow in value in the long term when they have the budget. Inflation causes financial instability, so of course this affects a person's interest in investing. If they have more than one source of income, then they can still invest as much as they can afford. However, someone who only has enough money to meet their living needs then they only need to invest when they have more money.

Bitcoin is simply a good choice as a long-term investment asset, but not everyone needs to choose bitcoin as long as they cannot afford the risk. Bitcoin is not for everyone, but it is only for those who can bear the risks of volatility and other things.
18  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: April 29, 2024, 06:09:51 PM
~Snip
Barcelona have a high chance of winning today's game because they usually have hope in Valencia, which I know if they really tried their best in the game today, they will have the point that they need to drop down Girona in the table because they are just a point below them, but if they didn't have enough goals, Girona can still make it back to their 2nd position, which I know before the end of the fixed games, Barcelona might be in the 2nd position, but talking of real Madrid, we all know that they have given them an effective distance that based on the last few games that are remaining, I don't think they can meet up to Real Madrid, but due to consideration, Barcelona will win against Valencia.
Barcelona must win today's home game against Valencia if they want to maintain second place in the standings. Of course it is true that Barcelona has a high probability of winning at home, but I can still consider this match as a difficult match considering that Valencia will also still be fighting for their hopes of qualifying for the European zone next season.

Several main players are still injured, including De Jong and Gavi. Meanwhile, Barcelona has many options to play with in its squad. The line up has been published, I see Sergi Reberto and Pedri on the bench, Xavi gave them a break it seems. These two players will probably come on to replace other players in the second half, it is also very possible for Joao Felix and Feran Tores to get minutes in the second half. Barcelona wins, that's a big possibility today.
19  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: April 29, 2024, 05:53:50 PM
~Snip
The victory over Tottenham certainly means a lot for Arsenal and the three points achieved are very valuable because they were obtained at the headquarters of a team that is considered capable of stopping them. Arsenal have three more matches to complete all the matches played this season, two of which will be played at the Emirates stadium vs Bournemouth and vs Everton, one more match will be played at Manchester United headquarters. Nine points is of course Arsenal's target in these three matches. If they are able to maintain the performance they did when they beat Tottenham, perhaps Arsenal will get full points in every match.

If this scenario occurs, Manchester City will have to win all the remaining games this season to surpass Arsenal points tally. Tottenham is still Manchester City toughest challenge, winning is also their target so they can finish in a better ranking. It is still not certain who will win the Premier League title race this season because the two teams are only separated by one point.
Arsenal's performance is of course better than the 3 other teams they will face in the remainder of the season. I give Arsenal the better advantage in 2 of the 3 matches, while one of them is doubtful. The away match against Manchester United at Old Trafford is the most decisive match for Arsenal's chances this season, meaning I really expect Arsenal and Manchester United to play well which is difficult to predict.

Of course, Arsenal will actually be aiming for 9 points in the remaining match, but the worst possibility that Arsenal will face is only getting 7 points. I'm considering a draw in their away game against Manchester United, the rest I think Arsenal can win it easily.

20  Local / Bahasa Indonesia (Indonesian) / Re: [INFO] Signature Campaign [Hanya Pembayaran Bitcoin]| Ter-Update !!! on: April 29, 2024, 05:19:51 PM
Campaign baru dari CryptopreneurBrainboss.

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Thread campaign: {OPEN} Spinarium Signature Campaign | Snr members+ | $50/week. {Funds Escrow]
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