FREE Professional Tips
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Picks for 25 November - Click Here --
Hello,
I'm a professional gambler and I'm gambling for a living for 6-7 years. I'm making my money from betting, surebets, middles, poker and gambling affiliates.
As I want in next months to move completely to BTC betting instead of fiat, here will try to show you what is to be a professional bettor. How much time and determination is needed. But at the end and how much freedom it's giving.
I have a lot of thoughts how to continue this thread (
Link to OLD ONE). With a huge bankroll to show you how to win big, with a mid size or with a small to be able all of you to follow me without change anything.
And I finally decide to start it with a small bankroll of 0.3 BTC (~100$), keep the service free for next 2-3 month and to grow together. I think the amount of 0.3 BTC is possible for anybody who want to make some money and is at least a little bit serious about betting.
Bets will be published two to four times per day and all times will be in CET (Central European Time). For my American friends:NY is -6h of CET and LA is -9h of CET :)Usually around 14:00 will be published first daily action bets. Then around 17:00 the rest of daily action bets, if any.
Usually around 23:00 will be published first night action American bet. Then around 02:00 the rest, if any.
Then in the beginning in the next day I will grade all past picks and make a short review of the past day.
I will do my best to publish every bet at least 30-60 minutes before start so all of you to have enough time to follow it.
For Nitrogen Sports and CloudBet will publish in format will My bet and Direct Betting link to save you time and dodge misunderstanding in betting lines:
Game: NHL 10/31 18:05 New Jersey Devils - New York IslandersPick: Away (OT Incl) | Odd: 1.79 | Stake: 10/10
Link:
My Bet | Link:
Direct BettingFor FairLay you could follow our:
FairLay - OverGuess Public ProfileThere are written all info like Game, Direct Betting link, Odd and Stake.
To reduce thread spam, if there is no reply in the thread, I will add new bets in my last post.
And till my site is still Under Construction, bets will be also published in plain text
Overguess.com/currentbets.
So feel free to follow my picks or all bets I made or whatever you want with whatever amount you want - it's FREE for now :D Like I'm following other people - nobody is perfect :)
Here is a brief stats till now:
Picks: 939
Profit: +124, +12.4% ROI
Main 10/10 bets are at 5% yield, and still >30% ROI:
Number of picks: 628
Profit: +316
ROI: 31.6%
Yield:+5%
Win-Loss-Void: 311-273-44
Win rate: 53%
Stake avg.: 10.0
Odd avg.: 2.02
Staked: 5840
Returned: 6596 At
2nd post you will find a detailed stats.
=== And some FAQ:
Why are you making so many bets? Short: Because this is the way to make money. Long: Every tipster have an yield. Simply, yield is how much is your expected gain in a whole bankroll turnover. After bad last days, mine is just 2% on all bets, but >6% on main 10/10 bets. Everything >3% in a long run is considered as good. Everything >6% in a long run is considered as exceptional.
Now let's check two examples:
Tipster 1 have an yield of 7% and made 80 picks this month. Following him with a proper bankroll management, you should expect at the end of the month to have a
5.6% ROI (7 x 0.8).
Tipster 2 have an yield of 3% and made 430 picks this month. Following him with a proper bankroll management, you should expect at the end of the month to have a
12.90% ROI (3 x 4.3).
So it's clear that not only yield is important but and the volume you made/follow.
Bankroll management:A good bankroll management is crucial in every gambling initiative.
We will bet with flat stake. 10/10 on pick mean 1% of our bankroll per bet. Without any increases for loss chasing, no martingale or similar bulls*its. Loss chasing is the straight way to bust.
So we will start with bets of 3 mBTC (0.3 BTC / 100).
If you want to follow me with a bankroll of 1 BTC, your bet size should be 10 mBTC (0.01 BTC).
For 2 BTC bankroll, bet size should be 20 mBTC (0.02).
For 2 BTC bankroll, bet size should be 20 mBTC (0.1) and so on.
Which bookies are you using for betting? I will bet mainly at these three sites:
1.
FairLay, because of their best odds.
2.
Nitrogen Sports, because they have very decent odds, parlays and live games.
3.
Cloudbet, because they have many more lines than other two like Both Teams To Score.
Current bankroll distribution is
FairLay - 50%,
Nitrogen Sports - 25% and
Cloudbet - 15%. The rest 10% are kept for depositing when needed.
Why don't you bet with DirectBet or other On-chain bookies? Short: Because I don't want to end up loosing money. On betting size <0.1BTCLong: Because of the transaction fees. Let's assume we are making 500 bets per month and we won 250 of them. This mean we will need to pay 500+250 = 750 x 0.0001 BTC = STUNNING 0.075 BTC or a whole 25% of our bankroll!
If you are following my picks with a bigger bankroll and have a bet size of at least 0.1 BTC, then if you prefer you could use on-chain betting without any substantial loss.
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