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1  Economy / Speculation / Re: Logarithmic (non-linear) regression - Bitcoin estimated value on: November 20, 2022, 01:18:48 AM
@dragonvslinux

(...) the curve should be updated after adding new historical data to it (...)

That is correct.

Great to have you back Trolololo
2  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: February 09, 2019, 05:13:47 PM
It looks like we have to break -1.75 to be sure we've left the bear market and are in a new bull market.

That could like breaking above 6k.
The trololo line on Tradingview is at fair value.
Btc have be trading on avg above that line the last 7years.
The trololo line is at ~3500
3  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: January 22, 2019, 09:47:44 PM
Just a quick update...

Date   11/28/18
VWAP   $4,098.94
x   3056
y   8.318484
a (slope) historical   +0.0032121222
b (intercept) historical   -0.0144982009
Rsq historical   0.869245
BETI historical   -1.483263
Expected price historical   $18,065.28
Actual price / expected price historical   22.68% (kek!)
 
-2.00   $2,444.87
-1.50   $4,030.91
-1.00   $6,645.84
-0.50  $10,957.15
-0.25  $14,069.25
+0.00  $18,065.28
+0.25  $23,196.27
+0.50  $29,784.61
+1.00  $49,106.52

The BIT historical is BElow -2 as of 1/22/19. The market is seriously undervalued.
4  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: December 11, 2018, 03:58:43 AM
It seems more likely that bitcoin is on a logarithmic regression curve, like so:



The chart has been updated recently by Marc De Mesel
Below is the link to his YT video.
I refer to this chart and believe would could see more than 75% undervaluation

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k9JsmelO12s
5  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: December 05, 2018, 01:20:30 PM
It is hard to believe but we could be heading over 90% undervaluation soon.

Only if you bought solely at the very top. You can always dollar cost average in.

Yep there will be a lot of those folks. Future bitcoin shillers.  I mean someone gotta buy the bags right. That’s what insures bitcoin survives. There’s always a greater fool.

BR

You guys were ahead of the game and had an idea of “overvaluation” and “undervalauation”.
The next dum money wont have any clue how to evaluate bitcoin.
Like some people still dont believe in the bitcoin logarithmic trend line, which going to get them rekt on the next
Bubble.
6  Economy / Speculation / Re: Will we ever see bitcoin lower than 1000$? on: December 05, 2018, 04:08:42 AM
The reason I decided to bump this thread is that when we were discussing about it, price was rising, become 20K dollar but now everything is absolutely changing. Bitcoin started fall, was regular 6000$ but now? It falls and is nearly 4000 usd. Finally, from 20K to 4K, will we really ever see bitcoin lower to 1000 usd? I highly don't believe it will happen but would love to see what you think. Currently this question (title of my thread) may become actual.

You gotta be careful of what you read in here.  Everybody who recommended to buy BTC at 15k and above are wrong.
The best thing could be buying 2.5-5% at a time of your investment, weekly or bi-weekly.
I think we are going to see 800-1250. BTC could drop another 80% from its current price of 3.9K BY 2020.
Not time to FOMO but time to be GREEDY and wait for price to fully readjust.
Could be wrong, but I ll be waiting for 1-1.5k  BTC and eth 30-40 to start accumulatingBTC
7  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: December 05, 2018, 02:53:23 AM
It is hard to believe but we could be heading over 90% undervaluation soon.
8  Economy / Speculation / Re: Total Marketcap All Coins Logarithmic Regression on: October 07, 2018, 07:58:04 PM
Nevermind, current trendline at 200B according to your last link to calculator:

Calculate today's trendline value HERE

Mark how do you know the input in the wolfram alpha.  could you please explain. 
I discover your channel  and Tommyworldpower on youtube.  You guys have done a great work. 
I'm assuming you are Trolololo, lol
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