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61  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: I backtested 15 Neural Network trading strategies with TOP20 Crypto Coins on: December 11, 2018, 06:40:51 PM
Yes, based on my research that seems to be true.

I've ran RSI_BULL_BEAR against June/July/August and results are quite bad, see here:
https://medium.com/@deandree/can-you-profit-in-crypto-markets-with-not-so-basic-strategies-part2-6cbc97a5f960
https://medium.com/@deandree/can-you-profit-in-crypto-markets-august-update-part-3-de43970a5128

On the other hand, I remember running it it March/April and results were much much better (profit). Unfortunately I don't have that documented in Medium.

Also, could be that just the parameters no longer work, not the strategy. You can always use some optimizer, like Genetic Algo. Haven't tried with RSI_BULL_BEAR though.
62  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Groing your trading balance with 3,778% in 1 year by only 1% profits daily on: December 10, 2018, 08:47:08 PM
In 1 year you’ll get 1.01³⁶⁵ = 37x (3700%) = 37K. Well done, getting some nice profit for your hard work.
In 2 years you’ll get 1.01²*³⁶⁵ = 1427x = 1.4M. That Lambo is finally yours. I hope you went with yellow.
In 3 years you’ll get 1.01³*³⁶⁵= 53939x = 53M. You own boats and planes now. Ballin’ 24/7.
In 5 years you’ll get 1.01⁵*³⁶⁵= 77002912x = 77B. You own a country now.
In 10 years … The Universe is yours, congratulations.

Good luck! PS. I require 10% commission for my calculations. Will send you a receipt in year 5.
63  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Bitmex Auto Trading Bot on: December 10, 2018, 08:26:46 PM
Just 2 questions:
1) Can you show results over long periods of time going through different market cycles with different coins?
2) If this is so good, why are you selling this? You do realize the more people use this, the worse the results will be for everyone, yourself included? If you are even using this yourself. So why sell?
64  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: which is easier 1-2% a day or 20-30% per month on: December 10, 2018, 07:53:36 PM
Some quick maths for you (starting with 1000$, 1% per day + reinvesting profits = exponential):

In 1 year you’ll get 1.01³⁶⁵ = 37x (3700%) = 37K. Well done, getting some nice profit for your hard work.
In 2 years you’ll get 1.01²*³⁶⁵ = 1427x = 1.4M. That Lambo is finally yours. I hope you went with yellow.
In 3 years you’ll get 1.01³*³⁶⁵= 53939x = 53M. You own boats and planes now. Ballin’ 24/7.
In 5 years you’ll get 1.01⁵*³⁶⁵= 77002912x = 77B. You own a country now.
In 10 years … The Universe is yours, congratulations.
65  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: I backtested 15 Neural Network trading strategies with TOP20 Crypto Coins on: December 10, 2018, 07:10:26 PM
@Marbigoad Thanks, for the next part I have decided to dig deeper into NN, after that maybe backtest November/December.

@butka I'm using 8h 6h 4h 2h 1h 30m 10m candles. I have not tried going higher than that, maybe in the future. Results vary by a large margin. Higher candles sizes are better, and my guess is because:
1) less noise in data
2) less trades therefor less paid in comissions

Do you mean RSI_BULL_BEAR? That strategy was quite good in beginning of the year but since then the market has adopted.
66  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: I think it is a good time for the crypto sphere on: December 08, 2018, 11:49:07 AM
I'm sure a lot of people thought it was a good time to invest in March, May, July ...
67  Economy / Trading Discussion / I backtested 15 Neural Network trading strategies with TOP20 Crypto Coins on: December 05, 2018, 07:43:55 AM
Hi, all!

I saw quite active trading discussion in this forum, so I thought I could share my research and maybe start a discussion about Neural Networks and trading strategies.

For the last few months I've been testing lots of trading strategies and sharing my results and analysis in Medium posts.
For my setup, I'm using Gekko open source platform. I would NOT call it BOT, it's more like a platform that let's you execute and test strategies that YOU have created.

So in the last month, I collected 15 best open source Neural Network strategies that I could find and backtested them against TOP coins, for September. For example, here is how results look like:



After that, I created another part, where I backtest July, August and October, month by month. To keep it short - there are good months and then there are bad ones, but I'm sure traders here already know that. Good thing is, even in this bear market, there is still a chance.

In my latest post (Part6), I get started on prediction analysis by trying to predict single event - huge price drop that started from November 14th. I draw the prediction lines on chart, so we can compare the accuracy, for example, here is neataptic strategy predictions with 5m candles and 900 history:


Often times I analyze buy/sell decisions made by strategies that accomplished best results, by drawing indicators on chart. For example, here is full Year 2018 results for RSIBB strategy from my upcoming (Part7) post:


Let me know if this is useful to you! Thanks!
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