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41  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: NBA Statistical Methods for Predicting: 31 bets / 64,52% / 2,98 Av Odd / +24,82u on: February 01, 2017, 09:00:26 PM
Sorry guys...This was an hard work day....
I'll put today's tips and tomorrow I'll update stats and results (yesterday was a bad day, -1,5units Sad ):

Moneyline:
Orlando Magic @ 2,15 LOSS
Philadelphia 76ers @ 3,38 LOSS
Denver Nuggets @ 2,35 LOSS
Phoenix Suns @ 2,27 LOSS
Milwaukee Bucks @ 3,65 LOSS

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Cleveland Cavaliers - Under 215,5 LOSS
Boston Celtis - Over 215 LOSS
Miami Heat - Under 205 LOSS
Utah Jazz - Under 198,5 WIN

Good luck guys!
42  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: NBA Statistical Methods for Predicting: 31 bets / 64,52% / 2,98 Av Odd / +24,82u on: January 31, 2017, 05:46:50 PM
For tonight there are few interesting matches:
Moneyline:
Washington Wizards @ 1,29WIN
New Orleans Pelicans @ 4,00LOSS
Sacramento Kings @ 7,29LOSS
LA Lakers @ 2,22WIN

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
San Antonio Spurs - Over 211,5LOSS

Good luck guys!
43  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: NBA Statistical Methods for Predicting: 31 bets / 64,52% / 2,98 Av Odd / +24,82u on: January 31, 2017, 03:42:08 PM
After 6 days and 45 bets (ML and O/U) this is my profit graph (fixed base bet = 10):



I don't think that it's only luck, the model seems to work good (even if something can be improved). Smiley
44  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: NBA Statistical Methods for Predicting: 30 bets / 63,33% / 2,88 Av Odd / +24,82u on: January 31, 2017, 11:15:33 AM
For tonight there are few interesting matches:
Moneyline:
Philadelphia 76ers @ 2,01 WIN

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Miami Heat - Under 217,5 WIN
Dallas Mavericks - Over 208,5 LOSS
Phoenix Suns - Over 209,5 WIN


Good luck!

3 wins out of 4, not bad Wink

You can follow me also on TWITTER: https://twitter.com/crazytipster_
45  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: NBA Statistical Methods for Predicting: 30 bets / 63,33% / 2,88 Av Odd / +24,82u on: January 30, 2017, 04:26:17 PM
For tonight there are few interesting matches:
Moneyline:
Philadelphia 76ers @ 2,01

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Miami Heat - Under 217,5
Dallas Mavericks - Over 208,5
Phoenix Suns - Over 209,5


Good luck!
46  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: NBA Statistical Methods for Predicting: 30 bets / 63,33% / 2,88 Av Odd / +24,82u on: January 30, 2017, 04:09:10 PM
Nice wins I want to ask if how many units you put on each pick and how big is a unit for you? I'll be watching this thread to follow you starting today.

Until now, I didn't add the stake but every tip is considered with 1 unit as amount betted. For instance, if I used for my picks a unit of 0.01btc, I would receive 0.24btc for the ML bets and 0.05btc for Over/Under bets.
47  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: NBA Statistical Methods for Predicting: 24 bets / 62,50% / 2,58 Av Odd / +14,69u on: January 30, 2017, 01:51:19 PM
Let's start with today's matches:
Moneyline:
Atlanta Hawks @ 1,37 WIN
New Orleans Pelicans @ 1,90 LOSS
Orlando Magic @ 4,94 WIN
Philadelphia 76ers @ 3,59 LOSS
Dallas Maversicks @ 8,57 WIN
(only for brave betters Cheesy)
GSW @ 1,25WIN

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Atlanta Hawks - Under 211 LOSS
Cleveland Cavaliers - Under 219,5 WIN
New Orleans Pelicans - Under 220,5 WIN
Toronto Raptors - Over 208,5 WIN
San Antonio Spurs - Over 197 WIN
Portland Trail Blazers - Under 230,5WIN


Good luck guys!

4/6 for Moneyline and 5/6 for Under/Over: +24,82 units for Moneyline and +5 units for Under/Over



If I helped you in making some money, send me a tip. It will help me to continue working on predictions: 1PMt1YawEdZ4M8TpvGKMY9iNjsTbEuQgoD.
 
48  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: NBA Statistical Methods for Predicting: 24 bets / 62,50% / 2,58 Av Odd / +14,69u on: January 30, 2017, 12:43:17 PM
Thanks guys for the support!

Did you enjoy the Dallas Mavericks winning tip at 8,57? Cheesy
49  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: NBA Statistical Methods for Predicting: 24 bets / 62,50% / 2,58 Av Odd / +14,69u on: January 29, 2017, 05:39:09 PM
Let's start with today's matches:
Moneyline:
Atlanta Hawks @ 1,37
New Orleans Pelicans @ 1,90
Orlando Magic @ 4,94
Philadelphia 76ers @ 3,59
Dallas Maversicks @ 8,57
(only for brave betters Cheesy)
GSW @ 1,25

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Atlanta Hawks - Under 211
Cleveland Cavaliers - Under 219,5
New Orleans Pelicans - Under 220,5
Toronto Raptors - Over 208,5
San Antonio Spurs - Over 197
Portland Trail Blazers - Under 230,5


Good luck guys!
50  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: NBA Statistical Methods for Predicting: test phase! on: January 29, 2017, 04:17:33 PM
Here we have new predictions:

Sacramento Kings @ 3,70 WIN
Miami Heat @ 2,48 WIN
Milwaukee Bucks @ 1,94 LOSS
Denver Nuggets @ 2,34 WIN
Memphis Grizzlies @ 3,52WIN


I'm glad to introduce a new prediction model on Over/Under bets, these are the points predictions:
GSW vs LA Clippers - Over 224 - 2,00 WIN
Phoenix vs Denver - Under 231- 2,00 LOSS
Utah vs Memphis - Over 189,5 - 2,00 WIN


Good luck to all guys!

Another great night fellas!
I don't know if it is working or I'm just (very) lucky Cheesy

Summary, moneyline:
N. Bets    24
Balance   +14,69 Units
Perc Win   62,50%      
Av ODD   2,87   
Av Winning Odd   2,58   
Av Losing Odd   3,35


Over/Under:
N. Bets    3
Balance   +1 Unit
Perc Win   66,67%      
Av ODD   2   
Av Winning Odd   2   
Av Losing Odd   2


51  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: NBA Statistical Methods for Predicting: test phase! on: January 28, 2017, 04:58:58 PM
Here we have new predictions:

Sacramento Kings @ 3,70
Miami Heat @ 2,48
Milwaukee Bucks @ 1,94
Denver Nuggets @ 2,34
Memphis Grizzlies @ 3,52


I'm glad to introduce a new prediction model on Over/Under bets, these are the points predictions:
GSW vs LA Clippers - Over 224
Phoenix vs Denver - Under 231
Utah vs Memphis - Over 189,5


Good luck to all guys!
52  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: NBA Statistical Methods for Predicting: test phase! on: January 28, 2017, 04:48:04 PM
Results until now:


N. Bets 19
Balance   +7,65 units   
Perc Win   57,89%   
Av Odd   2,88   
Av Winning Odd   2,42   
Av Losing Odd   3,53
53  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: NBA Statistical Methods for Predicting: test phase! on: January 28, 2017, 12:40:44 PM
27/01/2016
Sacramento Kings @ 2,59 LOSS
(they lead all the time, and they lost at overtime  Angry)
Orlando Magic @ 4,06 LOSS (bad game for magics)
New York Knicks @ 2,00 WIN
Miami Heat @ 3,87 WIN
New Orleans Pelicans @ 3,15 WIN
Philadelphia 76ers @ 3,28 LOSS
(lost for 5 point, damned Harden and its 51 points  Angry)
Portland Trail Blazers @ 1,90 WIN

Not bad tonight....Cheesy
(If you have bet usign asian handicaps, you will probably get 6 over 7.)
54  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: NBA Statistical Methods for Predicting: test phase! on: January 27, 2017, 07:47:27 PM
26/01/2016
Minnesota Timberlwolves @ 1,63 LOSS
Dallas Mavericks @ 4,67 LOSS
Denver Nuggets @ 1,33 WIN
Los Angeles Lakers @ 8,87LOSS


For tonight:
27/01/2016
Sacramento Kings @ 2,59
Orlando Magic @ 4,06
New York Knicks @ 2,00
Miami Heat @ 3,87
New Orleans Pelicans @ 3,15
Philadelphia 76ers @ 3,28
Portland Trail Blazers @ 1,90


I modified a bit my model, let's see!
55  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: NBA Statistical Methods for Predicting: test phase! on: January 27, 2017, 12:12:08 AM
Cavs lost @ 1.10 but Philly won @ 6.38 that saved the day. You lost from the lowest odd and won from the highest. I still don't understand how you calculate outcomes, can you tell us more about which statistics you use to make this method?

For now, I don't want to explain the techniques, we are talking about a model in costant evolution, maybe in the next future if it's going to work...

Tonight's predictions:

26/01/2016
Minnesota Timberlwolves @ 1,63
Dallas Mavericks @ 4,67
Denver Nuggets @ 1,33
Los Angeles Lakers @ 8,87


Good luck to all  Cool

Ahahah!
Careful if you get too much results right you gonna have a huge freaking fanbase here ^^
I'm keeping an eye on your thread too.
Don't disappoint us :p

I hope so! Cheesy
56  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: NBA Statistical Methods for Predicting: test phase! on: January 27, 2017, 12:10:29 AM
For now, I don't want to explain the techniques, we are talking about a model in costant evolution, maybe in the next future if it's going to work...

Tonight's predictions:
26/01/2016
Minnesota Timberlwolves @ 1,63
Dallas Mavericks @ 4,67
Denver Nuggets @ 1,33
Los Angeles Lakers @ 8,87

Fair enough. I'll just follow you for picks then.
What about odds? Where do you find these high odds? I checked Dallas and it has 4.40 odds, you have 4.67. Lakers has 8.40 odds, you have 8.87. I might change to sportsbook you use.

I checked the odds just before posting on nitrogensports.eu Wink
57  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: NBA Statistical Methods for Predicting: test phase! on: January 26, 2017, 07:57:40 PM
Cavs lost @ 1.10 but Philly won @ 6.38 that saved the day. You lost from the lowest odd and won from the highest. I still don't understand how you calculate outcomes, can you tell us more about which statistics you use to make this method?

For now, I don't want to explain the techniques, we are talking about a model in costant evolution, maybe in the next future if it's going to work...

Tonight's predictions:

26/01/2016
Minnesota Timberlwolves @ 1,63
Dallas Mavericks @ 4,67
Denver Nuggets @ 1,33
Los Angeles Lakers @ 8,87


Good luck to all  Cool
58  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: NBA Statistical Methods for Predicting: test phase! on: January 26, 2017, 11:00:46 AM
Cleveland Cavaliers @ 1,10 LOSS (I was not sure in adding this pick, the model gave me a good confidence but too low considering the odd)
Houston Rockets @ 1,57 LOSS
Miami Heat @ 1,66 WIN
Golden State Warriors @ 1,16 WIN
Atlanta Hawks @ 1,80 WIN
Philadelphia 76ers @ 6,38 WIN
Oklahoma City Thunder @ 1,84 WIN
Dallas Mavericks @ 1,56 WIN


SUMMARY:
6 W - 2 L - 2,08 Average ODD
59  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: NBA Statistical Methods for Predicting: test phase! on: January 26, 2017, 10:48:42 AM
I have a suggestion for you mate. If you want to make your prediction thread to be visited by many sports bettor here.

Try to make some color coding, you can use these Bold, Italic, Underline, Strikethrough and other BBCodes here to make your thread colorful.

Since there are a lot of sports bettor here, btw good luck to your predictions.

Thanks for these precious advices.
60  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: NBA Statistical Methods for Predicting: test phase! on: January 26, 2017, 10:47:26 AM
I try to follow every NBA tipster here so I'll check you out too but I don't understand your tactic based on your first picks. You picked Philly with 6.38 odds and picked others as favorite. From which stats you used to pick Philly here? Milwaukee is  21-23 and they are playing at home. Philly is 16-27 now. Philly also has 4 players missing this game.

As stated in the first post, for now my model doesn't take into account missing players or similar, for this match it returned a good confidence on a Philly's win (also considering the high odd).
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