NBA Statistical Methods for Predicting: 177 bets / 54% / 2,45 Av Odd / +45,02u

[Crazy rider89]

26/01/2016
Minnesota Timberlwolves @ 1,63 LOSS
Dallas Mavericks @ 4,67 LOSS
Denver Nuggets @ 1,33 WIN
Los Angeles Lakers @ 8,87LOSS

For tonight:
27/01/2016
Sacramento Kings @ 2,59
Orlando Magic @ 4,06
New York Knicks @ 2,00
Miami Heat @ 3,87
New Orleans Pelicans @ 3,15
Philadelphia 76ers @ 3,28
Portland Trail Blazers @ 1,90

I modified a bit my model, let's see!

[vella85]

Even though last night was a loss overall you are still in profit. I took your tips last night but with the dogs I went with them to cover the spread and got 1 from 2 as the Mavericks were unable to cover the spread but the Lakers did as they were +12.5 I'll be putting bets on your tips again tonight as everyone has a bad day betting on sports so hopefully tonight that turns around.

[Crazy rider89]

27/01/2016
Sacramento Kings @ 2,59 LOSS (they lead all the time, and they lost at overtime  )
Orlando Magic @ 4,06 LOSS (bad game for magics)
New York Knicks @ 2,00 WIN
Miami Heat @ 3,87 WIN
New Orleans Pelicans @ 3,15 WIN
Philadelphia 76ers @ 3,28 LOSS (lost for 5 point, damned Harden and its 51 points  )
Portland Trail Blazers @ 1,90 WIN

Not bad tonight....
(If you have bet usign asian handicaps, you will probably get 6 over 7.)

[vennali]

27/01/2016
Sacramento Kings @ 2,59 LOSS (they lead all the time, and they lost at overtime  )
Orlando Magic @ 4,06 LOSS (bad game for magics)
New York Knicks @ 2,00 WIN
Miami Heat @ 3,87 WIN
New Orleans Pelicans @ 3,15 WIN
Philadelphia 76ers @ 3,28 LOSS (lost for 5 point, damned Harden and its 51 points  )
Portland Trail Blazers @ 1,90 WIN

Not bad tonight....
(If you have bet usign asian handicaps, you will probably get 6 over 7.)

Harden went crazy last night. He scored 51 points, 13 rebounds, 13 assists, 2 steals and a block. That was regular season MVP worthy performance. It cannot get any better than this with such a complete performance.  Great bet on Pelicans to win over San Antonio Spurs. I would have never guessed it.

[Crazy rider89]

Results until now:


N. Bets 19
Balance   +7,65 units   
Perc Win   57,89%   
Av Odd   2,88   
Av Winning Odd   2,42   
Av Losing Odd   3,53

[Crazy rider89]

Here we have new predictions:

Sacramento Kings @ 3,70
Miami Heat @ 2,48
Milwaukee Bucks @ 1,94
Denver Nuggets @ 2,34
Memphis Grizzlies @ 3,52

I'm glad to introduce a new prediction model on Over/Under bets, these are the points predictions:
GSW vs LA Clippers - Over 224
Phoenix vs Denver - Under 231
Utah vs Memphis - Over 189,5

Good luck to all guys!

[vella85]

27/01/2016
Sacramento Kings @ 2,59 LOSS (they lead all the time, and they lost at overtime  )
Orlando Magic @ 4,06 LOSS (bad game for magics)
New York Knicks @ 2,00 WIN
Miami Heat @ 3,87 WIN
New Orleans Pelicans @ 3,15 WIN
Philadelphia 76ers @ 3,28 LOSS (lost for 5 point, damned Harden and its 51 points  )
Portland Trail Blazers @ 1,90 WIN

Not bad tonight....
(If you have bet usign asian handicaps, you will probably get 6 over 7.)

Pretty good result last night mate and even though the Kings let you down you were still able to turn out a profit for the night which is the most important thing when it comes to betting on sports. I agree people should take the spreads if they are worried about betting at the money line. Asian handicaps are most likely the best choice like you said but as I use DirectBet I'll just bet on the points spreads.

[rexxarofmoknathal]

Nice! Care to share what sort of approach you're using for this?

You should check these guys out : https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2017-nba-predictions/?ex_cid=rrpromo

FiveThirtyEight does a lot of reporting based off statistics and prediction models. They have an NBA prediction model that they go really in depth as to how they build. You could possibly take a look and see if you can implement any of their approaches to your own. It's also just a very interesting read, especially for those of you that are interested in this sort of stuff

[Ipwich]

Here we have new predictions:

Sacramento Kings @ 3,70
Miami Heat @ 2,48
Milwaukee Bucks @ 1,94
Denver Nuggets @ 2,34
Memphis Grizzlies @ 3,52

I'm glad to introduce a new prediction model on Over/Under bets, these are the points predictions:
GSW vs LA Clippers - Over 224
Phoenix vs Denver - Under 231
Utah vs Memphis - Over 189,5

Good luck to all guys!

Looks like your prediction will cash out again tonight, most of them are winning bets except the Milwaukee Bucks. But to be honest, you impressed me with your selection, your losing bet is not garbage, the Bucks rally to bring the game to OT but unfortunately they lose in OT. Good job bro!

[vella85]

Here we have new predictions:

Sacramento Kings @ 3,70
Miami Heat @ 2,48
Milwaukee Bucks @ 1,94
Denver Nuggets @ 2,34
Memphis Grizzlies @ 3,52

I'm glad to introduce a new prediction model on Over/Under bets, these are the points predictions:
GSW vs LA Clippers - Over 224
Phoenix vs Denver - Under 231
Utah vs Memphis - Over 189,5

Good luck to all guys!

Looks like your prediction will cash out again tonight, most of them are winning bets except the Milwaukee Bucks. But to be honest, you impressed me with your selection, your losing bet is not garbage, the Bucks rally to bring the game to OT but unfortunately they lose in OT. Good job bro!

Yeah things are looking really good at the moment with the Bucks the only team to let us down. A big hit on the Kings winning and also the Heat. And so far the Nuggets and Grizzlies are looking in good shape to also pull off wins and the over/under bets won one so far with the GSW/Clippers game easily going over and it looks like the Suns/Nuggets will go under but the Jazz/Grizzlies will be a close call and that's the one I put a bet on lol Anyway it will be another great result for you op.

[shanem]

Here we have new predictions:

Sacramento Kings @ 3,70
Miami Heat @ 2,48
Milwaukee Bucks @ 1,94
Denver Nuggets @ 2,34
Memphis Grizzlies @ 3,52

I'm glad to introduce a new prediction model on Over/Under bets, these are the points predictions:
GSW vs LA Clippers - Over 224
Phoenix vs Denver - Under 231
Utah vs Memphis - Over 189,5

Good luck to all guys!

Looks like your prediction will cash out again tonight, most of them are winning bets except the Milwaukee Bucks. But to be honest, you impressed me with your selection, your losing bet is not garbage, the Bucks rally to bring the game to OT but unfortunately they lose in OT. Good job bro!

Yeah things are looking really good at the moment with the Bucks the only team to let us down. A big hit on the Kings winning and also the Heat. And so far the Nuggets and Grizzlies are looking in good shape to also pull off wins and the over/under bets won one so far with the GSW/Clippers game easily going over and it looks like the Suns/Nuggets will go under but the Jazz/Grizzlies will be a close call and that's the one I put a bet on lol Anyway it will be another great result for you op.

Your predictions are really good. You only lost two games out of your 8 games. I am impressed you managed to pick two winners at high odds. Care to share your insights your picks for the games? I only bet on over points for NBA games.

[Crazy rider89]

Here we have new predictions:

Sacramento Kings @ 3,70 WIN
Miami Heat @ 2,48 WIN
Milwaukee Bucks @ 1,94 LOSS
Denver Nuggets @ 2,34 WIN
Memphis Grizzlies @ 3,52WIN

I'm glad to introduce a new prediction model on Over/Under bets, these are the points predictions:
GSW vs LA Clippers - Over 224 - 2,00 WIN
Phoenix vs Denver - Under 231- 2,00 LOSS
Utah vs Memphis - Over 189,5 - 2,00 WIN

Good luck to all guys!

Another great night fellas!
I don't know if it is working or I'm just (very) lucky

Summary, moneyline:
N. Bets    24
Balance   +14,69 Units
Perc Win   62,50%      
Av ODD   2,87   
Av Winning Odd   2,58   
Av Losing Odd   3,35

Over/Under:
N. Bets    3
Balance   +1 Unit
Perc Win   66,67%      
Av ODD   2   
Av Winning Odd   2   
Av Losing Odd   2

[Crazy rider89]

Let's start with today's matches:
Moneyline:
Atlanta Hawks @ 1,37
New Orleans Pelicans @ 1,90
Orlando Magic @ 4,94
Philadelphia 76ers @ 3,59
Dallas Maversicks @ 8,57 (only for brave betters )
GSW @ 1,25

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Atlanta Hawks - Under 211
Cleveland Cavaliers - Under 219,5
New Orleans Pelicans - Under 220,5
Toronto Raptors - Over 208,5
San Antonio Spurs - Over 197
Portland Trail Blazers - Under 230,5

Good luck guys!

[shintosai]

Let's start with today's matches:
Moneyline:
Atlanta Hawks @ 1,37
New Orleans Pelicans @ 1,90
Orlando Magic @ 4,94
Philadelphia 76ers @ 3,59
Dallas Maversicks @ 8,57 (only for brave betters )
GSW @ 1,25

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Atlanta Hawks - Under 211
Cleveland Cavaliers - Under 219,5
New Orleans Pelicans - Under 220,5
Toronto Raptors - Over 208,5
San Antonio Spurs - Over 197
Portland Trail Blazers - Under 230,5

Good luck guys!

this mavericks odd is really tempting if the twist of nba will work we will be lucky but i think little amount of btc would be okay trying to make a good earnings good luck mate.

[Viscore]

Let's start with today's matches:
Moneyline:
Atlanta Hawks @ 1,37
New Orleans Pelicans @ 1,90
Orlando Magic @ 4,94
Philadelphia 76ers @ 3,59
Dallas Maversicks @ 8,57 (only for brave betters )
GSW @ 1,25

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Atlanta Hawks - Under 211
Cleveland Cavaliers - Under 219,5
New Orleans Pelicans - Under 220,5
Toronto Raptors - Over 208,5
San Antonio Spurs - Over 197
Portland Trail Blazers - Under 230,5

Good luck guys!

You have an impressive record tonight mate, you almost hit perfect your over/under bets. This is something that you should continue to do, I'll be watching this like the other sports enthusiast. I like it because you choose to bet on NBA games, it's my game too.

[Crazy rider89]

Thanks guys for the support!

Did you enjoy the Dallas Mavericks winning tip at 8,57?

[Crazy rider89]

Let's start with today's matches:
Moneyline:
Atlanta Hawks @ 1,37 WIN
New Orleans Pelicans @ 1,90 LOSS
Orlando Magic @ 4,94 WIN
Philadelphia 76ers @ 3,59 LOSS
Dallas Maversicks @ 8,57 WIN (only for brave betters )
GSW @ 1,25WIN

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Atlanta Hawks - Under 211 LOSS
Cleveland Cavaliers - Under 219,5 WIN
New Orleans Pelicans - Under 220,5 WIN
Toronto Raptors - Over 208,5 WIN
San Antonio Spurs - Over 197 WIN
Portland Trail Blazers - Under 230,5WIN

Good luck guys!

4/6 for Moneyline and 5/6 for Under/Over: +24,82 units for Moneyline and +5 units for Under/Over



If I helped you in making some money, send me a tip. It will help me to continue working on predictions: 1PMt1YawEdZ4M8TpvGKMY9iNjsTbEuQgoD.
 

[ralle14]

Nice wins I want to ask if how many units you put on each pick and how big is a unit for you? I'll be watching this thread to follow you starting today.

[Crazy rider89]

Nice wins I want to ask if how many units you put on each pick and how big is a unit for you? I'll be watching this thread to follow you starting today.

Until now, I didn't add the stake but every tip is considered with 1 unit as amount betted. For instance, if I used for my picks a unit of 0.01btc, I would receive 0.24btc for the ML bets and 0.05btc for Over/Under bets.

[Crazy rider89]

For tonight there are few interesting matches:
Moneyline:
Philadelphia 76ers @ 2,01

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Miami Heat - Under 217,5
Dallas Mavericks - Over 208,5
Phoenix Suns - Over 209,5

Good luck!