Bitcoin Forum
May 04, 2024, 04:16:29 AM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 27.0 [Torrent]
 
  Home Help Search Login Register More  
  Show Posts
Pages: « 1 2 [3] 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 »
41  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin at LewRockwell.com on: July 24, 2010, 04:01:38 PM
LRC site seem to be full of strange, loony, or simply alternative ideas, at least that what I heard from another libertarian. (To be honest, bitcoins is probably perceived as loony to the rest of the population)

But it's still nice to know that bitcoin is being covered.

I don't read LRC or refer others to LRC, myself, for that reason. However, I find that sites such as Mises.org are able to present these same ideas in a way which can be communicated effectively to mainstreamers without coming across as "kooky" or "loony".
42  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Faster initial block download (5x faster) on: July 24, 2010, 03:54:55 PM
Nice; perhaps it's only necessary to immediately flush transactions that are "self-originated"; i.e. if you spent or received some money?
43  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Would you run a client with a built-in "tax"? on: July 24, 2010, 03:49:47 PM
Interesting replies.

I don't have such a client -- just to clear that up.

What I'm getting at is this:  If BTC were highly valued, and a very clever-but-selfish developer had an exceedingly fast client (say, someone gets CUDU running on all cylinders, or hand-crafts SSSE3 for i7), would they be better off retaining the program for their exclusive use (during inflation), or offering it for 'sale' by effectively charging a fee for every find.

I suspected it would be more profitable to distribute it with a small fee, but the reception sounds a bit... less favorable.

The difficulty would just goes up and make it harder for you to generate bitcoins.

But it would go up less if you were the one with the fast client and everyone else had "normal" clients. If you distributed such a fast client to everyone, then yes, the benefit would cancel out.
44  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: The MOST Important Change to Bitcoin on: July 24, 2010, 03:47:48 PM
- No dependencies.
- A better way of handling "dust spam" than just forbidding those transactions for now. I anticipate problems with this in the future.
- The difficulty should be automatically reduced to the previous level if no blocks are produced for x hours.
- I'd like "complete" documentation: all non-trivial parts of the source code written in English.

I think the existing economic model is perfect.

^^^

+ complete server/client seperation, and an independent way of storing BTCs for the purposes of importing and exporting. I've also read that if someone has 50 BTCs, exports them, and then spends 1 BTC, then ALL 50 BTCs backed up are no longer valid. The backup tool should therefore ideally have a good way of visualizing this.
45  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Different architecture proposal? on: July 24, 2010, 03:40:50 PM
I've been thinking exactly along these lines.  The main bitcoin process should NOT be tied to the UI at all (and, while a wxWidgets UI is a great way to bootstrap the project, it's NOT a good solution for the long term).

In fact, I'd go so far as to say that one of the next major steps for the bitcoin system is two fold:
  • Create a proper spec of the protocol (if one exists outside of the source code at this point, I haven't found it)
  • Create a second, independent implementation of the protocol

Without a second, independent implementation, you can't be sure that the protocol is correctly documented.

Perhaps the "reference" implementation (which we're all currently using) doesn't need to change, but if I were designing a bitcoin client, it's be structured a LOT differently than the current client.

I also agree with this. I've brought up the point in the past; the question is likely developer resources. If you guys are willing, go ahead and start working on this; I'm sure satoshi won't refuse the help Smiley
46  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Bitcoin x64 for Windows on: July 24, 2010, 03:36:45 PM
There is a speedup for me, but it is not faster than the ubuntu 64-bit version. I am surprised; with SSE2 I expected it to fly :S
Yeah, my Linux 64bit systems still have the leg up on my windows servers, even with this optimization that is made that speeds them up by 50%, seems Linux still rules the roost for coin generation speed.

Most of my coin generation comes from my Linux servers more than my windows servers, it's about a 1 to 4 ratio, for every 4 blocks made by my Linux servers, 1 will be made by one of the windows servers.

that's not an indicator of performance mind, block generation is pure luck, it's the hashes per second that mean something.
Yes, sorry, I left that part out, the Linux servers (same hardware) always generate higher khash/s than the windows machines, at least mine do. Your mileage may vary.

On my desktop, I have a dual boot between Ubuntu and Windows 7. The SSE2 build brings Windows 7 speeds up to around the same as the Ubuntu build.
47  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Scalability on: July 24, 2010, 03:34:19 PM
What's funny?

A server lying about whether or not your transactions are valid would be like your ISP lying about whether or not your HTTP requests are valid or not.

If they lie, you'll very quickly find another service provider (or download a Bitcoin iPhone app that doesn't suck and say that your transactions are invalid).

If you are a merchant and the server tells you that your transaction with a certain client is valid when in fact it is not, then the goods or services you provide, you provided for free. Now suppose this person buys a Ferrari... You're screwed. And that's, in fact, one of the well known types of attacks: an attack on trust. You will of course find another service provider, but the damage will already be done.

If you are a merchant, you will be your own server, no? Now if your own server gets hacked somehow with a dummy placed in between, this could be a problem...
48  Economy / Economics / Re: Deflation on: July 24, 2010, 03:29:44 PM
deflation of house prices is a bad thing because houses are bought on credit.  Deflation of car prices would be bad as well, and for the same reasons.  If you have a loan which is guaranteed by something which is worth less than the loan then the temptation is to walk away from the loan.  This either leads to possible severe losses for banks or inescapable debt, depending on the structure of debt in society.

The idea here is that with 'sound money', such an unsustainable amount of credit would not have been extended in the first place, and there would be no sudden and inevitable deflation during a time of massively increased indebtedness.

If deflation is more or less steady and predictable, then I don't see why it wouldn't be factored accordingly into interest rates.  This is done all the time in today's inflationary environment.

Yep, Babylon is referring to a credit boom which eventually leads to a credit bust. He is right that it is "bad" when things bust, but he must also then recognize that the "bad" began when credit was extended too easily in the first place, driving up prices in the first place.

Without such easily available credit, prices wouldn't go as high in the beginning, and it would be easier to save up and purchase goods with savings instead of credit. The problem with a credit bubble is that as prices go higher, more credit is required to purchase the assets, which drives up the prices, which requires yet more credit.

Under sound money, credit would be limited by savings and investment, and the nature of sound money means that as society gets wealthier and goods get cheaper in real terms, they also get cheaper in nominal terms as well. Price deflation is a good thing whether you're a creditor or debtor. If you borrow money and prices get cheaper due to an increase in total wealth, it means that your share of the pie is fixed. You borrow 1% of the pie, you pay back 1% of the pie. You don't start out owing 1% of the pie and end up having to pay 10% of the pie.

This is instead a problem of monetary deflation. If the supply of money decreases while the total wealth in society remains fixed (or also decreases), then what happens is that if the borrower borrowed 1% of the pie (i.e. one house), and prices declined by 90% due to a large credit bust, the borrower would end up having to pay back 10 houses to the creditor. The problem here is that the price decrease is due to a monetary contraction, not an increase in society's wealth. Therefore, he actually has to pay back 10% of the pie. This is where the imbalance comes into play.

The difference between these two forms of deflation (and the circumstances under which they arise) is where many people get tripped up. They look at Bitcoin, see that it is price deflationary, and then attribute all the problems of monetary deflation when they are talking about two different things.
49  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Bitcoin x64 for Windows on: July 24, 2010, 12:01:28 AM
There is a speedup for me, but it is not faster than the ubuntu 64-bit version. I am surprised; with SSE2 I expected it to fly :S
50  Economy / Economics / Re: Bitcoins and Philanthropy on: July 23, 2010, 04:21:00 PM
How would that work?  How do you distribute money over all existing bitcoins? >_>

See my EDIT

Put a high priced bid (eg $100 per coin) into the market place and let it filter through ... first come first served ...

Haha, please do Wink

Won't this just end up with the philanthropist buying up all the Bitcoins?

This is actually an interesting way that the government (or some rich dude, for that matter) could take over Bitcoin:

1) Print up a few million dollars
2) Purchase Bitcoins using grossly exaggerated bids.
3) Destroy said Bitcoins

It's expensive (and stupid), but it would distort the markets for sure.
51  Economy / Economics / Re: Bitcoins and Philanthropy on: July 23, 2010, 04:19:07 PM
How would that work?  How do you distribute money over all existing bitcoins? >_>

See my EDIT

Put a high priced bid (eg $100 per coin) into the market place and let it filter through ... first come first served ...

Haha, please do Wink

Won't this just end up with the philanthropist buying up all the Bitcoins?
52  Economy / Economics / Re: Deflation on: July 23, 2010, 04:15:25 PM
It really isn't about houses. Deflation makes the value of all commodities go down.

Three years ago, there were few "dollar menus" at fast food restaurants. They exist because in deflationary times, people are striving to hoard what cash they have. Which makes it hard to pay the restaurant employees, which makes prices drop where they spend their money.

In deflationary times you want to hoard cash. That is why when we bailed out the big banks, they continued to refused to make new loans. You can't loan money for people to buy assets that diminish in value. Collateral disappears and people default because they legitimately don't have the ability to pay back the loans.

Give people something today that will be more valuable tomorrow and they'll hoard it.
Give people something today that will be less valuable tomorrow and they'll trade it.

P.S.: I have no ideal what "sound money" means. Put I presume you think you'll be better off under bitcoins monetary policy than you would under existing systems. Isn't that a bitcoin windfall?

I believe you are confusing monetary deflation and price deflation.

Monetary deflation: The supply of money collapses, usually because far too much money was created in the first place. This situation sucks, but is a necessary adjustment since the previous boom wasn't real. We are seeing some of this today.

Price deflation: The amount of real goods and services in the economy increases, relative to the supply of money. Therefore, you need less money to purchase these goods. This is a net win for you, and for society, because there is more real wealth to go around. People don't default, hoard, or stop consuming in this situation; in fact, the increased production ultimately allows for increased consumption.

Under Bitcoin, price deflation will be the predominant factor.

You need to understand the difference between the two. The word "deflation" simply isn't enough to go on, and most of the negative things you hear about deflation are related to monetary deflation, usually under the circumstances of a credit bust.
53  Economy / Economics / Re: Deflation on: July 23, 2010, 04:10:25 PM
Really, if you are living in California, Nevada, Arizona or Florida you already understand deflation is bad. It really doesn't need to be explained to you. If you are from out of town, home prices have fallen almost 50% in many of those areas.

That "deflation" is actually great for young people looking to buy a new home. The housing prices never should have been so high in the first place.

In fact, if housing prices dropped to $1 (but the quality was the same), that would be even better for society as a whole. Imagine how easy it would be to get a house, then. Arbitrary paper numbers are not real wealth.

54  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Official Bitcoin Unicode Character? on: July 22, 2010, 03:38:17 PM
looks nice

I agree I also like newliberty's one lol

Are these also diacreticals? They appear normal.
55  Economy / Economics / Re: On Hoarding on: July 22, 2010, 03:12:47 PM
I'm not going to get chance to reply properly until this evening, but just want to say a few quick things.

I'm very much pro-currency competition - I'm a huge fan of Hayek's Denationalisation of Money. If Bitcoins stay as they are, I fear they will lose out to other currencies, which will do a better job as 'money'. If you read the aforementioned, you will see that Hayek thinks that the best monies may track a basket of goods - to keep the price roughly constant. That could best target of all, but without formulating a way to measure and maintain this, keeping a rough handle on supply vs demand for a currency is the next ideal. In short, I'm all for competition, but avoiding obvious limitations would help prevent a new currency quickly becoming obsolete... if we want to see Bitcoins thrive, rather than one of its successors, then we would be wise to consider this.

I think we just need to be clearer on the differences between price deflation and monetary deflation. The first is a good thing, the second is not. Many of the issues that you raise are actually issues that occur under the second, not the first.

I certainly don't mind if someone implements a commodity currency that tracks a basket of goods; indeed, I believe a more resilient digital economy will come about if people use more than one currency. The trouble lies in exchanging said currency for the basket of goods, which is the advantage of something like Bitcoin.

As I've said before, there is nothing wrong with Bitcoins becoming a digital commodity, but I don't believe this will be the best, most stable money. There is much scope for competition to prove this too. I think we all agree that we want stable money though, right?

P.S. I am a software engineer, with a passion for economics. If I had more free time, I would consider developing some friendly competition. I have few too many plates spinning as it is though!

Haha, I know the feeling. I hope I don't seem like I'm trying to come down hard on you, because I'm not, but I want to be sure that we're actually arguing over the same thing so that I can properly respond to you. Not only in my opinion, but substantiated by many bodies of works, the most stable money is one that avoids both monetary deflation and monetary inflation. This is achieved both by having currency competition (so that good money can be chosen over bad) and by having sound money whose supply remains stable, in order to not redistribute the pie. When both factors are in place, it will be difficult to have a huge inflationary credit run up that then leads to a huge deflationary bust. You need exogenous forces such as legal tender to really make that happen.

If you were to say that Bitcoin's slight monetary deflation is a slight problem, I'd agree with you. Until we find a better solution, though, I think we can deal with it by ensuring robust replication and backup solutions.

Price deflation, however, is not a problem. We need to be very clear on the differences between the two before we can continue the debate, because I feel you're linking the two when they shouldn't be linked.
56  Economy / Economics / Re: On Hoarding on: July 22, 2010, 03:03:41 AM
If 10 people on an island have a gold coin each and only use these to trade with, what happens when an 11th person arrives on the island? Will the value of the gold coins increase, decrease or stay the same?

Why are you asking the question? What does the answer tell us? I can't read your mind, so I don't know why you think that an expansionary supply is good and a fixed supply is bad.

It's a simple question - do you think the value of the gold coins increase, decrease or stay the same? Once you give the forum an answer, then we can take the next step together.

I'm not really interested in beating around the bush. I'm still waiting for you to tell me why your proposed solution is better than the current system in place, and how it will avoid pitfalls such as distortions through inflation.


Consider the same example where they don't have to trade in gold. Would the 11th person try to use an alternative money?

Surely he can exchange his labour in return for gold or whatever else he needs?

How about if another 9 people joined the 11th man on the island, each without any gold. There are now 20 people, each in competition for 10 gold coins, which only the original 10 owned. What has happened to the value of the coins? There are two options and a bunch of shades of grey in between:

1. Demand for the gold coins doubles, meaning that the owners can exchange their coins for twice as much labour/stuff.
or
2. The new 10 guys will use something else instead of gold, such as silver, seashells or whatever.

In scenario 1, you have made the original 10 people very wealthy, simply because they were on the island first. In scenario 2, gold has been displaced as the only currency, with an alternative being used by the new islanders.

You may say 'and? what's your point?' The point is that you either end up with the early adopters gaining disproportionately, just for being in the right place at the right time. Alternatively, you end up with numerous currencies, which have to be exchanged to do business - it also becomes more confusing for the layman, to have lots of different monies, with different (and likely fluctuating) exchange rates.

So the extra islanders exchange their labour in return for goods, and prices drop; again, what is the issue here? Are you proposing we just grab what belongs to the current islanders and give it to the newcomers? There's nothing wrong with the newcomers satisfying their demand by performing labour in exchange for other goods of value.

Would it not simply be better to design a currency which ebbs and flows with the user base? This negates the need (although doesn't rule out) for lots of competing currencies. It also means that new comers to the island can at least mine their own (gold in this example) coins, to give them a more even starting point.

I don't know how many more ways I can explain the same thing, so I hope this outlines the options and outlines my point.

You need to explain it in more than just "It's my hunch that this would be better. It would be better, no?". Couldn't you back it up with a bit more than "I think this is better because it feels better"? How do you propose actually implementing such a system, and how does it lead to a more efficient market and more total wealth?

You either take the approach that you're going to have competing, fixed quantity monies, or you try to let a single currency flex with the user base. Sure, you can have competing currencies (indeed, should). However, if you can use a money which can be flexible to the user base, it makes life easier. I'd suggest reading Hayek's Denationalisation of Money.

I've read plenty of Austrian theory, thanks, and agree with much of it. Most of the ideas are better than what we have to put up with now, but we have a chance to make a better system than using simple commodity money.

You have yet to tell us why what you are proposing would be a better system, and what is wrong with the system as it is.

You've given a value statement, but you haven't explained why the number of coins needs to grow with the user base; what's the reason behind it? What bad things will happen if things are not changed in the way that you suggest? How do you suggest implementing this? How do you decide how much every new user should get?

I'd like a system where I have to deal with as few currencies as possible. I'd like to be able to see the price of something this year and know it will be roughly (external factors, like oil/energy, famine excluded) the same price in several years from now. This would help me plan and prepare for the future. It also helps businesses do the same.

What will happen if things aren't done this way? You may end up with a bubble (ponzi style) or you may just end up with many currencies. Neither is ideal, for the reasons I outline above.

How do I plan on implementing this? Coin minting rates could adjust to the number of active nodes in the swarm - the bigger the swarm, the more coins could be minted. There may be more nuanced ways of doing this, but I'm most concerned with the theory; getting the theory wrong may doom the technology needlessly (it's great tech, IMO). If everyone agrees on a theory, then more thought can be pushed into the implementation of it.

How do you decide how much every new user should get? If each node can mint new coins at the same rate as the founder users, then the number of coins should grow as the user base does. Early adopters would still have an advantage, as they will have had more time to accumulate coins, but it gives new entrants a better chance - it has more balance. It is very much like how the current Bitcoin base is growing, but with a more dynamic approach and with no hard limit.

Why not implement both systems and let the customer decide? You say you don't like competing currencies, but competition is the only way that the weak ideas get weeded out and the strong ideas survive. Competition is how the customer is better served! There's no need for a monopoly or a winner-take-all, not even for Bitcoin Wink

Additionally, we are starting from a point of obscurity - hardly anyone has heard of or use Bitcoins. Do you think Bitcoins would become popular if the supply was already fixed and no more minting could occur? If you limit supply prematurely in 10 years, it would have just as terminal an affect as if you did it now.

I believe that if Bitcoins become popular and are being used 10 years from now, their quality of stability will add, rather than detract, to their attractiveness. There is no guarantee that this will happen, but, independent of all other factors, monetary stability is a plus.

I'll repeat this question, as it's important: do you think Bitcoins would become popular if the supply was already fixed and no more minting could occur? I will assume you will say no (please let us know), but this will contradict your position - if you are going to fix the supply, it will have a similar (although less extreme) effect whether you do it now or in the future.

The point is, we all want monetary stability. By not increasing the supply with the user base, this will not be achieved though - that's my whole point.

I made the point earlier on that the coins must be distributed in some fashion. If we were to fix the supply now, who would have the rest of the coins? Maybe we should have fixed it at 0 coins? Obviously, when you start from a base of 0, you do need to have some inflation to bring the system into existence. This type of inflation is based on resources expended to create the system and there is not necessarily much profit in doing so, since it takes real resources to be done. We can argue the different ways we can create the system, and I don't mind doing so; I don't claim that the current way is perfect, though I do think it's a heck of a lot better than monopolizing the means of creation.

The current way gives plenty of time for new users to help create the currency, thus encouraging adoption. It helps prevent scenarios such as the first 100 forum members grab 100 of the coins, thus other users don't see any point in buying coins since there isn't much of a market for them, and they can't generate them themselves. The whole point of coin generation is to get around this chicken & egg problem and function as a demand generator, to help grow the network. This is why we don't fix the supply now, but we fix it once the demand to trade for Bitcoins far exceeds the demand to generate them, because a whole ecosystem has grown up around the currency.

Eventually, though, once the market reaches critical mass -- and Bitcoin is far from there right now, but is doing better than any other similar idea that I've seen -- once it reaches a point where market supply and demand is self-sustaining, then there is much less of a need to seed the network in this fashion, as it is now able to stand on its own. Once the initial supply is large enough that Bitcoin is able to perform all of the functions of money adequately, then there is no further need to expand it beyond that point, other than perhaps a precision increase for future proofing.
57  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Legal Tender on: July 22, 2010, 02:09:07 AM
Due to the 8 places of divisibility, there will actually be a last "coin generating" block (someone else figured it out).  However, there WILL be transaction fees to further incentivize block generation.

In 100 years, a new coin block generated will be worth 0.000001490116119384765625 bitcoins (give or take a few on the last digits of accuracy).  That is still within the 8 places of divisibility.  It will take quite some time before the value of a newly generated bitcoin completely drops off the face of the universe, and with some of the ideas for bitcoins that have been suggested for extended precision values, that could take even longer.  It may not be worth the processing effort to create new coin blocks, but there will be new coin blocks for quite some time in the future as long as somebody cares to make them.

At least in theory, there isn't an end in sight for when the last coin block will be created, and certainly not on a practical level.  If Bitcoins is still active and in use in 100 years, I would be very much surprised.

Something that I'm curious about actually; is the process of processing transactions / generating new coins the same? I can see the rationale for compensating for transactions at some point, because the cost to generate a new bitcoin will at some point exceed the additional value gained from said bitcoin.
58  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Bitcoin x64 for Windows on: July 21, 2010, 07:09:30 PM
Don't worry, getting BTC now requires supercomputers, clusters and/or botnets  Wink

Counterexamples, with Khash/s noted, welcome  Smiley

Regular old BTC client running on ubuntu (2150-2500 khash/sec) managed to produce a block last night Wink

My 300 khash laptop got lucky and produced one the first day I used Bitcoin.
59  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Official Bitcoin Unicode Character? on: July 21, 2010, 06:43:04 PM
Interesting, though it doesn't seem to work with your user name? Is the star burst supposed to appear over the D? For me, it appears after the D; I'm using Google Chrome on Windows.

There's also the possibility of using the Combining diacritical marks to cobble something together. I did this with the D in my user name, but haven't found something that'd really work as Bitcoin symbol, mostly because the symbols don't seem to line up properly:

B ̳     B ̶     B ⃦     B ⃝


Edit: Found a regular Unicode character that may work, although it doesn't look that good at small sizes:

       
       

60  Economy / Economics / Re: Get rid of "difficulty" and maintain a constant rate. on: July 21, 2010, 06:34:50 PM
...

The reason for doing the above, is not to create an inflationary environment, but to keep the number of coins relative to the user base. Failing to do this, will put deflationary pressure on the currency; remember, increasing the demand (number of Bitcoin users) for the currency, is the same as decreasing the quantity (of coins in a fixed Bitcoin user base). If you want to retain a steady, neutral, value of Bitcoins, then this needs to be considered.

Why would we want to retain a steady, neutral value of Bitcoins? This would mean we would artificially decrease the value of each Bitcoin when more of them were demanded, and artificially increase the value of each Bitcoin when less of them were demanded. This seems completely inverse to what supply & demand is telling you.

The point is to retain the same value. With a limited supply, but growing demand, each coin is going to be worth more. Companies, and individuals, want to know that 1 Bitcoin will be worth roughly* the same now as in many years to come. This makes business and personal planning easier.

How does it make business and personal planning easier?

If the global population was steady and everybody used Bitcoins, having a steady supply makes sense. This isn't where we are though - we have a growing Bitcoin user base, which needs more Bitcoins to match this.

Again, why? It's not enough to say "we should do this because we should."

* Don't mistake this to be some CPI, price index type tracking (like central banks have attempted over the last decades) - this is just about total coin and user quantities. The reason price index tracking is flawed, is that it is trying to measure the near impossible, because peoples' propensity to spend or save changes all the time. However, it is simple to consider why price stability is important (future planning) and it also follows that more Bitcoin users fighting for a constant Bitcoin supply is going to affect the price (think supply/demand).

Ok, I'm glad to see that we see eye to eye about CPI and related measures. However, first, how does maintaining a Bitcoin/user ratio maintain price stability, and second, why is it more desirable than a fixed supply?

Therefore a constant rate relative to the user base would be ideal. ...

Ideal in which sense?

In keeping 1 Bitcoin worth roughly the same 1, 5 or 10 years later, to help future planning (and therefore, business/savings/security etc) as mentioned above. If you have a growing Bitcoin user base, but a fixed Bitcoin supply, 1 Bitcoin will be worth more YoY. The holder of the Bitcoin would be made more wealthy from doing nothing. This isn't a great basis for a vibrant economy.

The real kicker? The only way demand will grow in the above scenario, will be if the newcomer thinks that there will be someone coming in after him (or they have just assumed 'prices only go up', perhaps because 'there are only so many bitcoins out there'). Classic pyramid/bubble stuff.

He's not made wealthier for doing nothing. He's made wealthier for making the decision to hold Bitcoins in expectation of increasing demand. This is not "doing nothing". At every moment he must make a decision, "Should I continue to hold on to my Bitcoins? Or are my needs and purposes better served by spending them in exchange for something else?"

There is also no guarantee that he will be made wealthier. If too many people hoard, then it will be hard to buy Bitcoins, which means that less people will use Bitcoins, which means that the value of Bitcoins will go down, which means that the hoarders ultimately lose out. The value of Bitcoin is not set in stone; it is determined by what people are willing to exchange for it. This is a self-correcting equilibrium.


I'm sure an algorithm could be formulated to achieve the above, with the constant rate not being so high as to be inflationary - the target would be to keep the number of coins proportionate to the user base, thus creating 0% inflation*.

How is 0% inflation defined?

B = Bitcoins
U = Bitcoin users

Inflation = B/U

In other words, the number of bitcoins should be proportionate to the number of bitcoin users.

Ok, now we have a metric. You are proposing that the ratio of Bitcoins to users should remain constant. Why would this be superior to the current system? How would you determine the # of users? How would you distribute the coins?

[NOTE: There may be an argument for the minting rate to track 'GDP' or some such - perhaps based on the number and value of transactions taking place?

GDP is a poor and unreliable indicator. How would you track the number and value of transactions taking place? How would you quantify non-monetary aspects of the transaction, that can only be measured subjectively by the actual players involved?

It's why I suggested there may be an argument. I'm fairly certain that the number of Bitcoin users would be the better metric. However, the swarm would surely know how many transactions were taking place, should this be a useful metric.

If people are economically active enough to have their node minting coins, maybe the user base may be sufficient/better in creating stability. This is probably another debate in itself, but the above point needs to be agreed on first.]

I'm sorry, but I don't agree. I've seen a lot of "we should do this and that" with no backing arguments. I'll need a little more than just assertive statements to be convinced. Smiley

Just think it through. I'm sure there are papers on this, but it's just a logical chain of thought - new users competing for existing coins will create additional demand, per coin. Either new users simply won't bother to use Bitcoins or they'll buy in, hoping the price will continue to rise... until one day it doesn't and the value crashes.

If you want Bitcoins to be the best money, then the supply needs to flex with the user base (demand). If you just want them to become a digital commodity, then expect there to be swings in demand and value, which would make it less preferable as money.

I can't read your mind; I'm sure you are convinced that what you are proposing is a great idea, but you need to formulate this in writing. You make statements such as "Bitcoins will be the best money if the supply flexes with the user base", but that doesn't actually explain anything to me. You are telling me what you think, but not why you think that way.

If the value crashes because people speculated and drove the value too high, then what's wrong with that? That's how things should work. Would you prefer that oil prices still be near $200 a barrel? Some speculators lost out, again, so what?

"If you just want them to become a digital commodity, then expect there to be swings in demand and value, which would make it less preferable as money."

How would fixing it to the # of users alleviate this, and how could we accurately measure this? Why are swings in demand and value a bad thing? If anything, they are how a market, through the collective actions of individual players, allocates capital most efficiently. This is based on the axiom that every trade is made in order to make each individual player better off. If Bitcoins rise and fall in value, there are good reasons for it, and we should not try to "hide" this or fight against it.
Pages: « 1 2 [3] 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 »
Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!