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1  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: Bitcoin mining in Germany on: July 21, 2021, 08:53:08 AM
I managed to get industry electricity from a nearby company which costs around 0.05 EUR kWh. Do you think the project could be more feasible now?

It is a lot more feasible with 6 cents that's for sure, this rate is the average for the industry and thus your chances of making a profit increased by a few orders of magnitude, what I don't like about this business plan is the S19 pro part, it's way overpriced and since you can get 6 cents per Kwh that is sort of an edge which you have to make use of, people with free power buy T9+ which is about 10$/th, those with 1-2 cents buy S9s which costs about 14$/th today, so paying $10,000 for S19 pro at a cost of $90/th is without a doubt a terrible idea, let's just make a simple assumption that whatever the ROI that shows now is going to be shifted by 50%.

S19 pro ROI = 10,000/ 770 = 13 months * 1.5 = 19 months > terrible.
M20s (used) ROI =3500 / 390 = 9 months * 1.5 = 13 months > bad.
T17 (used)  ROI = 1700/ 250 = 6.5 months *1.5 = 10 months > not so bad.

*These are based on 6 cents Khw, prices in China + 300-500$ for shipping and duties, the T17 is a terrible gear, it was just there in the reseller list I got recently so I used it

But you get the point I suppose.

Of course, you can go to as low as S9, ROI will be $300/60 = 5 months * 1.5 = 7.5 months, but then it will be a bit risky because if the price drops a bit of difficulty goes up a bit that 60 bucks will disappear and you will start losing, unlike the S19 pro which has a ton of room for profit, these are some of things you need to consider, there is no right or wrong about it, it all depends on your risk management.

Other important factors such as failure are also important, investing 10k in a single gear means that if one hash board is dead, you lose about 3k worth, investing in 3k gear you only lose 1k worth, of course investing in 10k gears means less work and easier management, but everything comes at a cost.

Also, the availability of mining gears in your country is very important, for example, if you want to be in the mid-range risk and go with say M20s, but then find out it will cost you 7k instead of 3.5k, then the S19 pro will be a lot better, if you get lucky and find S9i/S9js for 200$ then ROI is only 5 months and thus might be worth taking the risk, I can't tell you what gears to buy ( don't buy any 17 series from Bitmain because they have high failure rate).

The 1.5 factor isn't something you can count on, it's just a speculation, if your risk tolerance is strict, make it a factor of 2, if you are a risk-taker, you can just work with a factor of 1, there is really no perfect model that fits everyone, I can't tell you what to buy and when to buy, but I hope I gave you the key points which you need to consider before entering the business.




Good news: I spoke with the CEO of the company and they use around 84mio kwh per year that's why they have really cheap contracts with the energy provider. They only pay 0.03-0.04 kwh EUR.

First of all thanks a lot for your detailed answer! I'm a newbie and appreciate your thorough thoughts on my project. As I said I'm a newbie so I don't know which mining equipment could be the best to be profitable in the long run but I think it's a great opportunity if you have access to such cheap energy costs. I chose the S19 pro because I did some research and thought it is the best gear out right now. Please let me know if I'm wrong or if you know a better alternative. I also know that it's important to get it for a reasonable price, which I'm looking for atm. Again, I think the 0.03-0.04 cents are a great deal and opportunity to go for mining, but if you don't think so please let me know.
2  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: ETH mining in Germany with Innosilicon A11 Pro on: July 20, 2021, 06:12:59 PM
Thanks all for the answers! Small update on the costs: I managed to get 0.05 EUR kWh electricity costs from a nearby company. But still, I guess ETH is not worth it to mine, but what about BTC? If I buy antminer S19 pro, which are still available for about 8-10k EUR, I could make a decent profit as passive income per year at such low kWh costs. What do you think?

Regarding BTC hashrate, keep this in mind. Currently the hashrate is lower than usual because of China banning bitcoin miners. So many miners shut down their farms and are either relocating their farms or just selling them off to other people.

So what this means is that the previous ATH hashrate will most likely return in the near future. Because those ASICs are still profitable and someone, somewhere will buy them and turn them on again.

So you need to run your calculations on a higher difficulty has a the one that we had a few months back.

Let's just see what happens if the difficulty would jump to 30T before I have payed back my investment:
(((((550.000.000.000.000* 6.25 * 600 * 65535) / 2^48) / 30.000.000.000.000) * 6 * 24) * 0.99) *365 = 0.83 BTC/year

For the yearly electricity costs:
17Kw * 24h * 365 days * 0.05€/kwh = 7,5k€

So basically, if I estimate what the bitcoin price would be in 1 year, for instance 50k multiply this with 0.83, then substract 7500€ I'll see how much income I have made. Now I have to see if this income is sufficient to pay back my initial costs for mining hardware. According to my calculations I would make 34k EUR in one year if the BTC price goes up to 50k again as well as the Diff to 30k. I think it all depends on the BTC price, because if the initial investment for hardware costs are 60k and I only make 34k profit per year, I need almost two years to breakeven. Does this calculation make sense for you?

ROI for the s19 is 3 or more years if you buy it for 8 - 10k. Innosilicon ETH miner is also not worth the money. Your problem is, you think it is so easy to get your money back, but you will only buy ASIC for horrible price. You must also pay tax in germany -> you must register a company and so on.
And again your electric price is not possible in germany -> if you get 0.05 cent than it is scam -> in our company we need 500 000 kwh in 1 year and our price is with all taxes, EEG and so is 0,22€.

Okay, I get your first point. But, first of all I already have a company and second the electricity costs are not scam. I get the electricity costs from the company of my father, who only pays 0.05 kWh EUR (thanks to good contracts with the energy provider, since his company uses a lot of energy per year). Regarding the taxes: the Htax factor in my county is 300%, meaning that if I make 38k Eur in profit I have to pay 7765€ Einkommensteuer (personal income tax) + 1417€ Gewerbesteuer (commercial tax), which makes 9182€ in total taxes paid after one year and would still leaves a profit of about 20-30k EUR IF Diff goes back to 30k and the BTC price only increases to 50k. Last part confirms your first statement of ROI = 3 years.

So I asked the CEO and the company uses 84mio kWh per year and they get electricity costs of 0.3-0.4 kWh EUR, even better than 0.05 kWh
3  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: Bitcoin mining in Germany on: July 20, 2021, 05:16:54 PM

----- Lot's from mikeywith ------

Hey there, thank you for your detailed respond! Appreciate it Smiley

I figured out that 0.16 EUR kWh is way to much so I managed to get industry electricity from a nearby company which costs around 0.05 EUR kWh. Do you think the project could be more feasible now? I found a British website offering antminer s19 pro for about £7,399.99 each - https://coinminingcentral.com/collections/frontpage/products/bitmain-antminer-s19-pro-110-th-s?rfsn=1704384.5cfb1b . The website seems reliable. If I buy now 5 Antminer S19 pro for a price of 8500 EUR, my initial investment (+cables, shipping costs, etc.) would be 50-60k EUR, do you think it could be profitable or do you think I should get rid of the idea? Because these electricity costs of 0.05 kWh are tempting...

Is there a limit on how MUCH of that .05 EUR/Kwh is available at the location you chose? How about cooling at that location? How about noise produced by the miners at that location? Is there Internet access available? I would expect that with five S19 Pro you'll need wiring for at least 20 Kilowatts of electricity.

I ask these questions since I didn't see anything about the TYPE of business (Industrial, Office, Manufacturing, etc) that might have problems supporting a mining operation.

The company is in the poultry industry. They only process Category III abattoir byproducts from poultry there, meaning the production is already pretty noisy. There is internet access available (pretty good one). There is no limit on the 0.05 kWh/EUR since the company already uses a lot of energy so they have really good contracts with the energy provider. They have special cooling deposits for their products where I could set up the ASICS etc.
4  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: ETH mining in Germany with Innosilicon A11 Pro on: July 20, 2021, 05:12:26 PM
Thanks all for the answers! Small update on the costs: I managed to get 0.05 EUR kWh electricity costs from a nearby company. But still, I guess ETH is not worth it to mine, but what about BTC? If I buy antminer S19 pro, which are still available for about 8-10k EUR, I could make a decent profit as passive income per year at such low kWh costs. What do you think?

Regarding BTC hashrate, keep this in mind. Currently the hashrate is lower than usual because of China banning bitcoin miners. So many miners shut down their farms and are either relocating their farms or just selling them off to other people.

So what this means is that the previous ATH hashrate will most likely return in the near future. Because those ASICs are still profitable and someone, somewhere will buy them and turn them on again.

So you need to run your calculations on a higher difficulty has a the one that we had a few months back.

Let's just see what happens if the difficulty would jump to 30T before I have payed back my investment:
(((((550.000.000.000.000* 6.25 * 600 * 65535) / 2^48) / 30.000.000.000.000) * 6 * 24) * 0.99) *365 = 0.83 BTC/year

For the yearly electricity costs:
17Kw * 24h * 365 days * 0.05€/kwh = 7,5k€

So basically, if I estimate what the bitcoin price would be in 1 year, for instance 50k multiply this with 0.83, then substract 7500€ I'll see how much income I have made. Now I have to see if this income is sufficient to pay back my initial costs for mining hardware. According to my calculations I would make 34k EUR in one year if the BTC price goes up to 50k again as well as the Diff to 30k. I think it all depends on the BTC price, because if the initial investment for hardware costs are 60k and I only make 34k profit per year, I need almost two years to breakeven. Does this calculation make sense for you?

ROI for the s19 is 3 or more years if you buy it for 8 - 10k. Innosilicon ETH miner is also not worth the money. Your problem is, you think it is so easy to get your money back, but you will only buy ASIC for horrible price. You must also pay tax in germany -> you must register a company and so on.
And again your electric price is not possible in germany -> if you get 0.05 cent than it is scam -> in our company we need 500 000 kwh in 1 year and our price is with all taxes, EEG and so is 0,22€.

Okay, I get your first point. But, first of all I already have a company and second the electricity costs are not scam. I get the electricity costs from the company of my father, who only pays 0.05 kWh EUR (thanks to good contracts with the energy provider, since his company uses a lot of energy per year). Regarding the taxes: the Htax factor in my county is 300%, meaning that if I make 38k Eur in profit I have to pay 7765€ Einkommensteuer (personal income tax) + 1417€ Gewerbesteuer (commercial tax), which makes 9182€ in total taxes paid after one year and would still leaves a profit of about 20-30k EUR IF Diff goes back to 30k and the BTC price only increases to 50k. Last part confirms your first statement of ROI = 3 years.
5  Local / Mining (Deutsch) / Re: BTC Mining in Deutschland mit Antminer S19 Pro bei 0.05 kWh EUR on: July 20, 2021, 12:23:39 PM
Die Masterarbeit hatte als Oberthema den Titel: "Ist Bitcoin Geld?" Also ob Bitcoin als Zahlungsmittel genutzt werden kann (von Unternehmen, Zentralbanken sowie Privatpersonen etc.), langfristig gesehen. Ich versuche es die Tage mal zu verlinken.

und wo gibts in deutschland 5cent all in? abgesehen man ist kraftwerkbesitzer...

Bei einer Nachbarfirma die Kat 3 Fleisch verwertet und in Futtermittel umwandelt. Günstige Verträge denk ich.

Aber ich glaube kaum das du dann auch diesen günstigen Strom bekommen würdest, schon gar nicht wenn man neu auf dem Markt kommt.
Naja und das die Nachbarfirma die dann eine Leitung rüber schmeißt denke ich wird auch nicht passieren zumal du ja eine Menge und wirklich eine Menge Strom verbrennen wirst.

Der Geschäftsführer der Firma ist ein Familienmitglied, ich dürfte sogar die Miner bei ihm in der Firma für umsonst in den Kühllagern aufbauen, er hat mir versichert dass ich zugang zu 0.05 kWh habe, also nehme ich ihn da mal beim Wort, er muss es ja wissen.
6  Local / Mining (Deutsch) / Re: BTC Mining in Deutschland mit Antminer S19 Pro bei 0.05 kWh EUR on: July 20, 2021, 11:43:12 AM
Die Masterarbeit hatte als Oberthema den Titel: "Ist Bitcoin Geld?" Also ob Bitcoin als Zahlungsmittel genutzt werden kann (von Unternehmen, Zentralbanken sowie Privatpersonen etc.), langfristig gesehen. Ich versuche es die Tage mal zu verlinken.

und wo gibts in deutschland 5cent all in? abgesehen man ist kraftwerkbesitzer...

Bei einer Nachbarfirma die Kat 3 Fleisch verwertet und in Futtermittel umwandelt. Günstige Verträge denk ich.
7  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: ETH mining in Germany with Innosilicon A11 Pro on: July 20, 2021, 09:21:51 AM
Thanks all for the answers! Small update on the costs: I managed to get 0.05 EUR kWh electricity costs from a nearby company. But still, I guess ETH is not worth it to mine, but what about BTC? If I buy antminer S19 pro, which are still available for about 8-10k EUR, I could make a decent profit as passive income per year at such low kWh costs. What do you think?

Regarding BTC hashrate, keep this in mind. Currently the hashrate is lower than usual because of China banning bitcoin miners. So many miners shut down their farms and are either relocating their farms or just selling them off to other people.

So what this means is that the previous ATH hashrate will most likely return in the near future. Because those ASICs are still profitable and someone, somewhere will buy them and turn them on again.

So you need to run your calculations on a higher difficulty has a the one that we had a few months back.

Let's just see what happens if the difficulty would jump to 30T before I have payed back my investment:
(((((550.000.000.000.000* 6.25 * 600 * 65535) / 2^48) / 30.000.000.000.000) * 6 * 24) * 0.99) *365 = 0.83 BTC/year

For the yearly electricity costs:
17Kw * 24h * 365 days * 0.05€/kwh = 7,5k€

So basically, if I estimate what the bitcoin price would be in 1 year, for instance 50k multiply this with 0.83, then substract 7500€ I'll see how much income I have made. Now I have to see if this income is sufficient to pay back my initial costs for mining hardware. According to my calculations I would make 34k EUR in one year if the BTC price goes up to 50k again as well as the Diff to 30k. I think it all depends on the BTC price, because if the initial investment for hardware costs are 60k and I only make 34k profit per year, I need almost two years to breakeven. Does this calculation make sense for you?
8  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: Bitcoin mining in Germany on: July 20, 2021, 07:49:15 AM
which cost me around 0.16 kwh EUR. I know it's not as cheap as in the US but still it's a pretty good deal for living in Germany.

If it's a good deal in Germany, you might want to figure out a way to sell that power you generate, but with 19 cents kWh you can't possibly profit from mining.


Quote
According to my calculation as of right now I would be break even in a lil more than a year and after that the calculation says I'll make profit at around 50k Eur if the BTC price is not increasing (which I doubt).

Price can go both ways for years, the difficulty only goes up in the long run (facts are in the charts), your profit will decrease every month more often than not, all these online calculators are misleading, people who bought S19 pro 6 months ago were also looking at a 1 year ROI, it's now still 1 year ROI, they are not even remotely close to ROI.

Quote
costs for the investment would be 65k and the calculations say the machines will produce more than 2.4 BTC in one year

Where did you get that 65k from? you said S19 pro, today it costs 8.8k in China, so without tax or shipping it's already 70k, with tax, shipping, wiring, and whatnot you will be closer to a 100k than 65k, and no, 8 S19 pro will not make you 2.4 BTC in one year, you have better chances to walk on the moon than making 2.4 BTC with 8 S19 pro in a year.


Quote
So here's my question, do you think I should go for it?

This is investment advice, and telling you to go for it ( like the first post which is terrible advice) or not, isn't something anyone should do, but if you ask it in a different way, you might get an answer, if I were you, I would NOT go for it.

There are a dozen topics that discuss mining vs buying bitcoin vs keeping your money in the bank, just search the forum and you will find many, some folks who usually never owned mining gear might tell you to invest, most of the folks who know how mining actually works in terms of business - will tell you you should not even think about it.

I am 100% sure you will end up losing money? of course not, but it's an easy bet, you are more likely to lose money than not, I'd say it's easily 20% vs 80%, I would be very surprised if you end up making a profit.

See mining isn't like other businesses where you can expect an increase in demand, if you start a coffee shop tomorrow, you are likely going to benefit from the increasing demand for coffee, more people grow up and want coffee, so the competition factor is not so huge, with mining, however, the rewards are fixed, and they only go down in time, so the competition factor is everything, then comes the question, who are you competing with?

You are competing against people who

1- Have FREE power
2- Very cheap power rate
3- Access to cheap mining gears
4- Pay no tax on income
5- Pay no tax on import
6- Pay $5 an hour for a certified electrician 
7- Pay $3 an hour for someone to install/maintain the miners

And the list goes on and on, every point here counts, these points are like the weapons you take with you to the battle, the more the better, being in Germany you don't have access to cheap gears, you have to pay import and income tax, you can't hire an electrician for $5 an hour, you are going to war with your bare hands, the odds of winning are extremely low.



Hey there, thank you for your detailed respond! Appreciate it Smiley

I figured out that 0.16 EUR kWh is way to much so I managed to get industry electricity from a nearby company which costs around 0.05 EUR kWh. Do you think the project could be more feasible now? I found a British website offering antminer s19 pro for about £7,399.99 each - https://coinminingcentral.com/collections/frontpage/products/bitmain-antminer-s19-pro-110-th-s?rfsn=1704384.5cfb1b . The website seems reliable. If I buy now 5 Antminer S19 pro for a price of 8500 EUR, my initial investment (+cables, shipping costs, etc.) would be 50-60k EUR, do you think it could be profitable or do you think I should get rid of the idea? Because these electricity costs of 0.05 kWh are tempting...
9  Local / Mining (Deutsch) / Re: BTC Mining in Deutschland mit Antminer S19 Pro bei 0.05 kWh EUR on: July 19, 2021, 06:42:46 PM
Die Masterarbeit hatte als Oberthema den Titel: "Ist Bitcoin Geld?" Also ob Bitcoin als Zahlungsmittel genutzt werden kann (von Unternehmen, Zentralbanken sowie Privatpersonen etc.), langfristig gesehen. Ich versuche es die Tage mal zu verlinken.
10  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: ETH mining in Germany with Innosilicon A11 Pro on: July 17, 2021, 09:28:26 AM
Thanks all for the answers! Small update on the costs: I managed to get 0.05 EUR kWh electricity costs from a nearby company. But still, I guess ETH is not worth it to mine, but what about BTC? If I buy antminer S19 pro, which are still available for about 8-10k EUR, I could make a decent profit as passive income per year at such low kWh costs. What do you think?
11  Local / Mining (Deutsch) / Re: BTC Mining in Deutschland mit Antminer S19 Pro bei 0.05 kWh EUR on: July 16, 2021, 08:35:26 PM
Denkt ihr es würde sich lohnen bei solch niedrigen Strompreisen und der aktuellen Difficulty?

Ich habe mir jetzt nicht die Mühe gemacht deine Werte in die Berechnung bei whattomine.com einzugeben denn die jetzige angezeigte Profitabilität ist trügerisch.
Die aktuelle Difficulty sollte bei deinen Überlegungen keine Rolle spielen. Es gab auf Grund des Mining-Ban in China einen großen Drop in der Hashrate des Netzwerks und dadurch eine sehr große Anpassung der Schwierigkeit nach unten. Vermutlich wird es nochmals etwas runter gehen am Wochenende, aber langfristig wird der alte Wert ziemlich schnell zurück kommen sobald die Miner Ihrer Geräte an einem neuen Standort wieder in Betrieb nehmen und dann wird es halt wieder langsam immer weiter steigen wie vorher auch.
Schau dir einfach mal die Charts an...

https://www.blockchain.com/charts/difficulty
https://www.blockchain.com/charts/hash-rate



Danke ich kenne die Charts, habe meine Masterarbeit darüber geschrieben. Ich erwarte ja auch, dass die Difficulty wieder ansteigt, genauso wie der BTC preis (meine Meinung). Dennoch habe ich noch nie zuvor mining betrieben in DE und wollte daher wissen ob es profitabel sein kann auch wenn die difficulty wieder ansteigt (weil nur 0.05 EUR kWh).
12  Local / Mining (Deutsch) / BTC Mining in Deutschland mit Antminer S19 Pro bei 0.05 kWh EUR on: July 16, 2021, 03:04:22 PM
Hallo Leute,

Ich überlege momentan ein BTC mining business aufzuziehen, da ich Zugang zu Industriestrom von 0.05 EUR kWh habe. Mein Plan wäre es 5 Antminer S19 Pro zu kaufen (+Power supply etc.) wobei ich mit einer Investition von 45k EUR ausgehe als Startkosten. Laut online Berechnungen auf whattomine.com wäre es profitabel, allerdings sind dort nicht Instandhaltungskosten, Ausfälle von Geräten, DIfficulty Change und BTC price change inbehalten.

Was haltet ihr davon? Denkt ihr es würde sich lohnen bei solch niedrigen Strompreisen und der aktuellen Difficulty?

Beste Grüße
13  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: ETH mining in Germany with Innosilicon A11 Pro on: July 16, 2021, 11:57:35 AM
NOTE FROM https://www.innosilicon.com

Fraud websites:
innosilicon.shop & innosilicon.us.com & innosilicon-a10-pro.com & innosilicon.company & innosilicon.shopping & innosiliconmining.tech & innosiliconSHOP.com & innosiliconMINERS.com & innosilicon.website & innosilicon.co.uk & innosiliicon.com & inņosilicon.com & innosilicon.online

Thank you! Adjusted my post
14  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / ETH mining in Germany with Innosilicon A11 Pro on: July 16, 2021, 09:40:42 AM
Hello Community,

I was thinking of buying 4x Innosilicon A11 Pro 8 GB for ETH Mining. I got access to industry electricity costs in Germany, so I get 0.16 EUR kWh. IF I get original Innocilicon miner my initial investment including cables etc. would be around 20k EUR.

According to the calculation of https://whattomine.com/coins/151-eth-ethash?hr=8000&p=10000&fee=1.0&cost=0.2&hcost=20000&span_br=1h&span_d=24&commit=Calculate I would break even in about 60 days.

What do you think? Is it still worth to invest in ASICs for ETH mining, especially in Germany? I would like to hear opinion from experienced miners preferably Smiley Would be really nice if you could send me reliable websites where I can buy the ASICs from.

Best regards
15  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Combining BTC mining with Zcash Mining in Germany on: July 16, 2021, 09:17:32 AM
You put some number in a online calculator , and based on that what you saw there, you think its worth to start a mining business to mine zcash and BTC with GPU ? with a electricity price of 0.16 EUR kWh Huh OMG ...
Please do a little bit more research on this Wink dig just a little bit deeper Wink

First , please read my post from 2017 , there is a lot of useful information there , especially about mining calculators Smiley
MY Post from 2017 is HERE

After you read that few line there , there is another good reading for you from 2021 , with some updated information Smiley
Updated Info 2021;)

Thank you! Appreciate your post. I was just thinking about it, I already did my own calculations and worst case scenario analysis. This showed me that BTC mining with ASICs is not profitable in Germany right now, only under perfect conditions, meaning no ASICs are breaking, no tremendeous rise in difficulty and a huge rise in the price of BTC. Otherwise my ROI would be at around 410 days, which is a lot actually if you think that your business will not be profitable the first 1-2 years.

First where you get 0,16€ for the kWh in germany? Is not possible.
Second 0,16€ is to much when we go in the real bear market like the last 3 years. You need under 0,05€ to get profit in bear market -> not possible because the EEG only costs 0,065€.

Think green and buy an enerkite to produce your own electricity  Grin

It is possible if you have access to industry prices. My friend has several biogas plants and he gets 0.16 EUR kWh from his provider.
16  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Combining BTC mining with Zcash Mining in Germany on: July 14, 2021, 01:39:30 PM
You put some number in a online calculator , and based on that what you saw there, you think its worth to start a mining business to mine zcash and BTC with GPU ? with a electricity price of 0.16 EUR kWh Huh OMG ...
Please do a little bit more research on this Wink dig just a little bit deeper Wink

First , please read my post from 2017 , there is a lot of useful information there , especially about mining calculators Smiley
MY Post from 2017 is HERE

After you read that few line there , there is another good reading for you from 2021 , with some updated information Smiley
Updated Info 2021;)

Thank you! Appreciate your post. I was just thinking about it, I already did my own calculations and worst case scenario analysis. This showed me that BTC mining with ASICs is not profitable in Germany right now, only under perfect conditions, meaning no ASICs are breaking, no tremendeous rise in difficulty and a huge rise in the price of BTC. Otherwise my ROI would be at around 410 days, which is a lot actually if you think that your business will not be profitable the first 1-2 years.
17  Bitcoin / Mining / Re: BTC mining in Germany on: July 08, 2021, 09:21:04 PM
The moment you see 0.16euro/kwh....
~snip~
That's dreaming, back in October, we were at 20T and the price was 10k!

I wrote as an answer to one of the duplicates of this thread, but OP didn't want to listen.
It's not only that 16 eurocents is expensive; it's also that the calculations made now, while the difficulty is temporarily low, which may easily mislead him.

Thank you, your points make absolutely sense! Just oversaw your first answer, sorry.
18  Bitcoin / Mining / Re: BTC mining in Germany on: July 08, 2021, 09:11:51 PM
I'm not a specialist here, but i did have a quick glance at your table.

What i'm concerned about is that your worst case scenario isn't what i would pick as a worst case scenario...
Also, i don't see your power bill into this picture, everything is calculated in USD and EUR, so it's very hard for me to see if you included this factor into your calculation.

You do have a scenario where your diff increases to 25T, but you couple it with a 47% price increase.
You also have scenario's with a price decrease, but you couple it to a "mild" difficulty inrease.
And you don't take into account those antminers tend to break quite often and only have a 3 month warranty (if you buy them brand new).

Also, i started searching for place where you could buy an S19 pro. They weren't sold by bitmain anymore (apparently), and the few seamingly reputable stores that still had them in stock asked prices ranging from 8000€ to 15000€/piece. I'm not sure if you'd be able to buy 8 S19 pro's + cables + shelves + network + PSU + A/C + import tax + S&H for 56.000€

Now, for what it's worth, i would probably go for a different "worst case" scenario:
8 miners * 8000 € =64.000 €
21% import tax = 13.000€
S&H, shelves, PSU's, cables, A/C, fans, switches,... = 5000€
fixing machines, keeping the running for > 2 years, replacing broken ASIC's = 15000€

total hardware cost =~ €100k

total power draw = 26 Kw

total hashrate = 880 Th/s

Difficulty => we know there's enough hardware out there to push the diff back up to 25T. We also know the year prior to China's decision, the difficulty had an increase of ~7T in one year. Since your ROI will defenately be more than 1 year, i'd go for an average difficulty of 30T. You have to realize the odds are pretty big that turned off hardware falls into the hands of somebody mining at a much cheaper power rate than you, and this person will probably buy thousands of second hand units making the price he pays per unit a lot cheaper than you buying 8 or 10 units.

Price => Eventough the price might rise (it's actually very probable), we're making a worst case scenario here... The current price is ~$32k, but the price has drastically decreased in the past aswell... so let's assume the bottom price is €20k in >2 years

Let's see our income in one year, with a writeoff for your hardware of 2 years :
Hardware costs: €50k
Power costs: 26Kw * 24h * 365 days * 0.16€/kwh = ~€36,5k
Total cost: €86,5k

Income @ 880Th, 30T diff, including a 1% pool fee:
(((((Hashrate (hashes/sec) * average block reward * 600 * 65535) / 2^48) / Difficulty) * 6 * 24) * 0.99) *365
(((((880.000.000.000.000* 6.25 * 600 * 65535) / 2^48) / 30.000.000.000.000) * 6 * 24) * 0.99) *365 = 1.33 BTC/year

That's an income of ~€26k/year. That's not enough to pay your electricity costs...


Now, once again: this is my worst case scenario... It's a little far fetched, but not impossible...


Thank your very much for your detailed answer and the provided calculation, definitely opened my eyes. Appreciate it. So, in conclusion, BTC mining is in your opinion not worth it in Germany as far as the electrcity costs stay > 0.10 kWh, right?
19  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Combining BTC mining with Zcash Mining in Germany on: July 08, 2021, 09:54:13 AM
Hey guys, I was thinking to start a small BTC and Zcash mining business in Germany at a cost of 0.16 EUR kWh for passive income. I used a calculation for a Zcash Crypto Mining Rig with 8x NVIDIA GTX 1080 and I was a little bit suprised by the profitability. This is the calculation: https://www.cryptocompare.com/mining/calculator/zec?HashingPower=256.32&HashingUnit=MH%2Fs&PowerConsumption=2400&CostPerkWh=0.19&MiningPoolFee=1

Is mining Zcash really that profitable??

Here is the picture of the calculation:

20  Bitcoin / Mining / Re: BTC mining in Germany on: July 08, 2021, 09:17:29 AM
Thank you for your detailed answer, I absolutely get your point! But, the only way to generate BTC for me is mining atm, banks in Germany won't give loans for buying speculative assets like BTC, rather you can get a loan for investing in machines for your business which I want to go for. Like I said, I did a scenario analysis, for different outcomes if the BTC price will rise or fall or if the difficulty adjustment goes back to +21%. All of them are profitable if you take a loan for 84 months. If you want to pay the loan back in the first year then only some of the scenarios are profitable.

I just want to make passive income with these machines, but please have a look and let me know what you think.

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