Bitcoin Forum
May 04, 2024, 12:55:13 AM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 27.0 [Torrent]
 
  Home Help Search Login Register More  
  Show Posts
Pages: [1]
1  Economy / Gambling / Re: BetKing.io is a blatant scam operated by Dean Nolan on: June 16, 2019, 01:29:26 AM
@rhavar

"I like to relive my former glory. Besides, it's also a bit of a civic service to try minimize the amount of people you can scam in the future."

Lol. We appreciate the community service. Your glory days may still be ahead of you!
2  Economy / Gambling / Re: Prediction Markets at Fairlay - Suggest your own and Bet on them on: March 24, 2016, 01:24:38 AM
It would be great if you added some of the major rowing events.

The Boat Race - Oxford vs Cambridge (March 27th, 2016) http://theboatraces.org/

The IRA National Championships - http://www.row2k.com/ira/
Last year's top 12 finishers would serve as the options:
1   WASHINGTON
2   CALIFORNIA
3   PRINCETON
4   BROWN
5   HARVARD
6   NORTHEASTERN
7   YALE
8   BU
9   NAVY
10   CORNELL
11   PENNSYLVANIA
12   COLUMBIA
3  Economy / Marketplace / Re: Stocks for bitcoin on: March 21, 2016, 01:59:20 AM
After further research, it looked like the regulatory burden would have been too great in my jurisdiction. Furthermore I started a new job which comes with its own responsibilities & obligations which may have created conflict of interest with this idea. Therefore, I abandoned the idea. Thanks all for the interesting feedback!
4  Economy / Marketplace / Stocks for bitcoin on: July 02, 2014, 09:29:04 PM
I'm considering buying stocks in a brokerage account and selling equivalent contracts for bitcoin. This would allow anyone to invest in equity markets without compromising their identity or jumping through hoops. My broker would verify the assets in my account, and I would publish an exhaustive list of my liabilities to demonstrate that I am solvent.

Would you be interested in such a service?

What price would you pay? (i.e. you would exchange $10X for a contract worth $100 of google stock. price = X%) I would have to cover my trading costs.
5  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Service Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: Just-Dice.com : Play or Invest : 1% House Edge : Banter++ on: June 09, 2014, 09:12:09 PM
The answer seems to be 284 million rolls.

The question isn't:

"how many rolls do we need so that I have a >50% chance of seeing a streak of length L or longer",

or

"how many rolls do we need so that the expected longest streak is of length L".

The question is:

"we have seen N rolls, what is my chance of seeing a streak of length L or longer?"

Which is kind of the same thing, but in the opposite direction, and apparently much harder to calculate.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1i545nMJFtALaiqaH8TTolcqBYj0DmnHr38Up0DElurM/edit#gid=1829191626

Solution for a streak of L = 28, for N rolls, in tab "L = 28". Add rows to increase N. Unfortunately sheets is limited to 400k rows. Perhaps another different program could use my formula to compute the answer for N = 357MM?
Pages: [1]
Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!