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1901  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: November 05, 2023, 09:02:16 AM
BREAKING: Real Madrid official statement on the Kylian Mbappé deal: Source
Real Madrid says that the information given in the media about the negotiations between the player Kylian Mbappé and our club is completely false. There have been no talks with players from PSG. Real Madrid had only one hope, and that is no longer in hand, meaning what happened in the negotiations between Kylian Mbappé and Real Madrid, which was revealed in the media, Real Madrid has categorically denied this information, saying that all the news that was published is fake.
After all that, there is nothing to say, so now Real Madrid doesn't need to put much more emphasis on bringing Kylian Mbappé. While now Visitor Osimen will be a good option for Real Madrid to give a place for contribution towards the club,
Lol! Real Madrid fans are still clamouring for a player who has been rejected multiple times.
Because talk about Mbappe and Madrid is always a hot headline, there must be a statement like this because we know that currently talk about Mbappe and Madrid is now busy again even in the last few discussions mostly discussing Mbappe and Madrid.

With statements like this from Madrid apart from closing down some of the possibilities that occur, this can also silence some of the media who only want traffic for them.
Now actually with the current conditions it has been answered that there is no need for a lot of speculation because we just have to wait until mid-season like what.
1902  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: November 05, 2023, 08:02:10 AM
However  Girona are now top of the points table with  31 points from 12 matches. This team has been able to  maintain continuity. Real Madrid is in second place with 2 8 points in 11 matches. And  Barcelona is in third place with 27  points from 12 matches. Barcelona is still far behind.
Girona did well to return to form with a comfortable win after a back-and-forth scoring campaign in yesterday's match but in the end they were still very consistent and managed to keep the 3 points for themselves.
Today we'll be looking at Madrid because given Atletico's shock defeat and Barcelona's struggles and even having to play until 90+2 to get a goal this week, it will be interesting to see what Madrid will show today.
Rayo aren't strong opponents but if you underestimate them it could be tricky especially as Madrid will want to do well at the Bernabeu as they need to reclaim the spot Girona took yesterday so I'm still pretty confident of 3 points for Madrid.
1903  Local / Ekonomi, Politik, dan Budaya / Re: Tiktok shop tutup apa ekonomi akan berubah ? on: November 04, 2023, 09:36:07 PM
Ya... ekonomi pasti berubah meskipun toko tiktok dibuka maupun ditutup.
Karna pada dasarnya ekonomi lokal maupun global pasti selalu berubah, namun perlu diingat bahwa perubahan itu ada yang baik ada pula yang buruk, signifikan kah atau tidak, yang jelas pasti selalu "berubah". Grin
Jika kita berujuk pada pertanyaan yang ada didalam topik ini, tentu perubahan yang akan lebih signifikan terjadi adalah di sektor para pedagang tertentu saja om, contohnya pada para pedagang yang tidak mengandalkan tiktok shop ketika mempromosikan barang dagangannya om. Meskipun sebagian para pedagang juga melakukan promosi lewat platform lain seperti shopee dan juga instagram dalam menarik para pelanggan barunya om, tetapi perubahan yang lebih buruk juga tidak akan langsung dialami oleh para pengguna Tiktok shop apabila mereka masih bisa memanfaatkan platform lainnya untuk berdagang.

Quote
Biasanya ekonomi selalu berhubungan erat dengan perubahan. Ekonomi mempertimbangkan perubahan dalam tingkat produksi, inflasi, permintaan, dan faktor-faktor lain yang memengaruhi aktivitas ekonomi. Perubahan ekonomi, seperti fluktuasi siklus ekonomi, perubahan dalam kebijakan pemerintah, dan perubahan teknologi, adalah subjek penting dalam studi ekonomi.
Perubahan di sektor ekonomi memang dapat dipicu oleh banyak halnya om, dan beberapa diantaranya adalah seperti yang om sebutkan itu. Namun ada juga pemicu lainnya yang dapat merubah kondisi ekonomi di berbagai bidang seperti halnya perang, kekacauan di sektor politik dan juga lewat kurangnya sumber daya alam yang biasanya dipakai sebagai bahan mentah produksi oleh banyak perusahaan dan pabrik di suatu negara. Namun pada kesempatan ini, kita hanya membicarakan tentang lapak atau lahan tempat perdagangan seperti Tiktok shop om yang hanya mempengaruhi perubahan pada sebagian para pedagang yang menggunakan platform tersebut.

Iya kan om jika mengacu pada pertanyaan diatas, TUTUP TOKO TIKTOK, APAKAH EKONOMI AKAN BERUBAH?
Jawab saya kan pasti "berubah" jelas berubah lah om, karna saya sesuai apa yang di tanyakan tadi, dan sebenarnya meskipun toko tiktok ditutup ataupun buka pasti "Ekonomi Berubah" soalnya yang namanya ekonomi berubah itu pasti berubah lah, baik secara perubahan rendah maupun tinggi, intinya kan Ekonomi tidak datar bukan.?
Contoh sederhana nya gini deh, jika toko diatas berdiri dari nol dan beberapa waktu kemudian mengalami peningkatan yang drastis, dan ketika banyak yang tidak setuju dengan adanya toko tersebut dengan berbagai alasan, lalu toko tersebut seakan-akan dibatasi bahkan ditutup, yang tadinya ada peningkatan dan setelah kejadian tersebut, toko diatas mengalami penurunan, bahan gulung tikar.
Bukankah itu yang namanya EKONOMI BERUBAH....?

Mohon koreksinya om jika pernyataan saya ini salah.
Terimakasih 🙏🙏

Memang ditutup ataupun tidaknya Tiktok Shop, yang namanya pasar dan ekonomi akan selalu mengalami perubahan. Namun kehadiran Tiktok Shop dianggap akan menjadi sebuah ancaman besar dan dapat merugikan beberapa pihak. sehingga dinalai dapat mempengaruhi pasar dan merubah konstalasi.

Kehadiran Tik tok ini sudah meramu setiap kalangan dimulai dari kalangan atas hingga bawah dan begitupun dengan orang-orang yang bermain di tik tok shop juga terpantau banyak. Sehingga besar kecilnya dengan ditutupnya fitur tersebut maka hal ini dapat mempengaruhi perekonomian yang sedang berlanjut dan ada beberapa artikel yang menyebutkan bahwa pengaruh tiktok shop dalam pangsa pasar ecomerse di kawasan Asia Tenggara ini mencapai angka 13 persen lebih. Dan itu adalah angka yang cukup tinggi untuk bisa mempengaruhi pasar dan juga bisa menjadi sebuah ancaman bagi beberapa platform yang serupa dan sudah memilki izin seperti Lazada, Tokped, Akulaku, Shopy dll. Dan
Dan tentunya dengan penutupan Tiktok shop ini sangat mempengaruhi kestabilan pasar ecomerse, Karena jika tiktok Shop ini tidak ditutup dengan segera, maka bisa saja yang menjadi Raja pasar E-comerrse di Asia tenggara ini adalah Tiktok Shop.
1904  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Demo vs Real slots on: November 04, 2023, 09:08:49 PM
My question is, why does the demo mode seem to pay more than the real mode, and has anyone else noticed this difference?

Obviously this is very different, because regardless of whether it is real mode or demo mode, both have been arranged as possible. The real mode has been arranged in such a way as possible so that it can still provide profits to the dealer.
and the actual function of the presence of demo mode slots is to further increase gamblers' curiosity about slot gambling games. and it is not a loss if the gambling platform has to provide multiple winnings in demonstration mode.
As an example; There was a man who really liked slot games, but one day because he didn't have enough money to play slot gambling, in the end he decided to play slots in demo mode and because he kept getting wins in the game, he thought that at this time he was lucky. is on his side. And this triggered him to take out a loan from his friend so he could play real slots, but it seemed like fate said otherwise where from the start of the game to the end of the game he didn't get any big or small wins at all and now he had to bear the losses he experienced and as soon as possible he had to pay off the loan to his friend.
1905  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Conclusion after losing millions! that games are rigged. on: November 04, 2023, 08:12:11 PM
what do you think about this? are games which are played by computers are rigged? don't answer like we play for fun, we are responsible, we are bitcoiner we know to verify bets, etc.

Will the more we bet guarantee that we will win? And will the more we increase the bet, the more we can guarantee that we will get a big win?

No matter how often or how big we bet, we can never guarantee that we will get a big win in the gambling we are doing, especially as you are telling us, it is a type of machine gambling game like slots and other similar games. And after all, the machine can be arranged in such a way as to not harm the owner and still make a profit even though it has given big wins to some of its visitors. This is gambling that depends on luck to win. This is different from card games where you can always increase your chances of winning, for example by improving your skills, knowledge and tricks to win the game. Likewise with sports betting, by betting here you will always be able to increase your chances of winning by continuing to improve your skills, analytical techniques, knowledge, information and the sharpness of your instincts in predicting matches. And it is said that soccer betting is the fairest type of gambling because the level of losses and wins is equal.

And starting from what I have mentioned above, this is where it is important to understand and determine what type of gambling you will play. Don't let it happen because we don't understand the type of gambling we are playing as well as the rules of the game, where because of this ignorance, in the end we will only blame the gambling platform when we experience continuous defeat. Even though we ourselves are too stupid because we don't understand the types of gambling and the rules of the game.
1906  Economy / Economics / Re: AI will put an end to work, says Elon Musk on: November 04, 2023, 06:59:35 PM
During an uncommon interview conducted by UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, the tech billionaire Elon Musk predicted that if AI is not regulated, there will be a time when no job will be needed. This means that AI tools would take over the entire work of men making paid jobs become reductant. He even claimed that humanoid robots might be a perfect friend for one of his sons who is having difficulty in having friends. I have always believed that regardless of how sophisticated these AI tools become, they will never replace humans. But hearing this prediction for an individual who has a full understanding of the AI sector is frightening. Elon Musk owns an AI company, xAI, that is competing with big AI firms like OpenAI, Google and Anthropic.

These comments can increase the fear and anxiety workers always had that these super-computers will replace them in future. What are your thoughts regarding the statement by Elon, do you think we should take him seriously?

With the presence of AI, of course this can provide certain benefits and can help and make it easier for us to do our work. However, AI not only brings benefits but also comes with threats. And one of the threats from the presence of AI is the potential replacement or loss of human jobs, especially in the manufacturing, banking and service sectors. So that people who work in this sector are threatened with layoffs which results in the number of unemployed continuing to increase.

And in responding to this problem, however, we cannot go against the development of the times "and will only die silly if we have to collide with such a big wave." But we also can't just sit around without doing anything. Before we completely lose the job we are enjoying now, prepare yourself to face all the possibilities that will happen in our lives, one of which is by continuing to increase our creativity and abilities so that we can have jobs that cannot be replaced by AI. And several observers have indicated that there are several types of jobs that cannot be replaced by AI, including; Artists, politicians, health workers, engineers, athletes and farmers. So before AI completely replaces our jobs, make sure that we have mastered one of the jobs that cannot be replaced by AI so that we always have the income to survive in an era full of challenges and threats.
Tons of people would really be jobless since AI would really be taking over and this is something that we dont really like to hear but we know that advancement is really that inevitable on which means that in case if this one happens then there's no other choice but to find for another job on which we do see that we could really be able to fit out. This is why if you are currently on a certain field of work on which you do see
that it does have potential to be replaced with some AI integration then it would be wise that you should really be that already prepared for possible things to happen in the future.
This is why it would really be that recommended that you do have your own business or investment so that on the time that you are been fired off or laid off then you arent that scared
since you know that you could really make yourself that able to survive even if it would happens.

I personally for now have begun to diligently save a portion of my income every week. And besides that, I have also made small investments, one of which I invested in crypto. Even though the value of savings and investments that I do is not large, I always try to remain consistent in doing this so that the value of my savings and investments continues to grow every week, month and every year. And I do this so that at least when I get laid off, I still have some money to build a new business and as a provision for life in the next few years.

Apart from the threat of AI trying to replace some human jobs, but we will also never know what threats will face our lives next, so prepare everything as well and as much as possible so that we can always find solutions to every problem that comes.
1907  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Telegram Casinos good or bad? on: November 04, 2023, 06:38:03 PM
So, the latest trend when it comes to crypto gambling is the new wave of Telegram Casinos . I'm not talking about those early bots where you could play simple blackjack games in a Telegram group; I'm referring to these new crypto casinos like TG Casino, Mega Dice, and Lucky Block. They've created tailor-made mobile casinos for the Telegram audience, allowing players to log in through their Telegram accounts and start playing instantly without the need for KYC.

What do you guys think about this new trend? Is it good or bad?

I have never played or bet there, but I visited the TG Casino group several times just to answer my curiosity about this. And indeed, to be able to play in it is quite easy, we only need to click once and it will take us to the TG Cosino homepage without having to bother registering and filling out the registration form.

Here I only have the courage to visit it until the homepage, to make a deposit and play there, I personally don't have the courage to do that. Because I have not received any information about whether the casino page is really safe to visit so that we can be comfortable when gambling there.
and I think sometimes if something is too easy, then this often creates suspicion and doubt both in the mind and in the heart, and often raises the question of whether this casino is really safe and not cheating its customers..?

TG Casino was the casino I tried. I made a deposit from a burn wallet just to be safe. I played for about 2 hours and withdrew my winnings; everything worked smoothly.

However, I didn't win big, so I'm not sure what would happen if I had a crazy run and won "100x" on a bonus round and wanted to cash out.
So, I would appreciate knowing more from other players who have experience with these new casinos.

We will never know the depth of the ocean and the beauty of the underwater world along with its threats if we never swim in it. Likewise with this new casino, we will never know the sensation that is given when gambling at the casino and we will also never know the threats if we play there. And you have proven that this casino is safe enough to visit, because you have proven it by playing at the casino.

Thank goodness if you have confirmed that this new casino is indeed safe to visit, at least that can eliminate a little doubt in me about TG Casino. But that's not enough, I personally will dig further into this new casino to ensure that it is truly safe to visit. Because, however, to be able to anticipate bad things that we don't want, further review is needed.
1908  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: November 04, 2023, 05:15:20 PM
The match is going to start after an hour from now approximately. I hope that this match is going to be close and not one-sided. but I have a feeling that Bayern Munich is going to win this match without too much pressure from Dortmund. both of them are currently in the same type of form.  So even though I did say that the match is probably going to be won by Bayern Munich, I also believe the match should be a close one.  If we look at how many goals Bayern Munich has been able to score this season, I think we have to say that whatever happens, this is not going to be a goalless one.
I still feel this match will be balanced because for any reason even though Bayern is still the favorite in this match but when Dortmund plays home it can be a club that is indeed good especially this is a derby that will definitely be very hot and conditions for prestige. It's just to talk about who will win in this match it seems we already know who will get 3 points even though a draw is still possible but with the current conditions I'm pretty sure Bayern will be able to bring 3 points in this match.
Bayern appear with their core squad where Kane is at the front supported by Musiala, Koman and Sane. This is the ideal formation (winning formation) in my opinion.
1909  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: November 04, 2023, 03:18:45 PM
It looks like this match could end in a draw. Because now the match has entered the 51st minute but the score is still 0-0. And both teams still seem to be having difficulty creating good opportunities. And to be honest, I had a little more hope for Man United in this match.
Because after all, they should be able to overcome Fullham. But what I see now seems to be that Man United's performance is quite on par with Fullham. Well, this is not surprising considering how Man United has performed recently. But still, if Man United cannot win this match then the club's reputation will really fall and Ten Heg will really come under greater pressure.
Manchester United was a little more aggressive than Fulham, Manchester United players had several opportunities including a goal that was disallowed due to being considered Offside. The match has entered the 72th minute, but there have been no goals in this match, Fulham defended well which prevented Manchester United's efforts from succeeding. Manchester United's hopes are still very open, especially since they controlled the match well. The final result depends on their efforts, but Fulham will try to build a good defense so as not to lose points at home.
At the start of the first half I actually liked Manchester United's dominance but as the game wore on their dominance actually decreased and we had to wait until 90+1 to see Manchester United's superiority in this match.
Even though 3 points can be obtained by Manchester United in this match but it looks like there are still some things they have to fix especially for the problem of attacking lines they still have problems besides that, some conditions such as teamwork and chemistry must also be improved because by looking at what happened in this match even though 3 points they managed to bring but in the end the conditions still haven't changed as before.
1910  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: November 04, 2023, 12:56:47 PM
It seems Manchester united will be dominant in today's game as they are already a goal ahead jut I'm the ninth minutes of the game so far, they have a better possession so far and are really applying some pressure on fullham buy then let's see how they turn out.

There's still much time as they are just few minutes into the first half of the game so let's not be conclusive yet maybe Manchester united would want to do better today, probably because over they week there were rumors ten hag may loose his job, although I'm not certain how true that is, but I think they would want to do better by the end of today because of their position on the table.
It was thwarted by VAR unfortunately Cheesy
Maguire was ruled offside and McTominay's goal was disallowed but there are more important things now because looking at what happened it looks like Manchester United are still the same as usual where their strikers still can't perform wel l so far because if Maguire was not offside and McTominay's goal was not disallowed then my view on Maguire would be different because after a lot of criticism of him, he is currently one of the players who has a good performance.
20 minutes in now and still no chances have been created but Manchester United's dominance in this first half is still very much there.
1911  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: November 04, 2023, 12:42:27 PM
On paper Napoli and Milan are both absolute favourites to win their games. Both teams would really make use of a win in their games this week as well. Because their most recent form in the league isn't their best one. They both played two difficult games recently and lose points in both of them. They should be seeing these games as an opportunity to improve.

Salernitana and Udinese are not much different teams considering their current condition in the standings. The only difference is that Udinese have conceded 6 less goals and got 3 more draws. But still they are both winless so far. I think both of them will add another loss to their poor streak this week.
Statistically, this difference is quite far because looking at the current situation, it is actually like a match between a club that is in the top standings against the bottom standings.
Salernitana are currently still very bad and are at the bottom of the table. As for Udinese at the beginning of the season last season I liked their performance but now they are back to their manufacturer which makes this can be complicated.
Even if Udinese are a little better because of the draws they always receive but on the other hand this cannot be compared to Milan especially now they are playing at home.
It will be difficult but in this case I still feel that Serie A is sometimes unpredictable just because they are at the bottom or top of the table because in the end unexpected events always happen.
1912  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: November 04, 2023, 10:02:44 AM
Their failure to win in the 3 matches they have played is a sign that Benfica no longer has any hope of qualifying from the group phase and the team should be more realistic now that they cannot force and forget to focus on their domestic league just to catch up with the huge gap. not sure about this.
Maybe finishing in 3rd place and going to the Europa League is something they can achieve, otherwise I think there is no possibility for Benfica.
If the two teams that are now in first and second place in the standings (Inter Milan and Real Sociedad) collect 3 more points, then it will erase the hopes of Benfica. As for Salzburg, although they still have hope, but they still have to hope that one of Inter Milan or Real Sociedad loses in their last 3 matches and instead Salzburg must win all the remaining matches. With a scenario like that, it is something that is very difficult to realize, especially the two teams above will also always aim for good results in every match they do to ensure themselves that they will qualify from this group phase.
But indeed for Benfica now it is very difficult because if they want to qualify then indirectly they must be able to win all the matches that will be done even with the record of other club between Inter or Sociedad never even won then it is still possible.
It's obviously a very difficult job, because  expecting  other club to lose but they also have to win then this is a mission that is difficult to do even almost can't so I think they have to give up hope of qualifying for the knock out phase but they can still be in 3rd position at least Salzburg can still be close to them but with a note that they can win in the few matches they do.
Their points are still 0 because they have to lose again and again so it is difficult for benfica at this time especially with a gap of 7 point it is very impossible I think.
1913  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: November 04, 2023, 07:21:05 AM
It does not have any effect because now it will only worsen the condition in the dressing room of Manchester United at this time.
This is clearly getting worse because after all, with their current condition, they should try to integrate. Indeed, Ten Hag is also the one who is most to blame because this is his responsibility as a coach but as long as the club still hasn't decided anything it means they also have to respect the current situation.

But questioning the condition of Manchester United is also complex because all forms of problems ultimately affect performance.  
And actually I'm starting to feel that this poor performance is also a result of how Ten Heg trains the players by prioritizing his own ego. But I don't know. But I remember last season even the news media became divided when Ten Heg had many conflicts with CR7. I remember how Ten Heg treated CR7 at that time, he didn't play much and just let CR7 sit on the bench for a very long time. So there were various protests in the media from fans and the like. Only after that did Ten Heg start to give CR7 more playing time on the field. But at that time CR7 already felt uncomfortable. And yes, when a player feels uncomfortable then their performance can really decline. Because their motivation will really decrease. I think the current Man Utd players are like CR7 last season. We know Man Utd is full of star players at the moment. And Ten Heg should be able to differentiate how he coaches a big club filled with star players. Because it will be different from coaching an ordinary club which doesn't have many star players in the club. Even when Bruno Fernandes played with the Portuguese national team, he was truly extraordinary. But when he played at Man Utd, to be honest, he often made mistakes as if his performance was not in good condition.
Ten Hag's ego has been there since the beginning even when she was in ajak where she was like a ruler who acted authoritarian and when something did not match her expectations it would be considered wrong.
When he is now at Manchester United at least at this time apart from Cristiano there is now Sancho who is in the same condition.
This needs to be fixed properly so that conditions like this are not always repeated but if you look at the current Ten Hag then as long as he cannot fix his bad ego then his feud with several other players will definitely happen again, especially with the current conditions that Manchester United are not in good condition.

Now we just need to see with some situations that will occur whether in the end Manchester United can improve and solve its internal problems or will only worsen the situation.
1914  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: November 04, 2023, 07:01:33 AM
But looking at the situation and the actual placement of players when Madrid is looking for Benzema and a pure striker in the center as a foundation Osimhen is the most suitable player because we know that Mbappe's position even though he can be used as a striker in the middle but the main position is a winger with his running speed but it seems that Mbappe is still a priority even if Osimhen becomes a pure striker but Mbappe can be much more practical, its just that with Vini and Rodrygo, indirectly if Mbappe is in Madrid he will indirectly have a new role. 
Therefore, if Mbappe is more comfortable playing as a winger, it means that Vini or Rodrygo will occupy the midfield. However, if you have to choose, it would be better if Bellingham is placed in the middle as a striker, Mbappe on the left, and Vinicius on the right might not be too bad to maximize attacks. Because for me the composition is quite good even though I'm not sure whether Vinicius can be optimal on the right side. That way Madrid can return to using the 4-4-3 formation as expected.
Thats a bit tricky for me cause after all Vini and Rodrygo's positions are mine and we've seen Rodrygo moveto CF from his previous position and that didnt go well because his form dropped drastically so making changes for Vini and Rodrygo in the current position I dont think is a wise choice.

But inded the discussion is too wide now because seeing from what is happening now it is too far considering that Mbappe and Madrid are also still in the same stage (without any progress) as the previous few season where they are only linked to each other but there is no certainty so until there is an agreement between Mbappe and Madrid then we just need to wait now before making speculation and the formation that will be done later. 
1915  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Telegram Casinos good or bad? on: November 03, 2023, 10:41:05 PM
So, the latest trend when it comes to crypto gambling is the new wave of Telegram Casinos . I'm not talking about those early bots where you could play simple blackjack games in a Telegram group; I'm referring to these new crypto casinos like TG Casino, Mega Dice, and Lucky Block. They've created tailor-made mobile casinos for the Telegram audience, allowing players to log in through their Telegram accounts and start playing instantly without the need for KYC.

What do you guys think about this new trend? Is it good or bad?

I have never played or bet there, but I visited the TG Casino group several times just to answer my curiosity about this. And indeed, to be able to play in it is quite easy, we only need to click once and it will take us to the TG Cosino homepage without having to bother registering and filling out the registration form.

Here I only have the courage to visit it until the homepage, to make a deposit and play there, I personally don't have the courage to do that. Because I have not received any information about whether the casino page is really safe to visit so that we can be comfortable when gambling there.
and I think sometimes if something is too easy, then this often creates suspicion and doubt both in the mind and in the heart, and often raises the question of whether this casino is really safe and not cheating its customers..?
1916  Economy / Economics / Re: USA: 50 years since the beginning of the oil embargo on: November 03, 2023, 10:10:47 PM
The embargo was declared on October 17, 1973 in response to US President Richard Nixon's order for Operation Nickel Grass, which supplied US weapons to Israel. The latter was at that moment repelling attacks from Egypt and Syria, who intended to return the territories captured by the Israelis during the Six-Day War of 1967."

I think everyone has long forgotten about this story, but after it the United States began to accumulate oil reserves.
The situation in the world is very difficult now, but do you consider repeating such a scenario in 50 years?
Much has changed since that date, and it seems that the United States and the rest of the world powers have understood the lesson. These countries have begun to adopt policies to contain countries that have banned the export of oil and gas to them. Today, all countries in the region are friends of the United States, and the United States has military bases in all of those countries, and I mean here Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Kuwait, and the Emirates, in addition to overthrowing the Iraqi regime and continuing pressure on the Iranian regime. Do you really think that there are those who still dare to carry out these movements that are hostile to the direct interests of the West?
I think that the US will lose political influence. The first call was the withdrawal of the army from Afghanistan. Direct global conflicts are unlikely due to the presence of nuclear weapons in many countries, but economic wars will exhaust opponents. The US and Europe will not win a guerrilla war against a billion people in the Middle East.

Along with current developments, the influence of the United States is increasingly fading day by day, several Middle Eastern countries have begun to reunite their relations which were previously fractured due to political tensions and conflicts that tried to divide them. And this peace can be realized after Saudi Arabia and Iran decided to reopen diplomatic relations and chose to join hands rather than continuing to escalate the conflict which would only further increase tensions in the Middle East. And as we know, these two countries are important countries in the Middle East, so this has triggered other countries in the Middle East to decide to do the same thing, namely make peace.
Several Middle Eastern countries are starting to realize and reveal who America really is. America is just a country that came to the Middle East like a hero who tried to mediate the conflict that occurred in the Middle East, but behind it all America was the culprit who tried to seize the wealth in the Middle East (Oil).
1917  Economy / Economics / Re: AI will put an end to work, says Elon Musk on: November 03, 2023, 08:33:24 PM
During an uncommon interview conducted by UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, the tech billionaire Elon Musk predicted that if AI is not regulated, there will be a time when no job will be needed. This means that AI tools would take over the entire work of men making paid jobs become reductant. He even claimed that humanoid robots might be a perfect friend for one of his sons who is having difficulty in having friends. I have always believed that regardless of how sophisticated these AI tools become, they will never replace humans. But hearing this prediction for an individual who has a full understanding of the AI sector is frightening. Elon Musk owns an AI company, xAI, that is competing with big AI firms like OpenAI, Google and Anthropic.

These comments can increase the fear and anxiety workers always had that these super-computers will replace them in future. What are your thoughts regarding the statement by Elon, do you think we should take him seriously?

With the presence of AI, of course this can provide certain benefits and can help and make it easier for us to do our work. However, AI not only brings benefits but also comes with threats. And one of the threats from the presence of AI is the potential replacement or loss of human jobs, especially in the manufacturing, banking and service sectors. So that people who work in this sector are threatened with layoffs which results in the number of unemployed continuing to increase.

And in responding to this problem, however, we cannot go against the development of the times "and will only die silly if we have to collide with such a big wave." But we also can't just sit around without doing anything. Before we completely lose the job we are enjoying now, prepare yourself to face all the possibilities that will happen in our lives, one of which is by continuing to increase our creativity and abilities so that we can have jobs that cannot be replaced by AI. And several observers have indicated that there are several types of jobs that cannot be replaced by AI, including; Artists, politicians, health workers, engineers, athletes and farmers. So before AI completely replaces our jobs, make sure that we have mastered one of the jobs that cannot be replaced by AI so that we always have the income to survive in an era full of challenges and threats.
1918  Economy / Economics / Re: Are You Sticking to Your Plan or Has Life Made You Pause or Modify It? on: November 03, 2023, 07:56:13 PM
Indeed, in doing something to achieve a goal, we are required to have good planning so that everything can go according to our expectations. However, we need to remember, sometimes what we plan is often not in accordance with what happens in the field and this can happen because sometimes in its implementation we often encounter challenges and problems that are beyond our previous expectations. But do we have to replace this plan with a new plan? Yes... we need to replace it if it is deemed that the previous plan cannot solve the existing problems and is no longer in accordance with the existing reality. However, if the previous plan is still deemed to be in harmony, then we don't need to bother replacing it and the only step we have to do is re-evaluate it to find out what are the shortcomings and add new strategies that are deemed capable of solving existing problems and answering the challenges faced.
1919  Local / Ekonomi, Politik, dan Budaya / Re: BBM turun masyarakat sejahtera ? on: November 03, 2023, 07:33:36 PM
memang jika dibandingkan dengan era pak SBY harga BBM jauh lebih murah dibandingkan dengan era Presiden Jowowi pada saat ini yang terus mengalami kenaikan harga BBM. Namun perlu dipahami bahwa harga BBM pada era SBY itu murahnya BBM hanya bisa dirasakan oleh masyarakat yang berada di pulau jawa saja, sementara diluaran pulau jawa jauh lebih mahal bahkan di Papua harga BBM itu bisa mencapai angka seratus ribu per-liternya.
Walaupun di era jokowi BBM terus mengalami kenaikan harga, akan tetapi melalui sebuah kebijakan yang beliau keluarkan yang namanya keadilan energi di seluruh Indonesia dapat terwujud. Dan saya sangat menghormati kebijakan beliau, karena ini adalah sebuah usaha yang dilakukan beliau untuk mewujudkan Sila ke-lima dalam Pancasila. Namun melalui sebuah kebijakan ini sepertinya hal ini membuat kaget sebagian besar masyarakat pulau jawa karena mereka sudah terbiasa dengan harga BBM yang murah dan terjangkau, sementara mereka yang tinggal diluaran pulau sangat bersyukur dengan harga BBM pada saat ini jika dibandingkan dengan tahun-tahun kebelakang yang harganya berkali-kali lipat dengan harga BBM pada saat ini.
1920  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sports betting online courses? on: November 03, 2023, 06:53:57 PM
I just heard of something called an online sports betting course and does this really exist? However, even though there is, I'm not interested enough to follow it.

I personally really like sports betting, wins and losses for me personally have become commonplace in gambling. However, even though this is the case, we must still try to minimize the level of losses and increase the chances of winning in the sports betting that we do. To be able to minimize the level of loss, I always apply betting limits and always try to control myself when placing bets. I do this because sometimes careless behavior that causes big losses in a bet comes from ourselves. Meanwhile, other things I do to increase my chances of winning are, apart from learning from previous experience, I also do other things, namely learning directly from people who are quite skilled at placing bets. And I think that studying directly with the person will make it easier for us to understand compared to taking online courses.
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