Bitcoin Forum
May 02, 2024, 10:47:53 PM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 27.0 [Torrent]
 
  Home Help Search Login Register More  
  Show Posts
Pages: « 1 2 3 [4] 5 6 7 8 9 10 »
61  Economy / Securities / Re: BS&T -- Are you staying or leaving? on: July 05, 2012, 10:40:22 PM
I recently invested with pirate (via a certain respectable pass-through). It's not magic that he gets money.

Also, I've noticed people keep whinging about "Currin Trading" and saying "Pirate is just like currin trading, just watch". Well, after digging through the main BS&T thread I found a link detailing what "Currin Trading" was and gave it a good read-through.

First, I think it's worthwhile to point out, if you really want people to take you seriously, maybe you should be referring to real life ponzi schemes rather than some no-name n00b scammer on some game probably 3/4 of the people here have never played. That's child shit.

Secondly, there are a number of obvious discrepancies between pirate and "Currin Trading" which have led me to discredit the "pirate is an obvious ponzi" terror talk.

For example:

-CT had to pay his large investor (which he only really had 1) less than what he paid his smaller investors, due to the fact that the paycheck for the former had to come from the latter. Pirate pays large investors more, which would be near impossible unless he was losing money by paying them out of pocket, or else if he had a real business of some sort.

-CT had to turn away (or delay) large investors in order to accumulate enough small investors to pay for them. Pirate, when running low on storage availability, turns down newer investors first, which is consistent with a lending business with finite capacity attempting to be fair to account holders in a simple fashion.

-CT never turned away small investors or new investors, as he needed them to continue the ponzi. Pirate made his service invite only and has in the past done forced withdrawals. A ponzi has no benefit to handing people their money back.

-CT had to make up a big publicity stunt in order to keep his ponzi floating for just a short while longer. Pirate, on the other hand, gets called a ponzi because of minor changes to his normal business even though he hasn't made any effort to attract attention.


In clarification of that last point, please allow me to point out the final and obvious reason why the ponzi whingers are morons who don't do any due diligence to back up their shit talk.

Pirate, ever since before making his service invite only, has more or less clearly stated that his reasons for changing his policy was to reduce the administrative overhead of dealing with many accounts (completely understandable). Making the service invite-only was not necessarily the best way of doing that, however at least the action was consistent with his stated goals.

His latest changes, however, are actually quite economically (and logistically) brilliant in terms of achieving his stated goal of less admin hassle.

-The lower rate and account limits on the new savings accounts prevent unauthorized people from making PPT programs, and make them unattractive to potential users who can just get a pirate account of their own now. (or use an authorized PPT for a higher rate)

-The flat interest rate on the standard savings also removes incentives to starting unauthorized PPT programs since there is no benefit to a larger account.

-The new "trust accounts" allow pirate to easily manage and authorize people to run PPT programs and do his admin work for him.

-The security deposit on trust accounts further disincentivizes PPT operators who might otherwise allow users to run wild and make admin work harder rather than easier.

Also, if it were a ponzi scheme, these policy changes would not have any advantages to the ponzi structure, and would be rather arbitrary. Ponzis are benefited by the ignorance of their users, and CT specifically used that ignorance to create unequal treatment between his "clients". CT also tried to make his business seem much older than it was (complete with fake users) prior to advertising. Pirate has not done any of those things; his advertisement was (and continues to be) very straightforward and his policies are very public and transparent (even if his business activities aren't).

Speculate away about what his business is or why he keeps it secret, but as far as being a ponzi, his actions are consistent with the intentions he has expressed.
62  Economy / Securities / Re: BS&T -- Are you staying or leaving? on: July 05, 2012, 03:21:25 AM
3.5% per week is extremely unusual (except among ponzis). Most bitcoin lending businesses? Tell me where the bitcoin borrowers are. There are no borrowers, just a bunch of lenders soon-to-be bag-holders.

Hashking used to pay 3.5%, however he's changed his terms considerably lately. He pays up to 1.5% weekly now, which is still considerable.

Also, this guy pays 2% weekly just on normal lending.

It varies over time, but the rates in the lending forum (that aren't pirate related) are generally between 1% and 4% per week with varying terms. Even at the low end rate of 1% that's potentially 67.8% per year if you don't touch it. Also, BTC lenders are reporting a very low default rate (in monetary terms) and besides BurtW (who lent his money and only his, and lost it due to his own poor due diligence) there haven't been any big failures. I haven't seen any big scams either in spite of the increase in the number of savings services.
63  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: cbitcoin - Bitcoin implementation in C. Currently in development. on: July 05, 2012, 02:44:02 AM
I'll send a BTC your way in a day or so. I'd have probably donated more by now but I really had no idea how many retarded hoops I was going to have to jump through to buy BTC  Undecided
64  Economy / Long-term offers / Re: [BitcoinMax.com] Paying 6.9% per week... Small accounts welcome. on: July 05, 2012, 02:08:33 AM
FY is only 5 days old at the moment.

Well, calendar year would work fine Tongue.
65  Economy / Securities / Re: BS&T -- Are you staying or leaving? on: July 05, 2012, 02:01:17 AM
I'm wondering anyway why one needs Occam's razor to understand that 7% per week, or 3,300% per year, or anything above 10% a year means Ponzi? You don't need Occam's razor to state the obvious.

10% per year is the low average for fiat money in actually solvent banks (singapore, georgia (the country), mongolia, etc). 15% is not unheard of.

That's beside the point, however, since most bitcoin lending businesses work on a rate similar to "payday loans" and still make yearly interest in the 100s of %s. Given an average of 3.5% per week (not an unusual rate), compounded weekly, that's

Code:
(1.035^52) - 1 = 4.983

498.3% APR. So, by your definition, all bitcoin lenders are ponzis, yes?

Also, from actually reading pirate's original thread, I can clearly see a period after he went invite only and before any of the pirate pass programs popped up, wherein the bitcoin price soared over $6 and people were withdrawing like crazy to trade for fiat while the price was good. Even after having paid 7% to many accounts, some of which are particularly huge, I don't see anyone complaining that they weren't able to get all their money. I note small delays at times, but never anyone who wasn't paid in full, and never any actual customers who complained.

Recently, one whole person decided to cash out their account because "they had a bad feeling" with no facts or justification, and now everyone is back to foaming at the mouth of how it's a ponzi. If it is a ponzi, I have to give mr.pirate good credit for keeping it going this long even against adverse conditions.

I don't know what pirate does, but I've never once seen any instance of an issue that would cause me to question his solvency. Nothing but rumors and foaming about how it has to be a ponzi because his rate is high.
66  Economy / Long-term offers / Re: [BitcoinMax.com] Paying 6.9% per week... Small accounts welcome. on: July 04, 2012, 10:54:28 PM
Thank payb.tc!

Also, before going off trying to do compounding backflips, how bout https? I think that's a little more important   Lips sealed.

And, FY stats for the acct history page would also be nice (for taxes).
67  Bitcoin / Electrum / Re: [ANNOUNCE] Electrum - a new thin client on: July 04, 2012, 08:38:03 PM
Erm.. all of sudden I can't connect to any electrum servers. It keeps saying

Not connected
poking
Not connected
poking
Not connected
poking
Not connected
poking
Not connected
poking
Not connected
poking
Not connected
poking
Not connected
poking

and does nothing  Huh.

At first I thought it was because of old client, but upgrading to .59 or .60 doesn't change anything  Undecided
68  Economy / Lending / Re: Website For All Lenders and Borrowers on: June 16, 2012, 11:04:42 PM
One idea I was thinking about the other day with regards to reputation systems would be the idea of recording ratings and other information as micro transactions (with the numeric amounts actually being encoded information) in the block chain (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=87339.0).

The point being that then your DB doesn't need to be trusted/relied upon to hold rating (or other) information.


Personally I think that would be unnecessarily complex. The important thing is to make certain to keep all emails/passwords secure and in very limited (and trusted) hands. Also, creating a credit rating system that makes sense (unlike the crap used on the fraudulent world financial markets) would be a big step toward better lending reliability. If all borrowers are required to create an account, they could be tracked pretty easily and lenders can get a good idea of who is higher or lower risk.
69  Economy / Long-term offers / Re: [BitcoinMax.com] Paying 6.9% per week... Small accounts welcome. on: June 15, 2012, 11:52:01 PM
zzz. $6 bitcoin is lame.

yep, not like a $7 bitcoin. that's cool.


Where's the short button on this nonsense? >_< (or put options?)
70  Economy / Long-term offers / Re: [BitcoinMax.com] Paying 6.9% per week... Small accounts welcome. on: June 15, 2012, 10:28:11 PM
zzz. $6 bitcoin is lame.
71  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Was stopped by Customs today for Bitcoins and the way it ended was insane on: June 12, 2012, 11:24:26 PM
Zzzz bastard. I saw this news article pop up on facebook and it looked like it was saying that customs were searching for actual bitcoins now or something. I thought they were working on capital controls -_-;

Ooh no, just some romanians who got a kick out of bitcoin magazine -_-
72  Economy / Economics / Re: LETS plus local community currency's and bitcoin? on: May 25, 2012, 11:27:43 AM
Good examples. Negotiating labor prices wasn't going to be that easy. I guess they end up using 1 h = 10 USD.
Then you don't like hours denominated LETS, ok. Then chose other unit. The unit is not the fundamental concept of mutual credit.

Also, your "they're trying to avoid inflation" argument is 100% invalid as virtually every community currency operating in the US is backed by USD.

Then those community currencies are not mutual credit. LETS aren't backed by anything. Well, you could say that "LETS are backed by the wares offered by the participants" or "LETS are backed with trust". But in the sense you mean, in the traditional one, LETS aren't backed.
You should know that given that you claim to know "virtually every community currency operating in the US".

True, LETS isn't backed by anything. It's not really an advantage in that case, either.

LETS aren't designed as ponzi schemes. You don't need more and more users to make it work. In fact, it's trust requirements make growing the user base very difficult or even impossible from certain point.
What makes you think they're ponzi schemes?
I haven't heard of any discount not in stuff prices nor in wages. Where have you heard that?
I read some articles about bitcoin being a ponzi scheme too. Could your article be biased too?
Could the old lady be saving the hidden costs of conventional money?

Unless those community currencies are saving the hidden costs of minimum wage, which would be illegal AFAIK, then no. Bitcoin started at zero value, whereas LETS and similar schemes start bankrupt.

LETS don't start bankrupt. The positive balances always equal the negative ones. That's why they talk about "the power of zero".
That's the only reason why you think they're ponzi schemes?

Mutual credit = mutual inflation. There is no practical limit to the positive and negative balances that can be accrued under such a system. As a result, the fact that all balances "zero out" on paper is of no consequence.

There are two major fallacies in Gessel's work. The first is the idea that interest is an unfair charge against workers (and business owners, who Gessel would rather see eliminated) for capital.

What?
He was not against profits or free floating interest rates, just against a hidden rent in the gold standard.

The second is the idea that workers should receive "all of the fruits of their labor". He specifically mentions salespeople as being more or less superfluous middlemen that steal potential "fruits" from the "laborers".

Well, he was a merchant. It's kind of strange that he call himself a parasite, don't you think?
Remember what he said about Marx? Remember what he said about free trade?

I'm quite familiar with Gessell [...]

[...]An economy where you grow everything yourself and the only trade is barter in perishable goods, then it's true no interest is possible, however no economic specialization is possible either so it's a moot point- you can't have economics without a real economy.

It seems that you have forgotten the book you claim you've read then or mixed it up with something else in dreams. Where did he proposed such an economy?

So I have to dig through that garbage and point out all the glaringly obvious quotes I'm referring to, eh? Fine, but that will take time.
73  Economy / Economics / Re: LETS plus local community currency's and bitcoin? on: May 25, 2012, 03:16:47 AM
There is no such thing as a "generic unskilled labor hour",

Yes, is a work that you don't need preparation nor any special abilities to complete. It's a very simple definition. Usually it's said "it is more or less equivalent to 10$" as an orientation. The intention of using hours is avoiding USD inflation.
Anyway, if you don't like that unit, you can use USD, silver oz, liters of milk or whatever you prefer. Whatever the group agrees will work better for them.

I repeat, there is no such thing as a generic "unskilled labor hour". Herding geese, painting houses, moving boxes, and digging holes are all "unskilled labor", but they certainly are not all worth the same amount of money. Nor is the quality of work the same between laborers or companies for all of those jobs. Also, your "they're trying to avoid inflation" argument is 100% invalid as virtually every community currency operating in the US is backed by USD. A few "have plans" to back their currency with stupid things like firewood, but I haven't seen it happen yet and I can already tell you how that will work out. How many tons of firewood does it take to exchange the same value as one ounce of gold? Which is more expensive to store? Which will rot and become more or less useless if it gets wet?

and I don't have to prove that Keynes was wrong in order to say that Gessel's depreciating money is crap when Gessel himself was full of crap.

Glad that you get they're different. Out of curiosity...What would you say is the worst crap from Gesell?
Not talking about solutions, what misconception?

There are two major fallacies in Gessel's work. The first is the idea that interest is an unfair charge against workers (and business owners, who Gessel would rather see eliminated) for capital. The second is the idea that workers should receive "all of the fruits of their labor". He specifically mentions salespeople as being more or less superfluous middlemen that steal potential "fruits" from the "laborers".

The stated purpose of LETS and every other ponzi scheme like it is "to provide an alternative (or adjunct) to state money, and to create jobs in the community". In every case, people get some sort of discount; either in the form of a markdown on goods or else (extremely) cheap labor. I remember an article about it once, noting some old lady getting her house painted for less than half of what it would cost her in dollars.

LETS aren't designed as ponzi schemes. You don't need more and more users to make it work. In fact, it's trust requirements make growing the user base very difficult or even impossible from certain point.
What makes you think they're ponzi schemes?
I haven't heard of any discount not in stuff prices nor in wages. Where have you heard that?
I read some articles about bitcoin being a ponzi scheme too. Could your article be biased too?
Could the old lady be saving the hidden costs of conventional money?

Unless those community currencies are saving the hidden costs of minimum wage, which would be illegal AFAIK, then no. Bitcoin started at zero value, whereas LETS and similar schemes start bankrupt. The berkshares site even specifically says "merchants give a ~2% discount as an incentive to use berkshares". Also, the article I read was pushing LETS as a great socialist panacea, it was my own conclusion that they are ponzi schemes, based on the fact that they begin bankrupt and run on debt.

The system overall is basically the same stuff the NGOs shove down poor developing countries' throats: shame based credit money. They claim by offering either zero interest or artificially low interest you can stimulate business, but all real business runs on capital, the holders of which demand interest and for good reason. The incentive of interest ensures that money is spent on the most efficient businesses rather than socialist bridges to nowhere. By taking away interest and economic responsibility through their arbitrary credit materialization, they invert economic control from consumers to producers and eliminate any chance of getting capital influx or developing any real business.

This is not to borrow money for investing. This is just realizing the internal trades within a community and replacing conventional money with their own accounting in the degree that is possible. Nothing to do with micro-credits which, by the way aren't at zero interest.
But you can also borrow to invest at low or no interest with others systems like Wir or JAK.
Still they aren't ponzi schemes nor destroy the economy. Read about them, also interesting.

If you want to be a "good person" and paint some old lady's house for free, then volunteer and do it for free. Don't use some retarded socialist ponzi brainwashing scam. LETS, Berkshares, and all their crony companions are pure blooded communists, and the results of communism are always the same no matter what shade of red you paint it.

Amazing how fast dogmatic people bring up words like brainwashing. I'm far far away from communism. You haven't read Gesell (specially critic with Marx) nor Riegel (who inspired LETS). Both libertarians.
Start with their wikipedia pages because it seems that you haven't gone that far in your research:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/E.C._Riegel
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Silvio_Gesell

Then reading directly what they said from them won't hurt you:

http://www.newapproachtofreedom.info/
http://www.community-exchange.org/docs/Gesell/en/neo/

I have read Gessel's work, in his (translated) words for myself. I always do so in regards to any subject that interests me even slightly, and that I might argue about. I'm quite familiar with Gessel, and when I first read his work I even thought it was a good idea.

However, I have also read "Human Action" cover to cover, and after comparing Gessel's arguments to von Mises', I can only conclude that Gessel's arguments, and not Mises', are invalid. Do I also need to rub it in your face that Gessel served as the economic Tzar under a communist state (albeit for a short time)? Gessel says that he is an anarchist and supports freedom, but the sort of freedom he wants is the freedom to do whatever you want on anyone else's property. His "freeland" idea was nothing short of pan-communism, and his obsession with worker ownership was obviously pinko. Gessel's "Robinson Crusoe" argument was especially convincing, but when you take away the moral assertions and examine it from a pure economic standpoint, it completely fails to make sense anymore. An economy where you grow everything yourself and the only trade is barter in perishable goods, then it's true no interest is possible, however no economic specialization is possible either so it's a moot point- you can't have economics without a real economy.

Also, Switzerland is currently a bankrupt hole working on becoming a third world country. Wir hasn't worked any economic miracles for them, although it has produced a lot of superfluous low quality housing. It's merely a less extreme version of the colossal ghost towns built by the communist Chinese government.
74  Economy / Economics / Re: LETS plus local community currency's and bitcoin? on: May 24, 2012, 07:47:33 AM
Are you saying bitcoin doesn't create diversity and interconnectedness? Do community currencies even create diversity or interconnectedness? I would think a currency that is only accepted in a small region would create more separation than anything.
75  Economy / Economics / Re: LETS plus local community currency's and bitcoin? on: May 23, 2012, 10:27:35 PM
LETS is a socialist price fixing scheme. It cannot work in the long term. If LETS credits were actually traded against currency, the price advantage of LETS would disappear, and it would have all the disadvantages of every other arbitrary fiat.

Economies can't run on charity, that's just not how reality works.

With all due respect you don't have a fucking clue what you're talking about.
What in the world makes you think that?
Is that you think that fixed wages is a requirement? It is not. Even if you chose hours as the unit all the prices are negotiable. An hour is supposed to mean (as said before) an "hour of unskilled labor". That is (in case you read it the first time but didn't get it) "an hour of certain work that anybody can do". That includes, for example, moving boxes from a store to a truck. That doesn't include, for example, an hour of programming.

What price advantage? What charity?
Have you even read the wikipedia page about LETS? Where are you taking all that nonsense from?

A little bit too much "anti-capitalism" for me, but not bad. They are really criticizing the current system.
We all monetary reformists don't like the current system. So your argument "LETS won't work, look at the current system" doesn't serve. Just like I can't criticize gold by criticizing the fed, you can't say "Gesell's free-money sucks because Keynes was wrong" or neither of us can't criticize debt-free money proponents (the conclusion of the money masters documentary, basically) by saying "greenbacks are doomed because Bernanke is crazy".

Also LETS systems have been working pretty well (for its limited local purpose) in many different places for long so your conclusion "it won't work" is already invalid. IT DOES CURRENTLY WORK in hundreds of communities.

Anyway, I'm sure we two can agree that what we want is a free monetary market in which people can chose the system they prefer (or use several of them simultaneously).

There is no such thing as a "generic unskilled labor hour", and I don't have to prove that Keynes was wrong in order to say that Gessel's depreciating money is crap when Gessel himself was full of crap.

The stated purpose of LETS and every other ponzi scheme like it is "to provide an alternative (or adjunct) to state money, and to create jobs in the community". In every case, people get some sort of discount; either in the form of a markdown on goods or else (extremely) cheap labor. I remember an article about it once, noting some old lady getting her house painted for less than half of what it would cost her in dollars.

The system overall is basically the same stuff the NGOs shove down poor developing countries' throats: shame based credit money. They claim by offering either zero interest or artificially low interest you can stimulate business, but all real business runs on capital, the holders of which demand interest and for good reason. The incentive of interest ensures that money is spent on the most efficient businesses rather than socialist bridges to nowhere. By taking away interest and economic responsibility through their arbitrary credit materialization, they invert economic control from consumers to producers and eliminate any chance of getting capital influx or developing any real business.

If you want to be a "good person" and paint some old lady's house for free, then volunteer and do it for free. Don't use some retarded socialist ponzi brainwashing scam. LETS, Berkshares, and all their crony companions are pure blooded communists, and the results of communism are always the same no matter what shade of red you paint it.
76  Economy / Economics / Re: LETS plus local community currency's and bitcoin? on: May 22, 2012, 03:48:45 AM
LETS is a socialist price fixing scheme. It cannot work in the long term. If LETS credits were actually traded against currency, the price advantage of LETS would disappear, and it would have all the disadvantages of every other arbitrary fiat.

Economies can't run on charity, that's just not how reality works.
77  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: cbitcoin - Bitcoin implementation in C. Currently in development. on: May 21, 2012, 12:53:35 AM
As I said, C is not the best language for memory management x.x.
78  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: cbitcoin - Bitcoin implementation in C. Currently in development. on: May 20, 2012, 12:06:31 AM
No, you wont need reference counting to get rif of dangling pointers, you simply replace calls to "release" with a NULL assignment.

Also I guess the CG will also collect garbage when pointers go out of scope. Not sure if that is true but it makes sense so.

Maybe tomorrow or the next day I might do a test with ref counting vs tracing CG vs manual malloc/free placement. I might do a test where a loop creates CBAddress objects with random data until it finds an address beginning with particular characters. That would test a mixture of object creation/destruction and algorithm execution which may be a fair test even though the test would never be a proper representation of the final library.

But I'm not doing any more today.

Ah I think I get it now. As long as you always copy pointers when passing values into functions, then you get the same effect as refcounting. I would definitely like to see a test showing that that has lower overhead than dealloc/refcounting o.0. It looks to me like you'd be doing the same work as with refcounting, except without any explicit calls to dealloc.

I don't know about scope, but letting pointers fall out of scope is bad form anyway Tongue.
79  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: cbitcoin - Bitcoin implementation in C. Currently in development. on: May 19, 2012, 06:41:09 AM
Well this is the issue, what can be figured out now and what has to be fixed later. ;-) If referencing counting can be rejected early on then it makes coding easier; no need to completely re-implement memory management at a later stage.

I'd prefer to try and get it right to begin with but of-course if I'm wrong to begin with then it will just have to be changed.

Well, reference counting does have one advantage. After reading through that link I sent you I realized that for C you still have to set your pointers to null in order to tell the GC that your pointer is dead. In terms of assuring correctness you'd still need reference counting to avoid dangling pointers x.x.

Weak types = no automatic GC. I'd suggest another language but most languages suck Tongue.
80  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: cbitcoin - Bitcoin implementation in C. Currently in development. on: May 18, 2012, 01:43:29 AM
Well what garbage collecting library would you recommend for C (This? http://www.hpl.hp.com/personal/Hans_Boehm/gc/)? Also does the mercury programming language use memory like C does? If it used the stack where memory management doesn't matter, then it could be an OK comparison. Remember only dynamically allocated memory needs to be managed.

Declarative languages are strange compared to imperative languages like C. By default, prolog (and its derivatives like mercury) use what they call a WAM, which basically means everything is allocated to the stack. However, mercury also has the option to use a Boehm collector, and does allocate things to the heap. I don't know everything about how that works in mercury, and unfortunately as awesome a language as it is, it isn't well documented (and I haven't gotten around to digging through the installed examples yet).

Also, declarative languages using a WAM can generally end up with poor memory usage due to the FILO nature of stacks, and thus started using garbage collectors to collect memory on the stack o.0.

I'm not sure if there are collectors available for C besides the boehm. I did, however, find a nifty article on using the boehm library and getting good mileage from it: from linuxjournal.

EDIT: And they get better performance out of the Boehm than they do from malloc/dealloc.. which really surprises me. The only consideration is that you'll want to make sure to disable any compiler optimizations that mess with pointers in your build. The Boehm library is also pretty configurable, so you can make it do whatever you need it to do (ie for embedded systems).
Pages: « 1 2 3 [4] 5 6 7 8 9 10 »
Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!