Next French President: Hollande’s popularity falls to 4%, will Alain Juppe use this?
French presidential election is scheduled to be held on April 23, 2017 for the first round and May 7, 2017 for the runoff, but it already looks that current president is without the chances as his approval ratings have plummeted to 4%. Reason for this is a 662-page book published last month by two journalists, based on recorded interviews with the Socialist president. In it, Hollande insults all and sundry: judges, footballers, his own ministers and more. Yet even if Hollande were to stand aside, as The Economist writes, polls suggest that the Socialists would perform disastrously in the presidential election’s first round, failing to make it to the second-round run-off. Next French President, Predict at FairlayThe party’s best alternative, Manuel Valls, would still not beat either the centre-right candidate or the nationalist Marine Le Pen. And the Republicans will hold presidential primaries to select a candidate on November 20. So, if Alain Juppe defeats Nicolas Sarkozy to become the Republicans candidate, he will become even bigger favorite to become the next French president. In all the recent polls, mayor of Bordeaux is the one with the best numbers. Though, support for anti-migration candidate Marine Le Pen is believed to be surging as well. Thus, the following months will surely be interesting in France, so don’t miss the chance to use the great odds on most candidates at Fairlay market.
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Battleground states, swing states, purple states: Who will win them, Hillary or Trump?
We are only few days away from the night of November 8 when the results start to come in from each of fifty states. Map will be filled in blue for Hillary and in red for Trump, but the fact is that we already know most of these results. Still, those purple states, also known as swing states or battleground states, need to find it real color. So, purple states which are relatively evenly divided between Democrats and Republicans. And, depending on analysts, there are eight to fifteen competitive states this time around. In recent cycles, the presidency has been won in Florida and Ohio. America's 3rd and 7th largest states with 29 and 18 electoral votes respectively, they are constantly swinging back and forth between parties. Who will win Florida? Fairlay market gives Hillary 56% chances:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/which-party-will-win-florida-in-the-2016-presidential-election/. The two states also have near-perfect records of picking the president over the past five decades. The result in Ohio has mirrored the national outcome in every election since 1960, while Florida has diverged from the nation at large just once over that period. Thus, both Hillary and Trump these days spend a lot of their time in these two states. Who will win Ohio? Fairlay market gives Trump 60% chances:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/which-party-will-win-ohio-in-the-2016-presidential-election/. Though Trump remains a narrow lead in Ohio, Florida is still really tight. With its burgeoning Hispanic population, we might think Florida would be slipping from Trump’s grasp because of his incendiary rhetoric on immigration. Yet his message on trade and change is resonating well even among some Hispanics in central Florida and the outcome, as so often is the case, is entirely in the balance. Who will win North Carolina? Fairlay market gives Trump 51% chances:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/which-party-will-win-north-carolina-in-the-2016-presidential-election/. North Carolina is also one of the swing states. When Barack Obama won North Carolina in 2008, he was the first Democrat to do so since Jimmy Carter. Mitt Romney won the Southern state back in 2012, and it now appears to be a toss-up between Clinton and Trump. And it could go either way, with the race being incredibly tight. Who will win Pennsylvania? Fairlay market gives Hillary 79% chances:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/which-party-will-win-pennsylvania-in-the-2016-presidential-election/. Pennsylvania is a state that has Democrat all over it. Philadelphia is the city of Brotherly Love with a significant black population. Scranton is the hometown of Vice President Joe Biden. Still, though polls are going towards Hillary, Trump still thinks that he can win Pennsylvania. His focus: the Philadelphia suburbs. Hillary is given 79% at Fairlay market so Trump’s win there would be a rather surprise. Other battleground states: Who will win Virginia? Fairlay market gives Hillary 87% chances:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/which-party-will-win-virginia-in-the-2016-presidential-election/. Who will win Michigan? Fairlay market gives Hillary 79% chances:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/which-party-will-win-michigan-in-the-2016-presidential-election/. Who will win Wisconsin? Fairlay market gives Hillary 82% chances:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/which-party-will-win-wisconsin-in-the-2016-presidential-election/. Who will win Iowa? Fairlay market gives Trump 72% chances:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/which-party-will-win-iowa-in-the-2016-presidential-election/. Who will win Colorado? Fairlay market gives Hillary 77% chances:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/which-party-will-win-iowa-in-the-2016-presidential-election/. Who will win Nevada? Fairlay market gives Hillary 82% chances:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/which-party-will-win-nevada-in-the-2016-presidential-election/.
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Hillary vs Trump entered its final week: Does Hillary has is it, or is it becoming a tightening race?
As AFP writes, Donald Trump stormed into Democratic territory as the campaign entered its final week Monday, determined to disprove polls and capture the White House as rival Hillary Clinton battles to contain the fallout from renewed FBI focus on her emails. But can he use this to become the next President on November 8? Allegations that Clinton put the United States at risk by using a private email server while secretary of state were thrust back into the spotlight Friday, though FBI director James Comey told email disclosure may have broken law, dramatically shifting the momentum in a race where Clinton was increasingly seen as the prohibitive favorite to win. Who will become the next President?
Predict at Fairlay: https://www.fairlay.com/market/next-president-11/.University of Virginia politics professor Larry Sabato told AFP the email scandal "has changed the dynamic of the race." And it surely did. "She would have been running a victory lap this week, running up the score. Instead she's trying to hold on." And with this, her lead in RCP polling is down to +3.0 today, after +7.1 on October 18. While Clinton does maintain leads in some key battleground states and a modest advantage nationwide, recent polls already showed a tightening race. An ABC News/Washington Post survey carried out before the FBI announcement put the Democratic presidential candidate just one point ahead of her Republican challenger.
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The highest selling console of 2017This market resolves to the highest selling console of 2017 per industry statistics. All bets will be void if neither of the listed is the highest selling console of 2017. NINTENDO SWITCH # PLAYSTATION 4 PRO # Xbox One S
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Trump says he'll keep country 'in suspense' on accepting election result. Will he accept it in the end?
The third and final presidential debate brought a lot of things, but most of today's focus is on Trump's refusal to say he'll accept losing. As Politico writes, Donald Trump delivered another unprecedented historical moment during the final presidential debate Wednesday night when the Republican nominee, who appears on his way to a landslide loss, refused to say that he would accept the election’s outcome. “I will look at it at the time,” said Trump — just hours after his daughter, campaign manager and running mate all insisted that he would respect the voters’ will, win or lose. “That’s horrifying,” Clinton shot back, offering several examples of Trump blaming his personal setbacks and disappointments on others’ cheating or rigging of the events, including 'The Apprentice' getting passed over for an Emmy. Will Trump accept the election result? Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/will-trump-accept-the-election-result/.The Republican nominee’s stunning refusal to say he’ll accept the outcome on November 8 was a jolting replay of the first GOP primary debate in which he dismayed his fellow Republicans by refusing to back the eventual nominee. We didn't see would he back the eventual nominee as he became the one, but do you think that he will go so far to deny the validity of the electoral results on November 8?
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Who will rule Westeros?This market resolves to the character that rules the seven kingdoms of Westeros as head of state from the Iron Throne, after the final episode of the final television series of Game of Thrones. TV spin offs and feature films do not count. If there is more than one ruler, or there is not a ruler at all, all bets will be void.
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Three weeks till the US Presidential Election: Who will win Florida, Utah, Ohio, and Pennsylvania?
We are 21 days away from the US Presidential election scheduled for November 8. And as Hillary has a +5.5 lead over Trump in national poll average, there are a lot of discussions about which candidate will win which state. Some states are important as they bring plenty of electoral votes, others show how politics change. What will they show this time?
Who will win Florida? Fairlay gives Hillary 76% chances.Predict at: https://www.fairlay.com/market/which-party-will-win-florida-in-the-2016-presidential-election/. Florida went for Obama in 2012, but just barely, with the tightest margin of any state. After the second debate, Hillary has inched ahead in the latest polls for this all-important swing state and many think that she has an advantage over Trump because there is a large Hispanic and Latino population in Florida. But, can Trump still make a surprise win there? Who will win Utah? Fairlay gives Trump 78% chances.
Predict at: https://www.fairlay.com/market/which-party-will-win-utah-in-the-2016-presidential-election/. Mitt Romney won the state of Utah by 48 points but 56% of Mormons say Republican leaders should no longer support Donald Trump. But it still looks like Trump will prevail there. Even though it only has six of the 538 electoral college votes Utah could offer an interesting insight into changing political geography. So, could Mormons stop Trump from winning? Who will win Ohio? Fairlay gives Hillary 68% chances.
Predict at: https://www.fairlay.com/market/which-party-will-win-ohio-in-the-2016-presidential-election/. Some think that Ohio may decide who the next president is, so it is really important state. Reason for this is Ohio's incredibly diverse demographic, economic, and geographic makeup that makes it matter so much in elections. At the moment, Clinton is ahead plenty of polls but it seems like many think that Donald Trump could still win Ohio. Will he? Who will win Pennsylvania? Fairlay gives Hillary 89% chances.
Predict at: https://www.fairlay.com/market/which-party-will-win-ohio-in-the-2016-presidential-election/. Pennsylvania is one of the battleground states and many polls show that Hillary should easily win it. Still, in the last days there are plenty of headlines like 'Can Trump really win Pennsylvania? Stranger things have happened in 2016.' But, since 1988 Republicans have seen prize of 20 electoral votes swept away from them. Can Trump change that this time?
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Nobel Literature Prize winner is announced on Thursday. Who will it be? Murakami, Adunis, Wa Thiong'o?
Literary circles are abuzz with speculation ahead of Thursday’s Nobel Literature Prize announcement (1 p.m. CET time), with award watchers suggesting this year’s honors could go to a controversial writer such as Syrian-born poet Ali Ahmad Said Esber, known by the pen name Adonis or Adunis whose most recent publication is a polemic tract on political Islam. Thursday announcement will be ending of an unusually long wait: it comes a week later than usual “for calendar reasons”, the Academy said in late September. Still, some Nobel watchers have interpreted the late date as a sign of discord over this year’s choice, AFP writes. Could this discord be over Adunis, or possibly some other writer? 2016 Nobel Literature Prize Winner, Predict at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/market/2016-nobel-literature-prize-winner/.Once again, we have Japanese contemporary surrealist Haruki Murakami as the first favorite. Though he is there every year, his fans more than ever think this could be his turn. It is same with the fans of Kenyan writer Ngugi Wa Thiong'o. Portuguese novelist Antonio Lobo Antunes, and Spanish novelist Juan Marse are also amongst the leading favorites.
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Daniel Craig hints at James Bond return. Will he indeed do another Bond film?
Daniel Craig has lent weight to theories he will return to the role of James Bond, as Guardian writes, following a year of intense speculation. Speaking at the New Yorker festival over the weekend, he told the audience: “I’ve got the best job in the world doing Bond. The things I get to do on a Bond movie and the type of work it is, there’s no other job like it.” His enthusiasm is in contrast to the sentiments expressed shortly after shooting ended on the most recent instalment. Asked then whether he would like to return to the part, Craig declared that he would “rather slash my wrists”. Daniel Craig to do another Bond Film? Predict at Fairlay: https://www.fairlay.com/market/daniel-craig-to-do-another-bond-film/.
His words chime with those of Bond executive producer Callum McDougall, who told the BBC recently that franchise chiefs Barbara Broccoli and Michael G Wilson were hoping for the return of the actor, who was “absolutely the first choice”. But Craig denied that he was offered $150m for two movie instalments – a report already widely debunked.
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Hillary Clinton will be indicted in 2016On July 5th, the F.B.I. director, James B. Comey, recommended no criminal charges against Hillary Clinton for her handling of classified information while she was secretary of state. That was a "recommendation". Maybe Hillary Clinton will still be indicted in 2016 for that or something else. - . The resolution date of this market may be accelerated. Bets matched after the antedated resolution date will be voided.
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