For the last few years, Japanese writer Haruki Murakami was the biggest favorite to win the Nobel Prize in Literature but he never won in. This October we will get new Nobel literature laureate and popular Murakami is once again the biggest favorite.

But once again he could be skipped and for the time being second favorite is a Kenyan writer Ngugi Wa Thiong'o, while good chances are also given to an America writer Joyce Carol Oates. And if you don’t trust in any of them, odds on authors like Philip Roth, Adunis, Ismail Kadare, Jon Fosse, or any other you can find at Fairlay:
Nobel Prize in Literature

Nobel Peace Price
Barack Obama won the Nobel Peace Prize in 2009, whole European Union in 2012, Tunisian National Dialogue Quartet last year but now we have the question who will win it this year? At the moment most people think that it should be
Greek Islanders who have been on the frontline of the refugee crisis.

But if you don’t think that they will become Nobel laureate, then the second favorite is a global civil society coalition International Campaign To Abolish Nuclear Weapons, but also Denis Mukwege and Angela Merkel. They are followed by Pope Francis and if you have some other favorites, then you can find all the odds at Fairlay:

Theresa May shaked up government with new-look cabinet, but who will leave it first?

Interesting week is behind us in UK politics as new Prime Minister Theresa May has unveiled a nearly completely new look cabinet, in a major departure from predecessor David Cameron's top team. And it couldn’t be more interesting.

George Osborne, Michael Gove, John Whittingdale, Nicky Morgan and Oliver Letwin have all been sacked by Mrs May.
Liz Truss is justice secretary, Justine Greening takes education and Tory leadership contender Andrea Leadsom has been promoted to environment secretary. Boris Johnson became foreign secretary. Philip Hammond was made chancellor.
First Cabinet Member to Leave

So, new cabinet has plenty of interesting names, at the end of which is Eurosceptic David Davis who will, meanwhile, take charge of negotiating Britain's exit from the European Union, in a newly created post of Brexit secretary.

And, it is Davis who is amongst those who could be the first one to leave the cabinet if things don’t go as he or May want. Andrea Leadsom, who was seen as a candidate for the new Prime minister, is also with good chances to leave first. But, of course, the first favorite is a new foreign secretary Boris Jonson as many see him leave before the end of year.

But, could someone else, like Liam Fox, who was appointed as the new international trade secretary, or Amber Rudd, who took over Mrs May's former role as home secretary, leave the Cabinet first? Make your prediction at Fairlay.

RealClearPolitics polling: Hillary is keeping lead just above 4.0% but can Trump lower it in the next week?

After raising to 6.0% lead on June 28, first half of July wasn’t great for Hillary as Trump managed to keep her lead under 5.0%, and it was at the recently lowest 4.3% yesterday. But what will happen next, and will Hillary move up in the polls after Sanders’ endorsement, or will Trump use momentum and move her lead even lower?
Who will lead in Trump vs. Clinton polling on July 20?
So, recent polling certainly showed that Hillary was taking hit for her email scandal lies, and she even lost her lead in some important countries like Florida. With this, both Hillary Clinton and her campaign team should be freaking out, as issues with her honesty has been a sticking point for many Democrats during her primary run.

Thus, there is solid chance that she could go under 4.0% in polling lead, and you have great odds if you think she could go even under 3.0% lead. At the same time, Trump will receive a bump in the polling after the Republican National Convention next week and he also has to announce his vice presidential pick. So, will polling get even tighter?

You can love it, or even hate it but confusion about Pokemon Go has been rising worldwide as its unprecedented growth makes more and more headlines. So, this game has been flooding the news and neighbourhoods but for many it seems as silly as it is impenetrable. And what is this fuss all about?

The answer is Pokemon Go, the new smartphone game from Nintendo and Niantic Labs. According to data tabled by Digital Vision, two days after the app’s launch, Pokemon Go was installed on 5.16% of Android devices in the US and had roared to the top of the iTunes app store’s free app charts. Nintendo’s stocks are reported to have risen to their highest value since 1983 and demand for the game was so high, with servers crashing regularly, that Amazon’s chief technology officer, Werner Vogels, even offered to share the traffic load.

How long will Pokemon Go be at the top of the App Store?

So, you surely tried to play it as well, or some of your friends did. Or, if you’ve been out and about over the past few days, chances are you’ve seen people frantically swiping their smartphones in front of places of interest, or listened with slight alarm as friends chattered excitedly about how they “caught a Sandshrew behind the supermarket”.

All in all, it is all really popular and interesting, so much that it brought a $7.5-billion US surge in Nintendo's market value. But for how long will this craziness about Pokemon Go last, or to ask more accurate question: “How long will Pokemon Go! be at the top of the App Store?” For weeks, months, or could it stay there even in 2017? At Fairlay market you have six different options, but take care that we put starting period for July 8, 2016 at 10:00 GMT time. So, what is your opinion on this market, and Pokemon Go itself?

Oil prices fell once again this morning amid signs of an economic slowdown in Asia and evidence that US shale producers have now adapted to lower prices. Brent Crude Oil opened today at $46.49, after being at $50.10 last Monday. But, let’s look further on and try to predict where it will close at the end of the year.

According to Goldman Sachs, it will remain in a range of $45-50 per barrel over the next 12 months, as there is also mounting evidence that US shale drillers can adapt to prices of $45 or higher. But, few weeks ago former Shell Oil President told he’s “pretty bullish” on $80 per barrel oil by the end of the year.
End of the year price of Crude Oil
“Sometime in the fall, it could be in October or November, the Russians and the Saudis have got to get a grip on reality that they cannot face 2017 with the same collapse in their budgets… they are going to have to do something and the best thing for them to do, because they are so oil dependent, is to let the price of oil rise further,” he said.

So, what is your opinion on the price of a barrel of Brent Crude Oil, in USD, on December 31, 2016? Can it go over $75.00, or will it go up but stay in the range of $50.00 - $74.99? Or, do you think recent trends will continue so it will close year in the current range at $25.00 - $49.99, or even under $25.00?