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41  Economy / Gambling / Re: Is it possible to "work" as a gambler and live off the profits? on: July 21, 2013, 02:04:05 AM
There are a few possibilities:

1) Play poker well. This is probably the most popular way, and thousands of people make a significant income just playing poker (keep in mind, this means millions are probably losing).

2) Sports betting. Some players are able to be profitable long-term here. I don't really know much about it.

3) Abuse casino promotions. Although this isn't really winning from gambling and is more just winning free money and trying not to lose it all.

4) Develop an advantage in a casino game. There are a few ways to do this: count cards, learn how to manipulate dice in craps, etc. This is definitely the hardest way.

Good luck!
42  Economy / Gambling / Re: SatoshiPoker ♣ Freerolls ♣ Guarantees ♣ Low Rake ♣ 20% rakeback ♣ Affiliates on: July 21, 2013, 01:56:47 AM
Hey BF, just two things...

1) Why can I sometimes not chat on the table? It doesn't seem to be tied to anybody's all-in or something like that (not that I ever discuss the current hand).

2) Congrats on the cash game growth. It's great to see Smiley
43  Economy / Gambling / Re: SatoshiPoker ♣ Freerolls ♣ Guarantees ♣ Low Rake ♣ 10 BTC Bad Beat ♣ Affiliates on: July 13, 2013, 06:22:05 AM
Announcing New Guaranteed Tournaments

To offer our players more diversity in buyin ranges, we decided to spread out the regular guaranteed tournaments over different buyin levels and mixing them up with non guaranteed tournaments of the same buyin ranges.

s1100 5K Guaranteed tournament will run every 3 hours
s550 2.5K Guaranteed tournament will run every 3 hours
s110 500 Guaranteed tournament will run every 3 hours

The tournaments have 10 minute blind levels and late registration of 30 minutes. We will monitor what times at the day the tournaments have more entrants to adjust the guaranteed prize to a fair level.

The tournament schedule has been set up but the templates need at most 2 or 3 hours to get fully operational. Please check the tournament lobby to see the tourneys pop up Smiley

Wow! This is exactly what I wanted and more Smiley Can't wait until they are operational!
44  Economy / Gambling / Re: SatoshiPoker ♣ Freerolls ♣ Guarantees ♣ Low Rake ♣ 10 BTC Bad Beat ♣ Affiliates on: July 13, 2013, 05:35:50 AM
Hey BitcoinFlush, would you consider adding tournaments somewhere between the 50 and 1k buyin range? I don't care if there's any guarantee, however it would be nice to play bigger tournaments even though 5k or even 1k is still a bit too much.

Thanks!
45  Economy / Gambling / Re: Gambling Site Reviews By Bitcoin Detective on: July 12, 2013, 07:13:13 AM
You can't make a poker site provably fair without revealing everyone's hole card information afterwards. I'm pretty sure poker players aren't willing to make that tradeoff.
46  Economy / Gambling / Re: Predictious - Prediction Market Launching this Afternoon on: July 12, 2013, 06:00:52 AM
Have any trades been executed yet? I don't see an order book for any of the options.
47  Economy / Gambling / Re: BITFEUD- HALF PRICE BITBANK SPECIAL on: July 11, 2013, 09:25:39 AM
This business model makes no sense whatsoever.

Oh wait...
48  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: [XPM] [FASTER!] Mining PrimeCoin using DigitalOcean (VPS) on: July 11, 2013, 08:35:44 AM
Now that I have this site that gives credit card numbers, and I found another code for $10 I can make as many as I want, Just need to make more emails. Cheesy I'm up to 10 drops running. Cheesy

Has anyone made a script that could be run that would do all this automatically?

yay fraud!
49  Economy / Gambling / Re: SatoshiPoker ♣ Freerolls ♣ Guarantees ♣ Low Rake ♣ 10 BTC Bad Beat ♣ Affiliates on: July 10, 2013, 09:15:38 PM
I'd like to add that I have also recieved both of my payments.

Thank you, BitcoinFlush!
50  Economy / Gambling / Re: [ANN] BitsPoker - Play Free Bitcoin Poker | Hourly Freerolls | No Min. Deposit! on: July 10, 2013, 12:20:24 PM
That's a lot of poker chips.
51  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: PayPal funds ---> BTC? on: July 10, 2013, 03:46:40 AM
The only way to do this that I know of is virwox, but it is possible.

Be prepared for massive fees however.
52  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: ***FREE BTC*** GIVEAWAY @ Bit777.com | Get Yours Now! on: July 09, 2013, 11:45:55 AM
Username: Frogcoin

Looking forward to testing the site!
53  Economy / Gambling / Re: CoinGames -New gambling site! on: July 09, 2013, 09:16:45 AM
What are the odds of winning and payouts?
54  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][Exchange] Latest Cryptsy Additions, News and announcements on: July 09, 2013, 07:06:50 AM
Any consideration for primecoin?
55  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Service Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: Just-Dice.com : Play or Invest : 1% House Edge : Banter++ on: July 08, 2013, 07:48:01 AM
In practice, small martingale style bets are better because they introduce scenarios where less BTC is bet and reduce the loss from house edge. The starting and target BTC amounts are irrelevant.

Aren't both of them (starting and target BTC) important? Only because the starting BTC amount determines how big or small your martingale initial bets. The target BTC determines how many bets or how long you keep up the strategy, and the higher the target, the higher the risk of losing it all to a large number of consecutive losses.

Now, if you could predict when you are about to lose and either bet small or bet zero (JD allows you to be zero) then you may be on to something.

As it is, you can't predict the rolls, but you can apply statistical analysis and probabilities that you might know when to bet big, or when to bet small (or zero).

In other words, you don't use textbook martingale; you modify it so that you win more often, and you lose less. It's still possible to lose everything, so you can't do an infinite martingale, as it is possible to have 100 consecutive losses at 98% chance to win (however unlikely or improbable that is.)

I suppose I used the wrong wording. Starting and ending BTC amounts determine the size of your bets and the multiplier you need to pick for a martingale "chain" -- I only meant that the concept held in general with any starting BTC and target goal.
56  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [XPM] [ANN] Primecoin Release - First Scientific Computing Cryptocurrency on: July 08, 2013, 07:27:55 AM
Finally found a block, even though my primespersec is hopping between 3 and 84!
57  Economy / Gambling / Re: Ad Supported BTC Gambling? on: July 08, 2013, 07:23:43 AM
I don't think there are any ad-based sites, but satoshi poker offers freerolls for 3.5mTBC to the top 3 places with about 10 or 15 entrants each, so you have a good chance of winning a few cents after a few games.
58  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Service Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: Just-Dice.com : Play or Invest : 1% House Edge : Banter++ on: July 08, 2013, 06:59:35 AM
Hmm. It seems martingaling is better only if your aiming to less than double your initial balance.

I'm willing to bet you're wrong on that too if you like?

The optimal strategy for going from X btc to Y btc is the one that minimizes the amount wagered. In the previous example of 3BTC -> 4BTC, the martingale of 1BTC -> 2BTC is better because 49.5% of the time only 1BTC is being wagered. We can do even better by betting less at a smaller winrate -- consider for example the following martingale of 3 bets:

0.58740084 BTC at 2.70241438x (36.6339%) -> if we lose 0.93244059BTC at the same rate -> if we lose 1.48015697BTC at this rate.

The expected values of each strategy:
1 bet -- (3btc @ 1.3333333x) -- 0.7425 success rate, EV = 2.97 BTC (-0.03)
2 bets -- (1btc, 2btc) --0.744975 success rate, EV = 2.9799 BTC (-0.0201)
3 bets -- (pattern above) -- 7455684 success rate, EV = 2.9823 BTC (-0.0177)


In theory, if BTC were infinitely divisible, one could start at an infinitesimal amount at "near-infinite" odds and apply this martingale to eliminate the house edge and obtain an EV of 3BTC.

In practice, small martingale style bets are better because they introduce scenarios where less BTC is bet and reduce the loss from house edge. The starting and target BTC amounts are irrelevant.
59  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [XPM] [ANN] Primecoin Release - First Scientific Computing Cryptocurrency on: July 08, 2013, 02:54:07 AM
Mining these, does anyone know why there is so much variance in the "hashrate"?

I'm moving between 8 and 54.
60  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: FREE Bitcoins! 1mBTC for anyone just post your bitcoin address 30 voters needed on: July 07, 2013, 11:53:08 PM
Voted! 195.

1Jp78gALuACX76okL1yFGaXmFwqEbWT1Ex

Thanks. Smiley
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