[edited out]
Short term crashes, yes always a possibility. However, they are meaningless in modern finance because, as demonstrated during covid, “no matter what it takes” is always activated and the result of that is rapid expansion of the monetary supply and then hello Cantillon Effect.In fact, that monetary expansion could be argued to precede any crash in the first place these days, causing that crash not to happen. The US fiscal expansion (and some Monetary games) over the last few years might have even done that. Regardless of how we get there of course the end destination is asset inflationary.
Anyway, due to the lack of any froth this Bitcoin run, so far. I don’t think any substantial down movements will be any worse than that experienced by stocks. Time will tell.
Boring is definitely the way.
FTFY.
You made some good points in regards to our new world order, which were partially demonstrated through Covid and also there is more and more control over all of finances, which stable coins are likely going to be another route to further attempts at control and dollar expansion - or at least try to allow the dollar to continue to survive, even though it is on its last legs, but certain trickery can allow it to continue to last, dominate and to suck up the value of other fiats through its ongoing dominance in digital format that is a bit more modern ways of control.
We likely have to see how quarter 4 of this year plays out in order to see if any blow off top ends up playing out, or if stable (and boring) is going to continue
.,.. and you are likely correct that if too much boring continues through quarter 4, then it becomes more difficult to trigger any kind of large and/or meaningful bitcoin crash - even if we might have some behind the scene attempts to manipulate (and paperize bitcoin supplies), but those fuck twats who are manipulating bitcoin supply might end up getting blown out of the water to the extent that not all the players holding bitcoin are going to want to cooperate with them. .and do we get some kind of a behind the scene bail out or maybe Blackrock takes over Coinbase when Coinbase fucks up custody.
It is hard to know how matters will play out, since I am not going to concede that shenanigans are not happening, just like Sam Bankman Freid likely was some kind of a plant that facilitated the taking of money and an attack on "crypto".. and the FTX might not have had played out how the powers that be wanted, yet it was still allowed to facilitate some of the agenda of the powers that be in regards to shutting down 3 "crypto-friendly" banks and other kinds of chaoses and injustices that ended up playing out.
Edit: I had meant to say that at least in our current BTC correction from the last few days, we are getting a wee bit extra correction from that shitcoin ethereum (gotten a correction from right around 0.043 BTC in the last 6 weeks to currently right around 0.036 BTC, even though it would be nice if it were to go back below 0.020 BTC as it had gotten down to in April 2025 or even lower if possible below 0.017), even though it is hard to know if the current correction of ethereum being greater than BTC is just temporary since pumping of shitcoins surely should continue to be considered as froth, even though various aspects of the USA government have gotten more friendly to shitcoins, and even grifting upon them.
