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【神马行情研判】 短线别割肉,中线等横盘【2月6日行情研判】
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Topic: 【神马行情研判】 短线别割肉,中线等横盘【2月6日行情研判】 (Read 129 times)
ShenMaXuNiHuoBi
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【神马行情研判】 短线别割肉,中线等横盘【2月6日行情研判】
February 06, 2018, 07:04:50 AM
#1
早晨醒了第一件事就是看行情,感觉这次下跌的持续性以及力度有点接近“怀疑人生”了。之前神马讲过,币市上涨的时候会让人怀疑人生,下跌的时候一样会让人怀疑人生,这句话再次被验证。自从1月6号提示风险,到今天整整一个月,神马中途也犯过错误,第一次反弹判断失误,比特币价格认为不会破掉判断失误,除此之外基本上一路看空,反复提示降低仓位,并且拿自己仓位分布举例。其实我是不慌的,因为我在1月6号之后,知道会有怀疑人生的下跌,我目前市场里的钱没有空仓是我深知任何判断都有错误的概率,所以留了一部分在里面。现在跌的惨,从市场赚来的就还给市场一部分也没关系。
所有的下跌没有一直跌的,短线神马认为下跌动能在减弱,大家已经在里面的千万不要割肉,否则会后悔。比特币小时线来看,持续阴跌在凌晨3点钟已经杀出恐慌盘,后面4点钟接盘踊跃,预计这里面多头会组织一次反攻的。昨天我说短线看不清,但是今天看短线反弹的概率较大了。
下面说点阴谋论,神马观察比特币前十名账户的持仓,17年9月份有个神秘账户购买大量比特币,数量是十万级的,然后在17年12月份价格高点的时候又是大笔买入,数量达到百万级,该持有人的综合成本大约在8000美元左右。那么这个神秘账户究竟是谁呢,神马猜测不排除是某国政府的账户。手里拿着这么多货,能够对市场产生很大影响了,这样还需要什么利空政策嘛,等大家投资情绪低落的时候砸砸盘,啥政策也不用出了,神马看现在场外价格与场内价格差反而增加了,说明砸盘的钱并没有出来,不是急于换现金的,预计择机这钱还会把部分筹码接回来。当然这些都只是猜测。
比特币--低价吸筹
在又来了一轮暴跌的前提下,比特币来到了6000美元大关,相信在12000美元的时候很难相信会跌成这样,就像几个月前大家很难相信比特币突破8000美元一个道理。如果问大家一个问题,是否认为比特币未来会再次突破2w美元,相信大多数人都认为是的,至少我是这么认为,那么现在收集筹码风险没那么大,只要拿住不看涨跌即可,说难也难说容易也容易。要知道,在市场资金体量是现在体量20%的时候,比特币已经2w人民币了,现在资金是当时的五倍。
其他币--不割肉
中线来看,逻辑未变,但是短线看的就是消息和买卖情绪,短时间已经跌了够多了,神马看会酝酿一波反弹,此时割肉遗恨一周。另外仓位很重要,如果这时候是满仓操作的话,换做是谁心里也会焦虑万分,前天的弱反弹没有达到预期,预计晚些时候会有一波稍微像样的反弹。
局势判断
再次重复,方便大家思考目前的策略。长线级别18年向好大势未变,中线级别是下跌,所以几个月后山寨币也许还有新低,中线级别的下跌会在长时间横盘之后结束,或者是市场情况的某些结构性变化,例如真正的实体公司进入币圈,或者BAT这样的公司进入。日级别预计要酝酿反弹。
总结
别割肉,等反弹,比特币已经是入场良机
本文纯手敲,转载请注明出处,欢迎加我微信 shencion 交流区块链资产投资
lhflyfeihong02
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Re: 【神马行情研判】 短线别割肉,中线等横盘【2月6日行情研判】
February 06, 2018, 08:58:21 AM
#2
早割早超生啊!不过未来是无法预测的,反正我是坚持我的信仰,我不会割肉的,相反地,如果有子弹,我还会加仓!
PencilCoin
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Re: 【神马行情研判】 短线别割肉,中线等横盘【2月6日行情研判】
February 06, 2018, 09:04:53 AM
#3
買買買
不管大盤
未來就是要現在買
BallPenCoin
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Re: 【神马行情研判】 短线别割肉,中线等横盘【2月6日行情研判】
February 06, 2018, 09:10:09 AM
#4
快跑吧
熊市要來了
ShenMaXuNiHuoBi
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Re: 【神马行情研判】 短线别割肉,中线等横盘【2月6日行情研判】
February 06, 2018, 09:50:57 AM
#5
Quote from: lhflyfeihong02 on February 06, 2018, 08:58:21 AM
早割早超生啊!不过未来是无法预测的,反正我是坚持我的信仰,我不会割肉的,相反地,如果有子弹,我还会加仓!
坚持!
ShenMaXuNiHuoBi
(OP)
Newbie
Offline
Activity: 56
Merit: 0
Re: 【神马行情研判】 短线别割肉,中线等横盘【2月6日行情研判】
February 06, 2018, 09:52:17 AM
#6
Quote from: PencilCoin on February 06, 2018, 09:04:53 AM
買買買
不管大盤
未來就是要現在買
说的不错
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【神马行情研判】 短线别割肉,中线等横盘【2月6日行情研判】
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