Bitcoin Forum
November 13, 2024, 05:03:47 PM
Welcome,
Guest
. Please
login
or
register
.
News
: Latest Bitcoin Core release:
28.0
[
Torrent
]
Home
Help
Search
Login
Register
More
Bitcoin Forum
>
Local
>
中文 (Chinese)
>
山寨币
>
【神马行情研判】 短线别割肉,中线等横盘【2月6日行情研判】
Pages: [
1
]
« previous topic
next topic »
Print
Author
Topic: 【神马行情研判】 短线别割肉,中线等横盘【2月6日行情研判】 (Read 140 times)
ShenMaXuNiHuoBi
(OP)
Newbie
Offline
Activity: 56
Merit: 0
【神马行情研判】 短线别割肉,中线等横盘【2月6日行情研判】
February 06, 2018, 07:04:50 AM
#1
早晨醒了第一件事就是看行情,感觉这次下跌的持续性以及力度有点接近“怀疑人生”了。之前神马讲过,币市上涨的时候会让人怀疑人生,下跌的时候一样会让人怀疑人生,这句话再次被验证。自从1月6号提示风险,到今天整整一个月,神马中途也犯过错误,第一次反弹判断失误,比特币价格认为不会破掉判断失误,除此之外基本上一路看空,反复提示降低仓位,并且拿自己仓位分布举例。其实我是不慌的,因为我在1月6号之后,知道会有怀疑人生的下跌,我目前市场里的钱没有空仓是我深知任何判断都有错误的概率,所以留了一部分在里面。现在跌的惨,从市场赚来的就还给市场一部分也没关系。
所有的下跌没有一直跌的,短线神马认为下跌动能在减弱,大家已经在里面的千万不要割肉,否则会后悔。比特币小时线来看,持续阴跌在凌晨3点钟已经杀出恐慌盘,后面4点钟接盘踊跃,预计这里面多头会组织一次反攻的。昨天我说短线看不清,但是今天看短线反弹的概率较大了。
下面说点阴谋论,神马观察比特币前十名账户的持仓,17年9月份有个神秘账户购买大量比特币,数量是十万级的,然后在17年12月份价格高点的时候又是大笔买入,数量达到百万级,该持有人的综合成本大约在8000美元左右。那么这个神秘账户究竟是谁呢,神马猜测不排除是某国政府的账户。手里拿着这么多货,能够对市场产生很大影响了,这样还需要什么利空政策嘛,等大家投资情绪低落的时候砸砸盘,啥政策也不用出了,神马看现在场外价格与场内价格差反而增加了,说明砸盘的钱并没有出来,不是急于换现金的,预计择机这钱还会把部分筹码接回来。当然这些都只是猜测。
比特币--低价吸筹
在又来了一轮暴跌的前提下,比特币来到了6000美元大关,相信在12000美元的时候很难相信会跌成这样,就像几个月前大家很难相信比特币突破8000美元一个道理。如果问大家一个问题,是否认为比特币未来会再次突破2w美元,相信大多数人都认为是的,至少我是这么认为,那么现在收集筹码风险没那么大,只要拿住不看涨跌即可,说难也难说容易也容易。要知道,在市场资金体量是现在体量20%的时候,比特币已经2w人民币了,现在资金是当时的五倍。
其他币--不割肉
中线来看,逻辑未变,但是短线看的就是消息和买卖情绪,短时间已经跌了够多了,神马看会酝酿一波反弹,此时割肉遗恨一周。另外仓位很重要,如果这时候是满仓操作的话,换做是谁心里也会焦虑万分,前天的弱反弹没有达到预期,预计晚些时候会有一波稍微像样的反弹。
局势判断
再次重复,方便大家思考目前的策略。长线级别18年向好大势未变,中线级别是下跌,所以几个月后山寨币也许还有新低,中线级别的下跌会在长时间横盘之后结束,或者是市场情况的某些结构性变化,例如真正的实体公司进入币圈,或者BAT这样的公司进入。日级别预计要酝酿反弹。
总结
别割肉,等反弹,比特币已经是入场良机
本文纯手敲,转载请注明出处,欢迎加我微信 shencion 交流区块链资产投资
lhflyfeihong02
Newbie
Offline
Activity: 42
Merit: 0
Re: 【神马行情研判】 短线别割肉,中线等横盘【2月6日行情研判】
February 06, 2018, 08:58:21 AM
#2
早割早超生啊!不过未来是无法预测的,反正我是坚持我的信仰,我不会割肉的,相反地,如果有子弹,我还会加仓!
PencilCoin
Newbie
Offline
Activity: 11
Merit: 0
Re: 【神马行情研判】 短线别割肉,中线等横盘【2月6日行情研判】
February 06, 2018, 09:04:53 AM
#3
買買買
不管大盤
未來就是要現在買
BallPenCoin
Newbie
Offline
Activity: 13
Merit: 0
Re: 【神马行情研判】 短线别割肉,中线等横盘【2月6日行情研判】
February 06, 2018, 09:10:09 AM
#4
快跑吧
熊市要來了
ShenMaXuNiHuoBi
(OP)
Newbie
Offline
Activity: 56
Merit: 0
Re: 【神马行情研判】 短线别割肉,中线等横盘【2月6日行情研判】
February 06, 2018, 09:50:57 AM
#5
Quote from: lhflyfeihong02 on February 06, 2018, 08:58:21 AM
早割早超生啊!不过未来是无法预测的,反正我是坚持我的信仰,我不会割肉的,相反地,如果有子弹,我还会加仓!
坚持!
ShenMaXuNiHuoBi
(OP)
Newbie
Offline
Activity: 56
Merit: 0
⇾
Re: 【神马行情研判】 短线别割肉,中线等横盘【2月6日行情研判】
February 06, 2018, 09:52:17 AM
#6
Quote from: PencilCoin on February 06, 2018, 09:04:53 AM
買買買
不管大盤
未來就是要現在買
说的不错
Pages: [
1
]
Print
Bitcoin Forum
>
Local
>
中文 (Chinese)
>
山寨币
>
【神马行情研判】 短线别割肉,中线等横盘【2月6日行情研判】
« previous topic
next topic »
Jump to:
Please select a destination:
-----------------------------
Bitcoin
-----------------------------
=> Bitcoin Discussion
===> Legal
===> Press
===> Meetups
===> Important Announcements
=> Development & Technical Discussion
===> Wallet software
=====> Electrum
=====> Bitcoin Wallet for Android
=====> BitcoinJ
=====> Armory
=====> Mycelium
=====> Hardware wallets
=> Mining
===> Mining support
===> Pools
===> Mining software (miners)
===> Hardware
=====> Group buys
===> Mining speculation
=> Bitcoin Technical Support
=> Project Development
-----------------------------
Economy
-----------------------------
=> Economics
===> Speculation
=> Marketplace
===> Goods
=====> Computer hardware
=====> Digital goods
=======> Invites & Accounts
=====> Collectibles
===> Services
===> Currency exchange
===> Gambling
=====> Games and rounds
=====> Investor-based games
=====> Gambling discussion
===> Lending
=====> Long-term offers
===> Securities
===> Auctions
===> Service Announcements
=====> Micro Earnings
===> Service Discussion
=====> Web Wallets
=====> Exchanges
=> Trading Discussion
===> Scam Accusations
===> Reputation
-----------------------------
Other
-----------------------------
=> Meta
===> New forum software
===> Bitcoin Wiki
=> Politics & Society
=> Beginners & Help
=> Off-topic
=> Serious discussion
===> Ivory Tower
=> Archival
===> Корзина
===> CPU/GPU Bitcoin mining hardware
===> Chinese students
===> Obsolete (buying)
===> Obsolete (selling)
===> MultiBit
-----------------------------
Alternate cryptocurrencies
-----------------------------
=> Altcoin Discussion
=> Announcements (Altcoins)
===> Tokens (Altcoins)
=> Mining (Altcoins)
===> Pools (Altcoins)
=> Marketplace (Altcoins)
===> Service Announcements (Altcoins)
===> Service Discussion (Altcoins)
===> Bounties (Altcoins)
=> Speculation (Altcoins)
-----------------------------
Local
-----------------------------
=> العربية (Arabic)
===> العملات البديلة (Altcoins)
=====> النقاشات
===> إستفسارات و أسئلة المبتدئين
===> التعدين
===> النقاشات الأخرى
===> منصات التبادل
=> Bahasa Indonesia (Indonesian)
===> Marketplace (Bahasa Indonesia)
===> Mining (Bahasa Indonesia)
===> Altcoins (Bahasa Indonesia)
===> Trading dan Spekulasi
===> Ekonomi, Politik, dan Budaya
===> Topik Lainnya
=> Español (Spanish)
===> Mercado y Economía
=====> Servicios
=====> Trading y especulación
===> Hardware y Minería
===> Esquina Libre
===> Mercadillo
=====> Mexico
=====> Argentina
=====> España
=====> Centroamerica y Caribe
===> Primeros pasos y ayuda
===> Altcoins (criptomonedas alternativas)
=====> Minería de altcoins
=====> Servicios
=====> Tokens (Español)
=> 中文 (Chinese)
===> 跳蚤市场
===> 山寨币
===> 媒体
===> 挖矿
===> 离题万里
=> Hrvatski (Croatian)
===> Trgovina
===> Altcoins (Hrvatski)
=====> Announcements (Hrvatski)
===> Off-topic (Hrvatski)
=> Deutsch (German)
===> Anfänger und Hilfe
===> Mining (Deutsch)
===> Trading und Spekulation
===> Projektentwicklung
===> Off-Topic (Deutsch)
===> Treffen
===> Presse
===> Altcoins (Deutsch)
=====> Announcements (Deutsch)
===> Marktplatz
=====> Auktionen
=====> Suche
=====> Biete
=> Ελληνικά (Greek)
===> Αγορά
===> Mining Discussion (Ελληνικά)
===> Altcoins (Ελληνικά)
=====> Altcoin Announcements (Ελληνικά)
=====> Altcoin Mining (Ελληνικά)
=> עברית (Hebrew)
=> Français
===> Actualité et News
===> Débutants
===> Discussions générales et utilisation du Bitcoin
===> Mining et Hardware
===> Économie et spéculation
===> Place de marché
=====> Échanges
=====> Produits et services
=====> Petites annonces
===> Le Bitcoin et la loi
===> Wiki, documentation et traduction
===> Développement et technique
===> Vos sites et projets
===> Hors-sujet
===> Altcoins (Français)
=====> Annonces
=> India
===> Mining (India)
===> Marketplace (India)
===> Regional Languages (India)
===> Press & News from India
===> Alt Coins (India)
===> Buyer/ Seller Reputations (India)
===> Off-Topic (India)
=> Italiano (Italian)
===> Guide (Italiano)
===> Progetti
===> Discussioni avanzate e sviluppo
===> Trading, analisi e speculazione
===> Mercato
=====> Mercato valute
=====> Beni
=====> Servizi
=====> Esercizi commerciali
=====> Hardware/Mining (Italiano)
=====> Gambling (Italiano)
===> Accuse scam/truffe
===> Mining (Italiano)
===> Alt-Currencies (Italiano)
=====> Annunci
===> Raduni/Meeting (Italiano)
===> Crittografia e decentralizzazione
===> Off-Topic (Italiano)
=> 日本語 (Japanese)
===> アルトコイン
=> Nederlands (Dutch)
===> Markt
===> Gokken/lotterijen
===> Mining (Nederlands)
===> Beurzen
===> Alt Coins (Nederlands)
===> Off-topic (Nederlands)
===> Meetings (Nederlands)
=> Nigeria (Naija)
===> Politics and society (Naija)
===> Off-topic (Naija)
=> 한국어 (Korean)
===> 대체코인 Alt Coins (한국어)
=> Pilipinas
===> Altcoins (Pilipinas)
=====> Altcoin Announcements (Pilipinas)
===> Pamilihan
===> Others (Pilipinas)
=> Polski
===> Tablica ogłoszeń
===> Alternatywne kryptowaluty
=====> Nowe kryptowaluty i tokeny
=====> Tablica ogłoszeń (altcoiny)
=> Português (Portuguese)
===> Primeiros Passos (Iniciantes)
===> Economia & Mercado
===> Mineração em Geral
===> Desenvolvimento & Discussões Técnicas
===> Criptomoedas Alternativas
===> Brasil
===> Portugal
=> Русский (Russian)
===> Новички
===> Бизнес
=====> Барахолка
=====> Обменники
===> Идеи
===> Кодеры
===> Майнеры
===> Политика
===> Трейдеры
===> Альтернативные криптовалюты
=====> Токены
=====> Бayнти и aиpдpoпы
===> Хайпы
===> Работа
===> Разное
===> Oбcyждeниe Bitcoin
=====> Новости
=====> Юристы
=> Română (Romanian)
===> Anunturi importante
===> Offtopic
===> Market
=====> Discutii Servicii
===> Minerit
===> Tutoriale
===> Bine ai venit!
===> Presa
===> Altcoins (Monede Alternative)
=====> Anunturi Monede Alternative
=> Skandinavisk
=> Türkçe (Turkish)
===> Bitcoin Haberleri
===> Pazar Alanı
===> Madencilik
===> Ekonomi
===> Servisler
=====> Fonlar
===> Proje Geliştirme
===> Alternatif Kripto-Paralar
=====> Madencilik (Alternatif Kripto-Paralar)
=====> Duyurular (Alternatif Kripto-Paralar)
===> Konu Dışı
===> Yeni Başlayanlar & Yardım
===> Buluşmalar
=> Other languages/locations
Loading...