Can current sanctions Ruble inflation stop Russia?

[Captain Corporate]

 You can handle the energy shortages one way or another. You can find other providers, you can even end up not putting any type of energy into big energy stuff that are currently luxury and just focus on main needs to drop your need. So forth and so forth, definitely not ideal but not impossible to do neither. At the end of the day without money you can't do anything, so Russia is in a bigger danger right now. Doesn't mean that the world is all sunshines and rainbows for West neither, but it is "not as bad" to say the very least. Thats a big difference to say. Which is why I believe that Russia will do worse in the long run if they do not stop.

[adaseb]

It looked like it was stabilizing however when the markets opened it spiked up to 137USDRUB. And if you consider the fact that one month ago it was 75 USDRUB, you are looking at pretty much almost a 50% loss.

Many citizens are suffering because of this and I doubt many of the Russian rich held much of the Rub. Most of them probably are holding assets, gold, USD, yen and perhaps Bitcoin.

Wonder if it will hit 200 USDRUB anytime soon.

[Argoo]

One of the goals of sanctions is to weaken the Russian military, so in the long run, it could force Russia to stop this war. But this process could take years, as the Afghan war.

Puttin is truly decided to invade Ukraine and the current sanctions might worsen the conflict between these two countries. However, sanctions could affect Russia but it will take time because they have independent economy which is strong enough to resist these sanctions. I'm sure that Russia has reserved so much as a preparation for this war.

Many Russians see Putin as highly intelligent and able to foresee the full implications of an attack on Ukraine. This is far from being the case, and therefore his plan to seize Ukraine in 3-4 days failed miserably. The Ukrainians successfully repel the attack of the 150,000 Russian army and already over 11,000 Russians have died in Ukraine in 11 days of a large-scale invasion. The Russian occupiers are hungry because they have received only three days of dry rations, they are running out of fuel and increasingly they are abandoning their equipment and fleeing or surrendering. The Ukrainian army is also well rearmed with captured weapons, which are estimated at millions and tens of millions of dollars per unit.
Tough economic sanctions are necessary for Russia and are a logical response for the aggressor country. Already in the first days after their introduction, they have a devastating effect on the Russian economy. And every day this influence will increase. This will not stop Putin, but the people should think about it. If he does not eliminate his king, then let him deservedly live in poverty.

[darkangel11]

But can that stop Russia? During world wars, they survived with water, vodka and bread.

Isn't water and vodka all the same for Russians?

To answer the question, I think it won't stop Russia because currently Russia is Putin. People are too afraid to do anything and according to polls about 50% of them support the invasion, so they will keep on living without western brands and the social media and they will blame the West for their hardship. Putin won't stop because he's stubborn. Ukraine hurt his ego and he's a small man who wants to be on top every time.

[tyz]

But can that stop Russia? During world wars, they survived with water, vodka and bread.

There are no outright sactions, at least not from Europe. Two of the largest banks, Grazprom Bank and Sberbank, are largely exempt from the sanctions, because otherwise no more commodities can be paid. The truth also includes that Europe is still importing almost $1 billion worth of gas, oil and coal every day, indirectly helping to finance the war. If Europe were to impose an embargo on these products, it would immediately lead to a massive increase in energy prices, which will probably cause social unrest in Europe.

[Dunamisx]

It's expected by some economic experts that SWIFT ban will cause:
1. Up to 10% recession.
2. Up to 50% decline in export.
3. Inflation of Rubble.

All this three point are already happening in Russia, from the first point, inflation have already set in and the citizens are seriously affected and lamenting, their Rubble is down, the sanction placed and swift ban has already cover for a decline in export, and the last phase is the onset of recession to take place finally.

Looking into to Ukraine side of the story and how it has been affected, we can see the how contributions from different parts of the world were given in a form of bitcoin or any other crypto to help fight against the war, purchase millitary supply service and help the citizens with food and security parliatives.

Remember this is war and anything can turnaround by the end of it either in favor of Russia or Ukraine as we only know the begining bit the later end os unpredictable.

[ultrloa]

No it will never stop Russia for what they are doing because they also have something huge to avenge to other country or shall we say something that can affect the global economy and those sanctions will just trigger Russia to do more action and pursue what they do on Ukraine. The only way what can make Russia change their mind and have peaceful insights toward Ukraine is to negotiate toward what Putin likes and they should stop fighting and sending more troops to taunt more the Russian forces.

[TimeTeller]

You can handle the energy shortages one way or another. You can find other providers, you can even end up not putting any type of energy into big energy stuff that are currently luxury and just focus on main needs to drop your need. So forth and so forth, definitely not ideal but not impossible to do neither. At the end of the day without money you can't do anything, so Russia is in a bigger danger right now. Doesn't mean that the world is all sunshines and rainbows for West neither, but it is "not as bad" to say the very least. Thats a big difference to say. Which is why I believe that Russia will do worse in the long run if they do not stop.

That’s true. I have seen people say all kinds of things about Putin being prepared for whatever is to come and the possibility of them being able to survive the inflation and the world turning back on them and the sanctioning. It just seems pretty funny to me as to how some people feel that they would be able to easily survive all that, it’s not easy.

How prepared are they, while their economy is already falling and their currency has lost too much value within a very short time? And this is just like the start of it, if they should keep going further into this, we know very well that this very much going to affect them more than what it has done right now.

Don't forget that China is not joining the sanctions over Russia.
This may be one wild card that Russia is holding onto.
Just think that China is one huge country and basically, most of our things come from or made from China.
Certainly, Russia will suffer from this war. They can survive but they will have limited engagements in the global trade.
This is if they will not stop this war and continue the aggression to the worst possible scenario.
But don't know if Ukraine will agree with the 4 conditions of Russia to stop temporarily this "demilitarization."

https://www.reuters.com/world/kremlin-says-russian-military-action-will-stop-moment-if-ukraine-meets-2022-03-07/
1. Ukraine cease military action
2. Change its constitution to enshrine neutrality
3. Acknowledge Crimea as Russian territory
4, Recognise the separatist republics of Donetsk and Lugansk as independent states

[wozzek23]

It’s definitely going to be very bad for Russia. Lol, it’s not of surviving a world war with water, vodka and a bread, every country that has been through war has also been through that same situation where people had to survive with the least things that they can find, it’s a normal thing.

But after everything, what’s  next? Their economy loses, their fiat becomes worthless and they wouldn’t be able to purchase a thing with it, people who are living there also turns out to be very poor because of how the fiat has lost value, except those who are wise enough to invest in good assets, if they have access to it. So it’s going to be very bad, and it’s definitely something that they would regret later. You should look at other countries in same situation.

[poldanmig]

But can that stop Russia? During world wars, they survived with water, vodka and bread.

can, but for some reason. for the long term sanctions will make russia the worst. but if the war can be finished in the near future and some of the allied countries are still solid, it will have no effect. Whatever happens, I hope this war ends. in the end both countries experienced difficulties, regardless of who won or lost later. if the war lasts long this will cause bigger problems.

The current sanctions may weaken the Russian economy, but I don't think the impact of these sanctions will have a long-term effect on Russia, especially since we know that Russia is an important country that supplies minerals, gas and oil to Europe, so if they divert supplies to other countries,  such as China or its allied countries, of course, their economy will slowly recover, and I actually see a bigger impact that Europe might get later if they don't lift the existing sanctions, because it is clear they will have difficulty getting gas, oil and raw materials for production industrial  in Europe, 30% of which comes from Russia.

[Argoo]

No it will never stop Russia for what they are doing because they also have something huge to avenge to other country or shall we say something that can affect the global economy and those sanctions will just trigger Russia to do more action and pursue what they do on Ukraine. The only way what can make Russia change their mind and have peaceful insights toward Ukraine is to negotiate toward what Putin likes and they should stop fighting and sending more troops to taunt more the Russian forces.

Sanctions do not stop Putin yet, because he lives in his own world. In recent years, he has directed more than $5 billion towards subversive activities against Ukraine, creating groups that are dissatisfied with the political rule in Ukraine. They lied to him that it was ready and acting, stealing this money. That is why Putin made the stupid decision to attack Ukraine. The people of Ukraine in response to aggression rallied like never before, and over the past 8 years of a hybrid war with Russia, its armed forces have accumulated vast experience in warfare and therefore beat the advancing columns of Russian troops with pinpoint accuracy.
But the Russian population is now heavily supportive of Putin's move to attack Ukraine. This is facilitated by the years of propaganda information disseminated in the media and the downplaying of Russia's military losses in this war.
So far, the only real way to peace is the overthrow of Putin's ruling regime, because Ukrainians have no other choice than to defend their independence and sovereignty. To do this, it is necessary to continue to impose the most stringent international sanctions that will affect all sections of Russian society without exception. It is necessary somehow to awaken this sleeping slave people.

[dezoel]

I believe that the ban on Russia by so many countries would result to a fall in their economy, which is happening , and would possibly continue to affect their economy still in some years to come.

There have been some people who think that Russia will get over this by using Bitcoin, since they have legalized it when the war started, but I am doubting this idea that Bitcoin would help them get over this. Doesn’t seem to me like that is something that is going to possibly happen, because I can’t see how Bitcoin can help them exactly. I know that some people are saying that because they are some Bitcoin fans, but you have to know that Russia is not the first country that have legalized Bitcoin, so it wouldn’t work; things with automatically get better because they legalized Bitcoin.

[DrBeer]

We can already see the effect of the western countries on Russia. But considering the fact that Russia supplies almost 30% of Europe's natural gas, it won't be easy to break them. Also you will have to consider that Russia is a big exporter of weapons. So no matter whatever sanctions are imposed on them, Russia will find its way out! May not be quick but definitely possible in long term.

A war is unacceptable in 21st century but there are some open questions,

1. Why NATO is interested in including Ukraine into their alliance where Ukraine doesn't meet the eligibility criteria?
2. Wht Ukraine suddenly started demanding 3 billion dollar as rent to gas pipelines going through their country?
3. Why Ukraine suddenly became interested in becoming a EU member after Russia started invading their country?

We are only seeing the one side of the coin. We need to see the other side as well.

I answer:

1. This is a FALSE. It was Ukraine that asked to be accepted into NATO. And it is NATO that has so far denied us entry into this organization. In 2004, "intentions" were signed, but it did not go further. And now NATO says that you can not even talk about joining for 5-10 years.
2. Also a lie. Show source of information? I am even almost 100% sure in advance where the legs of this information stuffing "grow".
3. Also either a lie or deliberately distorted information. If you are interested in the real history, then the concept of joining (under the "long procedure") of Ukraine to the EU was started during the time of President Yushchenko. Those. since 2004. And it was precisely the rejection of the European vector, in 2013, that became the trigger for the Revolution of Dignity, in 2014.

I am a citizen of Ukraine, who observes all this in reality.

Do you have provable arguments against the above?