Who's speculation is right? - idea to decide

[nopara73]

I've just got an idea, feel free to implement (if it's not implemented already), but inform me about it.

Problem
We do not know what speculation method is the best. Mathemathical, economical, psychological? Who's speculation method is the best?

Solution
Let's set up a site.

You can register.
Send in your speculation.
If the deadline of your speculation is over, then other members can judge you (give you negative, positive karma, whatever).

On the main page speculations and the author reliability is listed.

Isn't a site like this would be great?

[vuduchyld]

http://www.knoda.com/

[azguard]

Interesting idea only u will need more then just idea. For this need team off people from different countries meaning from Europe North America, Asia ass primes in this off course. Not to be forget India seem like they have major interest in this with there coin.

[FreedomCoin]

thought they had something like that called bitcoin bets.. i remember the days of BFL bets, i believe one of the BFL founders lost alot of BTC betting on himself.

[ensurance982]

This idea reminds me of back-testing investment strategies and bots that are based on TA and certain indicators. That way people try to figure out which strategies would have earned them the most, given prior market movements, and expect those strategies to perform equally well in the future!

[Malin Keshar]

Or a sportbook-style bitcoin price better(you vs the site owner).

Example(all based on predictions made in this forum):

will bitcoin price reach 1000 again this year?

Yes: 1.8
No: 1.65


Will bitcoin price reach sub 20 price this year:

Yes: 50x
No: 1.000001x

Will bitcoin price fall to 550 in 24 hours?

Yes: ---
No: ---


Think you got the idea



You can make it with real money or with fun points, and the biggest winner will get a reward or something

[Raystonn]

If you truly want to participate in something like this, why not simply create a ledger of Bitcoin addresses correlated with forum names by signed messages?  You can rank by Bitcoin balance.

[oda.krell]

If you truly want to participate in something like this, why not simply create a ledger of Bitcoin addresses correlated with forum names by signed messages?  You can rank by Bitcoin balance.

Probably not everyone is okay with disclosing the exact size of his/her account and linking it to a forum persona.