ASIC earnings estimates - with added batch 3 goodness

[organofcorti]

Just a quick post to provide an update to my estimates for the earnings ASIC owners can expect.

http://organofcorti.blogspot.com/2013/03/912-asic-choices-asic-earnings-update.html

To whet your appetite:

[ralree]

If this is how calm it really is, I'll be surprised.

[organofcorti]

If this is how calm it really is, I'll be surprised.

Calm? Upto an average of 240 blocks solved per day is calm?

[fcmatt]

based on reading things around here batch #1 is not complete. As is not everyone who ordered one has it yet.

[organofcorti]

based on reading things around here batch #1 is not complete. As is not everyone who ordered one has it yet.

Out of three hundred, how many? I'm not going to add the 5 or 10 outstanding ASICs to the model - that inaccuracy is tiny compared to the other assumptions 've had to make.

[Dalkore]

based on reading things around here batch #1 is not complete. As is not everyone who ordered one has it yet.

Out of three hundred, how many? I'm not going to add the 5 or 10 outstanding ASICs to the model - that inaccuracy is tiny compared to the other assumptions 've had to make.

I agree.   I can personally confirmed just about 100 through public and private disclosures.   And we have to assume that not everyone is going public and the hashrates doesn't lie.

[streblo]

Units for top graph's ordinate should be ghps not thps 

[Clearfly]

Seems rather conservative, my calculations suggested more 60,000,000 difficulty by June/July. But then Avalon and BFL aren't shipping as quick as they claimed either.

[organofcorti]

Units for top graph's ordinate should be ghps not thps 

Cheers, late night posts are not a good idea.