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organofcorti (OP)
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March 25, 2013, 03:07:16 PM
 #1
Just a quick post to provide an update to my estimates for the earnings ASIC owners can expect.

http://organofcorti.blogspot.com/2013/03/912-asic-choices-asic-earnings-update.html

To whet your appetite:
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March 25, 2013, 03:12:23 PM
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If this is how calm it really is, I'll be surprised.
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March 25, 2013, 03:14:07 PM
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Quote from: ralree on March 25, 2013, 03:12:23 PM
If this is how calm it really is, I'll be surprised.

Calm? Upto an average of 240 blocks solved per day is calm?
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March 25, 2013, 04:31:30 PM
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based on reading things around here batch #1 is not complete. As is not everyone who ordered one has it yet.
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March 25, 2013, 04:33:29 PM
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Quote from: fcmatt on March 25, 2013, 04:31:30 PM
based on reading things around here batch #1 is not complete. As is not everyone who ordered one has it yet.

Out of three hundred, how many? I'm not going to add the 5 or 10 outstanding ASICs to the model - that inaccuracy is tiny compared to the other assumptions 've had to make.
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March 25, 2013, 04:35:53 PM
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Quote from: organofcorti on March 25, 2013, 04:33:29 PM
Quote from: fcmatt on March 25, 2013, 04:31:30 PM
based on reading things around here batch #1 is not complete. As is not everyone who ordered one has it yet.

Out of three hundred, how many? I'm not going to add the 5 or 10 outstanding ASICs to the model - that inaccuracy is tiny compared to the other assumptions 've had to make.

I agree.   I can personally confirmed just about 100 through public and private disclosures.   And we have to assume that not everyone is going public and the hashrates doesn't lie.
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March 25, 2013, 05:11:23 PM
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Units for top graph's ordinate should be ghps not thps  Smiley
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March 25, 2013, 07:52:31 PM
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Seems rather conservative, my calculations suggested more 60,000,000 difficulty by June/July. But then Avalon and BFL aren't shipping as quick as they claimed either.
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March 26, 2013, 06:37:02 AM
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Quote from: streblo on March 25, 2013, 05:11:23 PM
Units for top graph's ordinate should be ghps not thps  Smiley

Cheers, late night posts are not a good idea.
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