Hey franky1,
Thanks for taking the time to post here. You seem to be an old hand. I welcome your participation and I suggest to take the following comments as a friendly reasoning exercise rather than trying to find ways to disprove you. I have tried to use your own points against you. Please find my comments below.
we do not need millions a second..
think about it 1mill a second
= 60m a minute
= 3.6b an hour
= 86billion a day.
thats ludicrous
I believe by "we" you are referring to the people who share your views? Because, any great technology should benefit all of mankind and not just 7-100 people per second.
Remember Kodak?
Kodak: Nobody wants instant photographs. They want to snap them, bring them to our studio and we will deliver them and we have a great capacity! 7 photos per second combining all our international locations.
And today, we have: number of photos taken: 38,000 / second. 38 thousand per second. And taking a photo is less required than us needing to store our knowledge and value (including money) in an immutable fashion.
Just think about this : how many times in a day are you concerned about safeguarding your knowledge / value / sharing true knowledge / acquiring wisdom (knowing more about the truth) AS COMPARED TO wanting to take a photograph?
Your statement is analogous with Kodak in the way :
Why do people need 38 thousand photos per second? We will grow organically and now are supporting 7 photos per second. Very soon, we will reach 100 photos per second. It's ludicrous that people want to take 38 thousand photos per second.
Ironically, Kodak invented the first digital camera. They were just too conservative to let go of their existing cash-cow and take a tangential direction which proved to be the future.
My request to you is this: Consider all options seriously from a value perspective (in terms of value added to society) instead of us taking sides.
first of all visa stats and mastercard show that people on average do 45 transactions a month. which is 1.5 a day
obviously bitcoin is not as acceptable as visa/mastercard. so for now we should be working on less than visa and scale up as we go.
Visa / Master card support about 45,000 tx per second. If you are talking only about payments, maybe 45,000 should be enough as an average. But, in my opinion, immutable data has a lot more applications than simply acting as a mint.
so with that said. we dont need a 86BILLION tx a day network we dont even need a 8.6 billion tx a day network. because not everyone is going to use bitcoin everyday right now.
You are right about Bitcoin, Bitcoin in it's present form may do just well with 100 tx / second. My intention is to build a new network that could provide a different utility for people than bitcoin.
so forget 1m tx a second. forget 100k tx a second.
the stupid fools that think what the community are begging for are move from <7 to >million overnight and shout out "gigabytes by midnight" , are the small minded people that never actually think rationally or logically.
i really find it funny that the onchain scalers are not screaming for millions per second. but instead steady progress over time.. and its actually the offchain people who dont understand, dont trust or have been paid to give up on blockchains that are screaming for millions per second and gigabytes by midnight as the only options.
I feel that people just find a lot of applications for Satoshi's data structure beyond payments. If it has to support all the possible applications, then millions / second is needed.
the true comunity are begging for progressive onchain rises over logical time. not huge leaps of onchain jumps or lse needing to abandon blockchain utility for some locked fed reserve network of swapping account of promissory notes
what we need to do is not let bitcoin get stifled so much that it ends up as a 0 tx a second and then just 5 mega factory TX's every 10 minutes where the LN factories swap their reserves with other factories onchain.. (bank reserve swaps) yea the devs want bitcoin to be the backend of the LN network. where reserves are swapped.. yep thats right they want bitcoin as a bankers reserve currency and where LN is the bankers payment system for their clients(channel users)
I am of the understanding that the entire vision of Satoshi is to build a payment system which can't be inflated simply by some government deciding to issue more currency or the banks / governments making bad decisions viz. Effective governance. LN is an awesome payment transfer network and I don't see how it can go bad because you still retain complete control over the transfer other than paying the fees. The world has always been value based (NO free lunch). I really don't see how LN or any payment channel or an off-chain scaling solution deviates from the vision of Satoshi or hardcore Bitcoin folks like you.
anyway we need to preserve onchain utility for normal people. that involves going back to basics. and then expand as we go too
so lets start by making tx's lean. to gt to a possible 4200tx per mb. then with 4mb being allowed by the devs. lets open the legacy limit so the full4mb can be used by such 16,800tx for 4mb.
16,800 =2million a day
(oh look the 2million users a day in YOUR 2million ideal scenario)
I would like to offer a different perspective to your view. Money was invented to keep track and to motivate people to pursue things based on their self-interest, add value to society and to reward people equivalently based on their effort. People found volatility in money (because of more printing due to government-schemes gone bad) and started investing in items which are a hedge against inflation - like real estate, gold, etc. which adjust to inflation as the market is based on supply and demand.
What do you think about also assisting with decentralization of land registers so that it adds more fuel to the entire vision / ideology? In that scenario, we will need more and more transactions.
so using actual stats from visa of spending per day. 2million users would only need 4mb blocks of normal lean tx's where legacy transactions can utilise the full 4mb
also to note in LN 2 million users with LN is actually an average of each user needing 5 channels so thats 10million tx's to open and 10million to close.
which means people have to preplan and organise funds for about a 10 day lockin.
There are ~7 billion people on this planet. if you need mass adoption, then you need to provide everyone an equal opportunity to be on the system. Each of these people will want to transact to consume food as a bare minimum. That's 7 billion transactions per day needed already, assuming that we wish to realize Satoshi's vision.
I agree with the locked amounts causing an entry barrier. The solution I am proposing doesn't require everyone to have locked transfers.
...
and before you rebut that blockchains cant scale.. that was like the deluded script of kodak saying digital photography cant scale because of floppy disk data limits. (look how that turned out)
if you want to doubt the limits of data and the internet. please go tell skyp that HD video calls dont work or go complain to EAgames that online gaming cant work. or speak to youtube, twitch, and other livestream sits cant work
Ok, I understand your analogy. And I understand the importance of keeping an open mind. Here are my views for the same.
Let's breakdown your analogies :
1) the deluded script of Kodak saying digital photography cant scale because of floppy disk data limits. (look how that turned out)
So, the above issue was resolved because compact disks were invented, mobile phone cameras came into the picture and many more. I agree that technology expands all the time.
2) please go tell skyp that HD video calls dont work or go complain to EAgames that online gaming cant work.
These companies were simply present at the right place at the right time. They came in with their products after internet latency was reasonably down. The businesses that came earlier when internet latency was high simply went out of business.
It matters whether the chicken came first OR the egg.
You have to understand, deep down, the masses don't care about the technology, only about it's application - otherwise it would be the scientists who will be the wealthiest people in the world. While wealth is not the defining trait of success, in my opinion, I think the real winners in the world are scientists.
Now, let's think more about the the time-chain technology?
I am going to focus more on block-chain / time-chain rather than bitcoin itself.
The trust of the entire system comes from people reaching consensus by expending energy on proof of work.
So, the improvements we are needing for a natural progression are :
1) Internet latency becomes better / decreases significantly so that propagation of blocks is going to be near instant.
2) Storage / computing power becomes more. (Now, this is relatively more easy).
One can choose to wait for these changes and focus on existing systems (like Kodak did) or one can take a different direction / approach into actually changing things.
Besides:
Remember, money was invented so that people can effectively trade without wasting time on negotiations and on building an integrative society where people can focus on their strengths instead of understanding everything in order to trade fairly.
Imagine everyone in the world wasting 10 minutes waiting to transfer money to someone? That's a lot of productivity and hence value that's lost from the ecosystem. I believe that's the end goal of any scaling solution: To make faster transfers available.
or do the rational thing, and realise technology expands all the time and things progress as time goes on.
but whatever you do dont even try to say blockchains are broke and the only way forward is locking funds into channels(accounts) that need someone else to sign for a payment and needs every middleman and the destination to be online to accept payment.. as that is the same AND worse system than what bankers already offer.
I agree that technology expands. But that begins from people like us having conversations like the one we are having here and someone gets an idea, a vision from that and builds upon it. I am happy to be reasoning with you here.
With that being said, I don't agree with your statement that LN is worse than bankers. Satoshi's / decentralization's vision is simply to make things transparent and decentralized. Banks are still a closed system. LN is NOT. And bitcoin or most cryptocurrencies for that matter can easily be audited, so nobody really has an edge. If there are LN nodes doing transfers, that's mainly because it's a free market and they don't need to secure a license by going through a lot of compliance and due diligence checks and it's still in line with the whole vision / idea.