Betting on teams in a losing streak - smart move or bad idea?

[robelneo]

The idea is simple, find a team that’s on 3 or more losing streak, then start backing them to win. sooner or later they’ll break it, and if you time it right maybe you’ll catch that bounce back game. But I’m not sure if that really works or it’s just one of those gambler’s fallacy stuff. what you guys think?

The question is, have you tried it yourself? I wouldn't even try that. For all we know, they could go on the season without a win, and you've lost a lot of money by then, not really a good idea, it's still better to check the odds of the team and how they perform.
It's better to bet on a team on a winning streak, even if the earnings aren't that high; at least it will boost your confidence. Sports events involve checking and betting on the strong team, not the losing team.

[GeorgeJohn]

Just a thought, when a team keeps on losing, they’ll obviously work harder until they get a win right? so maybe that could be a good angle to bet on.

The idea is simple, find a team that’s on 3 or more losing streak, then start backing them to win. sooner or later they’ll break it, and if you time it right maybe you’ll catch that bounce back game. But I’m not sure if that really works or it’s just one of those gambler’s fallacy stuff. what you guys think?

If you bet on such scenario the gambler might end up losing, because if a team lose three times of their matches, the next team team that will be next to play them might be more structured than them, and they will surely defeat them, except that team that lost three times of their matches found out their loopholes and correct it in time with strong players

Using same method to play the next team can't give them the hedge to win, for a team to win a match they most have a strong striker and strong defensive and good goalkeeper, but a process whereby their's a weak defensive or goalkeeper they most record more losing

So in nutshell, op we can’t this kind of analysis to make our prediction, it may work or it may not work, for a team to win a match is based on the strength of teams not by total numbers of losses recorded for the team.

[Localhostspeed]

That’s just it. Even in football, past performances may not always guarantee future results. The mistake that most gamblers often make is thinking or believing that just because a team has been losing previously, that they’ll magically make a come back and start winning. Yes it actually happens sometimes but there’s. I guarantee of this so even if you’re using that to make your predictions, there’s still need to approach with extreme caution.

I remembered the foot Liverpool started the league, this guys were at the top and I thought they still has the ignition and momentum, everything was going fine not until they start losing. I do have faith in them in some weeks that they were going to bounce back but it never end like that, in fact the loss keeps coming straight up for 5 games, they were able to do something in this last match they play to score 3 goals but it hasn't convinced me enough to pick them in the next games.

The pattern OP describe is very bad one, it's not a strategy but rather a gambler that doesn't have skill to tell whether they can predict a game or not. Tbe number one foscu of a gambler is to be able to make good predictions all the time, it's not make prediction that you are going to lose, all those trials he said you never can tell exactly when you will make them back. Some may not be possible and that makes casino ahead of you.

[Furious 7]

This is a little contradictory for me but it is undeniable that this condition can always happen especially when the club is the favorite.

For example in soccer for some big clubs, even though we know that their conditions are not very good we sometimes always force the will in this case.
I have bet on Liverpool a few times this week even though I know the results are clearly not too good to continue to force the will but there is always more encouragement to keep betting even though the possibility of winning it turns out to be very thin.

Sometimes the judgment we make in terms of statistics and on field performance gets a little distracted by the objectivity that always seems to have a good thing going for it and that's something I'm still struggling to shake off at the moment.

[mv1986]

Not a good idea but it depends on the team that is playing, I may think otherwise for a very strong team. If a team is losing, it is better you should avoid the team because the team might either still lose or draw and which are still a loss if you bet on the team to win. I prefer to go for strong team instead of weak teams. The odd can be smaller but I prefer it that way.

The issue is that a very strong team costs you a lot of money for lower odds because you won't ever get a good price. Liverpool lost four games in a row, if you bet a good amount on game 2, 3 and 4, I guess it could have cost you more than you would make with a bet on Liverpool winning game 5 in that streak. Aston Villa was on a six games winning streak and Liverpool on a four games losing stream, the odds for Liverpool were 1.7. It's ok and taking the risk is fine, but you never know how long a streak could become.

West Ham against Newcastle, the last game West Ham won was end of August. Now the odds for West Ham beating Newcastle were only 5.2. Does that really pay off taking the risk to bet on West Ham beating Newcastle?

[Versatile_choice]

The idea is simple, find a team that’s on 3 or more losing streak, then start backing them to win. sooner or later they’ll break it, and if you time it right maybe you’ll catch that bounce back game. But I’m not sure if that really works or it’s just one of those gambler’s fallacy stuff. what you guys think?

The question is, have you tried it yourself? I wouldn't even try that. For all we know, they could go on the season without a win, and you've lost a lot of money by then, not really a good idea, it's still better to check the odds of the team and how they perform.
It's better to bet on a team on a winning streak, even if the earnings aren't that high; at least it will boost your confidence. Sports events involve checking and betting on the strong team, not the losing team.

Surely betting on teams in a losing streak is actually a bad move because you don't know how long the losing streak would last, what is the ensence of betting on losing team when there's thousands of teams out there that is more likely to be in a wining streak? Though some gamblers wouldn't mind betting on teams irrespective of thier record but that's not a good idea at all.

I know that sometimes not betting on our favorite team seems that there is something missing but I wouldn't mind doing it, is More like giving them some space to recover.

[lionheart78]

Just a thought, when a team keeps on losing, they’ll obviously work harder until they get a win right? so maybe that could be a good angle to bet on.

An interesting idea but if we look at this strategy deeply, would it be a high risk bet since this team is known of not performing well, the reason for their losses?

The idea is simple, find a team that’s on 3 or more losing streak, then start backing them to win. sooner or later they’ll break it, and if you time it right maybe you’ll catch that bounce back game. But I’m not sure if that really works or it’s just one of those gambler’s fallacy stuff. what you guys think?

I think it depends, if the team with a losing streak does not implement any changes to its strategy, team work-out and team line-up, I do not think they will bring something new.  So it is better to observe the team first and its development after all those series of losses.  If we have seen improvement, then it is not bad to try your strategy. After all, a team that has a losing streak record will yield a higher payout because they are labeled the underdog.

[coolcoinz]

The idea is simple, find a team that’s on 3 or more losing streak, then start backing them to win. sooner or later they’ll break it, and if you time it right maybe you’ll catch that bounce back game.

The real money can be made on the odds because when there's a losing streak people are reluctant to bet on that team. It's a bit like when bitcoin is in a long bearish run and nobody wants to buy it, even though the price is clearly very low and the coin is oversold. The odds for that team will be worse than they should be judging by their total performance from the last few years, just because they lost 3 times in a row and if you can catch a bet like that it's possible to make some money with little risk.

[Mindyspace]

This is a little contradictory for me but it is undeniable that this condition can always happen especially when the club is the favorite.

For example in soccer for some big clubs, even though we know that their conditions are not very good we sometimes always force the will in this case.
I have bet on Liverpool a few times this week even though I know the results are clearly not too good to continue to force the will but there is always more encouragement to keep betting even though the possibility of winning it turns out to be very thin.

Sometimes the judgment we make in terms of statistics and on field performance gets a little distracted by the objectivity that always seems to have a good thing going for it and that's something I'm still struggling to shake off at the moment.

I don't know much about football, but playing at home usually gives the players a certain advantage and more comfort, and that can help when making a prediction. So, instead of betting on a team that's on a losing streak, from what I understand, it would be better to bet on a team that's playing at home.

[Kasabus]

Sometimes the judgment we make in terms of statistics and on field performance gets a little distracted by the objectivity that always seems to have a good thing going for it and that's something I'm still struggling to shake off at the moment.

I think there’s a chance that this strategy could work if it’s based on the handicap. Eventually, when a team keeps losing, the handicap will increase and that’s where the value starts to appear.

Think about it, these teams are desperate to win. They’re paid millions, and constant losing hurts not just their reputation but also the business side, since fans start to lose interest. So sometimes, I feel like the refs might subtly help struggling teams get a win, especially in games where they’re least expected to that’s usually when the surprises happen.

[MorganaX]

This is a little contradictory for me but it is undeniable that this condition can always happen especially when the club is the favorite.

For example in soccer for some big clubs, even though we know that their conditions are not very good we sometimes always force the will in this case.
I have bet on Liverpool a few times this week even though I know the results are clearly not too good to continue to force the will but there is always more encouragement to keep betting even though the possibility of winning it turns out to be very thin.

Sometimes the judgment we make in terms of statistics and on field performance gets a little distracted by the objectivity that always seems to have a good thing going for it and that's something I'm still struggling to shake off at the moment.

I don't know much about football, but playing at home usually gives the players a certain advantage and more comfort, and that can help when making a prediction. So, instead of betting on a team that's on a losing streak, from what I understand, it would be better to bet on a team that's playing at home.

Not always that is the case, as most teams tend to even lose in their homes. If we talk about advantage, at home is always the perfect advantage for that has their always the fans support behind them, with that spirit they will raise in the stadium, those chant definitely brings motivation to the players for them to perform better, playing at home some times I s a good example to gamble with, if only the team you support are playing better even at away. When such team is playing better even at away, then they have that high chance to perform very well at home. These teams can win you a bet if you trust the home advantage and that is just it.

[programmer3666]

Just a thought, when a team keeps on losing, they’ll obviously work harder until they get a win right? so maybe that could be a good angle to bet on.

The idea is simple, find a team that’s on 3 or more losing streak, then start backing them to win. sooner or later they’ll break it, and if you time it right maybe you’ll catch that bounce back game. But I’m not sure if that really works or it’s just one of those gambler’s fallacy stuff. what you guys think?

It is a risky call, but I won't call it a smart move because you just lose your money with one more loss and if you keep on betting them until they win there is no benefit for you in it unless they just won you in the first attemt itself.

Being smart is to reduce the risk as much as possible even if the potential rewards are low.

to be honest betting on a team just because they are due for a win can be really risky!! a losing streak does not automatically mean they will magically bounce back soon. sometimes the team is struggling for deeper reasons such as  injuries, poor morale, bad management and so on. it is better to study the situation properly before placing a bet instead of just assuming they must win this time!! the smart move is to reduce risk not chase blind luck

[TopT3ns]

to be honest betting on a team just because they are due for a win can be really risky!! a losing streak does not automatically mean they will magically bounce back soon. sometimes the team is struggling for deeper reasons such as  injuries, poor morale, bad management and so on. it is better to study the situation properly before placing a bet instead of just assuming they must win this time!! the smart move is to reduce risk not chase blind luck

You are quite right when you mention that it is dangerous to make all your bets on the faith of a team that they will win. In sports, all the results are dictated by numerous factors that cannot be seen at first sight. A team may not lose due to its weaknesses but due to internal conflicts that may affect performance of that team. A closer look into these factors gives more realistic view of making a decision. Putting the mind ahead of the heart will ensure that assumptions do not make betting animals and encourage gambling on what is likely to lose in the long run.

[serjent05]

to be honest betting on a team just because they are due for a win can be really risky!! a losing streak does not automatically mean they will magically bounce back soon. sometimes the team is struggling for deeper reasons such as  injuries, poor morale, bad management and so on. it is better to study the situation properly before placing a bet instead of just assuming they must win this time!! the smart move is to reduce risk not chase blind luck

I  highly agree that this kind of move is something similar to a fallacy where, due to the series of losing streaks,s the next role should be a win.  And we all know that this kind of belief often leads to bigger losses.

We must assess the situation first, checking the advantages and disadvantages for both teams.  We should not change our strategy of analyzing data with the fallacy  "due to win"  Sports betting is not dictated by a random number generator and is affected by the performance of the team.  So it is not logical to bet on a losing team just because their win is long overdue.

[Dogedegen]

sometime there are people that are trying this strategy (long streaks are not a good "sign" even if they are win or lose).
But like martingale and all of these techniques, here you can achieve a big loss, easily, few matches losses and it's impossible to recover it.
Imagine you're trying to hit the Sinner's defeat in an ATP match. He has likewise 92% of win in a single year... For sure each time he lost, the odds are crazy higher.
But it sounds like to catch a fallig knife....

Yeah I think a lot of people confuse that this happening sometimes means that it does work, but it means the opposite. It does not work. Outliers always happen. In theory you can also win big with martingale until you don't anymore and you lose even more than you gained. With many matches happening everywhere across many types of sport all kinds of things are going to happen sometimes. That is the expected behavior. A pattern such as conclusive turnaround after a fixed number of losses is not possible.

Bro.



This is unbelievable, West Ham who suffered 3 lose streak able to beat Newcastle. This might be just an one match, but it's already a good start to prove it, if I see a team that currently suffered 3 lose streak, I would like to know the result. Probably 5 match is enough for experiment.

I only found one team in top tier league which is West Ham, they will meet Newcastle. Honestly I really doubt West Ham will beat Newcastle because West Ham is very terrible recently and Newcastle is quite good, they're on 3 win streak.

Yeah it happened. If you bet on this congratulations, but this does not tell us anything. For us to be able to say anything about this you would have to analyze as many losing streaks by teams as possible and to see if there is any real statistical support for the claim. I doubt that nobody has tried this before, and if it is not being used that means that it does not work.

[LOVER BOY 422]

Just a thought, when a team keeps on losing, they’ll obviously work harder until they get a win right? so maybe that could be a good angle to bet on.

The idea is simple, find a team that’s on 3 or more losing streak, then start backing them to win. sooner or later they’ll break it, and if you time it right maybe you’ll catch that bounce back game. But I’m not sure if that really works or it’s just one of those gambler’s fallacy stuff. what you guys think?

While a winning team is a winning team,and you will always be proud to bet on the team ,while in the aspects of the team that always loss to be sincere you will always be scared to place the casino betting on the behalf to win ,this is actually money that we are talking about and secondly,you can not predict game finish ,maybe 10 games and you actually predict those games for you to win and you see a team that has been losing to be sincere can you add the team in you win booked ticket? of course no, nobody does that ,but it also depends on individual differences .