Casinobit is not a scam or a Ponzi.
Clearly there was an issue with the math using the investment feature. Actual site "profit" should be 2.7% of the total wagered, which would be 82.836BTC. The site is luckier now, making 130.54BTC (4.25%) since tracking started. However, variance should be accounted for and over the long run, that 4.25% will come down closer to 2.7%. Much of this profit was earned prior to investments.
Now, how is it that someone can invest and then withdrawal 50% more than they invested in only a few days? My guess? The potential variance was not accounted for so any house "wins" were considered "profit." OR, perhaps house "losses" were not deducted from the users bankroll? Too good to be true? Absolutely. I'm not certain why, but clearly the math was wrong and some users were able to exploit the miscalculation to take a significant amount of money from the other investors. If ~200BTC is owed to investors, the site will need nearly 8000BTC of action to expect to be able to cover that amount. IMHO, the "investment" feature needs to be removed immediately and resolved separately (potentially by proportionately paying out remaining investors with what's available or offering a cut of future profits.)
Questions to ask:
Was the investment money guaranteed?
Was the risk passed on to investors?
Is the site BR & investor BR separate?
Did risk include the possibility that a miscalculation could occur?
Is the site responsible for it's own exploitation by other "investors?"
Full disclosure: I provided a capital loan to the site, which was repaid in advance a couple months ago.
1. Actual site "profit" should be
EXPECTED TO BE 2.7% of the total wagered
2. see my scam accuse post or ask guys out there like vless or 01BTC10 why it is a ponzi, scan the whole thread at
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=272037 and
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=171094.0Was the investment money guaranteed? No
Was the risk passed on to investors? Yes
Is the site BR & investor BR separate? There is no site BR, everything is on the invested amount
Did risk include the possibility that a miscalculation could occur? Yes
Is the site responsible for it's own exploitation by other "investors?" It is a function that how it works, designed to be by him. To rephrase, designed to be a system to run ponzi, as TradeFortress states, new investment is not profit for old investors, and Casinobit makes it be