Hey professor, what is your opinion about the recent devaluation of Iranian rial currency? last week exchange rate was 1$= 370,000 Rials, today the exchange rate is 1$= 430,000 Rials. Do you think your doomed beloved government made the stupid move by printing money to buy bitcoin or they are just devaluing Rial in order to make up for budget shortfall?
It has nothing to do with buying bitcoin but in any case there are no exceptions to the rule.
Any government in anywhere in the world and in any point in the history that has printed money to save its own ass has caused inflation. Why do you think US and EU have high inflation rates these days? That's not because two other countries are fighting each other. That's because they went on a printing spree over the past 2 years and now they reap what they sow. They will have more inflation in the near future because they are printing even money now.
I don't want to go off-topic but inflation in Iran is a lot more complicated than just government printing money (although that's one of the reasons). It is a century old problem (97 years to be exact) with reasons ranging from heavy reliance of oil sales/price that causes inflation when the sale drops like the inflation ATH record in 1950's where oil sales reached absolute 0. All the way to the broken banking system that was copied from West on 1925 and was made a lot worse when they introduced "private banks" during 1990's and let them inflate "liquidity". This is all on top of the economic war that has been fought ever since 50's (ie. nationalization of the Iranian oil industry).
If Bitcoin started a bull run, I am sure we would see an increase in deposits to centralized exchanges from holders willing to sell at the new and higher price. It's a good thing that more and more people are withdrawing their coins from custodians, but as soon as the value reaches a target they have set in their heads, people will be back to depositing, congesting the network to take advantage of the situation and cashing out.
That's a good point, people always start selling when price rises specially after a long bear market.
In long bull runs however, I think (based on what I've observed in the past bull runs) the sell pressure decreases as the price goes higher. For example in 2017 there was a lot more sell pressure around $1000 than $2000 and as time went by and rise continued the pressure decreased to the point where it was very little above $10,000 which is why we saw a very smooth 2x rise. By that time more people were buying than selling.