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Author Topic: Don't trust your intuition.  (Read 1903 times)
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April 20, 2025, 08:07:15 AM
 #321

It seems to me that it is wrong to rely on intuition all the time, because it is not possible to give good forecasts consistently at the expense of intuition alone. But sometimes you can still be guided by intuition, when there is a certain confidence that everything should happen exactly as intuition suggests, it is like the effect of the sixth sense. When you do not need to idealize intuition, no one can give a guarantee of its effectiveness of its clues, so you should be aware that the outcome may not be what you expect. And in general, it is best to rely on the analysis, and if possible, it is better to make an analysis based on as many parameters as possible. Over time, on the basis of your experience, you will be able to identify those parameters, the consideration of which in your case gave the best result, and then you can save time on detailed analysis, without sacrificing the result.

I have nothing against intuition, although I do not consider it my strong point, because it is poorly developed in me. I rely more on rational analysis. But I believe that intuition can often be very effective in life situations. However, I do not understand at all how one can rely on it in gambling, because there are no patterns that intuition would subconsciously analyze and tell us something.

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April 20, 2025, 05:49:18 PM
 #322

Intuition should not hinder you, you should not make decisions based only on intuition. It seems to me that intuition should serve as a warning, if you feel that it is better not to make this bet, then in this case it is better to listen to intuition. And in another case, the bet should always be based only on analysis. Maybe I just do not think about how often I use injection in gambling.

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April 21, 2025, 09:33:09 AM
 #323

That has been said many times here, and still, many gamblers believe that strategies do work. i.e. Martingale

I believe that can not be erased. We are looking for something that will give us the upper hand against the house, which is why we try to create strategies that we think will work for our benefit. But the truth is that these gambling businesses won't be here anymore if there's a loophole. (the strategy that we will come up) They cannot make mistakes either in security or getting the upper hand against the gamblers, which is why their business is thriving.

We might as well just play the games and enjoy them. Even our instincts will sometimes just confuse us with having a strategy.


I think this cannot be erased. Absolutely, every time man in general tries to find a way to cheat but who is on the other side knows it and consequently we have a sort of balance of the two activities.
If one happens to prevail, everything is destroyed. Play for fun instead of thinking like this.

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April 27, 2025, 07:17:57 PM
 #324

I think that we all have intuition, but we should not abuse it, because we can have it in a given moment and make money, but we cannot trust that we will always have the intuition, because it is easily confused, I think that intuition serves to protect us from any danger and in the casino I do not see dangers, I see it as fun, the desire to make money, yes intuition can exist and we can follow it when we have it but in moderation, with little money.

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April 27, 2025, 07:24:04 PM
 #325

I know that many users do not have a gaming system, that is, an ordered set of game rules. Instead, they rely on intuition in gambling. It is believed that intuition or insider knowledge can help in difficult cases. However, in such cases, I usually cite the opinion of one old stock speculator who said that the markets are counter-intuitive, intuition does not work here, strict and reasonable rules work here. This was said about trading, but the reasonableness of this phrase is so great that it is quite applicable to gambling as well.
And what do you think - what is the role of intuition in gambling? How often do you rely on it? Can relying on intuition lead to long-term success in gambling?
In gambling, you can never follow any strategy or rule to achieve long-term success. You cannot guarantee that you will win any bet. You can suddenly win or lose at any time. So it will completely depend on your luck how much you can win from gambling. If you expect long-term success from gambling because you have won a few times, it will be a wrong idea. How can you expect long-term success from gambling by adopting any strategy or rule, where you can never guarantee to win. I never believe that any strategy or rule can make anyone successful in gambling in the long term. This is just a false assurance.

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April 27, 2025, 07:37:17 PM
 #326

I think intuition works more when you have a certain level of knowledge on the games you are betting on, being intuitive without having any idea is just luck dependency. Like you said it's best to rely on analysis and intuition can work better when you are a strategic gambler, you'd have clues of certain bets to avoid and the ones to pick. It's all about how experienced you are, you can't always expect to get lucky but as time goes on you would become more flexible with your predictions. But this isn't a reason to become overconfident.

Being over confident when gambling can end up making you to lose because sometimes you only have to take the easy way out to secure your capital and your profits because gambling is so uncertain that despite you thinking that you have tick all the boxes of what's going tonamke you to win, you can still lose. Betting in a stronger club doesn't guarantee you victory because anything can happen and the club you thought was the stronger become the weakest. Intuition can be helpful and at th same time be deceitful hence it's the analysis that we have to depend on. Past history isn't enough reason for you to think that the result will go as you planned. Following your intuition should only matters when it supports your analysis as then you'll be making the right choices 50% of the time but there'll always be a 50% chance that you're wrong.
Like it normally happens on sports games (soccer to be precise), as long as the both teams are still on the football field playing, anything can still happen even though it's 80 minutes late. Your team might be winning and you will be happy but just know that the game haven't ended because if luck is not on your side, during 90min you will not like the result.

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April 28, 2025, 10:04:55 AM
 #327

Intuition should not hinder you, you should not make decisions based only on intuition. It seems to me that intuition should serve as a warning, if you feel that it is better not to make this bet, then in this case it is better to listen to intuition. And in another case, the bet should always be based only on analysis. Maybe I just do not think about how often I use injection in gambling.

This is spot on! Indeed, I often notice that my intuition tells me not to make a bet and to wait for the next round. I can't say it's always right, but when I ignore it and place a bet despite what my intuition suggests, I lose. And this has happened quite often. Although, in my case, there's no other side to the coin  Cheesy My intuition doesn't tell me when to place a bet in a way that would be winning.

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May 03, 2025, 12:24:52 PM
 #328

Intuition should not hinder you, you should not make decisions based only on intuition. It seems to me that intuition should serve as a warning, if you feel that it is better not to make this bet, then in this case it is better to listen to intuition. And in another case, the bet should always be based only on analysis. Maybe I just do not think about how often I use injection in gambling.
I dunno analysis is good but every person has sometimes strong intuition. I tend to trust my intuition over some stuff and panned out good too. Nevertheless its working on a good timing but of course its not a future sight lile Haki on one piece that is giving off strong accuracy especially in gambling.

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