Psychological aspect of choosing over or under

[Dr.Bitcoin_Strange]

I have exactly that happen with novice bettors, who just want to watch goals or points fly in. It is more exciting to bet on over than to even bet on under as they (the bettors) would want something to happen as opposed to nothing at all. It thrives on the instinctive feeling of watching a game. But at a later point, when you get more experience, you begin thinking more about the real numbers and tendencies of the teams. You know there is no use in going to a bet that you feel is most interesting sometimes. Emotional betting is a sure way of losing in the end. It is all about discipline and knowing the game behind the facade.

The more experienced you become you'd find out that betting is beyond more than just the thrill and excitement of expecting goals to keep flying in because that doesn't always happen. Sometimes even the teams you expect goals from might end up playing a goaless draw against each other, I have experienced this so many times with the german league bundesliga teams. The most important thing is analysis

You are right @rachael9385, sometimes someone can bet either on both options and still lose the bet because sports games can also go against predictions just like in trading, you can not be right all the time. If am betting on the under 2.5 option, that means I am convinced within myself that in the match the teams can perform according to my prediction to score at least 2 goals, but it doesn't work out always tho.

[kryptqnick]

Let me start by saying that I tried to find credible research, any proper research that shows that beginners indeed tend to choose "over" rather than "under". Unfortunately,  I've only found anecdotal evidence (not to offend anyone, it's just a term for evidence based on one's own observations and experience).
But others have explained why they or someone else can choose "over" more often than under, and the arguments make sense.

[rachael9385]

That’s correct. From what I’ve read during my research on the over/under market, experts often say that the over is usually the public’s favorite pick. That’s why bookies tend to set the line in a way that makes the over look more attractive  but in reality, it’s often a trap, and the game ends up going under.

AFAIR, the over has a lower winning percentage compared to the under. I don’t have the exact data to back it up right now, but that’s what I’ve consistently seen mentioned in betting discussions and analysis.

You are right about this, the overs usually looks more attractive to pick, the odds are very deceiving and you'd think that it's a very sure option. A lot of bettors are constantly being tricked by this system. Sometimes you can see a game that the odds given for a simple option like an over 1.5 is 1.14 but at the end up of the match both teams end up playing a goaless draw against each other, it goes beyond the odds

[stadus]

You are right about this, the overs usually looks more attractive to pick, the odds are very deceiving and you'd think that it's a very sure option. A lot of bettors are constantly being tricked by this system. Sometimes you can see a game that the odds given for a simple option like an over 1.5 is 1.14 but at the end up of the match both teams end up playing a goaless draw against each other, it goes beyond the odds

That’s exactly why we end up losing, because of the word “attractive.”

It means we’re letting our emotions dictate our bets, and that will never pay off in the long run. When something looks attractive, it usually means we’re easily being lured or tricked. That’s something we seriously need to change. There’s no point in analyzing a game if, from the start, we already know we’re going to bet just because it looks good, not because it actually makes sense.

[Slow death]

Let me start by saying that I tried to find credible research, any proper research that shows that beginners indeed tend to choose "over" rather than "under". Unfortunately,  I've only found anecdotal evidence (not to offend anyone, it's just a term for evidence based on one's own observations and experience).
But others have explained why they or someone else can choose "over" more often than under, and the arguments make sense.

I also didn't find any research on people who bet on the under and over goals market, but I found this very interesting article:

https://tomcampbellwatson.medium.com/no-one-wants-to-bet-the-under-2c5ec4d14c75

People tend to bet on the over and not the under, as described in this article, and I have seen many prediction sites that, when analyzing games and are unsure which team will win the game, they choose to say that the prediction will be over 2.5 goals or over 3.5 goals. Now, if they are beginners in sports betting, I highly doubt that they will bet on the over and under market.

I say this because when I started with sports betting, I didn't know anything about over and under or handicap, I just bet on 1x2 and I believe that this happens to more than 90% of people when they are starting out in sports betting.

[l3pox]

I think this analysis is correct too
Though do you think there are good gamblers who make bank over the long run only with over and unders or they incorporate that into parlays?
Because these usually don’t have the best odds so you risk more for the chance to make 10 to 20%
It’s fine but you can lose a lot if you make a mistake

[Ruttoshi]

I have exactly that happen with novice bettors, who just want to watch goals or points fly in. It is more exciting to bet on over than to even bet on under as they (the bettors) would want something to happen as opposed to nothing at all. It thrives on the instinctive feeling of watching a game. But at a later point, when you get more experience, you begin thinking more about the real numbers and tendencies of the teams. You know there is no use in going to a bet that you feel is most interesting sometimes. Emotional betting is a sure way of losing in the end. It is all about discipline and knowing the game behind the facade.

The more experienced you become you'd find out that betting is beyond more than just the thrill and excitement of expecting goals to keep flying in because that doesn't always happen. Sometimes even the teams you expect goals from might end up playing a goaless draw against each other, I have experienced this so many times with the german league bundesliga teams. The most important thing is analysis

You are right @rachael9385, sometimes someone can bet either on both options and still lose the bet because sports games can also go against predictions just like in trading, you can not be right all the time. If am betting on the under 2.5 option, that means I am convinced within myself that in the match the teams can perform according to my prediction to score at least 2 goals, but it doesn't work out always tho.

It shows that gambling is a game of luck ans luck comes by chance. It does not matter about yhw strategy that you used, it can go the opposite and you run at loss even when you think that you have a hedge on the game by betting on the two clubs to win on different slip.

It's good to see gambling as a means of entertainment so that even if you don't win your bet, you'll not be disappointed.

[yahoo62278]

Are you aware of the psychological aspect of how bettors choose between over or under? For starters, over/under bets is a type of sports betting where bettors try to predict whether a combined number of score of both teams is over or under a predetermined value. It is observed that beginners tend to bet on the over side. Why? Because over means excitement.

Over means the bettor is anticipating a lot of action and this is how bookmakers get to them. If you have been watching and betting for a long time however, you may be able to objective and exercise restraint and not be overly excited over a match and only bet on the under side. Anyway, under is not always the correct answer as it really depends on the match, the teams, the gameplay and many other factors but most beginners end up getting too excited and betting mostly on over without proper analysation.

I think betting the over under in a game is probably 1 of the hardest bets to win, especially in NBA. You take a team like the Indiana Pacers who were top 5 in the NBA this year in scoring and then they play OKC who were in the top 5 defense this year in the NBA and usually a high scoring team as well and who knows what's going to happen. I bet the over in their series this year in the NBA finals a couple times and always lost.

In my mind a high scoring offense will be able to break down a defense and figure out ways to score especially when it's the finals, but OKC seemed to hold it down for the most part.

Maybe I am just a beginner like you said idk.