I pity those who still fall for trump antics, dude is a businessman and surely is pursuing agreements in the interest of the US being relieved on the cost incurred from sending military aid to Ukraine. He's had a meeting with Putin and Zelensky separately and is looking forward to having a trilateral meeting with both parties soon.
It would do both parties good to stop the war but I doubt they're reaching any agreement anytime soon. Whatever happens, it doesn't haven much effect on Bitcoin. Bitcoin has broken 2 ATHs with the war going on and would do better independent of the war situations. I don't see Putin backing down if NATO doesn't, so the war has higher possibilities of continuing.
In international relations, there are no permanent friends or enemies; only permanent interests. Diplomacy is simply the art of strategy, calculating moves, and the ability to read opponents and opportunities, as well as the skill of managing strengths, weaknesses, symbols, and opportunities in the global arena with patience, long-term calculation, and the art of compromise.
This conflict is not simply about territory, but rather a struggle for the European security architecture. Russia wants Ukraine to remain in its orbit, the US wants to make Ukraine a symbol of resistance to Russian authoritarianism, while Ukraine itself seeks to use this rivalry to ensure its survival.
Like a game of chess, Russia plays to defend the board, seeking a quick checkmate by neutralizing or pro-Russian Ukraine. Its aggressive nature puts pressure directly on the center of the board (Ukraine) to keep its opponent on the defensive.
The US plays to control the game, using a long game that drains Russia's economy and never wins outright. The US's approach is not to attack directly, but to force its opponent to lock in their maneuvering space through global alliances. For the US, victory does not always mean defeating the opponent completely, but rather achieving a superior bargaining position, achieving a profitable compromise, or maintaining stability while the opponent loses maneuvering space.
Ukraine is fighting to avoid becoming a sacrificial pawn, seeking a strategic draw by holding out long enough to hope that an alliance with the West will tip the balance. It can only remain defensive and exploit global attention to gain recognition.