If I were to play the role of a trader and apply some of the little knowledge I’ve gained studying technical analysis, I would say this is just one of the pullbacks before another upward trend. Most likely, once the Fed announces interest rate cuts, we could see Bitcoin going up to around $200K by the end of this year.
I am surprised to see your predictions of $200k just after the fed cut the rates, don't you think we need much bigger factors to pump the price to $200k as cutting rates are not going to pump it again to its all time high, haha bro you made me laugh but I think you have your reasons, although you are right about speculators who are trading short term they have their stop losses in places but this won't lose them a lot of money and they will still have funds to buy again.
If BTC dumps below $100k which is very random because it is still bullish even in the short term as $113k is not a bad price but for someone who bought high it is a bad price, but if btc dumps below $100k that's really bad for all the market.