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Author Topic: Is Bitcoin's monthly volatility a rite of passage or something else?  (Read 198 times)
uefbv (OP)
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August 20, 2025, 02:33:52 AM
 #1

August 2025
BitGoba
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August 20, 2025, 05:03:03 AM
 #2

You shouldn’t worry too much about following the short-term price. It’s better to focus on understanding Bitcoin itself, researching what money really is, and how the fiat system works. Once you go down this rabbit hole, it becomes clear that Bitcoin will continue to rise in the long run forever.. Of course, there will be volatility and sometimes even prolonged bear markets, but when you zoom out, the trend only goes upward.
 Unless you are a trader which is a very tough and demanding job that requires specific skills and knowledge of technical analysisit’s better to take a long-term perspective.

If I were to play the role of a trader and apply some of the little knowledge I’ve gained studying technical analysis, I would say this is just one of the pullbacks before another upward trend. Most likely, once the Fed announces interest rate cuts, we could see Bitcoin going up to around $200K by the end of this year. After that, I believe speculators will start selling everything, which could bring the price back down below $100K

But as I said earlier, it’s better not to gamble by trying to time the market. Instead, focus on truly understanding Bitcoin, knowing what you’re holding, and realizing that in the long run its value will continue to grow.

Stay humble and stack sats.

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August 20, 2025, 06:17:24 AM
 #3

Bitcoin isnt as volatile as it used to be years ago. There are stocks which are much more volatile than bitcoin. Sure bitcoin had a huge move but in percentage terms it wasn't that drastic.

Lately everything is volatile, even the bond market. There are times when alot of traders are on the edge. You never know what Trump will do or say, so everyday you think its going to be a bear market and the next day you think its going to be a bull market.

The volatility will always be there. Traders love volatility because thats how you make money. Its difficult to make money if the markets are not going anywhere.

 
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john_egbert
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August 20, 2025, 07:12:28 AM
 #4

Bitcoin isnt as volatile as it used to be years ago. There are stocks which are much more volatile than bitcoin. Sure bitcoin had a huge move but in percentage terms it wasn't that drastic.

Lately everything is volatile, even the bond market. There are times when alot of traders are on the edge. You never know what Trump will do or say, so everyday you think its going to be a bear market and the next day you think its going to be a bull market.

The volatility will always be there. Traders love volatility because thats how you make money. Its difficult to make money if the markets are not going anywhere.

Volatility becomes less and less of a factor on a BTC chart - and rightfully so.

BTC becomes the best and the biggest adopted coin on the broader stage (it is currently is one as well), and with that, comes the fact that to move such a coin somewhere, more and more power is needed.
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August 20, 2025, 07:16:23 AM
 #5

There is no asset that will continue to increase without falling and have some corrections or retracement, even gold which is the strongest asset on earth for now can still have some corrections like this. So you should not be surprised if bitcoin have some corrections like this because we expected it. Bitcoin fall from around $124500 to $113700 is still a little fall and nothing to be worried about. What should be worried about is the bear market and I do not think it is now yet.

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nemesis_incarnate
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August 20, 2025, 07:20:50 AM
 #6

There is no asset that will continue to increase without falling and have some corrections or retracement, even gold which is the strongest asset on earth for now can still have some corrections like this. So you should not be surprised if bitcoin have some corrections like this because we expected it. Bitcoin fall from around $124500 to $113700 is still a little fall and nothing to be worried about. What should be worried about is the bear market and I do not think it is now yet.

Definitely, dips and other stuff on the chart is a completely normal processes taking place, the market decides for itself, and the price cannot be the one of a stablecoin, which is normal Cool
EluguHcman
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August 20, 2025, 08:35:34 AM
 #7

If you mean if volatility is a norms for the Bitcoin market YES that is right. Volatility is an interesting medium to leverage resourcefulness as Bitcoin has the potential to store values against inflations.

In the aspect of investments is the potentialities of bringing investors returns with entry levels. Volatility is a rite to triggering it Pump and Dump to leverage investors sentiments.
OP you also need to know that Bitcoin volatilities is not periodical on monthly basis but on the regular. Bitcoin has never hold a stable value rather, it price has only hovered sideways on the slight ranges or it is consolidated.

The monthly charts you may have come across are just speculations from analyst's via the performance of Bitcoin in the range of time.
Perhaps analysts or investors might decide to build a daily, weekly, monthly or annual charts to monitor the price. That does not mean there is ever a time the volatility is on hold (stable) on the basis.











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FortuneFollower
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August 20, 2025, 08:43:06 AM
 #8

If you mean if volatility is a norms for the Bitcoin market YES that is right. Volatility is an interesting medium to leverage resourcefulness as Bitcoin has the potential to store values against inflations.

In the aspect of investments is the potentialities of bringing investors returns with entry levels. Volatility is a rite to triggering it Pump and Dump to leverage investors sentiments.
OP you also need to know that Bitcoin volatilities is not periodical on monthly basis but on the regular. Bitcoin has never hold a stable value rather, it price has only hovered sideways on the slight ranges or it is consolidated.

The monthly charts you may have come across are just speculations from analyst's via the performance of Bitcoin in the range of time.
Perhaps analysts or investors might decide to build a daily, weekly, monthly or annual charts to monitor the price. That does not mean there is ever a time the volatility is on hold (stable) on the basis.

I would say it's a double-edged sword - you just accept it's there and utilize it, or suffer because of it if you forget about it existing and affecting the market..

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August 20, 2025, 02:33:30 PM
 #9

Now zoom out and look at the 10 or 15 year view and the "volatility" is not really noticeable.   The main time that volatility matters is if you are attempting to trade short term and that is extremely difficult - if not impossible - to succeed at unless you are extremely lucky.
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August 20, 2025, 02:45:40 PM
 #10

August 2025

Sometimes you may have several of this within a month and in some cases, you may only witness seeing only one or even none, because the bitcoin network is volatile and unpredictable sometimes, it is also necessary that we know why we should not always treat the market the same direction it has always been before now, because it may not follow same pattern any longer, but the essence of making speculations is to keep us on track on knowing about the direction that the market is taking or about to take and be well positioned in it, we can't do without it volatility, but can prevent it's effects on what we are doing.
Die_empty
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August 20, 2025, 03:02:23 PM
 #11

Bitcoin isnt as volatile as it used to be years ago. There are stocks which are much more volatile than bitcoin. Sure bitcoin had a huge move but in percentage terms it wasn't that drastic.
People keep complaining about this month's market movement. d5000 did a short but comprehensive analysis, which shows that Bitcoin has become less volatile.

We see in fact a very gradual reduction: the bull market 2013 had a peak of 14% volatility, the 2017 bull went up to 8,5% volatility, and the 2021 bull already went down to 5,6%. The peak of the 2022-25(?) bull until now was 3,1% volatility. So we see approximately a 40% reduction each cycle.

Quote
Lately everything is volatile, even the bond market. There are times when alot of traders are on the edge. You never know what Trump will do or say, so everyday you think its going to be a bear market and the next day you think its going to be a bull market.

The volatility will always be there. Traders love volatility because thats how you make money. Its difficult to make money if the markets are not going anywhere.
The tariff war and the refusal of the US Federal Reserve to reduce interest rates have affected investors' sentiments towards different assets. Without volatility Bitcoin investment will not be profitable. buying the dip and selling when the market recovers is good business.    

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August 20, 2025, 03:14:47 PM
 #12

I think that such high volatility is exactly the reason why governments, for the most part, still do not use bitcoin as a state reserve and have not introduced it into all their financial operations. I even suspect that ministries of finance are now busy trying to come up with a system to adapt, regulate, or reduce bitcoin’s volatility.


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August 20, 2025, 03:40:42 PM
 #13

There is no asset that will continue to increase without falling and have some corrections or retracement, even gold which is the strongest asset on earth for now can still have some corrections like this. So you should not be surprised if bitcoin have some corrections like this because we expected it. Bitcoin fall from around $124500 to $113700 is still a little fall and nothing to be worried about. What should be worried about is the bear market and I do not think it is now yet.

Looking at the op curiosity you will agree with me that it is pretty obvious that he is quite new in this space and that should be the reason for his curiosity as a result of less experience about the market probably with matter of time he will understand better, although understanding that volatility of Bitcoin is a natural phenomenon which no one can have a control of and should be basic and fundamental knowledge anyone coming in to Bitcoin should have, Bitcoin will continue to be going up coming down as long as it existence.

 
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August 20, 2025, 03:44:43 PM
 #14

Sometimes you may have several of this within a month and in some cases, you may only witness seeing only one or even none, because the bitcoin network is volatile and unpredictable sometimes, it is also necessary that we know why we should not always treat the market the same direction it has always been before now, because it may not follow same pattern any longer, but the essence of making speculations is to keep us on track on knowing about the direction that the market is taking or about to take and be well positioned in it, we can't do without it volatility, but can prevent it's effects on what we are doing.
It is not what we think because the idea that bitcoin or any crypto market will follow the same pattern as before can be dangerous. Because the market constantly changes, we must decide based on the situation. If we make decisions without understanding the situation, we will face losses. Market volatility creates as much risk as it creates opportunities. If you can take steps by understanding both risks and opportunities, it is possible to make profits. The most important thing is to focus on your strategy, the more strategies you can adopt and the more you are knowledgeable about them, the more you will be able to move forward.
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August 20, 2025, 04:03:37 PM
 #15

It might weed out the weak hands but for those who have been watching bitcoin's market ups and downs for years now, dont really care.

Someone out there might be looking for the short term gains. That person will get washed away when the market crashes like this. Others who have bought at prices less than 1k USD, dont think anything at such losses.

So what I always suggest is just buy at the low, keep those positions marked in your spreadsheet and sell when the price rises again.

 
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August 20, 2025, 04:08:02 PM
 #16

Bitcoin isnt as volatile as it used to be years ago. There are stocks which are much more volatile than bitcoin. Sure bitcoin had a huge move but in percentage terms it wasn't that drastic.

Lately everything is volatile, even the bond market. There are times when alot of traders are on the edge. You never know what Trump will do or say, so everyday you think its going to be a bear market and the next day you think its going to be a bull market.

The volatility will always be there. Traders love volatility because thats how you make money. Its difficult to make money if the markets are not going anywhere.
When we think Bitcoin in terms of market cap, not price, we will easily realize that its market cap must grow at smaller rates over time and market cycles. Even Market cap and Price relates directly with each other, when we see it in price, we see it is volatile and even feel disappointed when price in this market cycle or next ones has smaller growth than past ones. However, I am quite sure that when we look at it in market price, we can realize that it is very reasonable growth that is smaller and shrinks more over market cycles and no longer feel disappointed with this trend.

Bitcoin Yearly candles and Bitcoin & Traditional Assets ROI (vs USD).
https://charts.bitbo.io/yearly-candles/
https://casebitcoin.com/

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August 20, 2025, 05:34:29 PM
 #17

I think that without bitcoin's volatility constantly being in the news, people would have moved on to something else. With each shake up, it draws the community closer. It is like we are rallying around together to support each other with proofs and evidence that it is a shake up for it hit a new ATH. In doing so, out beliefs grow even stronger and we become more resilient.

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August 20, 2025, 05:40:00 PM
 #18

You should zooming out way more to see the full picture. This little chart of yours tells us nothing about the journey. If you zoom out more, you'll see how bitcoin performed in the last 2-3 years. If that's not magic, I don't know what is. It went a bit down recently so what? bitcoin is still the same bitcoin. If you think this is the end of crypto, sell and leave the current price is still very close to the ATH. If you don't doubt bitcoin, then this looks like a good time to add more. I added some to my stash. Couldn't miss them cheap coins.

There are less than 3 years left to the next halving. Prepare accordingly. When the time comes, we will be looking at a 7 figure price tag for a bitcoin and some people will still say: "I shoulda bought them cheap coins when it was only $113k, fuk"

Happens all the time. Let's see if 2028-2029 will be any different.

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August 20, 2025, 05:44:59 PM
 #19

You should zooming out way more to see the full picture. This little chart of yours tells us nothing about the journey. If you zoom out more, you'll see how bitcoin performed in the last 2-3 years. If that's not magic, I don't know what is. It went a bit down recently so what? bitcoin is still the same bitcoin. If you think this is the end of crypto, sell and leave the current price is still very close to the ATH.
People mostly want something instantly or quickly enough so they mainly focus on short term and see the market is too volatile. Market ups and downs make them frustrating while if they focus on long term investment and holding, their portfolios can grow up in values and they will no longer feel stresssful or headache with market volatility.

DCA bitcoin with time, especially increasing accumulation during bear market to buy cheap and discount bitcoins so that they will get very good ROI with a next market cycle and its bull run or better with some next market cycles.

Quote
If you don't doubt bitcoin, then this looks like a good time to add more. I added some to my stash. Couldn't miss them cheap coins
It starts with how you learn about Bitcoin, how you trust it, and how do you accumulate bitcoins over time. If you can maintain accumulation in a long period, you will be able to stash a lot of bitcoins for your porfolio while Bitcoin will work for you without any sevice fee. It's just magic and you only need to accumulate and hold your bitcoins for profit.

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August 20, 2025, 06:09:14 PM
 #20

Bitcoin monthly volatility is not the same during every month, the price can change continuously depending on the demand and supply rate and economic news which could either make the price dip or pump. This month happens to be slow with price movement as we are seeing that the price is dumping but that could only be for this month or next but in the next few months to the end of this year, Bitcoin might start up trending again with a high volatility. So, you can not use one month to assume the moves for the other months.
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