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Question: How much would it cost to buy 51% of owned BTC (excluding lost/unused/unallocated)
< $5 billion
$5 billion to $50 billion
$50 billion to $100 billion
$100 billion to $500 billion
$500 billion to $1 trillion
> $1 trillion

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Author Topic: Cost of buying 51% of BTC (for attack if bitcoin were to go PoS)  (Read 1859 times)
koelen3
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March 01, 2015, 03:36:28 AM
 #21

Definitely >1trillion, probably >10 trillion. Once they bought the first 5% of coins, everyone would know somebody was trying to get a 51% stake and would either refuse to sell or hold out for much higher price. Maybe they could try to do it slowly over time to keep people from noticing. Then the question becomes not how much would it cost but how long would it take. A year? 5 years?
Not that long
If some have 2 trillion
He could do it easily within a month
Buying off exchanges and places in different wallets
Using proxies and VPN's to cover up his shit!

jonald_fyookball
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March 01, 2015, 06:32:51 AM
 #22

I don't know much about POS, but my understanding was that the problem is that you don't need to own ANY of the coins that currently exist at all.  You just need to own 50% of the coins that existed at some point in time in the past.

So, I could spend some of my unspent outputs, and then I could sell (or give) those useless (worthless) now spent outputs to someone else.  If they can manage to collect up >50% of the outputs that were unspent at that point in time (even if they've all been spent since then), then they can mount an attack.

Perhaps my understanding is flawed?  This is where I thought the biggest vulnerability was.

That is generally correct to my understanding as well.

Many POS security schemes limit how many blocks deep you can do a reorg, so the "at some point in the past" is limited to a somewhat recent past, but the issue still remains.

A person can keep buying coins and selling them, and trying to attack after selling them, so there is essential no cost to the attack, and as such has been dubbed the 'nothing at stake' issue.

The higher cost of a 51% attack by PoS is an enticing goal, but I don't think anyone has been able to show how to achieve that while addressing the other security concerns.

A hybrid PoW/PoS system also sounds like a good idea, but each such variation has it's own challenges and drawbacks. 


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