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Author Topic: Provable Fairness of bitdice.me  (Read 1741 times)
Enzyme (OP)
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April 01, 2015, 03:58:41 PM
 #1

Code:
21897022	makenna.morar	15:54:56	500.00	2.0000X	<49.5000	88.0868	-500.00
21896922 makenna.morar 15:54:22 256.00 2.0000X <49.5000 80.6374 -256.00
21896919 makenna.morar 15:54:21 128.00 2.0000X <49.5000 54.6355 -128.00
21896914 makenna.morar 15:54:20 64.00 2.0000X <49.5000 85.3138 -64.00
21896910 makenna.morar 15:54:19 32.00 2.0000X <49.5000 99.5763 -32.00
21896906 makenna.morar 15:54:18 16.00 2.0000X <49.5000 54.8866 -16.00
21896901 makenna.morar 15:54:18 8.00 2.0000X <49.5000 57.3160 -8.00
21896897 makenna.morar 15:54:17 4.00 2.0000X <49.5000 89.5072 -4.00
21896891 makenna.morar 15:54:15 2.00 2.0000X <49.5000 98.2605 -2.00
21896887 makenna.morar 15:54:14 1.00 2.0000X <49.5000 80.6744 -1.00

What are the odds of losing a 49.5% dice game, 10 times in a row?
Website: bitdice.me
ShetKid
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April 01, 2015, 04:04:43 PM
 #2

Code:
21897022	makenna.morar	15:54:56	500.00	2.0000X	<49.5000	88.0868	-500.00
21896922 makenna.morar 15:54:22 256.00 2.0000X <49.5000 80.6374 -256.00
21896919 makenna.morar 15:54:21 128.00 2.0000X <49.5000 54.6355 -128.00
21896914 makenna.morar 15:54:20 64.00 2.0000X <49.5000 85.3138 -64.00
21896910 makenna.morar 15:54:19 32.00 2.0000X <49.5000 99.5763 -32.00
21896906 makenna.morar 15:54:18 16.00 2.0000X <49.5000 54.8866 -16.00
21896901 makenna.morar 15:54:18 8.00 2.0000X <49.5000 57.3160 -8.00
21896897 makenna.morar 15:54:17 4.00 2.0000X <49.5000 89.5072 -4.00
21896891 makenna.morar 15:54:15 2.00 2.0000X <49.5000 98.2605 -2.00
21896887 makenna.morar 15:54:14 1.00 2.0000X <49.5000 80.6744 -1.00

What are the odds of losing a 49.5% dice game, 10 times in a row?
Website: bitdice.me

It comes to around 0.009%. People have lost more than 30 times at 50% in a row as well. So 10 isn't the worst you will see.
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April 01, 2015, 04:15:43 PM
 #3

Code:
21897022	makenna.morar	15:54:56	500.00	2.0000X	<49.5000	88.0868	-500.00
21896922 makenna.morar 15:54:22 256.00 2.0000X <49.5000 80.6374 -256.00
21896919 makenna.morar 15:54:21 128.00 2.0000X <49.5000 54.6355 -128.00
21896914 makenna.morar 15:54:20 64.00 2.0000X <49.5000 85.3138 -64.00
21896910 makenna.morar 15:54:19 32.00 2.0000X <49.5000 99.5763 -32.00
21896906 makenna.morar 15:54:18 16.00 2.0000X <49.5000 54.8866 -16.00
21896901 makenna.morar 15:54:18 8.00 2.0000X <49.5000 57.3160 -8.00
21896897 makenna.morar 15:54:17 4.00 2.0000X <49.5000 89.5072 -4.00
21896891 makenna.morar 15:54:15 2.00 2.0000X <49.5000 98.2605 -2.00
21896887 makenna.morar 15:54:14 1.00 2.0000X <49.5000 80.6744 -1.00

What are the odds of losing a 49.5% dice game, 10 times in a row?
Website: bitdice.me

If you just play a total of 10 bets, the odds would be 49.5%^10 = 0.0883%.
But if you play hundreds and thousands of bets, it would be not uncommon to see such a loss streak.
Bitdicesupport
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April 01, 2015, 04:16:28 PM
 #4

Code:
21897022	makenna.morar	15:54:56	500.00	2.0000X	<49.5000	88.0868	-500.00
21896922 makenna.morar 15:54:22 256.00 2.0000X <49.5000 80.6374 -256.00
21896919 makenna.morar 15:54:21 128.00 2.0000X <49.5000 54.6355 -128.00
21896914 makenna.morar 15:54:20 64.00 2.0000X <49.5000 85.3138 -64.00
21896910 makenna.morar 15:54:19 32.00 2.0000X <49.5000 99.5763 -32.00
21896906 makenna.morar 15:54:18 16.00 2.0000X <49.5000 54.8866 -16.00
21896901 makenna.morar 15:54:18 8.00 2.0000X <49.5000 57.3160 -8.00
21896897 makenna.morar 15:54:17 4.00 2.0000X <49.5000 89.5072 -4.00
21896891 makenna.morar 15:54:15 2.00 2.0000X <49.5000 98.2605 -2.00
21896887 makenna.morar 15:54:14 1.00 2.0000X <49.5000 80.6744 -1.00

What are the odds of losing a 49.5% dice game, 10 times in a row?
Website: bitdice.me

The odds of a user hitting a 10 loss streak on 49.5% is extremely likely. These streaks can happen at any point, the longer the user plays the higher the likelyhood of hitting a long streak.

If you wish to calculate the odds it is done like this. 49.5%^10 = 0.000883%.

If you question the legitimacy of any roll please use the provably fair explanation under the help section at www.bitdice.me
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April 01, 2015, 04:21:29 PM
 #5

Again one of these, '' i lost x times, casino must be rigged'' threads... Come on guys at least if you are making this kind of posts show something really improbable like 40 loses in a row

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April 01, 2015, 04:23:44 PM
Last edit: April 01, 2015, 05:42:28 PM by btcdealer.nl
 #6

Again one of these, '' i lost x times, casino must be rigged'' threads... Come on guys at least if you are making this kind of posts show something really improbable like 40 loses in a row

Hahaha, I remember *some* guy in chat.. OMG 10 losses... MUST be rigged... gtfo
Enzyme (OP)
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April 01, 2015, 04:23:54 PM
 #7

Again one of these, '' i lost x times, casino must be rigged'' threads... Come on guys at least if you are making this kind of posts show something really improbable like 40 loses in a row
The only difference is, I lost within 30 seconds of starting the autobet.
Enzyme (OP)
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April 01, 2015, 04:24:20 PM
 #8

Again one of these, '' i lost x times, casino must be rigged'' threads... Come on guys at least if you are making this kind of posts show something really improbable like 40 loses in a row

Hahaha, I remember this guy in chat.. OMG 10 losses... MUST be rigged... gtfo
I never posted this on chat. Thread is asking for the probability, not blaming.
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April 01, 2015, 04:24:44 PM
 #9

My record is 18 straight losses on 49.5% win chance. So 10 doesn't seem unlikely at all. Don't play dice anymore but used to play a lot.
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April 01, 2015, 04:28:10 PM
 #10

I got about 20 loss streak on Primedice, so this is nothing..
If u want "safe" gambling site try moneypot.com, you will not lose here if you are not idiot
Astargath
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April 01, 2015, 04:29:53 PM
 #11

Again one of these, '' i lost x times, casino must be rigged'' threads... Come on guys at least if you are making this kind of posts show something really improbable like 40 loses in a row
The only difference is, I lost within 30 seconds of starting the autobet.

Wich has a chance of 0.09863721877053% of happening, wich is roughly a 1 in 1014, so you would have hit 10 loses in a row pretty soon anyways, the chances are really good honestly.

\\\\\...COIN.....
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April 01, 2015, 04:30:33 PM
 #12

The only difference is, I lost within 30 seconds of starting the autobet.

Bad luck, move on. 10 losses isn't uncommon and it happens a lot. Stick around in PrimeDice one day and I'm sure you'll see it happen at least three or four times. Only ever use autobet with ~20% of your bankroll, things can go wrong and you can get sucked in hard by it.
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April 01, 2015, 04:32:10 PM
 #13

Again one of these, '' i lost x times, casino must be rigged'' threads... Come on guys at least if you are making this kind of posts show something really improbable like 40 loses in a row

Hahaha, I remember this guy in chat.. OMG 10 losses... MUST be rigged... gtfo
I never posted this on chat. Thread is asking for the probability, not blaming.

Sorry my bad then, it's just that the title of this thread goes in the direction of it not being provably fair.
And there are a lot of people that keep complaining about their streaks and scream rigged immediately ( like last night Tongue)
Maybe you could change the title to : The probability of a 10 losing streak on 49,5%?

latrzzz Grin
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April 01, 2015, 04:32:52 PM
 #14

I got about 20 loss streak on Primedice, so this is nothing..
If u want "safe" gambling site try moneypot.com, you will not lose here if you are not idiot

No ''Gambling'' site is ''safe''! It's the internet remember Tongue
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April 01, 2015, 04:32:58 PM
 #15

I got about 20 loss streak on Primedice, so this is nothing..
If u want "safe" gambling site try moneypot.com, you will not lose here if you are not idiot

MoneyPot still has a house edge, so you'll still lose in the long run if you play infinite times. Undoubtedly though, it relies a lot more on "balls" and slightly more "skill" than rolling a dice, that's for sure. Get a lucky few runs and get out and you can definitely make bank with MoneyPot, for sure.
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April 01, 2015, 04:34:52 PM
 #16

Again one of these, '' i lost x times, casino must be rigged'' threads... Come on guys at least if you are making this kind of posts show something really improbable like 40 loses in a row
The only difference is, I lost within 30 seconds of starting the autobet.

Well the thing is that it is impossible to know when the streaks come. They can come with first bet or they may even never come.
But yes all bets are provably fair and you can verify them with the formula under the help section. Or you can use the verification link also located under the help section, it leads to an offsite verifier.
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April 01, 2015, 04:45:58 PM
 #17

Code:
21897022	makenna.morar	15:54:56	500.00	2.0000X	<49.5000	88.0868	-500.00
21896922 makenna.morar 15:54:22 256.00 2.0000X <49.5000 80.6374 -256.00
21896919 makenna.morar 15:54:21 128.00 2.0000X <49.5000 54.6355 -128.00
21896914 makenna.morar 15:54:20 64.00 2.0000X <49.5000 85.3138 -64.00
21896910 makenna.morar 15:54:19 32.00 2.0000X <49.5000 99.5763 -32.00
21896906 makenna.morar 15:54:18 16.00 2.0000X <49.5000 54.8866 -16.00
21896901 makenna.morar 15:54:18 8.00 2.0000X <49.5000 57.3160 -8.00
21896897 makenna.morar 15:54:17 4.00 2.0000X <49.5000 89.5072 -4.00
21896891 makenna.morar 15:54:15 2.00 2.0000X <49.5000 98.2605 -2.00
21896887 makenna.morar 15:54:14 1.00 2.0000X <49.5000 80.6744 -1.00

What are the odds of losing a 49.5% dice game, 10 times in a row?
Website: bitdice.me


10 losses streak in 49.5% chance is nothing friend.

I've experienced worst than you, I got 15 losses streak in 60% win chance but in other site (PD)

player will not know when those losing streak come? it can be at the beginning/middle/end..

One more thing, don't use martingale strategy Smiley



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...Next Generation Crypto Casino...
Astargath
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April 01, 2015, 05:47:59 PM
 #18

Code:
21897022	makenna.morar	15:54:56	500.00	2.0000X	<49.5000	88.0868	-500.00
21896922 makenna.morar 15:54:22 256.00 2.0000X <49.5000 80.6374 -256.00
21896919 makenna.morar 15:54:21 128.00 2.0000X <49.5000 54.6355 -128.00
21896914 makenna.morar 15:54:20 64.00 2.0000X <49.5000 85.3138 -64.00
21896910 makenna.morar 15:54:19 32.00 2.0000X <49.5000 99.5763 -32.00
21896906 makenna.morar 15:54:18 16.00 2.0000X <49.5000 54.8866 -16.00
21896901 makenna.morar 15:54:18 8.00 2.0000X <49.5000 57.3160 -8.00
21896897 makenna.morar 15:54:17 4.00 2.0000X <49.5000 89.5072 -4.00
21896891 makenna.morar 15:54:15 2.00 2.0000X <49.5000 98.2605 -2.00
21896887 makenna.morar 15:54:14 1.00 2.0000X <49.5000 80.6744 -1.00

What are the odds of losing a 49.5% dice game, 10 times in a row?
Website: bitdice.me


10 losses streak in 49.5% chance is nothing friend.

I've experienced worst than you, I got 15 losses streak in 60% win chance but in other site (PD)

player will not know when those losing streak come? it can be at the beginning/middle/end..

One more thing, don't use martingale strategy Smiley




Might aswell say dont use any method because in the end every method is the same and sooner or later you will eventually bust, its true that other strategies may allow you to retire after loosing a bit unlike martingale that when you bust you are done. The thing is that lets say you have 1 bitcoin and you lose 0.2 with a method, now you wont want to stop, what you want is to recover and that only leads to more loses.

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/////
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April 01, 2015, 05:54:46 PM
 #19

I feel your pain op. I've been on losing end too. Unfortunately as others said 10 loses streak is something really common in DICE.  If this was your first 10+ loses streak be ready to experience even longer streaks in the future. It is just pure math, and odds are always against you...
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April 01, 2015, 06:17:57 PM
 #20

10 losing streak with 49.50% winning is not a strange thing in roll dice, on pd i got 16 losing streak with 2X at autobetting, so it does not that that dice is not provably fair.
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