May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed!

[notlist3d]

It's went up pretty much:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    47,643,398,018
Estimated Next Difficulty:    47,408,223,886 (-0.49%)
Adjust time:    After 1529 Blocks, About 10.5 days

Price also dropped around 6 dollars to around 230.

It went down some... so not all bad news

Bitwisdom:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    47,643,398,018
Estimated Next Difficulty:    47,032,106,525 (-1.28%)
Adjust time:    After 1517 Blocks, About 10.6 days

[ACCTseller]

I would guess -3.51% to 3.75%. The stagnant price of BTC plus the lack of availability of new hardware (especially that of more/better efficiency) means that little new hardware is going to be brought online and some amount of hardware will be taken offline because of costs, warmer weather, ect

[tertius993]

I think it'll edge up this time, so I'll stick with my usual slot please - +3.01 to +3.25

[philipma1957]

Picks are now open!

-5.26% to -5.50%   ---------------------- ezeminer

-3.51% to 3.75%    --------------------- ACCTseller
-3.26% to  3.50%   --------------------- zubelutte
-3.01% to -3.25%   ----------------------jonnybravo0311
-2.76% to -3.00%   ---------------------- Biodom
-2.51% to --2.75%  ---------------------  Kexkey
-2.26% to -2.51%   ---------------------- shapeshift
-2.01% to -2.25%   --------------------- notlist3d
-1.76% to -2.00%   ---------------------- Mikestang
-1.51% to -1.76%   ---------------------- wpt1wpt1
-1.26% to -1.50%   ----------------------valkir
-1.01% to -1.25% ------------------ Philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00%   --------------------- Lboss
-0.51% to -0.75%   ---------------------- Jamphone
-0.26% to -0.50%   ---------------------- SunnyIgor
-0.01% to -0.25%   ---------------------- Zorrocoin
  0.00% ---------------------------------- EMIF
+0.01% to +0.25% -------------------- zebedee
+0.26% to +0.50% -------------------- eretron
+0.51% to +0.75% -------------------- Last of the  V8s
+0.76% to +1.00% -------------------- davejh
+1.01% to +1.25% -------------------- kenscho
+1.26% to +1.50% -------------------- tlhIlwI
+1.51% to +1.75% -------------------- gallery2000
+1.76% to +2.00% -------------------- tss
+2.01% to +2.25% -------------------- mavericklm

+3.01% to +3.25% -------------------- tertius993
+3.25% to +3.50% -------------------- RealMalatesta

right now we are about 0% with  time left to pick  about 3 days.

http://www.bitcoincharts.com/  (-0.90%)


I have never seen 0 but there it is at the 1452 block mark

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty  ( -0.00%  )


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/markets/coinbase/btcusd   = 232 usd


and http://btc.blockr.io/charts


5/3/2015    140 blocks----------- that is -   2   since about half were the last adjustment and half were this adjustment
5/4/2015    130 blocks----------  that is - 14
5/5/2015    154 blocks----------  that is +10
5/6/2015    157 blocks----------  that is +13

so maybe +7 blocks  after  488 are made  that is (+1.45%)  for a 'real' time number.

[notlist3d]

Bitwisdom is now showing a positive:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    47,643,398,018
Estimated Next Difficulty:    47,746,031,738 (+0.22%)
Adjust time:    After 1426 Blocks, About 9.8 days

[ezeminer]

-2.26% to -2.51%   ---------------------- shapeshift

&

+3.25% to +3.50% -------------------- RealMalatesta

Should be corrected to


-2.26% to -2.50%   ---------------------- shapeshift

&

+3.26% to +3.50% -------------------- RealMalatesta



Just noticed those small one off decimals

[cakir]

I'm picking +2.26% to +2.50%

[philipma1957]

Picks are now open!

-5.26% to -5.50%   ---------------------- ezeminer

-3.51% to 3.75%    --------------------- ACCTseller
-3.26% to  3.50%   --------------------- zubelutte
-3.01% to -3.25%   ----------------------jonnybravo0311
-2.76% to -3.00%   ---------------------- Biodom
-2.51% to -2.75%  ---------------------  Kexkey
-2.26% to -2.50%   ---------------------- shapeshift
-2.01% to -2.25%   --------------------- notlist3d
-1.76% to -2.00%   ---------------------- Mikestang
-1.51% to -1.76%   ---------------------- wpt1wpt1
-1.26% to -1.50%   ----------------------valkir
-1.01% to -1.25% ------------------ Philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00%   --------------------- Lboss
-0.51% to -0.75%   ---------------------- Jamphone
-0.26% to -0.50%   ---------------------- SunnyIgor
-0.01% to -0.25%   ---------------------- Zorrocoin
  0.00% ---------------------------------- EMIF
+0.01% to +0.25% -------------------- zebedee
+0.26% to +0.50% -------------------- eretron
+0.51% to +0.75% -------------------- Last of the  V8s
+0.76% to +1.00% -------------------- davejh
+1.01% to +1.25% -------------------- kenscho
+1.26% to +1.50% -------------------- tlhIlwI
+1.51% to +1.75% -------------------- gallery2000
+1.76% to +2.00% -------------------- tss
+2.01% to +2.25% -------------------- mavericklm
+2.26% to +2.50% -------------------- cakir
+2.51% to +2.76% -------------------- alh
+3.01% to +3.25% -------------------- tertius993
+3.26% to +3.50% -------------------- RealMalatesta

right now we are about 0% with  time left to pick  about 3 days.

http://www.bitcoincharts.com/  (-0.90%)


I have never seen 0 but there it was at the 1452 block mark

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty  ( +0.19%  )


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/markets/coinbase/btcusd   = 238 usd


and http://btc.blockr.io/charts


5/3/2015    140 blocks----------- that is -   2   since about half were the last adjustment and half were this adjustment
5/4/2015    130 blocks----------  that is - 14
5/5/2015    154 blocks----------  that is +10
5/6/2015    157 blocks----------  that is +13

so maybe +7 blocks  after  488 are made  that is (+1.45%)  for a 'real' time number.


we are at the 1406 block mark.

[notlist3d]

Looks like it will be a positive change.  But we are gaining on btc worth some.  So I don't see it as to bad.  I just want to cross the 240 number and stay over.

[notlist3d]

Bitwisdom tonight:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    47,643,398,018
Estimated Next Difficulty:    47,748,034,075 (+0.22%)
Adjust time:    After 1376 Blocks, About 9.4 days
Hashrate(?):    359,862,539 GH/s

Looks like we will be having a positive.  Price of BTC slightly under 238.  And slight movement up.

[philipma1957]

 http://btc.blockr.io/charts


5/3/2015    140 blocks----------- that is -   2   since about half were the last adjustment and half were this adjustment
5/4/2015    130 blocks----------  that is - 14
5/5/2015    154 blocks----------  that is +10
5/6/2015    157 blocks----------  that is +13
5/7/2015    148 blocks---=-------that is +4


so maybe +11 blocks  after  742 blocks are made  at the moment   so 742 vs 731 =


that is (+1.504%)  for a 'real' time number.


we are at the 1374 block mark.  basically pretty flat   very hard to predict up or down  -2 to  +3 could all happen.




We are kind of in a prolonged flat spell.  I feel many companies want to do something but are afraid to drop a bomb.
I still go back to the new gear is out and about and some companies just kept hash flat while cutting power costs.
Waiting for someone to make a sprint and add 25 ph ot 50 ph but this may not happen.

[alh]

Please put me down for +2.51 to +2.75

While positive, I don't think this is much more than variance/luck.

[notlist3d]

Bitwisdom is making it look like were in for a positive change:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    47,643,398,018
Estimated Next Difficulty:    47,997,937,980 (+0.74%)
Adjust time:    After 1275 Blocks, About 8.7 days
Hashrate(?):    357,301,719 GH/s

And price..... 245!  We have gone over 240 for the moment.

[notlist3d]

Bitwisdom is making it look like were in for a positive change:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    47,643,398,018
Estimated Next Difficulty:    47,997,937,980 (+0.74%)
Adjust time:    After 1275 Blocks, About 8.7 days
Hashrate(?):    357,301,719 GH/s

And price..... 245!  We have gone over 240 for the moment.

Showing a little down right now compared to morning.

Bitcoin Difficulty:    47,643,398,018
Estimated Next Difficulty:    47,892,767,017 (+0.52%)
Adjust time:    After 1241 Blocks, About 8.5 days

Best thing is 245 is staying steady right now.  Pointed up on price... so good day I would say.

[philipma1957]

 http://btc.blockr.io/charts


5/3/2015    140 blocks----------- that is -   2   since about half were the last adjustment and half were this adjustment
5/4/2015    130 blocks----------  that is - 14
5/5/2015    154 blocks----------  that is +10
5/6/2015    157 blocks----------  that is +13
5/7/2015    148 blocks---=-------that is +4
5/ 8/2015    143 blocks-----------that is -1

so maybe +10 blocks  after  784 blocks are made  at the moment   so 784 vs 774 =


that is (+1.29%)  for a 'real' time number.


we are at the 1232 block mark.  basically pretty flat   very hard to predict up or down  -2 to  +3 could all happen.




We are kind of in a prolonged flat spell.  I feel many companies want to do something but are afraid to drop a bomb.
I still go back to the new gear is out and about and some companies just kept hash flat while cutting power costs.
Waiting for someone to make a sprint and add 25 ph ot 50 ph but this may not happen.



flat works very well as price creeps upward near the 250 usd mark.

[notlist3d]

We are kind of in a prolonged flat spell.  I feel many companies want to do something but are afraid to drop a bomb.
I still go back to the new gear is out and about and some companies just kept hash flat while cutting power costs.
Waiting for someone to make a sprint and add 25 ph ot 50 ph but this may not happen.

I feel that they don't want to spend money without needing to.  Right now kinda riding old investment's.   They are using equipment likely longer then they planned, which could mean additional income.

I think it will be next gen tech before we see a ton of new PH coming online.  Once next gen comes out I think we will finnaly see some expansion.  Question is how long till chips hit the market and widespread... we will see no one is to talking to much about dates.

[notlist3d]

Last night:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    47,643,398,018
Estimated Next Difficulty:    47,892,767,017 (+0.52%)
Adjust time:    After 1241 Blocks, About 8.5 days

Best thing is 245 is staying steady right now.  Pointed up on price... so good day I would say.

Morning bitwisdom now shows a negative:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    47,643,398,018
Estimated Next Difficulty:    47,166,192,116 (-1.00%)
Adjust time:    After 1185 Blocks, About 8.3 days
Hashrate(?):    342,661,719 GH/s

Price is around 240.   Can we get lucky enough to have negative and price above 240?  Guess we will see.

[philipma1957]

Okay we are at block 836 made  with 1180 to go.  


Picks end at block 1000 made  1016  to go.

So about 164 blocks left for your picks.
So since this is a free contest.
I would think

-5.01% to -5.25%
-4.76% to -5.00%
-4.51% to -4.75%
-4.26% to -4.50%
-4.01% to -4.25%
-3.76% to -4.00%   RoadStress


and

+3.51% to =3.75%
+3.76% to +4.00%

All will get picked over the next day.



Picks are now open!

-5.26% to -5.50%   ---------------------- ezeminer


-3.76% to -4.00%  ----------------------- RoadStress
-3.51% to -3.75%    --------------------- ACCTseller
-3.26% to -3.50%   --------------------- zubelutte
-3.01% to -3.25%   ----------------------jonnybravo0311
-2.76% to -3.00%   ---------------------- Biodom
-2.51% to -2.75%  ---------------------  Kexkey
-2.26% to -2.50%   ---------------------- shapeshift
-2.01% to -2.25%   --------------------- notlist3d
-1.76% to -2.00%   ---------------------- Mikestang
-1.51% to -1.76%   ---------------------- wpt1wpt1
-1.26% to -1.50%   ----------------------valkir
-1.01% to -1.25% ------------------ Philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00%   --------------------- Lboss
-0.51% to -0.75%   ---------------------- Jamphone
-0.26% to -0.50%   ---------------------- SunnyIgor
-0.01% to -0.25%   ---------------------- Zorrocoin
  0.00% ---------------------------------- EMIF
+0.01% to +0.25% -------------------- zebedee
+0.26% to +0.50% -------------------- eretron
+0.51% to +0.75% -------------------- Last of the  V8s
+0.76% to +1.00% -------------------- davejh
+1.01% to +1.25% -------------------- kenscho
+1.26% to +1.50% -------------------- tlhIlwI
+1.51% to +1.75% -------------------- gallery2000
+1.76% to +2.00% -------------------- tss
+2.01% to +2.25% -------------------- mavericklm
+2.26% to +2.50% -------------------- cakir
+2.51% to +2.76% -------------------- alh
+3.01% to +3.25% -------------------- tertius993
+3.26% to +3.50% -------------------- RealMalatesta

[RoadStress]

-3.76% to -4%

Thanks.

[philipma1957]

-3.76% to -4%

Thanks.

No problem you have been marked in look above.