[ANN] Augur alpha test: decentralized prediction markets

[BITDV]

Is the demo link not working i go to it and just get a blank page

I just tried it -- it's working for me.  We've had a much bigger surge of interest than expected for an alpha test, and our server is struggling a bit to keep up.  (We're a non-profit, so no big venture bucks for us -- our geth node is just running on our showing-its-age-a-bit server...)  Give it 30 seconds to a minute -- it should load, it's just a bit slow!

If it's not loading at all for you, I can help you troubleshoot.  What OS/browser are you using?  All our testing so far has been done using Chrome (and a tiny bit of Firefox).  It should be cross-browser compatible of course, but I can't promise it is 100% so just yet

It did come up eventually , i decide to download it is syncing atm , eta on sync by chance ??

[tinybike]

Is the demo link not working i go to it and just get a blank page

I just tried it -- it's working for me.  We've had a much bigger surge of interest than expected for an alpha test, and our server is struggling a bit to keep up.  (We're a non-profit, so no big venture bucks for us -- our geth node is just running on our showing-its-age-a-bit server...)  Give it 30 seconds to a minute -- it should load, it's just a bit slow!

If it's not loading at all for you, I can help you troubleshoot.  What OS/browser are you using?  All our testing so far has been done using Chrome (and a tiny bit of Firefox).  It should be cross-browser compatible of course, but I can't promise it is 100% so just yet

It did come up eventually , i decide to download it is syncing atm , eta on sync by chance ??

It should only take ballpark 20-30 minutes (although it depends on your connection speed, of course).  Did you include those enodes in the --bootnodes geth flag?  If you go to the geth console, you can manually add nodes using admin.addNode:

Code:

admin.addNode("enode://035b7845dfa0c0980112abdfdf4dc11087f56b77e10d2831f186ca12bc00f5b9327c427d03d9cd8106db01488905fb2200b5706f9e41c5d75885057691d9997c@[::]:30303")
admin.addNode("enode://4014c7fa323dafbb1ada241b74ce16099efde03f994728a55b9ff09a9a80664920045993978de85cb7f6c2ac7e9218694554433f586c1290a8b8faa186ce072c@[::]:30303")
admin.addNode("enode://12bcaeb91de58d9c48a0383cc77f7c01decf30c7da6967408f31dc793e08b14e2b470536ebe501a4f527e98e84c7f5431755eae5e0f4ba2556539ab9faa77318@[::]:30303")
admin.addNode("enode://587aa127c580e61a26a74ab101bb15d03e121a720401f77647d41045eae88709b01136e30aba56d1feddff757d4a333f68b9a749acd6852f20ba16ef6e19855a@[::]:30303")
admin.addNode("enode://f5fc10dafe8c44702748c7ead4f30d7b3fe35450d2e66158231a9bf9b1838f93d06b25908b8447c85b2429bdaeff45709f17e67083791053e0bac6e282c969fe@[::]:30303")

Hope that helps!

[locohammerhead]

That guy you have on your site in the yellow shirt clutching the stick looks maniacal like he is planning the destruction of the earth when that picture was taken.

[tinybike]

That guy you have on your site in the yellow shirt clutching the stick looks maniacal like he is planning the destruction of the earth when that picture was taken.

Haha, yeah, I'm not sure who picked that picture of Prof. Hanson, but we probably should put up a better/less maniacal one

[cjmoles]

Very interested in this project....just wish it were more user friendly....completely lost at this point so need to find some better reference material, I guess.  Suggestions?

[cjmoles]

Is this an old thread?  Is there a new thread that I'm not aware of yet?

[cjmoles]

I s there a link to a new thread somewhere?  Or, is this project dead?

[cjmoles]

Am I the only person who visits this thread?  Where is a thread that has updated information?

[Benjig]

Well it seems like many people missed this train, let's do math:

The final price was around 400 rep/bitcoin (230 usd)

With 3 bitcoins you own a little more than 1/10,000 of total reps.

Rep will get profit from fees.


In a conservative scenario where each month only 3 billion usd are wagered on this, ( today there are single sport events where more than that is wagered on a single day, i think the total amount wagered worldwide on sportsbooks and prediction markets is around 100 billion/month but who knows, it may be even 500 or 1000 billions.)

Let's take a 1% fee of that, that is 30 million usd.


Distributed into 10,000 parts the result is 3000 usd.


So with 3 bitcoins (690 usd) you had the opportunity to make at least 3000/month without doing anything.


Obviously all this is on the supposed scenario where they deliver and it goes successful after it.

@cjmoles, this project is not dead, just dont expect noise in next few months unitl they launch... you will see more stuff about this on the ethereum forum than here.

[P-Funk]

Well it seems like many people missed this train, let's do math:

The final price was around 400 rep/bitcoin (230 usd)

With 3 bitcoins you own a little more than 1/10,000 of total reps.

Rep will get profit from fees.


In a conservative scenario where each month only 3 billion usd are wagered on this, ( today there are single sport events where more than that is wagered on a single day, i think the total amount wagered worldwide on sportsbooks and prediction markets is around 100 billion/month but who knows, it may be even 500 or 1000 billions.)

Let's take a 1% fee of that, that is 30 million usd.


Distributed into 10,000 parts the result is 3000 usd.


So with 3 bitcoins (690 usd) you had the opportunity to make at least 3000/month without doing anything.


Obviously all this is on the supposed scenario where they deliver and it goes successful after it.

@cjmoles, this project is not dead, just dont expect noise in next few months unitl they launch... you will see more stuff about this on the ethereum forum than here.

(bolded by me)
Good luck. Keep in mind there's always going to be competition.

[Benjig]

Well it seems like many people missed this train, let's do math:

The final price was around 400 rep/bitcoin (230 usd)

With 3 bitcoins you own a little more than 1/10,000 of total reps.

Rep will get profit from fees.


In a conservative scenario where each month only 3 billion usd are wagered on this, ( today there are single sport events where more than that is wagered on a single day, i think the total amount wagered worldwide on sportsbooks and prediction markets is around 100 billion/month but who knows, it may be even 500 or 1000 billions.)

Let's take a 1% fee of that, that is 30 million usd.


Distributed into 10,000 parts the result is 3000 usd.


So with 3 bitcoins (690 usd) you had the opportunity to make at least 3000/month without doing anything.


Obviously all this is on the supposed scenario where they deliver and it goes successful after it.

@cjmoles, this project is not dead, just dont expect noise in next few months unitl they launch... you will see more stuff about this on the ethereum forum than here.

(bolded by me)
Good luck. Keep in mind there's always going to be competition.

Yeah but on this things you know the first or the main always get a huge share, just see the mcap of bitcoin compared to all the rest of alts.

[cjmoles]

Well it seems like many people missed this train, let's do math:

The final price was around 400 rep/bitcoin (230 usd)

With 3 bitcoins you own a little more than 1/10,000 of total reps.

Rep will get profit from fees.


In a conservative scenario where each month only 3 billion usd are wagered on this, ( today there are single sport events where more than that is wagered on a single day, i think the total amount wagered worldwide on sportsbooks and prediction markets is around 100 billion/month but who knows, it may be even 500 or 1000 billions.)

Let's take a 1% fee of that, that is 30 million usd.


Distributed into 10,000 parts the result is 3000 usd.


So with 3 bitcoins (690 usd) you had the opportunity to make at least 3000/month without doing anything.


Obviously all this is on the supposed scenario where they deliver and it goes successful after it.

@cjmoles, this project is not dead, just dont expect noise in next few months unitl they launch... you will see more stuff about this on the ethereum forum than here.

I was just wondering why this thread was so small considering the 5.1 M dollar interest in the project.  I was thinking that maybe this was an orphaned thread and that maybe I was overlooking the favored thread.

In regard to the sportsbook example:  They're are games everyday....so....if the rep holder's reporting period is about every eight weeks....how does that translate?

[quantumgravity]

I can't wait to get started with Augur. Christmas can't come soon enough.

[asnghost]

Someone really wants AUGUR!

https://www.worldcoinindex.com/coin/augur

[newb4now]

How long will beta last? How many more months until main net launch? Will exchange trading only start after main net is live?

[indijim]

This is a top ten coin at the moment. But for how long?

[Papski]

Someone was able to sell at 2btc that was lucky..

[Piston Honda]

overpriced crap (for now) lol.

all polo bot action as usual.

[nowclever]

What ico price? Including from initial price to last price. It is very expensiive in poloniex. I think the price is overpriced now.

[soulgate]

11M limited supply. No mining.