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Author Topic: If you were Greek, would you buy BTC when the banks open next week?  (Read 1171 times)
BTCtrader71 (OP)
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July 10, 2015, 09:46:45 PM
 #1

Greek banks have been closed for a week under threat of 30-50% haircut. Now, it looks like the can will be kicked down the road one more time with yet another bailout but few real structural changes.

http://www.theguardian.com/business/2015/jul/09/greece-debt-crisis-athens-accepts-harsh-austerity-as-bailout-deal-nears

If you were Greek, would you be talking about whether this could just happen all over again in 1-2 years? Bank closures, ATM lines, paypal not working, no access at all to your money.

If you were Greek, what would you do differently the second time around?


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July 10, 2015, 09:50:37 PM
 #2

I would buy a lot of canned food just in case I can't access my money ever again.

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July 10, 2015, 09:54:03 PM
 #3

There will be a good % who will buy BTC, I'm sure about this.

But I can't estimate the % number.

Quote from:  Satoshi Nakamoto
Feb. 14, 2010: I’m sure that in 20 years there will either be very large transaction volume or no volume.
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July 10, 2015, 10:03:36 PM
 #4


Interesting remark at the end of the recording: Greeks may find themselves choosing "the lesser of two evils" in deciding whether to buy bitcoin.

Perhaps the question could be phrased, whom do you trust more: Tsipras or Satoshi?

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July 10, 2015, 10:04:13 PM
 #5

If the banks open up, and they start buying even a little bit, my gawd this shit will fly
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July 10, 2015, 10:06:48 PM
 #6

Would you be interested in crypto-nizing your business so that it could still operate if/when we see a repeat of the past week?

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July 10, 2015, 10:23:13 PM
 #7

Dealing with Greece’s currency restrictions could be as easy as heading to an ATM.

Joaquin Fenoy was wandering the streets of Athens Friday, doing his bit to ease Greece’s currency restrictions. He wasn’t handing out cash, but rather installing an ATM with a withdrawal limit of €1,000 (about $1,100). That’s €940 above the €60 daily ATM withdrawal limit the Greek government put in place to stop a bank run as its creditors decide the country’s financial fate.

There is one catch, though: You need to have the virtual currency bitcoin to use it.

Fenoy, 36, is the CTO of Bitchain, a four-month-old startup based in the Barcelona suburb of Sant Cugat del Vallés. He and his co-founders—Jordi Alcaraz, 39, and Miguel Alcaraz, 44—launched the company in March to build an international network of bitcoin-based ATMs manufactured by BTCPoint, a Barcelona/Silicon Valley company (and Fenoy’s former employer).

Bitcoin ATMs are a fast-growing offshoot of the six-year old bitcoin currency. The first one was opened in a Vancouver coffee shop in October 2013, and there are now 429 worldwide. To buy bitcoins at an ATM, a user inserts money, and the equivalent in bitcoins are put into his virtual wallet. To turn bitcoins into cash and withdraw it (which is more likely in cash-strapped Greece), users send bitcoins to a virtual address supplied by the ATM; they are then given a QR code that they scan to receive cash.

Free of ties to government financial systems, bitcoin appeals to people looking to hedge against unstable currencies and banking systems. Demand for bitcoin has picked up in recent days, especially in Europe (Greece’s bitcoin use has risen 500% in the last four weeks), suggesting that Greece’s travails may even be inspiring people in other southern European nations to shift into bitcoin in case their countries ever have similar problems.

“The suspicion is Spanish, Portuguese, Italians, and others worried about going down this route are buying in speculation,” says Michael Casey, senior advisor of MIT Media Lab’s Digital Currency Initiative and co-author of The Age of Cryptocurrency: How Bitcoin and Digital Money Are Challenging the Global Economic Order.

“You buy a bitcoin now because you think sometime in the future you’ll have your banks shut and your currency reintroduced,” he adds. “Gold was the old hedge against this sort of thing. Bitcoin is the new one.” Usage is still low, Casey notes, so big growth numbers have to be taken with a grain of salt.

Fenoy frames building an international bitcoin ATM network as a way to help people easily move money around the globe without paying the high fees of traditional money transferring services.

“It’s very good for people in the Third World, who are now dependent on Western Union and services like that,” he says. “Someone in one part of the world could put in money, and a family member could take it out in Africa, for example. That is one of the objectives: remittances.”

In Greece’s case, worried relatives in London could buy bitcoins and transfer them to the digital wallet of a family member in Athens, who could then withdraw the bitcoins as euros from Bitchain’s ATM. Similarly, tourists could also buy bitcoins with dollars in New York and then take them out of a Barcelona bitcoin ATM in euros.

Bitchain ATMs charge a 4% commission on transactions, a bit below the worldwide average of 5.61%, according to industry site Coin ATM Radar; the ATM in Athens will offer a zero commission rate to start. Fenoy says that for someone exchanging currencies, that 4% commission represents an 80 to 85% savings when compared with a physical moneychanger.

Sending money the old-fashioned way is certainly more expensive: On a transfer from the U.S. to Greece, Western Union takes a cut on the conversion (€1,000 would cost $1,180 from Western Union, compared with $1,120 at the current exchange rate) and charges $81 on top of that to put the transfer on a credit card and deliver it immediately.

Fenoy and his partners will soon find out how many Greeks (and visitors to Greece) have access to bitcoins. Their ATM, based at a downtown Athens co-working space called The Cube, is slated to open Saturday. The two ATMs Bitchain installed in Barcelona a few weeks ago see about 20 transactions a day each, he says, split 60/40 between buying bitcoins and withdrawing cash.

The company plans to have 40 ATMs installed worldwide by the end of the year, including in other countries with the kind of currency problems and byzantine money transfer regulations that make them prime for bitcoin usage, like Argentina and Venezuela.

Each machine costs about €8,500 and according to Fenoy, between six and nine months worth of commissions are needed to pay off each one. So far, he and his partners have put in about €100,000 to bootstrap the company.

“The situation [in Greece] is a lot calmer than I’d envisioned from what I’d seen in the media. The lines at ATMs are just one or two people,” Fenoy says, talking from Athens on his cell phone. “Tourism is normal. People are in a better mood than I expected.”

A Greek exit from the euro would no doubt change that—and make Bitchain’s ATM much more popular. After all, bitcoins are not any weirder than other alternatives being tried out in Greece right now: Some stores are taking neighboring Bulgaria’s currency, the lev, while a small Greek island, Agistri, is trying out a gold-backed digital currency, the Nautiluscoin.

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July 10, 2015, 10:27:33 PM
 #8

I would buy a lot of canned food just in case I can't access my money ever again.

Unnecessary if the shops would only accept bitcoin ...

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July 10, 2015, 10:44:16 PM
 #9

because it seems like a bail-in is off the table, most Greeks shouldnt be too motivated to buy bitcoin.


and since greece has asked for a 3 year/50billion in new bailouts it appears that deposits will be safe.


this is of course under the assumption that creditors accept the new terms and there is no grexit.



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July 10, 2015, 10:52:51 PM
 #10

Greeks need the 60 euros everyday to buy food, no disposable money to buy bitcoin. ECB has capped emergency liquidity relief to Greek central bank. When banks open, they will not have cash for depositors to withdraw. It will be very difficult for them to buy bitcoin when capital control is in effect.
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July 10, 2015, 11:02:28 PM
 #11

Why is it that every good or bad thing is being correlated to the bitcoin price....  Huh

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July 11, 2015, 01:59:49 AM
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Why is it that every good or bad thing is being correlated to the bitcoin price....  Huh
bc you are here: Bitcoin > Economy > Economics > Speculation

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July 11, 2015, 02:03:25 AM
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If I were Greek I would buy 5-10 btc as "what if" money.
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July 11, 2015, 05:02:38 AM
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Take all my money out, convert it to EUR, and just move to another EU country with a sound economy.

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July 11, 2015, 05:29:10 AM
 #15

Take all my money out, convert it to EUR, and just move to another EU country with a sound economy.

I might do that too, except for the fact that I read that people who live there love it (economy notwithstanding)

But really: suppose you didn't want to leave. Would you have newfound motivation to put in some extra effort to learn about bitcoin? What if anything would stop you?
 

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July 11, 2015, 05:30:55 AM
 #16

If I were Greek I would buy 5-10 btc as "what if" money.

I would too.

If you ran a small (or not so small) business would you look for ways to hop onto the bitcoin payment rail system?

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July 11, 2015, 05:37:32 AM
 #17

It will be very difficult for them to buy bitcoin when capital control is in effect.

How long will capital controls stay in effect? They can't do it forever. I'd think that the longer they stay in effect, the more motivated I'd be to pry my money out of there once I am able.

I'm wondering whether the bitcoin infrastructure is sufficient in Greece to make bitcoin a viable alternative for the here and now. For example: paypal supposedly accepts bitcoin. Is that available in Greece right now?


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July 11, 2015, 05:42:44 AM
 #18

I'd buy potable water and food when the banks open.
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July 11, 2015, 05:51:59 AM
 #19

Probably a little.

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July 11, 2015, 05:52:10 AM
 #20

As I think about it, it seems to me the Greek government ought to WANT Greek citizens to learn how to use bitcoin payment rails. It would have helped Tsipras in his negotiations against the "troika" if the economy were not being held hostage by bank closure and if the EU were not in a position to seize the assets of all of its citizens. And it would NOT mean Greeks would have to convert all their wealth to bitcoin or stop using the Euro.

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